Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/4/1)-(5/4/1/2)-(5/4/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/4/1)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1)-(2/5/3)-(6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(6/4)-(7/8/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-3   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4)-(6/4/8/7)-(6/4/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/4)-(7/8/3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/4)-(7/8/3/1)-(3/9/7/11) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-4   WIN (7/8/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/3/1)-(7/8/3/1/6)-(7/8/3/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/3/1)-(3/9/7/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/3/1)-(3/9/7/11)-(7/2/3/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/9/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/11)-(3/9/7/11/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/11)-(3/9/7/11/2)-(3/9/7/11/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/7/11)-(7/2/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/9/7/11)-(7/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
MVR-6   WIN (7/2/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/4)-(7/2/3/4/1)-(7/2/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/4)-(6/4/8/1)-(3/1) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
MVR-7   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1/7)-(6/4/8/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/1)-(3/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(1/3/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1)-(1/3/7/8)-(1/3/7/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/21/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARK'S BUDDY JACIN Feb16 Jan26 Jan04 Dec19 Dec03 (radosevich jeff)DIAZ R 118 3.50    
1A  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Feb16 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 Dec07 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.50 9% 10.20    
2  SOMETHING ON TAP Mar06 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11   (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  ATILANO'S THUNDER Dec07 Nov09 Oct05 Sep19 Jul28 (brown j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 ★    
4  OXBOW'S RIDE Mar01 Feb16 Feb09 Jan04 Dec12 (bird danny)DIAZ I 126 3.00 9% 10.00    
5  FAST AS FAST CAN B Mar01 Jan26 Jan04 Dec12 Nov10 (guidry terran)CEDILLO MAURO 121 2.50 54% 0.80    
6  COSI EXPRESS Nov30 Nov14 Oct29     (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 118 8.00    
 
MVR-2   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALCONS FURY Feb23 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Nov23 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 5.00    
SCR  UNCLE CHARMING Jan23 Jan09 Dec08 Nov23 Sep23 (wilson jr)AVILES YAN 124 5.00    
2B  NIGHT TIME RULER Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 Jan11 Jul05 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 3.50 20% 4.00    
SCR  ROYAL DRAGOON Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec27 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 124 3.50    
3  BOURBON WISDOM Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 Dec20 Dec03 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 10% 8.60    
4  BLOOD MOON Mar14 Feb21 Feb07 Jan30 Jan10 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 4.50    
5  UPTOWN Feb23 Jan10 Nov15 Oct27 Aug13 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  GIANT CRITIC Mar02 Feb21 Feb07 Jan05 Dec15 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 Nov30 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 12% 7.10    
 
MVR-3   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEYCALLMELEE Feb15 Jan16 Nov04 Sep28 Sep01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
2  ICY RAIN Mar01 Feb20 Jan12 Dec11 Nov09 (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
SCR  NYSSA Jan20 Jan06 Oct27 Mar16 Feb16 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  TISTAAHAL         (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 8% 12.20    
SCR  COUNTESSOFLOVELACE Nov07 Oct24 Sep26 Aug30 Aug09 (campbell ant)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
6  LEMONSANDDIAMONDS Mar08 Feb22 Feb06 Dec15 Oct11 (hamm timothy)AVILES YAN 126 3.50 34% 1.90    
7  MANGORITA Feb10 Jan21 Dec02 Nov05 Oct15 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
8  OLIVIA'S JOY Mar08 Feb24 Jan04 Dec14 Oct11 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 3.00 ★    
9  PACKIN Feb14 Jan12 Dec28 Nov16 Nov01 (norr)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 20.00    
 
MVR-4   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHISKEY SUNRISE Feb21 Jan23 Dec12 Dec04 Nov21 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 15.00 6% 14.60    
2  MASTER Jan23 Jan03 Dec19 Dec05 Nov16 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
3  EL SICARIO Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 Jan12 Aug29 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 12.00 10% 8.60    
4  GRAND DEAL Feb28 Feb08 Jan05 Dec19 Sep21 (schuster robin)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
5  ONEMORANDTHECHECK Jan23 Dec22 Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.00    
6  CHROMED IMPULSE Mar08 Feb22 Jan23 Dec21 Jun13 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 8.00 ★    
7  BIG BAD BEAST Feb02 Jan16 Dec13 Nov06 Sep23 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
8  WICKED CHANCE Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 Dec06 Jul10 (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 126 3.00 13% 6.70    
 
