The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

North Dakota Horse Park
Saturday - July 16, 2022

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FAR-1   07/16/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST nongraded Stake   Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 3:00
1:031         1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMMITTS ROYAL ECHO 3 2 2 23   13 14 (geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 122 2.00 0.90  
ENDERSROYALDANCE 1 1 1 13   23 24 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 122 3.50 2.40 P
FEDORA KID 2 3 3 39   315 317½ (davis v)HERMAN EVAN 119 3.00 1.20 S
SCR  LIAM'S STARRY NITE               (geditz j)FRINK D 122 1.60 62% 0.60    
 
FAR-4   07/16/2022 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($3.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
1:012         1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DATA QUICK 4 1 12 13   16 14 (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 121 5.00 2.40  
INSPEIGHTOFTHEDOG 1 4 22 23   26 24 (allery mark)ESTRADA GIOVANY 126 1.60 15% 5.70 2.50 P
MR. ADVENTUROUS 5 2 32 3   37 3(wilke gordy)HERMAN EVAN 126 4.00 9% 9.60 2.00 S
DEPUTY VERDOT 2 3 4 4   410 49 (martin dean)FRINK D 126 7.00 8.40  
CAYNAN BAY 3 5 5 5   511 510½ (delorme c)DELORME L 121 2.00 54% 0.80 3.30  
 
FAR-6   07/16/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($3.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:144         1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAKOTA PROSPECTOR 4 1 12 18   112 113½ (horst scot)CERVANTES URIEL 124 4.00 16% 5.10 3.20 W
P K'S PEANUT 2 3 22 28   212 213½ (geditz j)ESTRADA GIOVANY 119 7.00 15% 5.70 1.90 P
REAL CRAFTY PIE 1 2 3 310   313 314½ (dolphus junior)ZIEGLER ZACK 124 2.00 39% 1.60 2.90 S
CHALLENGING RAIL 3 4 43 412   415 416¼ (herman lee)MORIN RYAN 124 2.50 2.90  
ROYAL MALIKY 5 5 55 514   517 518½ (herman lee)HERMAN EVAN 119 5.00 5.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.