Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - March 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-2   Win (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-3   Win (9/7/5/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
MVR-4   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-5   Win NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00
MVR-6   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
MVR-7   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
MVR-8   Win (6/7/10/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   03/27/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AULD LANGE SYNE Mar07 Feb27 Dec30 Nov29 Oct28 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00    
ENJOY BASEBALL Mar13 Feb08 Jan16 Jan02 Dec20 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 1.80 30% 2.40    
CALL WEST Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Nov30 Oct11 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  GALTERO Nov07 Oct24 Sep29 Sep19 Sep05 (morale)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 6.00    
AWESOME D J Mar04 Feb18 Jan11 Dec29 Aug24 (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 126 2.00    
BALTIC FLEET Mar20 Feb21 Feb15 Jan23 Sep05 (gomez alejandr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-2   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Feb23 Dec07 Nov24 Nov02 Oct26 (treharne)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50    
IRISH UNITY Feb23 Feb08 Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 5.00    
SCR  TRAGICALLY QUEWICK Feb20 Jan23 Jan09 Nov28 Nov09 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 4.50    
DOCTOR WU Feb21 Jan30 Jan16 Dec13 Nov11 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
MAS CHIKILIN Mar02 Feb07 Jan09 Nov07 Oct22 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 28% 2.50    
THRU THE VINE Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec08 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-3   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PROPHETESS Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 Dec30 Dec13 (bird danny)DIAZ I 124 10.00 10% 9.00    
BISCAYNE BAY Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Dec05 Sep26 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00    
BEEBLEGEE Mar16 Feb28 Feb08 Jan16 Dec05 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 12.00    
PISTOL PACKIN BOS Jan26 Dec21 Nov29 Nov03 Sep21 (hurley l)PAUCAR E 124 15.00    
BOOGIE BOOGEE Mar08 Feb16 Jan28 Jan05 Dec13 (huff)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.50 12% 7.30    
NOT A WILD BRAT Feb08 Dec01 Oct31 Sep26 Sep14 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 15.00 9% 10.50    
CUT RATES Mar16 Mar06 Jan26 Jan16 Apr28 (trevino stephen)CEDILLO MAURO 121 4.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  SARAH JANE Mar16 Feb16 Jan16 Dec13 Oct11 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00    
NORTHERN JOURNEY Mar16 Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 29% 2.40    
 
MVR-4   03/27/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERVE REVENGE COLD Mar09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov22 Oct24 (urieta johanna)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
NEBULOSA Feb13 Jan28 Jan17 Dec22 Dec06 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 10% 9.20    
DEER CREEK ROAD Feb20 Jan11 Dec21 Nov15 Oct31 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.50    
STONE COLD CAT Mar09 Feb09 Jan26 Jan11 Dec21 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50    
SAMMY DA BULL Feb20 Feb09 Jan11 Dec12 Nov15 (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 6.00    
KISSINGER Mar09 Feb21 Feb13 Feb02 Dec21 (johnson )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME FOR CUPID Mar08 Feb20 Feb06 Dec30 Dec15 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 4.50    
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 7% 12.40    
MARIMBA Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 Dec28 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 12.00    
SCR  GREGS POSSE Feb27 Feb01 Jan02 Nov28 Nov18 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
SPEEDY FIRE Mar13 Jan24 Jan02 Dec07 Nov22 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 12.00    
MAGESTAL BASTIDA Oct22 Oct06 Sep22     (silva fer)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 20.00    
SCR  DAYS REMEMBERED Feb27 Feb01 Jan19 Dec31 Nov23 (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 10% 9.40    
TERRIFIC LADY Mar13 Dec05 Nov06 Oct17 Oct03 (robillard julie)HOUGHTON D 124 15.00    
IRON WILMA Mar13 Feb22 Feb06 Jan30 Jan09 (fiesman l)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
10  V K STAR Feb27 Jan24 Jan02 Sep22 Aug15 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 6.00    
SCR  RAINYS GIRL         (west aaro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 2.50 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-6   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OVER THE HILLS Mar08 Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 Jul07 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
SCR  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Mar16 Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 Nov17 (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 2.50    
SCR  O CIGANO Mar20 Mar02 Jan18 Dec21 Sep27 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 15.00    
STRIKE A BEAT Mar08 Feb07 Jan19 Jan02 Dec07 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 18% 4.70    
REINSURE Mar08 Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
KING'S MISCHIEF Nov18 Oct13 Sep25 Aug25 Aug11 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  JULIE'S FERRARI Feb20 Feb01 Jan19 Jan02 Dec11 (welsh r)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 9% 10.10    
NOT A GAME Mar08 Feb20 Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALICED Mar15 Jan31 Aug06 Jul13 Jun25 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 8.00    
SCR  TEMPLEMENT Feb20 Jan31 Jan04 Nov15 Oct24 (van meter)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 6.00 13% 6.90    
SHEISTHEHERO Feb28 Jan31 Jan07 Nov22 Nov01 (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 123 10.00    
SCR  PULPIT'S PURRFECT Feb28 Jan31 Nov21 Sep07 Aug06 (galloway khadeem)DIAZ I 123 4.50 10% 9.20    
J L'S ROCKETTE Feb28 Jan10 Nov07 Sep25 Aug02 (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.00    
MAKESCENTSTOUS Feb28 Nov15 Oct24 Sep16 Aug15 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
PURITY Nov21 Sep07 Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 (rone penny)RIVERA R 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
MVR-8   03/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS MARY JEAN Mar09         (urieta jo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
BOLD NICKY Mar16 Mar09 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22 (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 20.00    
SCR  VAMONOS PIACENTE Feb20 Sep29 Aug31 Aug15   (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 118 20.00    
KISS VALENTINA Mar09 Feb20 Dec27 Dec13   (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
TITEBLUEJEANS Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec06 (rone penny)RIVERA R 126 10.00    
WEEKENDING Mar09 Feb06 Dec27 Dec13   (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 3.50 46% 1.20    
FABULOUS CLOWN Mar06 Jul05 Jun22     (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 8.00 15% 5.60    
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Mar09 Feb23 Feb06 Sep14 Aug31 (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 113 2.50    
KISS THE RED HEAD Mar09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 Sep14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 12.00 6% 16.20    
10  CATALINA Mar09         (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 118 4.50 8% 11.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.