Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $6.18 $2.18 55%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2-4 $26.14 $18.14 227%
CD-3   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $16.14 $10.14 169%
    EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-5 $49.30 $31.30 174%
    TRI (3/5/6)-(3/5/6/1)-(3/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-5-6 $62.93 $53.93 599%
CD-5   WIN (7/5/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.78 $7.78 97%
CD-6   WIN (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $12.00 $4.00 50%
    DD (7/5/4/1)-(3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-3 $62.12 $46.12 288%
CD-8   WIN (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $6.62 $0.62 10%
CD-9   WIN (6/10/11/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  11 $23.54 $13.54 135%
    EXA (6/10/11/12/5)-(6/10/11/12/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  11-5 $130.58 $90.58 226%
    DD (3/5/6)-(6/10/11/12/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00  5-11 $40.46 $25.46 170%
CD-11   WIN (1/12/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $11.66 $3.66 46%
    EXA (1/12/11/9)-(1/12/11/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00  12-11 $97.66 $73.66 307%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:121 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WITS AND WAGERS 2 5 56 56 55 33½ 1¾ (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 39% 1.60 2.09 W
4  TOFFEE 4 1 21½ 21 2½ 22 2¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 3.00 32% 2.10 4.83 P
6  GRACEFUL UNION 6 2 11½ 11 1½ 12 32 (devaux ch)TORRES A 118 3.50 2.30  
3  MISS ANALYZED 3 4 46 45½ 33½ 43½ 42¾ (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00 6.63  
1  LA VILLAGE LUMIERE 1 3 34½ 34½ 44 54½ 57 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00 ★ 4.13  
5  IZABELLABELLA 5 6 68 614 620 622½ 630¼ (netherwood )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00 10.11  
SCR  WING AND A PLAYER               (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JE SUIS RAPIDE 5 2 63½ 31½   2½ 11 (king l)CASTANON L 123 20.00 20.35  
7  SUPER RENEE 6 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 21 (stidham mi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 8% 11.20 1.60 P
2  CRACKALACKING 1 5 1½ 1nk   31 35¼ (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00 5.89  
5  MY MY MUNNY 4 3 53½ 52½   44 46½ (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.50 3.09  
3  LOVE OF MY LIFE 2 6 43 64½   56½ 511 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00 7.31  
4  LA V. 3 4 31½ 42   67½ 615¼ (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 123 3.50 64% 0.60 2.67  
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA               (casse no)SANTANA JR 123 1.80    
 
CD-3   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:103     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SLAM DUNK SERMON 3 3 1½ 1½   1½ 11 (vance th)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 43% 1.30 7.07 W
5  BLUE KENTUCKY 5 1 32 42   2½ 21 (sims p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.37 P
6  SOLIDIFY 6 2 52½ 31½   31 31¾ (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 6% 15.90 8.49 S
2  TAPAGE 2 6 74 73¾   43 42 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 15.79  
4  AMERICAN PURE 4 4 63 63½   63¼ 52½ (o'dwyer je)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00 4.58  
1  SOARING BIRD 1 5 42 52   53 62½ (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00 ★ 2.71  
7  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 7 7 2½ 2½   75¾ 710¾ (andrade h)CORREA L 118 20.00 17.42  
 
