The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - April 11, 2023
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MVR-1   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
:231 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LOADED ONCE MORE 4 1 32½ 1nk   13 14¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 22% 3.60 1.90 W
7  AMAAZA 7 2 12½ 2nk   23 24¼ (silva pablo)DIAZ I 124 3.50 14% 6.30 2.10 P
3  ERV'S WENCH 3 7 711¼ 64¼   36 35½ (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 5.00 27% 2.80 6.10 S
2  DUXONTHEPOND 2 6 64¼ 75¼   78¾ 48 (forster t)RIVERA R 124 6.00 10.10  
1  NANA'S GRAY 1 4 22½ 44   66¾ 58¾ (baez ser)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 7.30  
5  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 5 5 54 54¼   56½ 68¾ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 4.00 11% 8.10 7.10  
6  MISS OVER THERE 6 3 43 31   46 78¾ (mannin)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 9.70  
 
MVR-2   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
:233 :47 :584     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ATOMIC TONE 5 1 1½ 11   13½ 14½ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.50 31% 2.20 1.20 W
5  COYOTE ROAD 4 4 31 31   34 24½ (hernande)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 1.80  
2  DOCTOR WU 2 2 41 41½   23½ 34¾ (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 21% 3.90 4.40 S
3  FALCONS FURY 3 3 2½ 21   45 46 (wilson jr)DIAZ I 124 6.00 11.30  
1  ETHAN'S ANIMAL 1 5 55 55½   512 513¾ (short tra)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 5.00 24% 3.20 5.30  
SCR  ATLANTIC FIRESTORM               (pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 3.50    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:261 :51 1:162 1:292   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HANSENATION 2 3 1½ 11½ 11 12½ 1½ (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 124 4.50 1.00  
5  BIG OHIO 5 1 63¼ 63¾ 32½ 32½ 2½ (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 37% 1.70 3.70 P
8  HONOR THE D 8 5 31½ 31½ 21 22½ 34 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.00 35% 1.90 2.90 S
1  BEST OF YOU 1 4 51¾ 42½ 45 46½ 47¾ (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 119 10.00 5% 18.90 8.30  
4  MONSTER HUNTER 4 6 41½ 52¾ 56½ 510 512 (faulkner c)VELEZ J 124 6.00 ★ 9.10  
7  CAPTAIN RILEY 7 7 74¾ 76¼ 69½ 714 613½ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 23.80  
3  HEIDI'S SINATRA 3 8 86¾ 86¾ 811½ 613 714 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 77.30  
6  PLATE IT UP 6 2 2½ 21½ 710½ 816½ 819 (gonzalez donac)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 63.40  
 
MVR-4   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:23 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATIO PARTY 1 2 11 13   14 15½ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 ★ 1.70  
5  O CIGANO 5 3 41½ 23   24 25½ (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 8.00 9.80  
4  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 4 6 64¼ 54¼   35½ 311¾ (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.80 34% 1.90 1.40 S
7  LORD OF LEGENDS 7 5 54 64¼   66¼ 412¼ (buhrow d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 32% 2.10 6.20  
3  JULIE'S FERRARI 3 1 21 33   45½ 515 (welsh r)HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 11% 7.90 5.40  
6  BLUEBANK 6 7 712¼ 713¼   713¼ 615 (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 12.00 22.30  
2  HEY SACH 2 4 31 44   55¾ 716 (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00 63.30  
 
MVR-5   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:231 :462 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICHOLAS JAMES 1 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 13¾ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 8% 11.60 1.70 W
3  CHROMED IMPULSE 2 1 1nk 2nk   2½ 23¾ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 5.00 29% 2.40 2.40 P
8  GRAND DEAL 6 5 56 55   34½ 35¾ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 10.00 8.60  
6  GIANNIS 4 2 42 33   45 46¼ (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 21% 3.70 2.70  
5  SHIRLEY'S SHERMAN 3 3 31½ 44   58 514¼ (wong jon)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5.30  
7  UNCLEJACKOMO 5 6 66½ 67   611 614¼ (faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 15.00 24.90  
SCR  MASTER               (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  WAR NOVEL               (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-6   04/11/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
:24 :473 1:122 1:382   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST CITIZEN 1 1 11½ 11 11½ 11½ 14 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 118 2.50 18% 4.50 0.80 W
2  JOHN'S ROCK 2 3 32 31 21½ 21½ 24 (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 3.40  
5  COMPLY 5 4 43 53¼ 66 35½ 37 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 6.00 30% 2.30 12.20 S
3  SOUND OFF 3 6 611½ 67¼ 56 68 412½ (sandoval michael)PELTROCHE F 123 3.50 21% 3.70 7.50  
6  HUNTER SCOTT 6 5 53½ 41¼ 43 58 512½ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 6.30  
4  NIGHT TIME RULER 4 2 21½ 21 32 47 613 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 118 4.50 6.80  
 
MVR-7   04/11/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($40.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:223 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TIVIS 7 6 66¼ 56½   32 11¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 35% 1.80 0.90 W
4  WINE ME UP BABY 5 1 11½ 12   11½ 21¾ (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 5.00 8% 12.20 5.00 P
7  R THREE ANGELS 8 3 42½ 43   43 37 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 126 2.50 29% 2.40 1.90 S
2  A SMILE A DAY 3 4 21½ 22   21½ 47 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 12.00 40.00  
3  POWER BANKER 4 5 32½ 33   59 512½ (cline c)ROSARIO L 123 4.00 10.20  
5  DANCIN' ROSIE 6 2 52¾ 68½   612 613½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 123 8.00 5% 18.10 16.80  
1A  TOTALLY OBSESSED 2 8 76¾ 713½   712 713¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 10.00 34.80  
1  CALI DREAM 1 7 89¾ 813¾   814½ 820 (johnson l)TAPARA BRANDON 118 10.00 34.80  
 
MVR-8   04/11/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:24 :471 1:131 1:263   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MAMBO KITTEN 3 3 35½ 36½ 13½ 16½ 12½ (andrade hugo)MARCANO Y 119 8.00 18.90  
4  SAKONNA 4 9 814½ 715 55½ 26½ 22½ (fadlovich megan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.40 P
7  DATTTSAFANCYFOX 7 8 714 615 45½ 38 310½ (suarez ja)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 ★ 19.60 S
9  ALSANAH 9 1 613 816 911¼ 413 412 (rone penny)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 ★ 6.80  
6  PACIFIC GROVE 6 5 916 917 810¼ 514 512¼ (gonzalez alejan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 56.00  
8  QIA 8 2 49 512 65¾ 615½ 627 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 117 10.00 26.40  
1  IRON BERTIE 1 4 2½ 23 34½ 815¾ 728¾ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 38.10  
2  FREE LOVE 2 6 1½ 13 23½ 715½ 829½ (lopez el)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 1.60  
5  AYY LADIES 5 7 510 410½ 76¾ 917¼ 932½ (west m)PEREZ E 117 5.00 16% 5.40 7.50  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.