Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Keeneland
Sunday - April 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-2   WIN (5/12/14/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  12 $9.92 $1.92 24%
    EXA (5/12/14/8)-(5/12/14/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00  12-5 $16.53 $0.53 3%
KEE-4   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $15.96 $9.96 166%
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $56.29 $50.29 838%
    DD (8/6/4/3)-(5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  8-3 $17.94 $5.94 50%
    PK3 (5/12/14/8)-(8/6/4/3)-(5/6/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  12-8-3 $76.67 $52.67 219%
KEE-5   EXA (10/8/2/6/4)-(10/8/2/6/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-6 $23.03 $3.03 15%
    DD (5/6/3)-(10/8/2/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00  3-2 $65.09 $50.09 334%
    PK3 (8/6/4/3)-(5/6/3)-(10/8/2/6/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00  8-3-2 $49.01 $19.01 63%
    PK4 (5/12/14/8)-(8/6/4/3)-(5/6/3)-(10/8/2/6/4) 240 $0.50 $120  12-4/8-3-2/7/13 $700.08 $580.08 483%
    PK5 (5/4/1)-(5/12/14/8)-(8/6/4/3)-(5/6/3)-(10/8/2/6/4) 720 $0.50 $360  5-12-4/8-3-2/7/13 $1154.44 $794.44 221%
KEE-8   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.50 $5.50 92%
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-5 $11.29 $5.29 88%
Simulator Race results
 
KEE-1   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:144 1:393   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KING'S OVATION 5 6 22½ 21½ 2½ 1nk 14¼ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 1.00 39% 1.60 1.11 W
1  FIELDSTONE 1 1 44 31½ 1½ 2nk 24¼ (claire alexis)LANERIE J 124 3.50 16% 5.20 3.21 P
3  JOB SECURITY 3 4 54½ 43 42½ 33 39¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 20.00 19.54  
4  HE'S GOT THIS 4 7 76¾ 54½ 52½ 43¼ 412 (mckeever a)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 3.00 23% 3.30 3.33  
2  ROGUE ELEMENT 2 2 34 64¾ 65½ 58¼ 512½ (hiles jeff )GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 12.00 7.74  
7  DROP ANCHOR 7 3 12½ 11½ 31 68¼ 620 (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 124 10.00 20.24  
6  MR. PETERKIN 6 5 66½ 75¼ 76 710¾ 722½ (norris mike)BEJARANO R 124 20.00 ★ 23.91  
 
KEE-2   04/23/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:212 :444 :564     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  SECRET MONEY 12 7 86¼ 53½   31 1¾ (walsh brendan)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 23% 3.40 3.96 W
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of AWESOME HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  COWICHAN (IRE) 5 3 33 32   2nk 2¾ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 1.60 32% 2.10 1.44 P
  (by KODIAC (GB) out of SHEHILA by ZAMINDAR)
9  L J'S EMMA 9 5 53½ 42   1nk 32½ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 16.26  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of REALLY AND TRULY by PULPIT)
1  ALL I WANT IS YOU 1 8 43 64   64 43¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 9.28  
  (by THE FACTOR out of CANDY SIOUX by INDIAN CHARLIE)
11  SNOW PRINCESS 11 2 75¾ 74½   74½ 53¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 ★ 4.94  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of CANDY DRAWER by CANDY RIDE)
4  SANDRA D 4 6 65½ 86   84¾ 64¾ (margolis s)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 16.87  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of USUALLY SUPER by UNUSUAL HEAT)
2  AGENT 2 12 1211¼ 1210½   95¼ 75½ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 28.03  
  (by ASTERN out of INTROVERT by SMARTY JONES)
8  HARTFUL HOPE 8 10 97¼ 96½   106¾ 86 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 20.00 10% 9.20 19.71  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SHE'S STYLISH by POSSE)
3  POINT WELL TAKEN 3 9 1110¼ 119½   127¼ 96½ (corrigan )HERNANDEZ J 125 50.00 52.60  
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of FAIR POINT by SMART STRIKE)
6  GLAMOUR ANNA 6 11 108¼ 108½   117¼ 107¼ (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 118 15.00 57.23  
  (by FAST ANNA out of GLAMOUR N GLORY by NEWSPROBE)
10  RAPUNZELS SONG 10 1 21½ 2½   52½ 1110 (delacruz meji)MORALES EDGAR 118 15.00 17.08  
  (by KANTHAROS out of MEETMEONTIME by GENERAL MEETING)
7  LITTLE HOT MESS 7 4 11½ 1½   41½ 1210¾ (blair jordan)ROCCO S 118 20.00 37.10  
  (by ARMY MULE out of FOREVER SUNSHINE by WHITNEY TOWER)
SCR  ANNA'S ARABESQUE               (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CLASSY MUSIC by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
SCR  CALM COOL               (stall m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  LEMON BOMB               (pugh d)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 11% 8.10    
  (by ARMY MULE out of BITTER LEMON by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  RUNAWAY WILLIE               (ward dean)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of WILHELMINA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
 
