Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/2)-(1/6/4/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/2)-(1/6/4/2/3)-(1/6/4/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/4/2)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/2)-(4/1/3)-(3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/3/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/3/2/7)-(4/3/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/5)-(4/1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/6/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/6/2/4)-(3/5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(4/1/7)-(3/6/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/6/7)-(4/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7/4/2)-(3/6/7/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(4/3/5)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5/6/2)-(4/3/5/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/7/5)-(4/1/6/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BUDDHA BOY Feb22 Jan12 Dec24 Nov26 Oct29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 2.50 ★    
2  AWESOME BREAK Feb16 Jan23 Jan12 Dec28 Dec14 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 ★    
3  MODUS Jan22 Dec28 Nov26     (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.60 ★    
SCR  INSACIABLE PRINCE Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Nov29 Nov02 (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 3.00 63% 0.60    
5  GOLDEN CHELLA Feb22 Feb08       (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 6.00    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 Nov29 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 5% 17.90    
 
MVR-2   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QIAN B C Mar02 Jan19 Jan02 Nov26 Nov10 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 15% 5.80    
1A  W W KAN DO Jan24 Nov18 Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 ★    
2  YO BERBS Feb09 Jan24 Jan05 Sep27 Sep12 (brown t)RIVERA R 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
3  READY TO MARCH Feb07 Jan28 Dec28 Dec10 Nov20 (poole m)CEDILLO MAURO 119 1.80 ★    
4  CALL WEST Mar02 Feb09 Nov30 Oct11 Sep27 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 13% 6.80    
5  AREYOUTALKINGTOME Feb21 Feb02 Jan24 Dec06 Nov23 (welsh r)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00    
6  HIDDEN RULER Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
MVR-3   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  CAN I GO TOO Mar02 Feb15 Jan23 May25 Apr25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 31% 2.20    
SCR  DOUBLE EDGED Dec21 Nov23 Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 1.80 ★    
2  WAR MOON Feb23 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 (doering mark)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 ★    
3  LADY FORTUNE Feb13 Jan24 Dec19 Dec12 Nov28 (zielinski ri)AYALA J 124 2.50 11% 7.70    
4  LARSA Feb23 Aug13 Jul27 Jul12 May24 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec07 (vickers rich)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
6  MILWAUKEE CAT Feb23 Feb07 Jan04 Aug12 Jul26 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
7  EASTER PRIDE Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Jan04 Dec22 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-4   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOMELY SHY Feb14 Jan09 Dec08 Oct26 Sep15 (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.50    
2  SILVER STICK STAIR Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 (acevedo israe)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
3  MIND YOUR OWN Jan28 Dec13 Nov30 Oct02 Sep09 (delong)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  DUNVEGAN DOLL Feb20 Sep08 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 ★    
5  NO CHALK Sep02 Aug15 Jul04 May27 May02 (iorio jr)PEREZ E 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
6  ADMAA Jan24 Oct31 Oct04 Jul08 Jun08 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   03/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAREBACK FUN Feb20 Jan28 Jan04 Dec08 Dec02 (urieta )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  CEVICHE Feb02 Jan04 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 (casa)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
SCR  LOADED ONCE MORE Mar01 Feb15 Jan28 Jan11 Jan02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 10% 9.00    
4  SWEET QUEEN BEE Feb20 Jun06 May23 Apr11 Mar14 (fadlovich meg)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  CANDY'S DREAM Aug11 Jul27 Jul18 Jun29 Jun09 (swingley duwa)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SASSY JUSTICE Nov01 Oct18 Sep13 Aug30 Aug14 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 10.00    
7  SPICE IT UP Feb02 Dec19 Nov15 Oct24 Sep26 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  DIVINE MARTHA Nov01 Oct19 Sep25 Aug16 Jul13 (trehar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
9  AFERDITA Feb20 Dec19 Nov09 Oct14 Sep20 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
10  FLOWZANO Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Nov30 Nov19 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER BANKER Feb14 Jan18 Dec30 Nov16 Nov03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 5.00    
2  SPECIAL BEACH Feb15 Jan09 Dec28 Dec19 Nov03 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 ★    
3  R THREE ANGELS Feb14 Jan18 Nov21 Oct29 Oct04 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
4  HAPPY BEE Feb06 Dec28 Nov19 Aug09 Jul27 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 124 4.50 ★    
5  GLACKEN'S CAUSE Mar02 Aug02 Jun18 May31 Apr08 (wallace kevin)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
6  CONTENT (IRE) Feb20 Feb02 Dec06 Nov15 Nov01 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 28% 2.50    
7  MALICED Jan31 Aug06 Jul13 Jun25 Apr26 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-7   03/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARELYSTILLCOUNTS Nov15 Oct30 Oct23 Oct09 Aug23 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 20.00    
1A  PRETTY LOUD Mar06 Feb16 Feb06 Jan23 Jan11 (gomez alejan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
2  FISHING FOR FUN Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 Dec09 Dec01 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
3  ABKER Feb14 Jan11       (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 116 3.00 20% 4.00    
4  SCRATCHOFF Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec30 Nov10 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  SUPER BROTHER Feb23 Feb08 Jan18 Dec21 Jul28 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 6% 15.50    
6  NICHOLAS JAMES Feb23 Jan29 Dec31 Dec02 Nov05 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 8.00 ★    
7  CONSIDER ME Feb23 Jan13 Nov30 Nov17 Nov08 (lopez jacinto)DIAZ I 124 6.00    
 
MVR-8   03/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SONNET Oct18 Sep27 Jul13 May10 Apr09 (rotunno)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 2.50 21% 3.70    
2  STATE OF GRACE Feb15 Jan17 Dec12 Nov23 Nov08 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 15.00    
3  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Feb15 Feb06 Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 124 10.00    
4  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Mar02 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 Dec03 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
5  CROSSED UP Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 Dec31 Dec11 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 6.00 ★    
6  MOBIL CHIC Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Dec30 Dec20 (zielinski ric)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
7  DANZA MAGIC Feb23 Jan23 Jan10 Dec29 Dec08 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.