Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 06, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(6)-(3/2/6) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
MVR-2   WIN (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (6)-(6/5/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (6)-(6/5/7)-(6/5/7) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
    DD (6)-(3/2/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (6)-(3/2/6)-(1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(1/7)-(1/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-4   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/5)-(2/9) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-5   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(2/9)-(1/4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/9)-(2/9/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/9)-(2/9/5)-(2/9/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/9)-(1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/9)-(1/4)-(2/8) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4)-(1/4/3/6)-(1/4/3/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/8)-(3/1) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/8)-(2/8/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8)-(2/8/6/4)-(2/8/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/8)-(3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MVR-9   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(3/1/8)-(3/1/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DANCE MOVES Mar21 Feb27 Dec19 Sep20 Sep08 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
2  VICTORY DIVISION Mar14 Mar02 Jan17 Nov22 Oct14 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 124 3.00 38% 1.60    
3  WHISKEY HELPS Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 (salced)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
4  SERENDIPITOUS Mar22 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Oct22 (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 124 2.50 13% 6.80    
5  ACCURATE Mar22 Mar06 Feb01 Aug30 Aug17 (yoder d)RIVERA R 124 4.00 18% 4.40    
6  COUNTRY RUCKUS Mar22 Mar06 Feb15 Jan17 Dec29 (maddox racha)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00    
 
MVR-2   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEENOFTHEBUCKEYE Mar09 Nov07       (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 121 1.20 54% 0.90    
  (by DARK KESTREL out of BUCKLER by CONCERTO)
2  SWEET RED ROZAY May24 Apr28 Apr16     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 126 15.00    
  (by ANIMO DE VALEROSO out of SWEET TESSA MARIE by EL CORREDOR)
3  MY TWO JAKES Mar16 Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02 (radosevich ja)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of CLEVELAND by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Mar16 Mar09 Feb14     (romero a)HOUGHTON D 119 8.00    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of HOT TUB HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
5  MISS IRISH ZIP Dec19         (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 ★    
  (by MARLIN PASS out of IRISH JAY by POLITICAL FORCE)
6  GO GIRL Nov12 Oct29 Sep29 Sep14 Aug31 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of GO GO TAMMY by TIZNOW)
7  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Mar27 Mar09 Feb23 Feb06 Sep14 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00 ★    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of FLARING STAR by TAP DAY)
 
MVR-3   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOING WITH STYLE Mar30 Feb28 Dec18 Nov19 Oct28 (young r)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50    
2  PLAY BALL Mar09 Feb28 Jan26 Dec12 Dec01 (patter)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 20% 4.00    
3  LITTLE BLAKER Mar20 Feb20 Feb02 Dec27 Dec12 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
4  ROSCO P. COLTRANE Mar22 Mar09 Feb02 Jan26 Dec12 (romero jose )TERRAZA GERMAN 119 5.00    
5  PAT'S KARMA Mar09 Jan26 Jan10 Dec03 Nov12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
6  GALACTIC Mar09 Jan26 Dec08 Nov28 Jul18 (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 126 3.00 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-4   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEEKENDING Mar27 Mar09 Feb06 Dec27 Dec13 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of CAPE FOG by CAPE TOWN)
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD Mar27 Mar09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 6.00 10% 8.90    
  (by KISS THE KID out of PAIGE'S SNIP IT by NEW WORLD ORDER)
3  PUNCHCORN Mar09 Feb06       (bayley ra)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 12.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PUNCHLINE STORY by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  BOLD NICKY Mar27 Mar16 Mar09 Nov21 Nov07 (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 10.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of WEST POINT STAR by STAR DABBLER)
5  TITEBLUEJEANS Mar27 Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 3.50 ★    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of RANSOM BRIDE by RUNAWAY GROOM)
SCR  HONEYBEE STINGS Mar16 Feb15 Jan26     (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of LAVENDER PATCH by ARTIE SCHILLER)
7  FABULOUS CLOWN Mar27 Mar06 Jul05 Jun22   (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 119 2.50 17% 5.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of JACKIEOSOFABULOUS by KAHUNA JACK)
 
