The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Keeneland
Sunday - April 23, 2023

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KEE-1   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
:244 :493 1:144 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING'S OVATION 5 6 2 2 2½ 1nk 1(romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.00 39% 1.60 1.11 W
FIELDSTONE 1 1 44 3 1½ 2nk 2(claire alexis)LANERIE J 124 3.50 16% 5.20 3.21 P
JOB SECURITY 3 4 5 43 4 33 3(pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00 19.54  
HE'S GOT THIS 4 7 7 5 5 4412 (mckeever and)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 23% 3.30 3.33  
ROGUE ELEMENT 2 2 34 6 6 5512½ (hiles a)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 7.74  
DROP ANCHOR 7 3 1 1 31 6620 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 20.24  
MR. PETERKIN 6 5 6 7 76 710¾ 722½ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 23.91  
 
KEE-2   04/23/2023 3630ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
:212 :444 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SECRET MONEY 12 7 8 5   31 1¾ (walsh p)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.96 W
COWICHAN (IRE) 5 3 33 32   2nk 2¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 32% 2.10 1.44 P
L J'S EMMA 9 5 5 42   1nk 3(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 16.26  
ALL I WANT IS YOU 1 8 43 64   64 4(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 9.28  
11  SNOW PRINCESS 11 2 7 7   75(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 4.94  
SANDRA D 4 6 6 86   86(margolis ste)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 16.87  
AGENT 2 12 1211¼ 1210½   97(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 28.03  
HARTFUL HOPE 8 10 9 9   1086 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 10% 9.20 19.71  
POINT WELL TAKEN 3 9 1110¼ 11   129(corrigan ji)HERNANDEZ J 125 50.00 52.60  
GLAMOUR ANNA 6 11 10 10   1110(navarrete anna)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 57.23  
10  RAPUNZELS SONG 10 1 2 2½   51110 (delacruz mejia )MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 17.08  
LITTLE HOT MESS 7 4 1 1½   41210¾ (blair jordan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 37.10  
SCR  ANNA'S ARABESQUE               (bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 11% 8.10    
SCR  RUNAWAY WILLIE               (ward dean)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
 
KEE-3   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
:233 :471 1:124     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORIFIQUE 7 5 53 5   1nk 1(kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 25% 3.10 0.97 W
CENTER STAGE 6 1 42 43   3.2 2(fletcher kevin)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 12.09  
KLIMT'S MUSE 4 6 7 6   63(humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 6.84  
LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 44 (reed r)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 9% 10.40 5.45  
KEEN LADY 5 2 3 31   45(lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.92  
COMMANDANDCONTROL 2 7 63 7   76(corrigan jim)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.34  
DOOIT 1 3 1½ 1nk   5710½ (foster eric)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 23.48  
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR               (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-4   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
:25 :501 1:144 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OLLIEMYBOY 3 5 63 42 4 31¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 9% 9.80 6.98 W
BEAR OAK 5 3 31 3 3 42 2¾ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 45% 1.20 4.90 P
BACKGROUND 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 3¾ (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 1.48  
ORDER AND LAW 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 41 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 4.04  
MOBSTER GUN 6 6 5 6 5 55(sims a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 10% 9.00 5.41  
UNINVITED GUEST 4 4 4 5 6 66 610¾ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 6.17  
 
