Handicappers' Racing Form

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Churchill Downs
Saturday - May 13, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

CD-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
CD-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-3   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-4   Win (1/11/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-5   Win (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-6   Win (3/1/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-7   Win (9/11/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-8   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
CD-9   Win (6/10/11/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
CD-10   Win (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
CD-11   Win (1/12/11/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
CD-1   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA VILLAGE LUMIERE Apr20 Mar25 Feb23     (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 5.00    
WITS AND WAGERS Apr07 Feb04 Dec23 Nov26 Oct20 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 2.50 39% 1.60    
MISS ANALYZED Feb24 Jan29       (jones larry)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 10.00    
TOFFEE Apr13 Feb25 Jan26 Apr23 Mar13 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 125 3.00 32% 2.10    
IZABELLABELLA Apr28         (netherwood su)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
GRACEFUL UNION Mar25 Feb04 Dec31 Sep18   (devaux cher)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  WING AND A PLAYER Mar23 Mar02       (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 118 5.00    
 
CD-2   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($72K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEGAN'S CLARA Mar25 Feb26 May30 Apr08 Mar25 (casse norm)SANTANA JR 123 1.80    
CRACKALACKING Mar25 Mar02 Jan13 Oct07 Sep15 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 12.00    
LOVE OF MY LIFE Mar23 Feb05 Dec14 Nov17 Oct21 (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 5.00    
LA V. Mar05 Feb20 Jan06 Oct22 Aug14 (wong jonathan)COHEN DAVID 123 3.50 64% 0.60    
MY MY MUNNY Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb08 Jan11 (garcia gen)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.50    
JE SUIS RAPIDE May02 Apr19 Apr01 Feb25 Jan20 (king l)MOJICA JR 123 20.00    
SUPER RENEE Apr08 Feb19 Nov26 Oct23 Oct07 (stidham mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00 8% 11.20    
 
CD-3   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($66K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOARING BIRD Apr19 Mar10 Feb09 Jan01 Dec11 (garcia gen)RODRIGUEZ A 115 3.00    
TAPAGE Mar04 Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 Oct26 (sharp joe)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SLAM DUNK SERMON Apr15 Mar23 Mar10 Jan14 Dec30 (vance thom)SANTANA JR 120 4.50 43% 1.30    
AMERICAN PURE Apr16 Mar12 Jan28 Dec18 Nov03 (o'dwyer jere)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.00    
BLUE KENTUCKY Apr20 Feb17 Jan18 Jan01 Nov19 (sims p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
SOLIDIFY May04 Mar31 Mar10 Jan27 Dec21 (cano munoz)NAVAS YOEL 113 5.00 6% 15.90    
ATTA BOY ANTHONY Jan27 Dec31 Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 (andrade hug)CORREA L 118 20.00    
 
CD-4   05/13/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST SAY SO Apr19 Jan16 Sep14 Jul31   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
MASTERFUL MEG Apr19         (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 15.00    
STRATEGERIZED Mar19         (devaux cheri)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Apr21 Mar11 Feb11     (maker michael )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 10.00    
OKAY FINE Apr19 Feb12 Jan05 Nov26 Oct30 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
EM KAT         (matejka pav)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 20.00    
STAY LOST Apr19 Nov26 Oct16 Sep08 Aug07 (casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.50 10% 9.40    
CECILE (IRE) Feb11 Nov16       (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
GLAMOUR ANNA Apr23         (navarrete anna)BEJARANO R 118 20.00    
10  VANISHED         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
11  EXHIBIT HALL Apr01 Mar02 Jan01 Nov23   (lobo paulo)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 24% 3.20    
12  EVIE'S ENCORE         (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
SCR  BAG LADY         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
SCR  MILLION DOLLAR CAT         (arnold r)GRAHAM J 118 12.00    
SCR  CALLIE'S GRIT Apr19 Sep03 Jul31     (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
SCR  SRI LANKA Jan29 Dec11       (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00    
 