MVR-5   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SHOW SLIDING HOME Mar22 Feb21 Jan10 Dec03 Oct29 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 11% 8.40    
SCR  BLACKTIEANDTUX Mar22 Oct04 Sep05 Aug02 Jun06 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50    
2  JOES A ROCKIN Mar23 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 15.00    
SCR  CAPTAIN RILEY Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Nov03 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 15.00    
SCR  OAKEN Mar23 Mar09 Feb21 Jan26 Dec27 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 126 4.00 10% 9.00    
4  OFTEN ENOUGH Mar23 Mar14 Feb21 Nov03 Sep29 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 8.00 ★    
5  RONNI'S STORM Mar23 Feb15 Feb02 Jan16 Dec31 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HENRY THE CAT Mar23 Feb22 Jan16 Dec27 Sep06 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 126 15.00    
SCR  GOLDEN MONEY Mar23 Feb22 Feb02 Dec12 May03 (dacosta j)BRICENO M 126 2.00 54% 0.80    
8  BUCKEYE RUCKUS Mar14 Feb21 Feb02 Nov28 Nov03 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 12.00    
9  ONE CRAZY RIDE Mar23 Mar08 Feb21 Feb09 Jan17 (brow)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00    
SCR  HANSENATION Mar22 Mar09 Feb20 Feb02 Sep01 (juarez lorenzo)RIVERA R 126 20.00    
 
MVR-6   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LADY MECHANIC Feb23 Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec11 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 ★    
2  WHAT'S SO FUNNY Mar28 Feb14 Feb01 Dec14 Nov22 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  PEACH BELLINI Feb09 Jan30 Jan03 Dec05 Nov28 (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 20.00    
4  PHARIBE Mar09 Feb28 Jan20 Jan10 Oct22 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 119 4.00    
5  ADMONISH Mar15 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 Nov12 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 ★    
6  CHORIST Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan05 Dec22 (ve)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50    
7  GRAY ROYALITY Mar14 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Dec13 (st david)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
SCR  SUSPICIOUS MINDS Mar22 Mar09 Jan24 Jan05 Dec08 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.00 46% 1.20    
9  AUCTION FEVER Sep28 Sep01 Aug18 Jul20   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 10.00 6% 15.90    
 
MVR-7   04/06/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERO'S DAUGHTER Mar22 Mar13 Feb20 Feb01 Jan24 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 43% 1.30    
2  IRON WILMA Mar27 Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Jan30 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
3  GORILLA GIRL Mar18 Feb01 Apr21 Mar31 Mar11 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 ★    
4  I MATTER Mar22 Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  YOUDEVILYOUCECILIA Mar18 Jan06 Dec21 Nov09 Oct18 (short t)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00    
6  SUPER SURGE Mar24 Mar11 Oct04 Aug20 Aug02 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 10.00 ★    
7  NELL'S BELLS Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Dec11 Nov29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   04/06/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Howard Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAN'S CHOICE Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan26 Dec24 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 20.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of ROLLIN LIKE SHOBIZ by NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ)
2  GRAND ISLE Oct29 Aug13 Jul22 Jul12 Jun29 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GRAND MERE by BOB AND JOHN)
3  CAVALETTO Feb09 Jan04 Dec03 Nov01 Oct12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 10.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of CAVALLERIA by LANGFUHR)
4  WETZEL Nov30 Nov01 Oct10     (cline c)PEREZ E 120 6.00 ★    
  (by KLIMT out of FEISTY TOMBOY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  K KID Dec30 Dec22 Oct29 Oct12   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of FLIGHT ELEVEN by MIDAS EYES)
6  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Oct29 Aug18 Jul12 Jun01   (hamm ti)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 3.50 ★    
  (by OVERANALYZE out of STARTIN SOMETHING by MUSICAL DREAMER)
SCR  BRONZE KETTLE Mar02 Feb14       (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 12.00    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of PRINCESS CLAIRE by FREE THINKING)
8  MEDIA DARLING Feb16 Dec30 Dec19     (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DARK DARLING by READY'S IMAGE)
 
MVR-9   04/06/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 4:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAJUN HEIR         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of ELITE HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  SMARTY PANTS Mar21 Feb09       (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 122 10.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  DANZING CHICK Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 2.00 51% 1.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
4  WILL VIRGINIA DARE Feb01 Jan05       (decker)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 4.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of WILL GRACIE SHINE by WILL HE SHINE)
SCR  I'MHEREFORTHEPARTY Feb23 Aug10       (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
  (by BLAME out of FASHION BRAND by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Mar21 Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
7  ONTOTHENEXT Mar18 Feb18 Jan26 Jan11 Dec29 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 122 12.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of JULIA'S PRIDE by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Mar21 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct13 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 122 6.00 ★    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HOT MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.