Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-2   EXA (6/1/4/2)-(1/6/4/2/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-2 $139.00 $107.00 334%
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(1/6/4/2/3)-(1/6/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00  6-2-4 $98.05 $74.05 309%
    SFT (6/1/4/2)-(1/6/4/2/3)-(1/6/4/2/3)-(1/6/4/2/3) 96 $0.10 $9.60  6-2-4-1 $54.34 $44.74 466%
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $12.40 $6.40 107%
    EXA (4/1/3)-(1/4/3/2/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $32.60 $8.60 36%
    TRI (4/1/3)-(1/4/3/2/7)-(1/4/3/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-1-4 $22.95 $4.95 28%
    SFT (4/1/3)-(1/4/3/2/7)-(1/4/3/2/7)-(1/4/3/2/7) 72 $0.10 $7.20  3-1-4-7 $12.06 $4.86 68%
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(4/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-3 $25.40 $1.40 6%
    PK3 (4/6)-(6/1/4/2)-(4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1/3/4-6-3 $24.25 $12.25 102%
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $12.60 $2.60 26%
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $8.20 $2.20 37%
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $35.40 $11.40 48%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131 1:262   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MODUS 2 2 21 21 1 14 1 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60 0.30  
GOLDEN CHELLA 3 3 11 11 2 24 2 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 6.00 1.90  
AWESOME BREAK 1 1 35 35 3 39 319½ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 6.10 S
SCR  BUDDHA BOY               (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50    
SCR  INSACIABLE PRINCE               (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 63% 0.60    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE               (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 5% 17.90    
 
MVR-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIDDEN RULER 7 2 4 3   33 1¼ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 43% 1.30 3.10 W
YO BERBS 1 7 33 2   12 2¼ (brown t)RIVERA R 124 10.00 6% 15.10 37.80 P
CALL WEST 5 1 5 69   6 3 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 13% 6.80 3.20 S
QIAN B C 2 5 710½ 5   43 4 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 15% 5.80 2.40  
READY TO MARCH 3 3 1 1   22 54 (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 1.40  
AREYOUTALKINGTOME 6 6 6 710   7 6 (welsh r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 41.80  
1A  W W KAN DO 4 4 2 43   5 7 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 2.40  
 
MVR-3   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY FORTUNE 2 7 4 31   11 1¼ (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 2.50 11% 7.70 5.20 W
1A  CAN I GO TOO 4 4 7 7   21 2¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 31% 2.20 1.10  
LARSA 3 5 2½ 4   4 35 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 37% 1.70 1.80 S
EASTER PRIDE 7 2 6 5   6 4 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 7.40  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 5 1 3½ 2nk   5 5 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 56.10  
MILWAUKEE CAT 6 3 5 6   7 6 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 22.00  
WAR MOON 1 6 1½ 1nk   31 7 (doering mark)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 15.20  
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED               (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80    
 
MVR-4   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUNVEGAN DOLL 4 6 63 3   22 11 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 4.20  
AWESOMELY SHY 1 5 1nk 1   12 21 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50 2.70  
NO CHALK 5 1 4 5   43 3 (iorio jr)PEREZ E 124 3.00 20% 4.10 1.50 S
ADMAA 6 3 52 6   6 4 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 10.40  
MIND YOUR OWN 3 4 31 42   5 5 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 45% 1.20 3.80  
SILVER STICK STAIR 2 2 2nk 2   33 67 (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 13.90  
 
MVR-5   03/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:223 :464       1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPICE IT UP 5 4 5 2   1nk 1 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.30 W
AFERDITA 7 5 6 7   4 2 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.50 4.00  
BAREBACK FUN 1 2 1nk 1   2nk 3 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 25% 3.00 2.60 S
SWEET QUEEN BEE 3 7 7 6   3.2 4 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 31% 2.20 3.20  
10  FLOWZANO 8 1 3½ 4   5 5 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 15.00 11.50  
SASSY JUSTICE 4 8 8 8   6 66 (treharne dav)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 11.60  
CEVICHE 2 3 2nk 5   7 7 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00 39.40  
DIVINE MARTHA 6 6 4¾ 3   8 8 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 4.80  
SCR  CANDY'S DREAM               (swingley duwa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
 
MVR-6   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:252 :49 1:14 1:271   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BEE 4 5 4 4 4 4 1 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 6.20  
MALICED 7 7 5 5 3½ 1nk 2 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 17% 4.80 8.60 P
POWER BANKER 1 2 3 3.2 1nk 3.2 3 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 5.00 10.90  
R THREE ANGELS 3 3 2½ 2nk 2nk 2nk 4 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.20 0.50  
CONTENT (IRE) 6 6 6 6 66 6 510 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.50 3.90  
SPECIAL BEACH 2 1 1½ 1nk 54 5 613¾ (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 34.00  
GLACKEN'S CAUSE 5 4 76 7 714 718¼ 738½ (wallace kevin)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 25.90  
 
MVR-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:231 :464 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICHOLAS JAMES 6 7 55 6   34 1nk (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 20.40  
CONSIDER ME 8 1 2 2nk   2nk 2nk (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 6.00 10.60  
SCRATCHOFF 4 2 1 1nk   1nk 3½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 48% 1.10 2.10 S
SUPER BROTHER 5 3 6 5   4 4 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 6% 15.50 4.40  
ABKER 2 4 3 4   5 58 (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 116 3.00 20% 4.00 1.10  
1A  PRETTY LOUD 7 6 712½ 7   7 6 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 37.00  
FISHING FOR FUN 1 5 4 32   6 711 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 8.30  
BARELYSTILLCOUNTS 3 8 812¾ 814¾   816¾ 823½ (gomez alejandro)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 37.00  
 
MVR-8   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:254 :501 1:153 1:284   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONNET 1 2 12 11 11 2½ 1¼ (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.50 21% 3.70 3.10 W
MOBIL CHIC 6 4 43 21 21 1½ 2¼ (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 21% 3.80 3.90 P
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 3 7 7 76 6 4 3 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00 10.20  
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 4 3 3 42 3 32 4 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 3.00 25% 2.90 2.30  
CROSSED UP 5 5 5 5 4 5 5 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 4.10  
DANZA MAGIC 7 1 22 31 5 66 610¾ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 5.70  
STATE OF GRACE 2 6 6 6 7 78 712 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00 18.40  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.