Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-4   PK3 (6/4/3)-(5/6/1/2)-(7/2/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  4/6-1-6/7 $32.40 $8.40 35%
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  8 $13.40 $3.40 34%
MVR-6   DD (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 10 $2.00 $20.00  8-5 $28.40 $8.40 42%
    PK3 (7/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00  7-8-5 $29.70 $9.70 49%
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  1 $17.40 $7.40 74%
    EXA (7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-7 $71.00 $31.00 78%
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 10 $2.00 $20.00  5-1 $59.00 $39.00 195%
    PK3 (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00  8-5-1 $125.30 $100.30 401%
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  7-6 $43.40 $11.40 36%
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-6-5 $26.75 $2.75 11%
    SFT (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2) 96 $0.10 $9.60  7-6-5-3 $16.58 $6.98 73%
    DD (7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-7 $60.40 $20.40 51%
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00  5-1-7 $76.85 $56.85 284%
    PK4 (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 200 $0.50 $100  8-5-1-7 $754.50 $654.50 655%
    PK6 (5/6/1/2)-(7/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 3200 $0.20 $640  1-6/7-8-5-1-7 $3016 $2376 371%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:152 1:281   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LA PERLA NERA 2 2 22 23 21½ 1½ 13¼ (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 1.40 49% 1.00 0.30 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANTONIA AUTUMN by BERNSTEIN)
5  TESHIMA 5 4 12 13 11½ 2½ 23¼ (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.80 ★ 4.00 P
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DELPHINIA by THE FACTOR)
4  PARTY AT GRANTS 4 5 33½ 34 34½ 34½ 36¼ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.50 12% 7.00 9.30 S
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DRFERRYTOTHEFINISH by AFLEET ALEX)
1  SISTER CODE 1 1 55½ 55 410½ 414½ 429 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 6% 15.30 6.10  
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
3  DINAH JO 3 3 44 44 511 519½ 541¾ (anderson l)PEREZ E 122 10.00 ★ 41.70  
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
MVR-2   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:232 :482       1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  SHANGHAI ROYALTY 4 3 1nk 1nk   13 14¼ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.50 19% 4.40 0.80 W
2  BOLD NICKY 2 2 42¼ 44¼   33 24¼ (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 6.00 17.60  
3  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 3 1 2nk 3.2   23 310¾ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 8% 11.70 4.90 S
1  MY TWO JAKES 1 5 58¼ 59¼   510 416 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 118 5.00 ★ 3.00  
5  HONEYBEE STINGS 5 4 3.2 2nk   47 522¾ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 ★ 3.90  
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD               (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:26 :504 1:161 1:292   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  TAMANRASSETT 2 2 11 1nk 11 11½ 15½ (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 11% 8.30 2.30 W
5  GOOD IDEA 5 1 32 31 31 31½ 25½ (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.00 29% 2.50 0.50 P
4  WISE KHOZAN 4 3 21 2nk 21 21½ 35½ (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 17.40  
6  ROSAS WAY 6 6 44 42½ 54¾ 44 47 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 27% 2.70 5.80  
3  OPEN OUT 3 4 54½ 53½ 44½ 54¼ 59 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 14.60  
1  IMTHEPRINCE 1 5 67½ 610½ 69¾ 69¼ 611½ (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 4.00 2.30  
SCR  OLA QUE TAL               (weymes an)BRICENO M 119 20.00 9% 9.60    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:232 :48       1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MISS ELLIE 6 1 12 14½   17 19 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 2.00 44% 1.30 0.90 W
5  LADYBUGGIN 5 3 22 24½   27 29 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 13% 7.00 6.00 P
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 4 6 43½ 47   49½ 311 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 12.00 23.10  
3  WICKED REESE 3 2 32½ 37   39½ 414 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 ★ 11.40  
2  OHIO LADY 2 5 66 59   59¾ 515½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.80 15% 5.70 1.30  
1  SEE YA SISTA 1 4 54 611½   613¾ 617¾ (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 126 10.00 29.50  
SCR  STORMINATOR               (bennett robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 7% 13.70    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:231 :474 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  CUT RATES 8 3 44½ 43   11 11¼ (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 8% 12.00 5.70 W
1  CHECK OUT LINE 1 7 86¾ 74¼   51¼ 21¼ (cline c)PEREZ E 126 8.00 11.30  
7  SWEET EMPIRE 7 10 75¼ 33   31 32½ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 126 8.00 8.50  
10  CONGRATS JENSEN 10 1 2½ 21½   21 42¾ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 15.00 25.90  
2  PROPHETESS 2 9 107 85¾   62¾ 53¼ (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 17% 4.90 10.00  
5  MY BELLE MICHELLE 5 5 55 64¼   41¼ 65¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 10% 9.30 10.20  
6  DYNA'S HOLIDAY 6 8 97 106½   84¾ 78¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 12.00 32.90  
4  OPULENT 4 4 3½ 54   74¼ 816¾ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50 4.10  
3  SPEAK LIGHTLY 3 6 65¼ 96   107¼ 919 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 37% 1.70 1.80  
9  PAYTON PRETTY 9 2 1½ 11½   96¼ 1022¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00 9.50  
 
MVR-6   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY 5 2 42½ 31   31 12¼ (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 44% 1.30 1.20 W
6  UPTOWN GUY 6 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 22¼ (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00 9.20  
7  KAPHAVATA 7 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 32¾ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 6.00 ★ 6.10 S
2  FANELLI 2 5 53½ 611   42 43¼ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 22.80  
3  JOYFUL CANDY 3 6 68½ 53   66 59 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
1  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED 1 7 710½ 712   713 611 (howard d)BRACHO A 124 10.00 15.80  
4  COAL TOWN ROAD 4 4 1½ 41½   55 712½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 ★ 3.60  
 
MVR-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY MAGIC 1 7 3.2 11½   14½ 1nk (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 12% 7.30 7.70 W
7  GRIZABELLA 7 8 52¼ 63¾   24½ 2nk (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.10 2.80 P
9  BEST OF YOU 9 2 93½ 75¾   77¼ 34½ (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00 13.40  
6  SARAH JANE 6 4 41¼ 43½   44¾ 46 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00 7.30  
8  BEEBLEGEE 8 1 72½ 96¾   87¾ 56¾ (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00 26.80  
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY 2 9 83 53½   55¼ 67 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 19% 4.30 2.10  
4  PROPER ETIQUETTE 4 6 1nk 21½   34½ 78¼ (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.50 3.20  
5  ST PATTY'S SONG 5 3 62¼ 85¾   98¼ 811 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 35.90  
3  SO GO MY LUCEILLE 3 5 2nk 33   65¾ 917½ (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 26.00  
 
MVR-8   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  LOADED ONCE MORE 7 2 41½ 31   21½ 1¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 10% 9.50 4.20 W
6  SQUID 6 1 2½ 2nk   11½ 2¼ (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 19% 4.40 3.20 P
5  SOMUCHSUGAR 5 4 62½ 53   43½ 31¾ (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 40% 1.50 2.50 S
3  POLISHED GEM 3 3 1½ 1nk   32 48½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.30 5.60  
1  FLAT DISCOUNT 1 6 31 42½   55½ 59 (ginter raymon)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 3.00  
4  SUSHI Q 4 5 51½ 66   68 618¼ (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00 13.10  
2  AUJARA 2 7 7100 7100   7100 7100 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 22.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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