Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
MVR-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.60 $3.60  
MVR-3   Win (5/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.60 $6.60  
MVR-4   Win (7/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
MVR-5   Win (3/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $13.40 $13.40 3.40
MVR-6   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 0.40
MVR-7   Win (7/2/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $17.40 $17.40 7.40
MVR-8   Win (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:152 1:281   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PERLA NERA 2 2 22 23 2 1½ 1 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 1.40 49% 1.00 0.30 W
TESHIMA 5 4 12 13 1 2½ 2 (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.80 4.00 P
PARTY AT GRANTS 4 5 3 34 3 3 3 (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.50 12% 7.00 9.30 S
SISTER CODE 1 1 5 55 410½ 414½ 429 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 6% 15.30 6.10  
DINAH JO 3 3 44 44 511 519½ 541¾ (anderson l)PEREZ E 122 10.00 41.70  
 
MVR-2   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :482       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI ROYALTY 4 3 1nk 1nk   13 1 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.50 19% 4.40 0.80 W
BOLD NICKY 2 2 4 4   33 2 (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 6.00 17.60  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 3 1 2nk 3.2   23 310¾ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 8% 11.70 4.90 S
MY TWO JAKES 1 5 5 5   510 416 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 118 5.00 3.00  
HONEYBEE STINGS 5 4 3.2 2nk   47 522¾ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 3.90  
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:161 1:292   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TAMANRASSETT 2 2 11 1nk 11 1 1 (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 11% 8.30 2.30 W
GOOD IDEA 5 1 32 31 31 3 2 (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.00 29% 2.50 0.50 P
WISE KHOZAN 4 3 21 2nk 21 2 3 (brown gl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 17.40  
ROSAS WAY 6 6 44 4 5 44 47 (calderon )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 5.80  
OPEN OUT 3 4 5 5 4 5 59 (londono j)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 14.60  
IMTHEPRINCE 1 5 6 610½ 6 6 611½ (radosevich justin)RIVERA R 124 4.00 2.30  
SCR  OLA QUE TAL               (weymes andr)BRICENO M 119 20.00 9% 9.60    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:232 :48       1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ELLIE 6 1 12 1   17 19 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 2.00 44% 1.30 0.90 W
LADYBUGGIN 5 3 22 2   27 29 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 13% 7.00 6.00 P
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 4 6 4 47   4 311 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 12.00 23.10  
WICKED REESE 3 2 3 37   3 414 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 11.40  
OHIO LADY 2 5 66 59   5 515½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.80 15% 5.70 1.30  
SEE YA SISTA 1 4 54 611½   613¾ 617¾ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 29.50  
SCR  STORMINATOR               (bennett robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUT RATES 8 3 4 43   11 1 (trev)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 8% 12.00 5.70 W
CHECK OUT LINE 1 7 8 7   5 2 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 8.00 11.30  
SWEET EMPIRE 7 10 7 33   31 3 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 8.50  
10  CONGRATS JENSEN 10 1 2½ 2   21 4 (cline c)ROSARIO L 126 15.00 25.90  
PROPHETESS 2 9 107 8   6 5 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 17% 4.90 10.00  
MY BELLE MICHELLE 5 5 55 6   4 6 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 10% 9.30 10.20  
DYNA'S HOLIDAY 6 8 97 10   8 7 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 12.00 32.90  
OPULENT 4 4 3½ 54   7 816¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50 4.10  
SPEAK LIGHTLY 3 6 6 96   10 919 (ruberto )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
PAYTON PRETTY 9 2 1½ 1   9 1022¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
MVR-6   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 5 2 4 31   31 1 (sullivan )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 44% 1.30 1.20 W
UPTOWN GUY 6 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 2 (casalinova tina)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9.20  
KAPHAVATA 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 3 (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 6.00 6.10 S
FANELLI 2 5 5 611   42 4 (clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 22.80  
JOYFUL CANDY 3 6 6 53   66 59 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED 1 7 710½ 712   713 611 (howard d)BRACHO A 124 10.00 15.80  
COAL TOWN ROAD 4 4 1½ 4   55 712½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 3.60  
 
MVR-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC 1 7 3.2 1   1 1nk (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 12% 7.30 7.70 W
GRIZABELLA 7 8 5 6   2 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.80 P
BEST OF YOU 9 2 9 7   7 3 (murillo rodrigue)DIAZ I 124 15.00 13.40  
SARAH JANE 6 4 4 4   4 46 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 7.30  
BEEBLEGEE 8 1 7 9   8 5 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 8.00 26.80  
NORTHERN JOURNEY 2 9 83 5   5 67 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 19% 4.30 2.10  
PROPER ETIQUETTE 4 6 1nk 2   3 7 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.50 3.20  
ST PATTY'S SONG 5 3 6 8   9 811 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
SO GO MY LUCEILLE 3 5 2nk 33   6 917½ (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 26.00  
 
MVR-8   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED ONCE MORE 7 2 4 31   2 1¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 10% 9.50 4.20 W
SQUID 6 1 2½ 2nk   1 2¼ (maker j)HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 19% 4.40 3.20 P
SOMUCHSUGAR 5 4 6 53   4 3 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
POLISHED GEM 3 3 1½ 1nk   32 4 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.30 5.60  
FLAT DISCOUNT 1 6 31 4   5 59 (ginter raymond )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 3.00  
SUSHI Q 4 5 5 66   68 618¼ (morales saul )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 13.10  
AUJARA 2 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 22.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.