Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $6.80 $0.80 13%
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-2 $32.40 $8.40 35%
MVR-2   DD (5/4/1)-(2/5/6/7/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-2 $31.60 $1.60 5%
MVR-3   PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/5/6/7/3)-(3/6/4) 45 $0.50 $22.50  4-2-3/8 $26.20 $3.70 16%
MVR-4   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  8 $14.40 $6.40 80%
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  8-6 $71.60 $39.60 124%
MVR-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  3 $4.60 $0.60 15%
    DD (6/4/8/1)-(3/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  6-3 $18.00 $2.00 13%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
See original race card.
:23 :481       1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  OXBOW'S RIDE 4 1 21 21½   14½ 16¾ (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 3.00 9% 10.00 2.40 W
2  SOMETHING ON TAP 1 4 32½ 33   24½ 26¾ (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 4.00 ★ 3.80 P
1A  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 5 54 56   57½ 312¼ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 9% 10.20 2.40 S
5  FAST AS FAST CAN B 5 2 11 11½   35 414 (guidry terran)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 54% 0.80 1.70  
1  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN 2 3 44 46   47½ 514 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 118 3.50 2.40  
6  COSI EXPRESS 6 6 65 68½   614½ 620¼ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 118 8.00 14.70  
SCR  ATILANO'S THUNDER               (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:14 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2B  NIGHT TIME RULER 5 1 11½ 11½ 11 1½ 12¼ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 3.50 20% 4.00 2.60 W
4  BLOOD MOON 3 2 21½ 21½ 21 2½ 22¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50 1.90  
5  UPTOWN 4 4 43 34 34½ 33½ 34¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 20% 4.10 2.30 S
1  FALCONS FURY 2 3 33 44½ 49 47 410¾ (wilson david)AYALA J 124 5.00 3.30  
3  BOURBON WISDOM 1 5 55 56 59½ 59½ 519½ (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 10% 8.60 11.30  
SCR  GIANT CRITIC               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET               (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  ROYAL DRAGOON               (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 3.50    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING               (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:013     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  OLIVIA'S JOY 6 1 12½ 12   13 11¾ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★ 0.50  
7  MANGORITA 5 4 43½ 43   33 21¾ (diehl candace)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★ 4.10 P
6  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 4 3 22½ 22   23 34½ (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 34% 1.90 4.30 S
2  ICY RAIN 2 5 53¾ 53½   43½ 45½ (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 22.70  
9  PACKIN 7 2 32½ 33   511½ 514¼ (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00 82.80  
1  THEYCALLMELEE 1 7 67¾ 69½   613½ 615½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 8.00 6.30  
4  TISTAAHAL 3 6 77¾ 79¾   717½ 721¾ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 8% 12.20 47.90  
SCR  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE               (campbell ant)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
SCR  NYSSA               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
 
MVR-4   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:223 :464 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  WICKED CHANCE 8 6 53½ 2nk   1½ 14 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 3.00 13% 6.70 6.20 W
6  CHROMED IMPULSE 6 4 31½ 1nk   2½ 24 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★ 2.50 P
4  GRAND DEAL 4 8 88¼ 86¼   57½ 37¼ (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 15.70  
3  EL SICARIO 3 3 42½ 41¾   35 48½ (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 10% 8.60 19.20  
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK 5 2 2½ 62¾   67½ 511½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00 5.50  
7  BIG BAD BEAST 7 5 63½ 31½   46 612 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 39% 1.50 1.60  
2  MASTER 2 1 1½ 51¾   78 712¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 8.50  
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE 1 7 73¾ 73¾   88¼ 813¾ (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 6% 14.60 18.80  
 