CD-5   05/13/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIGITAL Mar26 Feb18 Jan15 Nov12 Sep30 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
MYSTIC NIGHT Apr30 Apr02 Mar18 Feb25 Jan21 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50    
MOBSTER GUN Apr23 May12 Apr15 Feb16   (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 3.00    
TEST PILOT Apr21 Feb28 Jan21 Dec28 Nov23 (cano juan )RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  PLOT THE DOTS Mar19 Mar03 Feb18 Feb05 Jan21 (cash l)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 19% 4.40    
HUGE BIGLY Apr16 Jan08 Dec30 Nov24 Oct16 (diodoro rob)TORRES A 118 3.50    
LORD CAPTAIN Feb23 Feb03 Jan13 Nov25 Oct27 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
 
CD-6   05/13/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEARTBREAKER Apr12 Jun17 May21     (d'amato phili)GUTIERREZ REYLU 123 4.00 17% 4.90    
RAYMOND Apr19 Mar19 Mar03 Oct31 Oct05 (barkley jason)GRAHAM J 123 10.00    
FLOKI'S FLIGHT Mar30 Jan07 Nov27 Nov09 Sep25 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 123 3.50 33% 2.00    
CHARGING AERO Apr21 Mar15 Jan29 Jan01 Jul17 (rodriguez darien)SAEZ LUIS 123 4.50 12% 7.50    
RAM Apr16 Mar31 Mar17 Feb18 Feb19 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 5.00    
LUCKY BOSS Apr02 Mar10 Nov24 Oct28 Oct08 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 15.00    
INVISIBLE WAR Apr19 Mar26 Mar09 Feb11 Jan20 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 123 8.00 17% 5.00    
GUNTOWN Apr22 Mar26 Feb25 Jan29 Dec31 (asmussen ste)GAFFALIONE TYLER 123 3.00    
 
CD-7   05/13/2023 7260ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRENDING Mar30 Mar05 Jun30 Jun03 Apr10 (mcgaughey ii)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
F FIVE Apr12 Dec23 Nov19     (lynch a)GRAHAM J 124 10.00    
FOWLER BLUE Mar25 Jul09 May30 May08 Apr17 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 20.00    
COURAGEOUSLY Mar02 Feb04 Aug20 Jul24 Jun09 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 20.00    
READ ON Apr21 Mar31 Jan27 Nov13 Oct15 (romans dale)GARCIA MARTIN 118 20.00    
BOLD LOOKER Apr19 Mar10 Feb17 Jan11 Dec17 (wilkes r)NAVAS YOEL 117 20.00    
PRINCELY Apr19 Mar19 Nov12 Sep28 Sep15 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
ALWAYS ABOVE Apr19 Nov04 Oct09 Sep05 Jul27 (nihei michelle)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 6.00    
JARREAU Apr12 Sep05 Jul27 Jun18 May22 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
10  BOSQUE REDONDO Mar22 Feb17 Dec28     (claire alexi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
11  POLICY OPTION Apr26 Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00 12% 7.60    
SCR  FOREIGN RELATIONS Apr19 Mar10 Feb16 Jan25 Dec17 (murphy cono)LEPAROUX R 124 3.50    
13  SILENT STEVE Apr19 Mar17 Feb24     (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00    
SCR  SHINNECOCK HILLS Feb26 Jan15 Dec16 Nov02 Feb19 (brennan terry)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 30.00    
SCR  EL AHIJADO Apr19 Mar30 Mar04 Dec30 Dec02 (guerrero sal)MARCANO Y 117 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN TEXT Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Sep20 Sep07 (ennis john)MACHADO LUAN 124 30.00    
 
CD-8   05/13/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($75K) Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SINGLE RULER Mar25 Feb18 Jan21 Dec26 Dec08 (desormeaux keit)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50    
SEVEN FLAT Apr26 Jun30 May26 Apr07 Jan29 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 124 8.00    
CRUMP Apr15 Mar26 Feb25 Jan06 Dec15 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 52% 0.90    
JR'S GIFT Apr12 Mar02 Feb17 Feb03 Jan20 (andrade hug)CORREA L 124 30.00    
TEPEU Apr15 Oct01 Aug13 Jul01 Jun05 (walsh bren)SANTANA JR 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
COSTA TERRA Apr01 Mar03 Mar27 Feb26 Jan29 (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 4.50 13% 6.50    
TRIPLE ELVIS Mar30 Dec31 Oct29 Aug15 Jun26 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00    
AMERICAN ICON May03 Apr21 Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 (vasquez sr)COURT K 124 30.00    
WAKE SURF Dec15 Oct26 Oct12 Sep08 Aug06 (arnold george )LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00    
 
