Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/6/1/2)-(7/2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4/6-1-6/7 $32.40 $8.40 35%
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $13.40 $3.40 34%
MVR-6   DD (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00  8-5 $28.40 $8.40 42%
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00  7-8-5 $29.70 $9.70 49%
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $17.40 $7.40 74%
    EXA (7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-7 $71.00 $31.00 78%
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00  5-1 $59.00 $39.00 195%
    PK3 (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00  8-5-1 $125.30 $100.30 401%
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-6 $43.40 $11.40 36%
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-6-5 $26.75 $2.75 11%
    SFT (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  7-6-5-3 $16.58 $6.98 73%
    DD (7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-7 $60.40 $20.40 51%
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00  5-1-7 $76.85 $56.85 284%
    PK4 (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 200 $0.50 $100  8-5-1-7 $754.50 $654.50 655%
    PK6 (5/6/1/2)-(7/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 3200 $0.20 $640  1-6/7-8-5-1-7 $3016 $2376 371%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA PERLA NERA   (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 1.40 49% 1.00 0.30 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANTONIA AUTUMN by BERNSTEIN)
TESHIMA   (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.80 4.00 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DELPHINIA by THE FACTOR)
PARTY AT GRANTS   (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.50 12% 7.00 9.30 S
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DRFERRYTOTHEFINISH by AFLEET ALEX)
SISTER CODE   (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 6% 15.30 6.10  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
DINAH JO   (anderson l)PEREZ E 122 10.00 41.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
MVR-2   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI ROYALTY   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.50 19% 4.40 0.80 W
BOLD NICKY   (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 6.00 17.60  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 8% 11.70 4.90 S
MY TWO JAKES   (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 118 5.00 3.00  
HONEYBEE STINGS   (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 3.90  
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD   (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TAMANRASSETT   (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 11% 8.30 2.30 W
GOOD IDEA   (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.00 29% 2.50 0.50 P
WISE KHOZAN   (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 17.40  
ROSAS WAY   (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 5.80  
OPEN OUT   (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 14.60  
IMTHEPRINCE   (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 4.00 2.30  
SCR  OLA QUE TAL   (weymes an)BRICENO M 119 20.00 9% 9.60    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISS ELLIE   (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 2.00 44% 1.30 0.90 W
LADYBUGGIN   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 13% 7.00 6.00 P
DEE'S KY WILDCAT   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 12.00 23.10  
WICKED REESE   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 11.40  
OHIO LADY   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.80 15% 5.70 1.30  
SEE YA SISTA   (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 29.50  
SCR  STORMINATOR   (bennett robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUT RATES   (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 8% 12.00 5.70 W
CHECK OUT LINE   (cline c)PEREZ E 126 8.00 11.30  
SWEET EMPIRE   (rone penny)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 8.50  
10  CONGRATS JENSEN   (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 15.00 25.90  
PROPHETESS   (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 17% 4.90 10.00  
MY BELLE MICHELLE   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 10% 9.30 10.20  
DYNA'S HOLIDAY   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 12.00 32.90  
OPULENT   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50 4.10  
SPEAK LIGHTLY   (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
PAYTON PRETTY   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
MVR-6   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEMPLEMAN ALLEY   (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 44% 1.30 1.20 W
UPTOWN GUY   (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9.20  
KAPHAVATA   (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 6.00 6.10 S
FANELLI   (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 22.80  
JOYFUL CANDY   (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED   (howard d)BRACHO A 124 10.00 15.80  
COAL TOWN ROAD   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 3.60  
 
MVR-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAY MAGIC   (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 12% 7.30 7.70 W
GRIZABELLA   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.80 P
BEST OF YOU   (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00 13.40  
SARAH JANE   (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 7.30  
BEEBLEGEE   (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 26.80  
NORTHERN JOURNEY   (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 19% 4.30 2.10  
PROPER ETIQUETTE   (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.50 3.20  
ST PATTY'S SONG   (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
SO GO MY LUCEILLE   (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 26.00  
 
MVR-8   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOADED ONCE MORE   (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 10% 9.50 4.20 W
SQUID   (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 19% 4.40 3.20 P
SOMUCHSUGAR   (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
POLISHED GEM   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.30 5.60  
FLAT DISCOUNT   (ginter raymon)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 3.00  
SUSHI Q   (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 13.10  
AUJARA   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 22.70  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.