MVR-5   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS 9 1 11½ 11½   14 12½ (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 12.00 9.80  
  (by BERNARDINI out of PLEASANT WIND by PLEASANT COLONY)
9  DANZING CHICK 8 3 34 32½   24 22½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 8.00 26% 2.80 7.50 P
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  ANCHORWOMAN 4 10 59½ 43½   34½ 36¼ (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00 22.30  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
12  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS 11 2 21½ 21½   44½ 47¾ (langley joshua)RIVERA R 122 12.00 15.00  
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HOT MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  WRITTEN CONSENT 2 7 911¾ 712½   68 58 (wong jonathan)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.50 ★ 1.70  
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
7  GOING TO TOWN 6 8 69½ 612   78¼ 68 (pitts helen)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 8% 11.60 3.90  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AMERICAN DIVA by QUIET AMERICAN)
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 9 1014¼ 912¾   88¾ 78¼ (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00 62.80  
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
11  SMARTY PANTS 10 5 46 55½   56 89½ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 10.00 7% 13.90 4.10  
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  DERBY WIFE 3 11 1115¾ 812½   910¾ 912 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 36% 1.80 8.30  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVESTER LADY (GB) by PIVOTAL (GB))
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN 5 4 810¼ 1117¾   1020¾ 1026½ (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00 ######  
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  TWILIGHT BEAUTY 7 6 79¾ 1014¾   1120¾ 1135½ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 55.30  
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
SCR  MY NATALEA               (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by LEA out of CHANGE ME UP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
MVR-6   03/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:25 :503 1:164 1:443   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE 1 1 11 11 12 11 11½ (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 1.20 ★ 0.50  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
2  WAITES KINGDOM 2 2 21 21 22 21 21½ (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 22% 3.50 6.00 P
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
3  ONE FOR THE MONEY 3 5 54 42 43 34 31¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 22% 3.50 4.50 S
  (by STRONG CONTENDER out of MAUX MONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  BON DEUX 4 4 32½ 32 33 45½ 46¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 9% 9.70 18.40  
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of LA BELLE EPOQUE by TAPIT)
7  C C'S CLEAR CREEK 5 3 42½ 52¼ 53¼ 55½ 58¾ (flores israel)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 25% 3.10 4.30  
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
SCR  SCREAMING JEREMY               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  ZINFATUATION               (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
 
MVR-7   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:163 1:294   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DERBY INCLUDED 6 5 55 54 1½ 13 13½ (cline c)PEREZ E 124 2.00 34% 2.00 2.80 W
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL 3 3 11 11 2½ 23 23½ (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50 2.00  
4  VENTURE ON 4 2 43 42 31½ 36½ 37¾ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 21% 3.80 4.20 S
8  THAT'S THE WAY 8 8 87¾ 85¾ 63¼ 48½ 48¾ (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 6.00 11% 7.80 3.00  
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA 2 6 76¼ 64½ 85¼ 610 512¾ (haehn r)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 81.30  
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY 1 1 31 31 43 58½ 613 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 126 12.00 6% 16.50 8.70  
5  DANCE MOVES 5 4 21 21 53 716 722 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 42.20  
7  MARVIN'S EXPRESS 7 7 66 75½ 75¼ 818 824¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 ★ 16.10  
 
MVR-8   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THE MIRACLE KIUT 2 2 11 11   13 14½ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 116 3.50 66% 0.50 1.30 W
1A  KAT TRAX 8 6 53 32   33 24½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.00 9% 10.20 1.10  
7  TRULY INCLUSIVE 6 1 21 21   23 36¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★ 15.00 S
4  LADY JASPER 3 3 32 42   44 46¾ (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 3.00 6.10  
1  HELLO SWEETS 1 5 85½ 88¼   57 59¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 ★ 1.10  
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ 4 7 64 76¼   67¼ 610¾ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00 33.40  
6  MARGARITA CINCO 5 8 74½ 66   78¼ 711¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 24.00  
8  PENNIESANDDIMES 7 4 42 53½   810¼ 819 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★ 14.60  
SCR  SHADY BABY               (wilson david)AYALA J 124 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.