The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - April 06, 2023

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MVR-1   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:233 :593       1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENDIPITOUS 3 3 1½ 1½   12 1(hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 13% 6.80 1.30 W
VICTORY DIVISION 1 5 32 3   22 2(gorham m)BRACHO A 124 3.00 38% 1.60 3.00 P
ACCURATE 4 2 42 44   46 310 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40 3.00 S
COUNTRY RUCKUS 5 1 2½ 2½   33 411¼ (maddox rachael)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 2.60  
WHISKEY HELPS 2 4 5 58   511 520¾ (salcedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 28.20  
SCR  DANCE MOVES               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:234 :474 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO GIRL 4 1 12 1½   11(hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 20% 4.10 0.40 W
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 5 2 22 2½   22(bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 1.60 P
MY TWO JAKES 2 3 44 45   4314¼ (radosevich jake)TOLEDO S 119 10.00 14.90  
MISS IRISH ZIP 3 4 3 3   3416 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 12.90  
SWEET RED ROZAY 1 5 54 57   510½ 520½ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 126 15.00 27.40  
SCR  GHOSTLY REVIVAL               (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
SCR  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE               (ruberto v)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.20 54% 0.90    
 
MVR-3   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:224 :46 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAY BALL 1 3 1½ 1   12 1(patterso)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 20% 4.00 3.50 W
LITTLE BLAKER 2 2 2½ 2   22 2(rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 30% 2.30 2.70 P
ROSCO P. COLTRANE 3 5 42 3   33(romero a)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00 10.10  
GALACTIC 5 1 31 4   44 4(ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 15% 5.80 0.70  
PAT'S KARMA 4 4 5 5   58 513¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 13.20  
SCR  GOING WITH STYLE               (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
 
MVR-4   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:234 :482 1:004     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEEKENDING 1 3 11 1nk   1nk 1¼ (gorham m)DIAZ I 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.90 W
TITEBLUEJEANS 3 2 21 2nk   2nk 2¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 3.50 2.20 P
FABULOUS CLOWN 4 1 33 31   33 3(faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 17% 5.00 1.90 S
PUNCHCORN 2 4 45 46   417 434½ (bayley rand)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00 15.20  
SCR  BOLD NICKY               (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 10.00    
SCR  HONEYBEE STINGS               (bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00    
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 10% 8.90    
 
MVR-5   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
:231 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHOW SLIDING HOME 3 4 2 1nk   1nk 1½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 11% 8.40 1.30 W
RONNI'S STORM 2 1 1 2nk   2nk 2½ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 5% 19.00 1.60 P
OFTEN ENOUGH 1 6 66 4   34 3(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 8.00 5.90 S
BUCKEYE RUCKUS 4 3 4 3   45 48 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00 4.10  
JOES A ROCKIN 6 2 3 5   59 518¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 16.30  
ONE CRAZY RIDE 5 5 5 69   613 624½ (brown )SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 28.70  
SCR  BLACKTIEANDTUX               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
SCR  CAPTAIN RILEY               (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY               (dacosta jas)BRICENO M 126 2.00 54% 0.80    
SCR  HANSENATION               (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 20.00    
SCR  HENRY THE CAT               (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 15.00    
SCR  OAKEN               (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 10% 9.00    
 
MVR-6   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
:243 :474 1:131 1:261   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHAT'S SO FUNNY 1 4 11 11 11 14 1(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 20% 4.10 2.50 W
CHORIST 5 2 46 33 3 24 2(vecc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 1.70  
GRAY ROYALITY 6 1 21 21 21 34 310¼ (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 6.40  
PHARIBE 3 3 35 4 47 48 413½ (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00 4.80  
AUCTION FEVER 7 7 69 6 58 511 516¼ (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 10.00 6% 15.90 4.50  
ADMONISH 4 6 714½ 713½ 713½ 613½ 616½ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 12.70  
PEACH BELLINI 2 5 58 56 612½ 718½ 733¼ (norris)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00 38.40  
SCR  LADY MECHANIC               (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00    
SCR  SUSPICIOUS MINDS               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-7   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:25 :482 1:141 1:273   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERO'S DAUGHTER 1 6 1½ 11 1nk 1½ 1¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 43% 1.30 3.70 W
YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA 5 2 32 3 2nk 2½ 2¼ (short tho)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 8.30  
I MATTER 4 4 5 4 3 32 3(gorham m)DIAZ I 126 3.50 21% 3.70 6.20 S
GORILLA GIRL 3 5 44 5 5 44(smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 1.00  
NELL'S BELLS 7 3 710 7 6 67 57 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 6.20  
IRON WILMA 2 1 2½ 21 43 56(fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 53.30  
SUPER SURGE 6 7 66 6 7 712 716 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 10.00 7.10  
 
MVR-8   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:04
:224 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEDIA DARLING 6 1 12 12   15 111¼ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 34% 1.90 0.50 W
WETZEL 3 4 22 22   25 211¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 120 6.00 6.40 P
NEED TO KNOW BASIS 5 2 5 5   4315 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 9.80 S
CAVALETTO 2 3 32 36   3415½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00 14.60  
K KID 4 6 65 6   510 516 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 118 8.00 24.50  
GRAND ISLE 1 5 43 46   610¼ 624½ (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.00 35% 1.90 3.20  
SCR  BRONZE KETTLE               (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 12.00    
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE               (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 20.00    
 
MVR-9   04/06/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 4:34
:223 :464       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 7 1 11 11   1½ 1(langley joshua)RIVERA R 122 6.00 4.00  
DANZING CHICK 3 3 21 3   2½ 2(dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.00 51% 1.00 0.90 P
SMARTY PANTS 2 5 32 21   33(norris)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 10.00 11.90  
JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 5 4 64 6   610 4(faulkner )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 22.60  
ONTOTHENEXT 6 2 42 4   45(evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 122 12.00 25.10  
CAJUN HEIR 1 7 7 53   59 612¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 10% 9.30 2.10  
WILL VIRGINIA DARE 4 6 53 75   714 719¾ (decker a)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00 22.80  
SCR  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY               (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.