CD-4   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:121 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CECILE (IRE) 8 12 127¼ 129¼ 128¼ 75¼ 1½ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00 5.39  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GREAT LOOK by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  VANISHED 10 6 11 11 1½ 13 2½ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 2.82  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ELUSIVE PEARL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
1  JUST SAY SO 1 3 84¼ 85 74¾ 44 32 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 43% 1.30 3.97 S
  (by WAR FRONT out of SAY (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
5  OKAY FINE 5 4 43 53 53 33 43 (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 ★ 4.46  
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
7  STAY LOST 7 11 115¾ 106¾ 106¼ 86¼ 53¾ (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 10% 9.40 10.66  
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
4  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 4 1 31½ 42 63¼ 54½ 66½ (maker michae)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00 12.01  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  MASTERFUL MEG 2 2 74 74½ 85¼ 96¾ 77¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00 11.87  
  (by MASTERY out of SATISFACTION by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  STRATEGERIZED 3 10 105¼ 116¾ 96¼ 117¼ 88 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 ★ 22.89  
  (by JUSTIFY out of MEXICAN HAT by STREET CRY (IRE))
6  EM KAT 6 5 53 32 2½ 23 98½ (matejka p)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00 39.48  
  (by TAPIT out of GREAT HOT (BRZ) by ORIENTATE (GB))
12  EVIE'S ENCORE 12 9 21 21 31½ 64¾ 1010¾ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 35.40  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of LANGTRY by STREET SENSE)
9  GLAMOUR ANNA 9 8 63½ 63½ 43 107¼ 1112 (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 42.51  
  (by FAST ANNA out of GLAMOUR N GLORY by NEWSPROBE)
11  EXHIBIT HALL 11 7 94¼ 95¼ 116¾ 129¾ 1216¾ (lobo pau)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.20 17.92  
  (by MUNNINGS out of TENSAS HARBOR by PRIVATE VOW)
SCR  BAG LADY               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAGHDARIA by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of NEITH by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  MILLION DOLLAR CAT               (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of INDY'S MILLION by A.P. INDY)
SCR  SRI LANKA               (walsh bren)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
CD-5   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:25 :50 1:14 1:38   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LORD CAPTAIN 6 5 21 2½ 2nk 11 1nk (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 20% 3.90 6.89 W
3  MOBSTER GUN 3 6 64 42 31 31½ 2nk (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00 3.20  
1  DIGITAL 1 2 53 63½ 64¾ 21 3¼ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.35 S
2  MYSTIC NIGHT 2 1 31½ 31½ 41¼ 41½ 41¾ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 1.11  
6  HUGE BIGLY 5 4 11 1½ 1nk 52½ 54¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 3.50 7.57  
4  TEST PILOT 4 3 42½ 52½ 53¾ 64½ 66¼ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 14% 6.20 13.09  
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS               (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
 
CD-6   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:092     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLOKI'S FLIGHT 3 2 21 2nk   14 12½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 33% 2.00 5.00 W
8  GUNTOWN 8 7 77½ 77¾   34½ 22½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 2.44  
5  RAM 5 5 44½ 44½   24 36½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 5.00 6.92  
4  CHARGING AERO 4 6 31½ 31½   44½ 48¾ (rodriguez darien)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 12% 7.50 7.70  
7  INVISIBLE WAR 7 3 56 67¼   68½ 59¾ (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 17% 5.00 28.80  
1  HEARTBREAKER 1 1 11 1nk   55½ 613¾ (d'amato phi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00 17% 4.90 1.83  
2  RAYMOND 2 8 67 57   79½ 718 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 10.00 10.22  
6  LUCKY BOSS 6 4 89½ 810¼   812 819 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00 24.78  
 
CD-7   05/13/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:134 1:392 2:03 2:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  F FIVE 2 23½ 28 26 2nk 1½ 13¾ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 124 10.00 2.98  
11  POLICY OPTION 11 77¾ 712 69½ 1nk 2½ 23¾ (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 12% 7.60 9.65 P
1  TRENDING 1 35½ 39½ 37½ 32 33½ 34¼ (mcgaughey claude )SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 3.65  
9  JARREAU 9 67½ 511½ 58½ 42½ 44 44¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 56% 0.80 2.67  
8  ALWAYS ABOVE 8 1212¾ 1215¼ 1213½ 106½ 77 56½ (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00 ★ 10.74  
6  BOLD LOOKER 6 56 611½ 710 74¾ 67 67 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00 ★ 7.94  
7  PRINCELY 7 1111¼ 1013¾ 911½ 96¼ 89½ 712 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00 20.84  
4  COURAGEOUSLY 4 45½ 410½ 48½ 54 56½ 812½ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00 37.60  
3  FOWLER BLUE 3 1010¾ 1115¼ 1113 128 1011¾ 913½ (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00 60.50  
10  BOSQUE REDONDO 10 89¾ 812½ 810½ 86¼ 99¾ 1014 (claire ale)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 10% 9.10 23.57  
13  SILENT STEVE 12 99¾ 913½ 1012 118 1113¾ 1118 (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 59.20  
5  READ ON 5 13½ 18 16 64½ 1219¾ 1230½ (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00 25.01  
SCR  EL AHIJADO               (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 117 30.00    
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS               (murphy co)LEPAROUX R 124 3.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT               (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
SCR  SHINNECOCK HILLS               (brennan terr)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:234 :463 1:111 1:233   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEPEU 4 4 32 42 2nk 1½ 1¾ (walsh br)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 14% 6.30 2.31 W
4  JR'S GIFT 3 3 52¼ 53 51¾ 41½ 2¾ (andrade h)CORREA L 124 30.00 17.82  
3  CRUMP 2 1 42 31½ 62¼ 31½ 32¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 52% 0.90 1.12 S
6  COSTA TERRA 5 6 62¾ 63½ 41¼ 52 42½ (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 13% 6.50 5.59  
2  SEVEN FLAT 1 2 74¼ 85½ 72¾ 63 52½ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00 18.78  
9  WAKE SURF 8 7 21 21 1nk 2½ 63 (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00 ★ 17.07  
7  TRIPLE ELVIS 6 5 11 11 3.2 74½ 713½ (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 8.81  
8  AMERICAN ICON 7 8 85¾ 74½ 85¼ 87½ 822¼ (vasquez s)NAVAS YOEL 124 30.00 34.49  
SCR  SINGLE RULER               (desormeaux ke)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50    
 
