Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Belterra Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-8   EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-4 $26.10 $14.10 118%
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/1/4)-(7/3/6/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-4-7 $34.50 $16.50 92%
    SFT (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/1/4)-(7/3/6/1/4)-(7/3/6/1/4) 72 $0.10 $7.20  6-4-7-3 $17.05 $9.85 137%

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
See original race card.
:223 :461       :584   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANOTATION 1 2 21 22   1½ 13 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50 1.10  
SOME WOULD SAY 2 3 11 12   2½ 23 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 6.60  
LUCKY LAUREN 3 4 4 3   33 35 (newton troy)FELIX E 123 5.00 25% 3.00 5.70 S
LIVE IT UP 5 1 3 4   46 411¼ (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 118 3.50 16% 5.30 3.50  
ABOUNDING 4 5 54 5   57 513 (cook k)MCKEE J 123 4.50 3.10  
SCR  MY TOMMY LEE               (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
BTP-2   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:142 1:28   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIVE GOD PRAISE 4 6 53 4 44 2 1 (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00 20.10  
BELL CURVE 3 3 1nk 2nk 13 1 2 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 44% 1.30 1.70 P
EL MIC TIESUN 6 2 710 710¾ 7 59 310 (mardif jame)CHIRINOS ROIMES 125 8.00 5% 19.00 15.30 S
ADMIRAL TIM 5 5 3 31 23 3 410½ (newton troy)FELIX E 125 3.50 1.70  
J BOONE 7 1 2nk 1nk 33 4 513¼ (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00 22.50  
MYSTIC MINISTER 1 7 64 6 58 69 618¾ (fletcher )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 8.00 12% 7.60 11.30  
SAMURAI ISLAND 2 4 4 57 6 711 719¾ (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 13% 6.50 2.80  
 
BTP-3   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
See original race card.
:23 :462       :59   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PINKY TUSCADERO 1 1 1nk 13   13 1 (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.00 3.40  
PARTY NEXT DOOR 5 4 31 3   3 2 (wong jonathan)REYES R 125 1.80 48% 1.10 1.00 P
FINAL SURGE 2 2 2nk 23   23 310¼ (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 125 3.50 29% 2.50 2.70 S
LITTLE JUDY B 3 6 6 4   48 415 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 120 5.00 9.10  
PRINCESS TONI 4 3 5 68   511 517¾ (hernandez)CORREA L 119 6.00 33.50  
SHEZADADDYSGIRL 6 5 42 58   613½ 620¼ (anderson susan )REYES FRANK 119 6.00 7.20  
 
BTP-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:22 :451 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAP'S VICTORY 7 3 1½ 13   1 110 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.00 39% 1.60 2.90 W
HENDRIX 4 5 3½ 23   2 210 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00 5.20  
HASTY STRIKE 6 7 79 7   510 311½ (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 8.00 6.80  
KICK ROCKS KID 1 6 5 5   3 413 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 5.00 13% 6.90 4.80  
1A  RURAL 9 1 64 6   611 518 (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 3.50 9% 9.90 2.10  
LEAD ACTOR 5 9 913¼ 914¾   815 619¼ (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 12% 7.10 9.90  
CUPID'S NUMBER 8 4 4 4   4 720½ (rodriquez)CORREA L 119 10.00 6% 17.00 14.60  
GRASSROOTS 3 8 8 812¼   916½ 822¾ (shifflett ch)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00 28.10  
FLY HOME 2 2 2½ 3   712 923¾ (preston randy)FELIX E 125 3.50 2.10  
 
BTP-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:132 1:27   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE OF ST. JOHN 3 1 1½ 1 1 1 1¾ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00 3.00  
RUNAWAY MOM 7 7 66 56 48 2 2¾ (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 2.50 21% 3.70 2.20 P
GORILLA GIRL 4 2 4 4 58 38 39 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 21% 3.70 12.60 S
LIEUTENANT KITTY 5 5 55 67 611½ 614½ 413¾ (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00 8% 11.00 12.10  
MORNING LINE NEWS 2 3 32 3 3 410½ 514 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 6.00 4.70  
PHARIBE 1 4 2½ 2 2 512½ 616½ (smith larry)OUZTS W 115 5.00 14% 6.40 4.50  
NOTREALLYNOTREALLY 6 6 77 712½ 741½ 754½ 7100 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 121 8.00 5.10  
 
BTP-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANA'S GRAY 7 1 11 1   1 1 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00 4.70  
ERV'S WENCH 4 6 6 5   34 2 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 35% 1.90 2.70 P
FUTURE FLAY 6 4 21 2   2 3 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 2.40 S
ANCIENT BROWN 1 7 7 6   46 4 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00 19.10  
JOYFUL NOISE 3 3 3 3   57 5 (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00 9.30  
SUPER LUCY 2 2 54 710½   7 68 (livers ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.00 41% 1.50 3.10  
GENERAL GINNY 5 5 4 4   6 7 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 121 12.00 8.40  
SCR  JOLIE RULER               (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00    
SCR  PELLETIER               (livers ch)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.00    
 
BTP-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
See original race card.
:212 :45 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HATTIE M 3 8 910½ 911¼   4 1 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00 9.20  
BOW DRAW 8 1 88 5   3.2 2 (mardif ja)CORREA L 123 20.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
FRACING NASTY 7 3 2 2   2nk 3 (reed r)FELIX E 123 2.50 3.20 S
ONLY TIME 4 9 7 7   5 49 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 15% 5.50 5.40  
LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS 9 2 1 1   1nk 512¾ (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.50 36% 1.70 8.20  
TABOO HOO 6 7 6 6   7 613¾ (anderso)DE CRUZ 117 10.00 7.50  
CHIPPEWA 2 6 43 34   6 715¾ (wong jonathan)REYES R 117 4.50 20% 4.00 9.70  
PISTOLPACKINPOLLY 1 5 5 8   913¾ 821½ (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 123 12.00 6.10  
CHI TOWN HEAT 5 4 32 48   812¼ 924¼ (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00 18.10  
 
BTP-8   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
See original race card.
:222 :461 :592     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPARE A DIME 5 4 3½ 32   1nk 1 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 6% 15.40 1.70 W
HONEYBELL 3 7 2nk 1nk   3½ 2 (rodriquez re)MARCANO Y 112 4.50 6.90 P
LUCKY CAT TOO 6 5 1nk 2nk   2nk 3 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 63% 0.60 4.00 S
SHRIMPIE 2 2 64 54   43 4 (smith larry)MCKEE J 123 2.50 8% 11.10 1.90  
OLIVIA'S JOY 1 1 5 6   5 5 (acevedo israel)OUZTS W 123 12.00 17.40  
EASY IS GOOD 4 3 78 7   7 610¾ (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 29.70  
MAMITA LINDA 7 6 41 43   6 714¼ (rodriquez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 12.00 8.90  
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS               (grubbs )DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
SCR  SIS BOOM BOB               (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.