The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - April 10, 2023

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MVR-1   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
:252 :493 1:143 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONORABLE 4 2 11 11 11 13 15 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00 4.30  
LOOKS GOOD N A TUX 6 5 53 42 21 23 25 (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 33% 2.00 2.90 P
KING ANDRES 5 1 3 21 3 33(faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 23% 3.30 2.70 S
GEH SCHNELL 1 4 43 5 4 44(manning c)RIVERA R 124 3.50 4.00  
GOTSOMEMOJO 2 6 68 6 6 511½ 511¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 12% 7.40 8.00  
GET HAMMERED 3 3 21 31 5 611½ 620 (murillo rodrig)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50 4.00  
 
MVR-2   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:232 :473 :594     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANCHORWOMAN 2 3 1nk 12   14 1(hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.60 13% 6.50 0.60 W
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 1 4 2nk 22   24 2(gorham m)DIAZ I 119 2.50 34% 1.90 2.00 P
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 3 6 78 611½   416½ 321¼ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00 39.80  
OUTPOST GIRL 5 5 53 3   312½ 425¾ (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00 12.50  
LIVIE ANNE 7 7 6 46   517 529¾ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 10% 9.10 46.40  
APPALACHIAN SPIRIT 4 1 4 713½   727½ 644½ (cline c)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50 13% 6.70 6.70  
TWILIGHT BEAUTY 6 2 32 510   625 745 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 119 12.00 32.90  
 
MVR-3   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
:221 :46       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIACOMETTI 5 2 1nk 1nk   13 1(urieta joha)BRICENO M 117 4.50 6.50  
OUTSLEWTHEM 3 4 3.2 4   32(gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 16% 5.30 3.50 P
WARHORSE WEST 4 1 2nk 2nk   23 310¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50 1.40  
TWELVE MINUS ONE 6 6 6 56   69 410¼ (dacosta jason)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 3.50 16% 5.20 5.20  
LITTLE VAQUERO 1 7 7 7   5510¾ (castillo jabd)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 10.00 8% 11.30 43.50  
ATILANO 2 3 4¼ 6   7615¼ (lopez jacinto)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 6.00 29% 2.50 3.10  
ELUSIVE QUESTION 7 5 5¾ 3   47 715½ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 122 10.00 27.30  
 
MVR-4   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
:233 :472 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VINTAGE SPARKLE 2 5 56 4   32 1nk (pool)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 11% 7.90 21.50 W
DARK TEMPTRESS 5 2 22 21   1nk 2nk (cowans william )BRACHO A 126 2.00 17% 4.80 0.70 P
SOME WOULD SAY 3 1 12 11   2nk 32 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00 27.60  
GALILEO'S AFFAIR 6 3 45 5   545 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 7.30  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 1 4 32 32   4510¼ (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 2.20  
KENNEDIE SKY 4 6 613 614½   611¾ 613½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 44% 1.30 7.10  
SCR  QUIET DAWN               (grubbs l)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO               (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
 
MVR-5   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
:224 :471       1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
V K STAR 3 5 54 5   31 1hd (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 8.00 5.00  
MARIMBA 5 1 31 3   2½ 2hd (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00 9.70  
LOTTA MOSCATO 2 3 2nk 1nk   1½ 3.15 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 3.00 7% 14.10 3.20 S
V K PRINCESS 4 7 7 77   68 4(bracho j)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00 18.00  
HOPS PETUNIA 1 4 1nk 2nk   41 5(castillo ja)BRICENO M 119 20.00 8.60  
OLIVIA'S JOY 7 6 6 66   79 66 (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 3.10  
DAYS REMEMBERED 6 2 4 4   55 7(clouston edward)PEREZ E 124 4.00 28% 2.60 2.00  
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS               (clouston )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  UNDERCOVER LADY               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50    
 
MVR-6   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
:232 :463 :591     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELIEVING 5 2 11 13   13 1(smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 23% 3.40 1.70 W
TIME FOR CUPID 3 1 3 33   23 2(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 11% 8.00 3.70 P
YEARS AGO 1 4 21 23   33(rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.20 S
TALK DIRTY 4 6 4 4   449 (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 9% 10.40 12.40  
HALOFIED 6 3 55 5   59 511 (gonzalez do)CORREA L 124 8.00 26.70  
SKY 2 5 6 611   616½ 619¾ (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 10.90  
SCR  OFFTHEROADAGAIN               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
:231 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUID 6 2 4 2½   1nk 12 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 19% 4.20 1.40 W
1A  FLOWZANO 8 3 1nk 1½   2nk 22 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 12.00  
POLISHED GEM 5 1 2nk 32   332 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 6.00 S
SOMUCHSUGAR 1 4 6 6   54(rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.30  
MON PARADIS 4 8 810¾ 8   65(gomez alejand)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 15.00 17% 4.80 25.60  
2B  RAINBOW SHIP 2 5 31 5   44 6(diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 2.00 1.30  
CAUSE OF LOVE 3 7 7 74   77(haehn ter)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 10.00  
GRAN MAMIBELLA 7 6 5 4   8814¾ (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 29.60  
SCR  AUJARA               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
:231 :471 :60     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SORORITY SISTER 1 6 1½ 1nk   111 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 10.00 16.70  
NEECHI 8 1 31 3½   221 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 4.50 31% 2.20 0.90 P
TRULY INCLUSIVE 6 2 64 64   45 3(rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.50 16.30 S
APPEALING SENORITA 3 7 74 7   34 4(gonzalez dona)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00 4.50  
BROWNIE 9 5 4 5   56 5(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 8.00 15.80  
HELLO SWEETS 5 9 910½ 8   66 6(gorham m)DIAZ I 117 6.00 5.70  
DANZA MAGIC 2 8 89 911   910¾ 713 (calderon)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 21% 3.80 4.90  
1A  BAY MAGIC 7 4 2½ 2nk   7813¼ (calderon ivan)MARCANO Y 119 4.00 4.90  
MISS ELLIE 4 3 53 4   8914¼ (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 15.00 30.10  
SCR  GLIMMERGLASS               (john)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.