Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - March 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.60  
MVR-2   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-3   Win (9/7/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
MVR-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-5   Win (11/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $2.80  
MVR-6   Win (5/1/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.80 $5.80  
MVR-7   Win (7/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $7.40  
MVR-8   Win (6/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $6.80  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:52 1:171 1:433   1:473   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AWESOME D J 4 4 43 3 3 3.2 1 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00 1.30  
BALTIC FLEET 5 1 21 2nk 2nk 2nk 2 (gomez alejandr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 15% 5.60 14.80 P
AULD LANGE SYNE 1 3 11 1nk 1nk 1nk 3 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00 6.90  
ENJOY BASEBALL 2 5 5 5 42 4 4 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 1.80 30% 2.40 1.50  
CALL WEST 3 2 32 4 5 5 513 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 30% 2.30 3.70  
SCR  GALTERO               (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 6.00    
 
MVR-2   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH UNITY 2 2 2 2½   11 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 5.00 1.00 W
THRU THE VINE 5 4 3 3   3 2 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 26% 2.90 2.00 P
DOCTOR WU 3 3 46 4   21 3 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 11.80 S
MAS CHIKILIN 4 5 510 56   46 410¼ (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 28% 2.50 6.50  
EMPEROROFTHEDARK 1 1 1 1½   5 517¼ (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 3.90  
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK               (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
 
MVR-3   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:004     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOGIE BOOGEE 5 1 1nk 1½   14 1 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 12% 7.30 1.30 W
NOT A WILD BRAT 6 6 2nk 3½   24 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 15.00 9% 10.50 16.50 P
BISCAYNE BAY 2 5 3.2 42   4 39 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00 7.20  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 8 4 4 2½   34 4 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 29% 2.40 2.00  
PROPHETESS 1 8 6 7   56 511½ (bird danny)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10% 9.00 12.50  
PISTOL PACKIN BOS 4 7 5 54   6 613¾ (hurley l)PAUCAR E 124 15.00 12.70  
BEEBLEGEE 3 2 8 6   7 713¾ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 12.00 48.30  
CUT RATES 7 3 7 8100   8100 8100 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 15% 5.70 7.40  
SCR  SARAH JANE               (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
 
MVR-4   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:15 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEBULOSA 2 6 21 14 13 14 1 (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 3.50 10% 9.20 1.00 W
SAMMY DA BULL 5 4 510 411½ 69 3 2 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 6.00 13.90 P
SERVE REVENGE COLD 1 1 11 24 23 24 3 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 45% 1.20 3.10 S
STONE COLD CAT 4 2 48 511½ 48 59 47 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 2.90  
DEER CREEK ROAD 3 3 3 311 37 48 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50 17.00  
KISSINGER 6 5 611 612½ 59 613 616 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 7.10  
 
MVR-5   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:01     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR CUPID 1 5 5 4   1 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50 0.40  
SPEEDY FIRE 3 1 2½ 1nk   2 2 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 12.00 5.90  
MARIMBA 2 2 4 31   33 3 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00 18.70  
10  V K STAR 7 4 3 5   5 4 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 6.00 3.70  
MAGESTAL BASTIDA 4 7 711½ 710¾   610½ 5 (silva fernando)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 31.50  
TERRIFIC LADY 5 3 1½ 2nk   4 6 (robillard julie)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00 15.40  
IRON WILMA 6 6 6 6   712½ 714¾ (fiesman l)RIVERA R 124 20.00 33.00  
SCR  DAYS REMEMBERED               (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 10% 9.40    
SCR  GREGS POSSE               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS               (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
SCR  RAINYS GIRL               (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-6   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:232 :471 :593     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OVER THE HILLS 1 3 11 1   15 1 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 19% 4.10 1.90 W
NOT A GAME 5 2 21 2   25 2 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50 3.70  
REINSURE 3 1 54 3   35 3 (zielinski ric)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 8.00 10.00 S
STRIKE A BEAT 2 4 32 4   4 4 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 18% 4.70 9.10  
KING'S MISCHIEF 4 5 43 5   5 515½ (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 2.00 28% 2.60 1.00  
SCR  JULIE'S FERRARI               (welsh r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
SCR  O CIGANO               (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
SCR  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY               (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50    
 
MVR-7   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALICED 1 5 4 32   2½ 1 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00 2.70  
J L'S ROCKETTE 3 1 11 11   1½ 2 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00 1.30 P
MAKESCENTSTOUS 4 2 21 21   32 3 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 4.00 26% 2.90 3.80 S
SHEISTHEHERO 2 4 5 5   48 410¼ (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 10.00 13.30  
PURITY 5 3 31 4   59 515¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 2.50 26% 2.80 3.00  
SCR  PULPIT'S PURRFECT               (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
SCR  TEMPLEMENT               (van meter)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
 
MVR-8   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS VALENTINA 3 1 13 12   16 1 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00 2.40  
TITEBLUEJEANS 4 2 54 4   4 2 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 10.00 17.60 P
WEEKENDING 5 8 7 6   5 33 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 3.50 46% 1.20 4.20 S
FABULOUS CLOWN 6 5 23 32   36 4 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 8.00 15% 5.60 5.70  
KISS THE RED HEAD 8 4 3 22   26 5 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 12.00 6% 16.20 18.00  
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 7 3 4 56   612 6 (bird danny)HOUGHTON D 113 2.50 3.80  
MISS MARY JEAN 1 7 9 97   713 710½ (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00 25.40  
BOLD NICKY 2 6 8 8   814½ 817 (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 20.00 57.40  
10  CATALINA 9 9 6 7   932½ 941¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ R 118 4.50 8% 11.50 3.40  
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE               (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.