Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Friday - April 28, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/6)-(3/2/1/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(5/2) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-2   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(5/2)-(7/2/5/1/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(7/2/5/1/8)-(4/7/1/5) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-4   WIN (7/2/5/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/5/1/8)-(1/7/2/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/5/1/8)-(1/7/2/5/8)-(1/7/2/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5/1/8)-(4/7/1/5)-(1/4) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/7/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5)-(4/7/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/5)-(1/4)-(9/2/4/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/7/3)-(1/4/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(9/2/4/8)-(7/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (9/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/8)-(9/2/4/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/8)-(9/2/4/7/8)-(9/2/4/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/4/8)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTATION Mar18 Mar02 Jan20 Dec30 Aug19 (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50    
2  SOME WOULD SAY Apr10 Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 Sep18 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
3  LUCKY LAUREN Feb16 Nov16 Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 (newton troy)FELIX E 123 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MY TOMMY LEE Mar11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec09 Nov30 (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 4.00 14% 6.20    
5  ABOUNDING Mar18 Mar02 Dec30 Dec02   (cook k)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
6  LIVE IT UP Feb06 Jan13 Aug25 Jul13 Jun28 (shifflett ch)MARCANO Y 118 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
BTP-2   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC MINISTER Aug02 Jul16       (fletcher )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 8.00 12% 7.60    
2  SAMURAI ISLAND Mar31 Mar11 Feb17 Sep20 Aug17 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 4.50 13% 6.50    
3  BELL CURVE Feb15 Jan11       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 44% 1.30    
4  GIVE GOD PRAISE Mar17 Aug27       (bush george)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
5  ADMIRAL TIM Feb22 Feb04 Jan04 Nov30   (newton troy)FELIX E 125 3.50    
6  EL MIC TIESUN Apr12 Feb26 Feb16 Jan22 Jan06 (mardif jame)CHIRINOS ROIMES 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  J BOONE Feb09 Jan26 Dec29 Nov30 Oct11 (sands shane)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 8.00    
 
BTP-3   04/28/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PINKY TUSCADERO Mar18 Feb18 Jan11 Dec07   (smith larry)OUZTS W 119 4.00 ★    
2  FINAL SURGE Mar16 Jul05       (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 125 3.50 29% 2.50    
3  LITTLE JUDY B Mar10         (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 120 5.00    
4  PRINCESS TONI Apr06 Mar19 Mar09 Feb14 Jan11 (hernandez)CORREA L 119 6.00    
5  PARTY NEXT DOOR Mar18 Feb24 Jan27 Feb17   (wong jonathan)REYES R 125 1.80 48% 1.10    
6  SHEZADADDYSGIRL Feb18         (anderson susan )REYES FRANK 119 6.00    
 
BTP-4   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLY HOME Feb22 Oct05 Sep10 Aug16 Jul03 (preston randy)FELIX E 125 3.50 ★    
1A  RURAL Feb22 Jan19 Dec29 Nov30   (preston rand)CALLEJA ANDRES 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
2  KICK ROCKS KID Apr16 Mar23 Mar11 Feb17 Feb04 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 120 5.00 13% 6.90    
3  GRASSROOTS Mar11 Dec03 Nov10 Oct06   (shifflett ch)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00    
4  HENDRIX Mar15 Feb24 Feb03 Jan07 Dec09 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00    
5  LEAD ACTOR Apr01 Mar11 Feb25 Feb08 Jan25 (quezada inoce)CANUTO THIAGO 125 6.00 12% 7.10    
6  HASTY STRIKE Mar23         (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 8.00    
7  HAP'S VICTORY Feb10 Jan28       (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 125 2.00 39% 1.60    
8  CUPID'S NUMBER Mar17 Mar05       (rodriquez)CORREA L 119 10.00 6% 17.00    
 
