Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/5/1/3)-(2/4/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/1)-(4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(4/3)-(5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/3/5/1)-(4/3/5/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/3)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(5/6/1)-(7/2/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(7/2/5)-(3/2/5/8/9) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-4   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5/3)-(7/2/5/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(3/2/5/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/2/5/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9)-(3/2/5/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/8/9)-(5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 50 $0.50 $25.00 
MVR-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/7/2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/7/2/4)-(5/3/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/2/4/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5)-(7/2/4/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/4/1/5)-(5/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3/2)-(5/6/7/3/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SISTER CODE Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 (vazquez ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 6% 15.30    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of SIERRA TARAHUMARA by RECAP)
2  LA PERLA NERA Jan16 Nov04 Sep23     (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 122 1.40 49% 1.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ANTONIA AUTUMN by BERNSTEIN)
3  DINAH JO Feb20 Dec11       (anderson l)PEREZ E 122 10.00 ★    
  (by CARPE DIEM (FR) out of TORTUGA LADY by THUNDER GULCH)
4  PARTY AT GRANTS         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 3.50 12% 7.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of DRFERRYTOTHEFINISH by AFLEET ALEX)
5  TESHIMA Jan18 Dec03 Oct30     (wong jonathan)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 1.80 ★    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of DELPHINIA by THE FACTOR)
 
MVR-2   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY TWO JAKES Oct10 Sep14 Aug24 Aug02   (radosevich s)VELEZ J 118 5.00 ★    
2  BOLD NICKY Mar09 Nov21 Nov07 Oct22   (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 6.00    
3  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Mar09 Feb14       (romero a)HOUGHTON D 118 3.50 8% 11.70    
4  SHANGHAI ROYALTY Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Dec21 Dec06 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 4.50 19% 4.40    
5  HONEYBEE STINGS Feb15 Jan26       (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 ★    
SCR  KISS THE RED HEAD Mar09 Nov07 Oct22 Oct03 Sep14 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 3.00 45% 1.20    
 
MVR-3   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMTHEPRINCE Feb22 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Nov07 (radosevich justi)RIVERA R 124 4.00    
1A  TAMANRASSETT Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 Dec13 Nov07 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  OLA QUE TAL Oct23 Sep04 Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 (weymes an)BRICENO M 119 20.00 9% 9.60    
3  OPEN OUT Dec29 Dec05 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (londono odin )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★    
4  WISE KHOZAN Mar02 Jan30 Jan03 Nov14 Nov03 (brown )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
5  GOOD IDEA Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 Nov23 (dacosta jas)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.00 29% 2.50    
6  ROSAS WAY Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 Dec27 Jul05 (caldero)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-4   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE YA SISTA Feb15         (tumblin andrew)AVILES YAN 126 10.00    
2  OHIO LADY Mar08 Feb15 Jan16     (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 1.80 15% 5.70    
3  WICKED REESE Feb15 Jan26 Jan16     (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 6.00 ★    
4  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Feb15 Jan24       (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 12.00    
5  LADYBUGGIN Mar08 Feb20 Sep20     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 13% 7.00    
SCR  STORMINATOR         (bennett robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 7% 13.70    
7  MISS ELLIE Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 Dec29 (doering mark)PEREZ E 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
MVR-5   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHECK OUT LINE Jan26 Jan16 Dec05 Jul15 Jun30 (cline c)PEREZ E 126 8.00    
2  PROPHETESS Feb28 Feb08 Dec30 Dec13 Dec05 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 10.00 17% 4.90    
3  SPEAK LIGHTLY Feb01 Jan03 Dec05 Oct11 Sep01 (rubert)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 37% 1.70    
4  OPULENT Feb28 Oct11 Sep06 Aug22 Jul20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 126 3.50    
5  MY BELLE MICHELLE Feb28 Mar09 Feb19 Jan25 Jan14 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 8.00 10% 9.30    
6  DYNA'S HOLIDAY Feb27 Jan16 Apr05 Feb16 Jan24 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 126 12.00    
7  SWEET EMPIRE Feb08 Jan26 Jan16 Dec30 Oct11 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 126 8.00    
8  CUT RATES Mar06 Jan26 Jan16 Apr28 Apr06 (tr)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 5.00 8% 12.00    
9  PAYTON PRETTY Jan26 Jun21 May25 May10 Feb28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
10  CONGRATS JENSEN Dec05 Nov01 Oct07 Aug23 Aug01 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Feb04 Nov27 Oct24 Oct05 Sep13 (howard d)BRACHO A 124 10.00    
2  FANELLI Jan28 Jul07 Jun10 May19 Apr19 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
3  JOYFUL CANDY Jan22 Jan08 Nov12 Sep19 Sep12 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 30% 2.30    
4  COAL TOWN ROAD Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.00 ★    
5  TEMPLEMAN ALLEY Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 Nov17 Oct27 (sulliva)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  UPTOWN GUY Jan28 Dec28 Dec08 Jun20 Jun01 (casalinova tin)HOUGHTON D 124 8.00    
7  KAPHAVATA Feb22 Jan30 Jan02 Dec13 Nov10 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAY MAGIC Feb16 Jan05 Dec27 Dec05 Nov17 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 124 20.00 12% 7.30    
2  NORTHERN JOURNEY Feb08 Jan28 Jan05 Dec21 Nov29 (calderon ivan)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 19% 4.30    
3  SO GO MY LUCEILLE Feb28 Dec05 Nov17 Oct29 Sep22 (brown t)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
4  PROPER ETIQUETTE Dec30 Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 (gorham m)PEREZ E 124 6.00 16% 5.50    
5  ST PATTY'S SONG Jan16 Dec22 Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  SARAH JANE Feb16 Jan16 Dec13 Oct11 Sep02 (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 3.00    
7  GRIZABELLA Mar06 Feb16 Jan28 Dec30 Dec13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 2.50 24% 3.10    
8  BEEBLEGEE Feb28 Feb08 Jan16 Dec05 Nov23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
9  BEST OF YOU Feb28 Feb08 Jan16 Jan05 Dec21 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
 
MVR-8   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAT DISCOUNT Mar04 Feb10 Jan25 Jan05 Dec12 (ginter raymon)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
2  AUJARA Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Jul21 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
3  POLISHED GEM Feb06 Jan28 Jan03 Nov04 Oct21 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 11.30    
4  SUSHI Q Feb28 Feb06 Jan17 Jan03 Oct05 (morales sau)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 5.00    
5  SOMUCHSUGAR Feb06 Jan19 Jan03 Dec03 Apr12 (rone penny)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
6  SQUID Feb15 Jun29 Jun03 Mar26 Feb18 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
7  LOADED ONCE MORE Mar01 Feb15 Jan28 Jan11 Jan02 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 10% 9.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.