CD-9   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
See original race card.
:212 :441 :562     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  ADALINE JULIA 10 1 21 21½   21½ 11¾ (diodoro r)TORRES A 121 8.00 7% 13.10 10.77 W
5  YOUR SO SILLEA 4 2 11 11½   11½ 21¾ (sims phili)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 4.00 5% 19.00 3.99 P
7  MY KENTUCKY GIRL 6 11 1011¼ 1011   88¼ 36 (wong jon)SANTANA JR 121 20.00 12.32  
6  PORTILLA 5 5 42 43½   55½ 47¾ (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 41% 1.50 3.23  
3  FAST GISELLE 2 4 62¾ 77   45½ 59¾ (galindo-torres c)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00 51.80  
4  SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM 3 3 31 33   34 610 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00 4.89  
10  MOUFFY 9 7 73¼ 66   78 710¼ (thomas jonat)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 19% 4.40 9.59  
8  STREET JAM 7 10 1111¼ 1114   1110¾ 810½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00 24.81  
9  LOVE OF MY HEART 8 6 95¾ 89   98¼ 912¼ (forster gra)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00 24.84  
1  WELL SPENT 1 9 84¾ 99½   109¼ 1014¾ (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00 20.46  
12  IRONIC TWIST 11 8 52½ 54   67½ 1114¾ (glatt mark)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 7% 13.20 3.78  
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
 
CD-10   05/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
See original race card.
:214 :443 :561     1:022   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) 5 6 73½ 63¾   2½ 11½ (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 10.77  
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of RAW SILK by MALIBU MOON)
3  TWO OF A KIND 3 5 1nk 1nk   1½ 21½ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00 5.23  
  (by OVERANALYZE out of FREUD'S IRISH MISS by FREUD)
2  GASLIGHT DANCER 2 2 31½ 31½   41 31½ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 27% 2.60 0.97 S
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  CRISPY CAT (GB) 6 4 2nk 2nk   31 42 (delgado )SANTANA JR 118 5.00 25% 3.00 10.22  
  (by ARDAD out of MARA GREY by AZAMOUR (IRE))
7  PRIVATE CREED 7 1 41¾ 41¾   51¼ 52¼ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 13% 6.90 5.14  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SOUTH ANDROS by SKY MESA)
8  AH JEEZ 8 3 86½ 86½   83¼ 63 (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00 34.11  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of POETIC by VIOLENCE)
1  GILCREASE 1 7 63¼ 74   62¼ 75¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 11% 7.80 6.76  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of INDIAN BRAVA by BERNARDINI)
4  CHIRINGO 4 8 53¼ 53¾   73¼ 87½ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 18.52  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of STREET LOVE by STREET BOSS)
 
CD-11   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
See original race card.
:212 :444 :571     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  PATTON'S WAR 8 1 11 1nk   12 1¼ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 20% 4.00 4.83 W
11  LUPO'S LEGACY 7 2 41¼ 2nk   22 2¼ (rodriguez d)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 9% 9.60 11.64 P
5  OWN THE FIELD 3 5 75¾ 73¾   44½ 3¼ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 23.24  
9  ALILNALOT 5 4 52¾ 32   33 4¾ (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 9% 10.10 7.36  
1  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 1 7 62¾ 53½   55 54 (asmussen ste)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 26% 2.80 2.52  
4  LIBERTY'S HAULER 2 8 87¾ 84   67½ 69 (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 17.47  
10  LUNDBERG 6 3 31 42½   88 711½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00 8.08  
7  MAGNIFICENT MILE 4 6 21 63¾   78 812 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00 1.83  
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN               (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00    
SCR  KUPP               (moquett r)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
SCR  PAPA ALDEN               (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  VIGANO               (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.