BTP-5   04/28/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHARIBE Apr06 Mar09 Feb28 Jan20 Jan10 (smith larry)OUZTS W 115 5.00 14% 6.40    
2  MORNING LINE NEWS Mar18 Feb08 Jan13 Dec30 Dec18 (wong jonathan)REYES R 121 6.00    
3  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Mar11 Feb18 Dec29 Dec11 Sep28 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 121 4.00    
4  GORILLA GIRL Apr06 Mar18 Feb01 Apr21 Mar31 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  LIEUTENANT KITTY Apr05 Dec29 Nov22 Nov15 Oct31 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 10.00 8% 11.00    
6  NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Feb18 Jan28 Jan07 Dec11 Nov09 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
7  RUNAWAY MOM Apr13 Mar24 Mar11 Feb15 Jan20 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 2.50 21% 3.70    
 
BTP-6   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER LUCY Mar23 Feb25 Feb10 Mar18 Feb16 (livers ch)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 2.00 41% 1.50    
SCR  PELLETIER Mar17 Feb10 Jan28 Dec31 Dec15 (livers ch)BETANCOURT RONNEY 121 2.00    
2  ANCIENT BROWN Apr15 Mar18 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 121 20.00    
3  JOYFUL NOISE Apr15 Dec08 Nov03 Oct25 Sep23 (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00 ★    
4  ERV'S WENCH Apr11 Mar02 Jan20 Dec06 Nov23 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.50 35% 1.90    
5  GENERAL GINNY Jan20 Jan09 Dec08 Nov30 Nov02 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 121 12.00    
SCR  JOLIE RULER Apr02 Mar01 Feb06 Dec31 Dec18 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00 ★    
7  FUTURE FLAY Feb25 Jan25 Dec30 Nov28 Oct22 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 4.50 ★    
8  NANA'S GRAY Apr11 Mar18 Mar04 Jan19 Dec15 (baez sergio)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 5.00    
 
BTP-7   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PISTOLPACKINPOLLY Mar30 Feb22 Jan11 Nov20 Jun11 (martinez matth)AYALA ISAIAS 123 12.00    
2  CHIPPEWA Feb23 Jan18 Jul31 Jul17 Jun25 (wong jonathan)REYES R 117 4.50 20% 4.00    
3  HATTIE M Feb22 Jan18 Nov30 Nov10 Sep30 (huffman pat)CANUTO THIAGO 123 6.00    
4  ONLY TIME Apr08 Mar09 Feb23 Feb01 Jan14 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00 15% 5.50    
5  CHI TOWN HEAT Apr08 Mar09 Feb01 Jan01 Dec02 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 117 15.00    
6  TABOO HOO Mar29 Mar10 Jan24 Dec07   (anderso)DE CRUZ 117 10.00    
7  FRACING NASTY Mar13 Jan19 Jun02 May21 Apr02 (reed r)FELIX E 123 2.50 ★    
8  BOW DRAW Mar26 Feb25 Feb12 Jan14 Dec30 (mardif ja)CORREA L 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Apr03 Mar21 Mar08 Oct05 Sep14 (smith larry)OUZTS W 117 3.50 36% 1.70    
 
BTP-8   04/28/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIS BOOM BOB Mar13 Feb09 Feb01 Dec28 Nov30 (esquivel jesu)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 12.00 ★    
2  OLIVIA'S JOY Apr10 Mar21 Mar08 Feb24 Jan04 (acevedo israel)OUZTS W 123 12.00    
3  SHRIMPIE Apr05 Mar18 Feb25 Feb09 Jan12 (smith larry)MCKEE J 123 2.50 8% 11.10    
4  HONEYBELL Apr03 Feb18       (rodriquez re)MARCANO Y 112 4.50 ★    
5  EASY IS GOOD Feb01 Jan13 Dec28 Oct11 Sep22 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
6  SPARE A DIME Mar16 Feb22 Jan12 Dec16 Nov09 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 5.00 6% 15.40    
7  LUCKY CAT TOO Apr05 Mar24 Mar04 Feb11 Jan27 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 63% 0.60    
SCR  DREAMING ALWAYS Apr19 Mar18 Jan12 Dec07 Nov02 (grubbs )DE CRUZ 117 8.00    
9  MAMITA LINDA Mar24 Mar11 Jan06 Dec22 Dec04 (rodriquez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.