CD-9   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELL SPENT Aug05 Jun24 May29 Apr16 Mar06 (combs bentley)GARCIA MARTIN 121 12.00    
SCR  TOP GUN GIRL Apr15 Nov20 Sep14 Aug08   (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 116 6.00    
FAST GISELLE Apr26 Apr01 Mar09 Feb18 Jan28 (galindo-torres cli)NAVAS YOEL 114 20.00    
SOMEBODY'S PROBLEM Apr01 Oct28 Aug26 Aug07 Jul01 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 116 8.00    
YOUR SO SILLEA Apr15 Mar16 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 (sims a)GILLIGAN JACK 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
PORTILLA Jan14 Dec03 Nov06 Sep23 Aug07 (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 121 4.50 41% 1.50    
MY KENTUCKY GIRL Apr15 Mar16 Jan04 Nov21 Oct29 (wong jonat)SANTANA JR 121 20.00    
STREET JAM Apr15 Mar24 Jan26 Dec14 Oct07 (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 121 15.00    
LOVE OF MY HEART Jun25 May05 Mar19 Jan29   (forster grant)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 12.00    
10  MOUFFY Apr22 Feb20 Jan08     (thomas jonatha)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 12.00 19% 4.40    
11  ADALINE JULIA Mar31 Jan21 Dec30 Oct26   (diodoro rob)TORRES A 121 8.00 7% 13.10    
12  IRONIC TWIST Apr15 Feb18 Mar06 Jan29   (glatt mark)TALAMO JOSEPH 121 5.00 7% 13.20    
 
CD-10   05/13/2023 3630ft TURF RC11 FIRM William Walker Purse ($225K) 3 ALL PT- 5:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GILCREASE Apr08 Feb25 Aug07     (stall m)LANERIE J 118 15.00 11% 7.80    
GASLIGHT DANCER Apr16 Nov04 Oct09 Sep03 Aug13 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.00 27% 2.60    
TWO OF A KIND Apr16 Mar18 Feb04 Jan01 Jun09 (lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 6.00    
CHIRINGO Apr16 Mar11 Dec11 Nov05 Oct13 (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
NO NAY HUDSON (IRE) Apr16 Nov05 Oct09 Aug19 Jun09 (ward a)GRAHAM J 118 6.00    
CRISPY CAT (GB) Apr16 Mar25 Mar10     (delgado jo)SANTANA JR 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
PRIVATE CREED Apr16 Feb18 Jan28 Nov04 Oct09 (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
AH JEEZ Dec30 Dec04 Nov11 Oct09 Oct02 (o'neill doug)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 15.00    
 
CD-11   05/13/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($100K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL Apr21 Apr01 Nov24 Oct23   (asmussen steve)CASTILLO ISAAC 118 4.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  PAPA ALDEN Apr16         (kerrick lacy)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00    
SCR  VIGANO Apr08 Mar03 Apr16 Mar13 Jan28 (zito p)BEJARANO R 124 15.00    
LIBERTY'S HAULER Dec26 Oct07       (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
OWN THE FIELD Nov23 Aug31       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00    
SCR  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Mar19 Feb11 Jan14 Dec19 Nov19 (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Apr18 Mar25 Feb03 Dec11 Oct30 (contreras c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 5.00    
SCR  KUPP Mar12 Feb18 Jan28 Nov13 Sep17 (moquett ron)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
ALILNALOT Mar24 Feb25       (catalano way)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 8.00 9% 10.10    
10  LUNDBERG Apr08 Mar12 Apr07 Feb26   (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 6.00    
11  LUPO'S LEGACY Apr13 Mar12 Oct29 Oct16 Sep15 (rodriguez dar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 9% 9.60    
12  PATTON'S WAR Apr21 Mar18       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.