KEE-3   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($56K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:124     1:30   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  HONORIFIQUE 7 5 53 53½   1nk 12¼ (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.00 25% 3.10 0.97 W
7  CENTER STAGE 6 1 42 43   3.2 22¼ (fletcher kevi)CANNON DECLAN 124 15.00 12.09  
5  KLIMT'S MUSE 4 6 74½ 65½   62¾ 33¼ (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.50 6.84  
3  LUCY'S CAKES FLY 3 4 2½ 2nk   2nk 44 (reed eric)LEPAROUX R 124 10.00 9% 10.40 5.45  
6  KEEN LADY 5 2 31½ 31   41¾ 55¼ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.92  
2  COMMANDANDCONTROL 2 7 63 75¾   76¼ 69½ (corrigan j)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 11.34  
1  DOOIT 1 3 1½ 1nk   52¼ 710½ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 23.48  
SCR  TREASURE OF WAR               (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
 
KEE-4   04/23/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:144 1:401   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  OLLIEMYBOY 3 5 63 42 41¾ 31½ 1¾ (stall m)LANERIE J 118 8.00 9% 9.80 6.98 W
5  BEAR OAK 5 3 31 31½ 31½ 42 2¾ (bahena ismael)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 45% 1.20 4.90 P
1  BACKGROUND 1 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 3¾ (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 118 4.50 1.48  
2  ORDER AND LAW 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 41 (hess b)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 1.80 4.04  
6  MOBSTER GUN 6 6 52½ 62¾ 52¾ 54½ 56¼ (sims a)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 10% 9.00 5.41  
4  UNINVITED GUEST 4 4 41½ 52¼ 62¾ 66 610¾ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 6.17  
 
KEE-5   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($110K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:242 :492 1:14 1:253   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FOR THE FLAG 2 1 11 11 1½ 11½ 1¾ (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 123 4.00 14% 6.40 2.99 W
6  LILAC GIRL 6 3 63½ 83¼ 82¾ 31½ 2¾ (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00 5% 18.40 6.21 P
10  TEQUILERA 9 4 74 93¼ 62¼ 21½ 32½ (matz r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.00 30% 2.30 5.72 S
1  FAST AND FLIRTY 1 2 31½ 31½ 2½ 41¾ 43¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 5.06  
11  PIONEER'S EDGE 10 7 125¾ 124½ 72¾ 64¼ 54½ (carroll josie)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 10.00 9.60  
12  LAKOTA SPIRIT 11 10 105¼ 73 52 52¾ 66 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 5.31  
9  QUIERO MAS 8 9 115¾ 114¼ 125½ 107 76¼ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 30.00 43.80  
8  BREAKER OF CHAINS 7 11 84½ 62½ 115¼ 128 87¾ (weaver george)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 27% 2.70 8.27  
4  FRENCH CUFFS 4 6 42 52 93¼ 86¼ 97¾ (hernandez r)PETERSON FERRIN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 27.41  
5  DO YOU LOVE ME 5 5 21 21 41½ 76¼ 108¼ (bourke j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 50.00 37.74  
14  MINT EDITION 12 12 95 103¾ 104¼ 117½ 118¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 43.74  
3  PRESENT MOMENT (IRE) 3 8 53½ 42 31½ 96½ 1213 (beckman w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 44.66  
SCR  HELENS WELL (IRE)               (reed eric)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
SCR  SAKE (FR)               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:133     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LITTLE DIXIE 2 6 53¼ 43½   33 12¼ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 10.38  
2  SAVE YOUR TEARS 1 8 33 33   22½ 22¼ (bahena ismael)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 4.03 P
5  TESHIMA 4 3 2½ 1½   12½ 33¼ (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 2.50 19% 4.30 0.96 S
4  PADDY GAL 3 4 66¼ 67½   56 43¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 8.00 9.42  
10  MELINOE 8 1 1½ 2½   44 512½ (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 6.09  
7  MIDNIGHT FAVORITE 6 2 43 54   69½ 614½ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 118 30.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
6  SPEIGHTSY HOT 5 5 87¾ 79½   710 718 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 125 20.00 27.97  
8  STRONG PROFILE 7 7 76¾ 811   812½ 824 (mckeever andrew)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.11  
SCR  ALLINTHECALL               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  JUBILANT JOANIE               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00    
 