MVR-5   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09 Dec22 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of HINES FARLEY RULES by KING OF KINGS (IRE)
2  WRITTEN CONSENT Mar02 Feb09 Dec03     (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 122 3.50 ★    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MISS GRACER by UNCLE MO)
3  DERBY WIFE         (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SILVESTER LADY (GB) by PIVOTAL (GB))
SCR  MY NATALEA         (lucas )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 6.00    
  (by LEA out of CHANGE ME UP by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  ANCHORWOMAN Sep21 Aug24 Jul14 Jun17 May27 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 117 20.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
6  FULL TIME STRUTIN Mar08 Feb20 Feb08 Jan13 Dec28 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 20.00    
  (by TATHQEEF out of PART TIME MODEL by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  GOING TO TOWN         (pitts helen)AVILES YAN 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of AMERICAN DIVA by QUIET AMERICAN)
8  TWILIGHT BEAUTY         (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
9  DANZING CHICK Feb27 Feb09 Jan24 Jan09   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 8.00 26% 2.80    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of TRUE CHICK by YES IT'S TRUE)
10  LANALIKESCHOOCHOOS Mar08 Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul15 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of PLEASANT WIND by PLEASANT COLONY)
11  SMARTY PANTS Feb09         (waltz brian)BRACHO A 122 10.00 7% 13.90    
  (by BAL A BALI out of SMART AND FANCY by NOT FOR LOVE)
12  ALWAYS MISCHIEVOUS Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 Oct13 Oct05 (langley joshua)RIVERA R 122 12.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of HOT MISCHIEF by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
MVR-6   03/21/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HITSVILLE Feb14 Jan11 Sep21     (waltz brian)BRACHO A 118 1.20 ★    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of IHAVETOGO by SHOWING UP)
2  WAITES KINGDOM Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan18 Aug10 (romero)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of CONQUEST SUMMERFUN by SUMMER BIRD)
3  ONE FOR THE MONEY Mar06 Feb16 Aug15 Jun16 May25 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 5.00 22% 3.50    
  (by STRONG CONTENDER out of MAUX MONEY by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
4  BON DEUX Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan23 Dec31 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 10.00 9% 9.70    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of LA BELLE EPOQUE by TAPIT)
SCR  ZINFATUATION Feb16 Jan28 Dec21 Dec06 Sep14 (norris steph)TAPARA BRANDON 126 15.00    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of SKY LADY by SKY CLASSIC)
SCR  SCREAMING JEREMY Mar02 Feb14       (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 8.00    
  (by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY out of SURELY SENSIBLE by STREET SENSE)
7  C C'S CLEAR CREEK Oct12 Sep27 Sep14 Aug29 Aug10 (flores israel)CEDILLO MAURO 126 3.50 25% 3.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of PUTAH CREEK by CEE'S TIZZY)
 
MVR-7   03/21/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWINSPIREDJOEY Feb27 Jan26 Jan12 Dec14 Nov30 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 126 12.00 6% 16.50    
2  HEIDI'S SINATRA Mar02 Feb09 Jan17 Dec14 Dec01 (haehn r)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
3  LIL RICKYS JEWEL Feb15 Dec14 Nov15 Jun01 May21 (cline c)HOUGHTON D 124 3.50    
4  VENTURE ON Dec14 Nov15 Sep28 Sep20 Aug12 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  DANCE MOVES Feb27 Dec19 Sep20 Sep08 Aug24 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
6  DERBY INCLUDED Mar06 Jan31 Dec19 Dec01 Jul27 (cline c)PEREZ E 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
7  MARVIN'S EXPRESS Mar06 Jan12 Nov30 Oct31 Sep28 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 ★    
8  THAT'S THE WAY Mar06 Sep28 Aug12 Jul28 Jun03 (gorham m)RIVERA R 124 6.00 11% 7.80    
 
MVR-8   03/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO SWEETS Feb23 Dec31 Dec15 Nov15   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 2.00 ★    
1A  KAT TRAX Mar09 Nov12 Oct29 Oct06 Sep29 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 2.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SHADY BABY Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec19 (wilson david)AYALA J 124 15.00 ★    
3  THE MIRACLE KIUT Nov15 Oct31       (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 116 3.50 66% 0.50    
4  LADY JASPER Oct29 Sep15 Aug13 Aug01 Jul08 (hamm timoth)SEVERINO VICTOR 116 3.00    
5  BIRDIE'S CHANTZ Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 Nov12 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 20.00    
6  MARGARITA CINCO Feb23 Jan23 Dec27 Nov28 Nov08 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
7  TRULY INCLUSIVE Feb23 Jun13 May12     (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 6.00 ★    
8  PENNIESANDDIMES Nov12 Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.