KEE-5   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
:242 :492 1:14 1:253   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR THE FLAG 2 1 11 11 1½ 11¾ (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 14% 6.40 2.99 W
LILAC GIRL 6 3 6 8 8 32¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 18.40 6.21 P
10  TEQUILERA 9 4 74 9 6 23(matz r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 30% 2.30 5.72 S
FAST AND FLIRTY 1 2 3 3 2½ 44(walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.06  
11  PIONEER'S EDGE 10 7 12 12 7 65(carroll josie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9.60  
12  LAKOTA SPIRIT 11 10 10 73 52 566 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.31  
QUIERO MAS 8 9 11 11 12 107 7(lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 43.80  
BREAKER OF CHAINS 7 11 8 6 11 128 8(weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 27% 2.70 8.27  
FRENCH CUFFS 4 6 42 52 9 89(hernandez rey)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 27.41  
DO YOU LOVE ME 5 5 21 21 4 710(bourke joh)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00 37.74  
14  MINT EDITION 12 12 95 10 10 1111(wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 43.74  
PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) 3 8 5 42 3 91213 (beckman whi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 44.66  
SCR  HELENS WELL (IRE)               (reed r)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  SAKE (FR)               (correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
:223 :461 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE DIXIE 2 6 5 4   33 1(moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10.38  
SAVE YOUR TEARS 1 8 33 33   22(bahena ismael)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.03 P
TESHIMA 4 3 2½ 1½   13(wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 2.50 19% 4.30 0.96 S
PADDY GAL 3 4 6 6   56 4(wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 9.42  
10  MELINOE 8 1 1½ 2½   44 512½ (wilkes ian )LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 6.09  
MIDNIGHT FAVORITE 6 2 43 54   6614½ (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
SPEIGHTSY HOT 5 5 8 7   710 718 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 125 20.00 27.97  
STRONG PROFILE 7 7 7 811   812½ 824 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.11  
SCR  ALLINTHECALL               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  JUBILANT JOANIE               (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   04/23/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
:243 :491 1:133 1:372   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIMITED LIABILITY 6 6 52 64 6 61nk (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 1.07  
BAKWENA 7 5 1½ 2½ 2½ 11 2nk (miller darri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 18.20 5.88 P
ALEX JOON 3 4 31 4 42 31 3½ (schultz lin)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 16% 5.40 2.94 S
BUY ME CANDY 1 2 63 53 53 44(correas ign)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 49% 1.00 5.36 DQ↓6
HIGHESTDISTINCTION 4 3 2½ 1½ 1½ 21 5(medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 25.53  
ENCOURAGE 2 1 4 3 3 56(mcpeek g)COHEN DAVID 118 5.00 16.34  
READY FOR THE LADY 5 7 7 77 7 7711¾ (attfield roger)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 16.12  
 
KEE-8   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
:221 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUMBARUMBA 3 3 21 2½   2nk 1hd (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 7.90 4.75 W
SCOTLAND 5 1 3 31   1nk 2hd (mott i)ORTIZ JR 122 0.60 35% 1.80 0.59 P
B MINOR 4 2 5 54   33(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15.31  
KING'S GLORY 2 4 11 1½   42 4(asmussen steven )ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 33% 2.00 2.39  
SPURS UP 1 5 42 42   59 524½ (mccutchen ro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 50.00 28.32  
 
KEE-9   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:16
:233 :474 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFTER EIGHT 2 1 1 1 11 14 1(delacour arnaud)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 2.26  
FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 4 4 5 53 53 24 2(mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 26% 2.80 3.95 P
TIME TO RACE 8 12 128 128 11 53(nihei michelle)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 66.19  
BOLTORO 9 11 11 10 10 94(casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 9% 9.50 4.91  
GOLDEN RUNNER 5 9 9 9 12 45(hamilton sarah)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 16.03  
12  ROSY TOMORROWS 12 10 10 11 8 76(maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.69  
SUMMERTIME ROSE 6 7 6 7 6 107(sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 11.11  
ASTRILA 3 2 3 32 4 38(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 11.48  
11  MENDED WE STAND 11 6 4 42 21 66 912¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 14.12  
ROYAL BLOOD 7 5 2 2 3 81012¾ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 17.90 32.13  
RED JAG 1 3 8 6 9 118 1114¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 54.67  
10  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 10 8 7 8 7 129 1215½ (mckeever andrew)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 72.04  
SCR  BAG LADY               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
SCR  PENUMBRAS MAKER               (gutierrez f)LEPAROUX R 120 2.50 7% 14.20    
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  THE ARCHANGEL               (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.