KEE-7   04/23/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($120K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:133 1:372   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LIMITED LIABILITY 6 6 52 64 63½ 62¼ 1nk (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 1.07  
7  BAKWENA 7 5 1½ 2½ 2½ 11 2nk (miller dar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 5% 18.20 5.88 P
3  ALEX JOON 3 4 31 42½ 42 31 3½ (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 118 3.00 16% 5.40 2.94 S
1  BUY ME CANDY 1 2 63 53 53 41¼ 41¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 49% 1.00 5.36 DQ↓6
4  HIGHESTDISTINCTION 4 3 2½ 1½ 1½ 21 52¼ (medina robert)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 8.00 25.53  
2  ENCOURAGE 2 1 41½ 31½ 31½ 51¾ 62½ (mcpeek kenneth )COHEN DAVID 118 5.00 16.34  
5  READY FOR THE LADY 5 7 76½ 77 77½ 79¼ 711¾ (attfield roge)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 ★ 16.12  
 
KEE-8   04/23/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:221 :453 1:102     1:232   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  TUMBARUMBA 3 3 21 2½   2nk 1hd (lynch a)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00 11% 7.90 4.75 W
5  SCOTLAND 5 1 31½ 31   1nk 2hd (mott william )ORTIZ JR 122 0.60 35% 1.80 0.59 P
4  B MINOR 4 2 54½ 54   31½ 34½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 15.31  
2  KING'S GLORY (GB) 2 4 11 1½   42 49¾ (asmussen steve)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.60 33% 2.00 2.39  
1  SPURS UP 1 5 42 42   59 524½ (mccutchen )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 50.00 28.32  
 
KEE-9   04/23/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:122 1:241   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AFTER EIGHT 2 1 11½ 11½ 11 14 12½ (delacour arnau)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 2.26  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CLASSYDAME by BLAME)
4  FREYDIS THE RED (FR) 4 4 52¾ 53 53 24 22½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 26% 2.80 3.95 P
  (by UNKNOWN out of SONGERIE by ENTICED)
8  TIME TO RACE 8 12 128 128 116¼ 55½ 33¼ (nihei michell)GILLIGAN JACK 120 30.00 66.19  
  (by RACE DAY out of TIME FOR HARLAN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
9  BOLTORO 9 11 115½ 105½ 105¾ 96½ 45¾ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00 9% 9.50 4.91  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
5  GOLDEN RUNNER 5 9 94¾ 95¼ 126¾ 44½ 55¾ (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 16.03  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of GOLD SERENADE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
12  ROSY TOMORROWS 12 10 105¼ 115½ 83¾ 76¼ 66¼ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 5.69  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of RESTLESS SPIRIT by UNKNOWN)
6  SUMMERTIME ROSE 6 7 63¼ 73¾ 63¼ 107½ 78¼ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 11.11  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of MAGICALCARPETRIDE by SMART STRIKE)
3  ASTRILA 3 2 31½ 32 41½ 34½ 89¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 120 12.00 11.48  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of HARBINGEROFTHINGS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
11  MENDED WE STAND 11 6 41¾ 42 21 66 912¼ (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 120 15.00 14.12  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of LADY by MALIBU MOON)
7  ROYAL BLOOD 7 5 21½ 21½ 31½ 86¼ 1012¾ (vaccarezza carlo)BEJARANO R 120 8.00 5% 17.90 32.13  
  (by CARPE DIEM out of LE SANG ROYALE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
1  RED JAG 1 3 83¾ 63½ 94¼ 118 1114¾ (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 15.00 54.67  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of ESSTADISTA by ESSAYONS)
10  MISCHIEVOUS GAL 10 8 73¼ 83¾ 73¼ 129 1215½ (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 120 20.00 72.04  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of ENOUGH by ARCH)
SCR  BAG LADY               (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BAGHDARIA by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  PENUMBRAS MAKER               (gutierrez)LEPAROUX R 120 2.50 7% 14.20    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of BALAYAGE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  TACTICAL JOKE               (ward a)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 30% 2.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of COMPETITION by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  THE ARCHANGEL               (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ARCH'S GAL EDITH by ARCH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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