Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MVR-2   Win (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
MVR-3   Win (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $4.00  
MVR-4   Win (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $5.40  
MVR-5   Win (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.40 $5.40  
MVR-6   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-7   Win (6/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
MVR-8   Win (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $39.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED ONCE MORE 4 1 3 1nk   13 1 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 22% 3.60 1.90 W
AMAAZA 7 2 1 2nk   23 2 (silva pablo)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.30 2.10 P
ERV'S WENCH 3 7 711¼ 6   36 3 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 27% 2.80 6.10 S
DUXONTHEPOND 2 6 6 7   7 48 (forster t)RIVERA R 124 6.00 10.10  
NANA'S GRAY 1 4 2 44   6 5 (baez ser)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7.30  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 5 5 54 5   5 6 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 11% 8.10 7.10  
MISS OVER THERE 6 3 43 31   46 7 (mannin)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 9.70  
 
MVR-2   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATOMIC TONE 5 1 1½ 11   1 1 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.50 31% 2.20 1.20 W
COYOTE ROAD 4 4 31 31   34 2 (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 1.80  
DOCTOR WU 2 2 41 4   2 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 21% 3.90 4.40 S
FALCONS FURY 3 3 2½ 21   45 46 (wilson jr)DIAZ I 124 6.00 11.30  
ETHAN'S ANIMAL 1 5 55 5   512 513¾ (short tra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00 24% 3.20 5.30  
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM               (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.50    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:261 :51 1:162 1:292   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANSENATION 2 3 1½ 1 11 1 1½ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.50 1.00  
BIG OHIO 5 1 6 6 3 3 2½ (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 3.70 P
HONOR THE D 8 5 3 3 21 2 34 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 35% 1.90 2.90 S
BEST OF YOU 1 4 5 4 45 4 4 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.90 8.30  
MONSTER HUNTER 4 6 4 5 5 510 512 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 9.10  
CAPTAIN RILEY 7 7 7 7 6 714 613½ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 23.80  
HEIDI'S SINATRA 3 8 8 8 811½ 613 714 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 77.30  
PLATE IT UP 6 2 2½ 2 710½ 816½ 819 (gonzalez donac)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 63.40  
 
MVR-4   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATIO PARTY 1 2 11 13   14 1 (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 1.70  
O CIGANO 5 3 4 23   24 2 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 8.00 9.80  
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 4 6 6 5   3 311¾ (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 34% 1.90 1.40 S
LORD OF LEGENDS 7 5 54 6   6 412¼ (buhrow d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 6.20  
JULIE'S FERRARI 3 1 21 33   4 515 (welsh r)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 11% 7.90 5.40  
BLUEBANK 6 7 712¼ 713¼   713¼ 615 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 22.30  
HEY SACH 2 4 31 44   5 716 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00 63.30  
 
MVR-5   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:231 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICHOLAS JAMES 1 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 8% 11.60 1.70 W
CHROMED IMPULSE 2 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 2 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 5.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
GRAND DEAL 6 5 56 55   3 3 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8.60  
GIANNIS 4 2 42 33   45 4 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 21% 3.70 2.70  
SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN 3 3 3 44   58 514¼ (wong jon)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5.30  
UNCLEJACKOMO 5 6 6 67   611 614¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 24.90  
SCR  MASTER               (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  WAR NOVEL               (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-6   04/11/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:122 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRST CITIZEN 1 1 1 11 1 1 14 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 18% 4.50 0.80 W
JOHN'S ROCK 2 3 32 31 2 2 24 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 3.40  
COMPLY (NZ) 5 4 43 5 66 3 37 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 6.00 30% 2.30 12.20 S
SOUND OFF 3 6 611½ 6 56 68 412½ (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 123 3.50 21% 3.70 7.50  
HUNTER SCOTT 6 5 5 4 43 58 512½ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 6.30  
NIGHT TIME RULER 4 2 2 21 32 47 613 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 118 4.50 6.80  
 
MVR-7   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIVIS 7 6 6 5   32 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 35% 1.80 0.90 W
WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 1 12   1 2 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 12.20 5.00 P
R THREE ANGELS 8 3 4 43   43 37 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 2.50 29% 2.40 1.90 S
A SMILE A DAY 3 4 2 22   2 47 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 40.00  
POWER BANKER 4 5 3 33   59 512½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 4.00 10.20  
DANCIN' ROSIE 6 2 5 6   612 613½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 8.00 5% 18.10 16.80  
1A  TOTALLY OBSESSED 2 8 7 713½   712 713¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 34.80  
CALI DREAM 1 7 8 813¾   814½ 820 (johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 118 10.00 34.80  
 
MVR-8   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:24 :471 1:131 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBO KITTEN 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 18.90  
SAKONNA 4 9 814½ 715 5 2 2 (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 P
DATTTSAFANCYFOX 7 8 714 615 4 38 310½ (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 19.60 S
ALSANAH 9 1 613 816 911¼ 413 412 (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 6.80  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 6 5 916 917 810¼ 514 512¼ (gonzalez alejan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 56.00  
QIA 8 2 49 512 6 615½ 627 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 117 10.00 26.40  
IRON BERTIE 1 4 2½ 23 3 815¾ 728¾ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 38.10  
FREE LOVE 2 6 1½ 13 2 715½ 829½ (lopez el)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 1.60  
AYY LADIES 5 7 510 410½ 7 917¼ 932½ (west m)PEREZ E 117 5.00 16% 5.40 7.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.