Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - April 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/2/4/7)-(2/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(2/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/7)-(2/6/3/1)-(6/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1)-(2/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/1)-(6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/1)-(6/7/3)-(8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/3)-(6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/3)-(8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3)-(8/2)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/2)-(8/2/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (8/2)-(8/2/9)-(8/2/9) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (8/2)-(1/6/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/2)-(1/6/4/5)-(2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4/5)-(2/6/4)-(8/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4/5/7)-(2/6/4/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(8/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7/5)-(8/1/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/10/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GEH SCHNELL Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb01 Jan17 (manning richard )RIVERA R 124 3.50    
2  GOTSOMEMOJO Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 5.00 12% 7.40    
3  GET HAMMERED Mar22 Mar09 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 (murillo rodr)TERRAZA GERMAN 119 4.50    
4  HONORABLE Mar07 Feb13 Oct04 Sep19 Aug30 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 6.00    
5  KING ANDRES Mar22 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan05 (faulkner rodne)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
6  LOOKS GOOD N A TUX Mar22 Feb21 Feb02 Jan23 Sep13 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-2   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Mar30 Mar08 Oct05 Sep01 Aug01 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 119 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  ANCHORWOMAN Mar21 Sep21 Aug24 Jul14 Jun17 (hamm timothy)CEDILLO MAURO 114 1.60 13% 6.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of CRUISE LINER by SALT LAKE)
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Mar30 Mar16 Feb15 Jan24   (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 8.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
4  APPALACHIAN SPIRIT         (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 119 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of PRETTY MUCH MINE by HALF OURS)
5  OUTPOST GIRL         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
6  TWILIGHT BEAUTY Mar21         (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 119 12.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MIDNIGHT BEAUTY by PROSPECTOR'S BID)
7  LIVIE ANNE         (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00 10% 9.10    
  (by EVEN THE SCORE out of CELESTE by GOLDEN SOUVENIR)
 
MVR-3   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3 ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE VAQUERO         (castillo ja)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 10.00 8% 11.30    
  (by GRAYDAR out of URSOKY by OXBOW)
2  ATILANO Aug23         (lopez jacint)TERRAZA GERMAN 117 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
3  OUTSLEWTHEM Mar22 Mar01 Dec30 Oct27 Oct20 (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 16% 5.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of PYRITEVILLE by EVANSVILLE SLEW)
4  WARHORSE WEST Mar22 Mar01 Feb14 Dec30 Dec07 (rone penny)RIVERA R 122 2.50    
  (by WEST COAST out of HIDDEN MYSTERY by HIDDEN CAPITAL)
5  GIACOMETTI Mar31 Mar17 Feb24 Oct07 Aug21 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 117 4.50    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of GRAVATA by MONSUN (GER))
6  TWELVE MINUS ONE         (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by MOSLER out of MATTY'S SENSATION by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
7  ELUSIVE QUESTION         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 122 10.00    
  (by ELUSIVE HOUR out of PERFECT QUESTION by PERFECT CIRCLE)
 
MVR-4   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC JEWEL Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Feb01 Jan19 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 10.00    
SCR  QUIET DAWN Oct05 Aug09 Jul14 Jun22 May20 (grubbs jamie)HALDAR J 126 8.00    
3  VINTAGE SPARKLE Jul19 Jul13 Jun13 May30 May24 (po)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 15.00 11% 7.90    
SCR  VIVE EL MOMENTO Mar20 Mar01 Feb18 Jan28 Jan06 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 6.00    
5  SOME WOULD SAY Nov08 Oct18 Sep26 Sep18 Sep04 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00    
6  KENNEDIE SKY Oct11 Sep22 Sep07 Jul18 Jun28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
7  DARK TEMPTRESS Mar14 Jun22 May23 Mar21 Mar02 (cowans willia)BRACHO A 126 2.00 17% 4.80    
8  GALILEO'S AFFAIR Mar01 Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Dec22 (calderon ivan)BARBARAN ERIK 126 3.00 ★    
 
MVR-5   04/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPS PETUNIA Feb20 Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 Dec15 (castillo )BRICENO M 119 20.00    
2  LOTTA MOSCATO Jan02 Nov27 Oct10 May27 Apr21 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 3.00 7% 14.10    
3  V K STAR Mar27 Feb27 Jan24 Jan02 Sep22 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
4  V K PRINCESS Jan24 Jan02 Dec14 Oct21 Aug31 (bracho jose)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 20.00    
SCR  MAYSVILLE MISS Feb11 Jan25 Jan04 Dec10 Nov30 (clousto)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00 40% 1.50    
6  MARIMBA Mar27 Feb27 Feb14 Jan30 Jan12 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 10.00    
SCR  UNDERCOVER LADY Mar13 Feb22 Dec30 Nov20 Oct17 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 ★    
8  DAYS REMEMBERED Feb27 Feb01 Jan19 Dec31 Nov23 (clouston edward)PEREZ E 124 4.00 28% 2.60    
9  OLIVIA'S JOY Mar21 Mar08 Feb24 Jan04 Dec14 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YEARS AGO Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Dec29 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  SKY Mar07 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Dec06 (casalinova tina)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
SCR  OFFTHEROADAGAIN Mar14 Jan26 Dec06 Oct18 Sep25 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00    
4  TIME FOR CUPID Mar27 Mar08 Feb20 Feb06 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 126 3.50 11% 8.00    
5  TALK DIRTY Mar28 Mar14 Feb28 Feb09 Jan31 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 9% 10.40    
6  BELIEVING (IRE) Mar17 Mar09 Feb09 Nov03 Sep16 (smith larry)GONZALEZ A 124 3.00 23% 3.40    
7  HALOFIED Mar28 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan31 (gonzalez )CORREA L 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  FLOWZANO Mar15 Feb22 Feb06 Jan19 Nov30 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
SCR  AUJARA Mar16 Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
2  SOMUCHSUGAR Mar16 Feb06 Jan19 Jan03 Dec03 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
2B  RAINBOW SHIP Mar08 Feb16 Jan16 Dec30 Jun28 (diehl cand)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 2.00 ★    
3  CAUSE OF LOVE Mar20 Feb23 Feb06 Jan19 Dec30 (haehn t)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
4  MON PARADIS Mar30 Mar23 Mar07 Feb27 Feb09 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 17% 4.80    
5  POLISHED GEM Mar16 Feb06 Jan28 Jan03 Nov04 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 ★    
6  SQUID Mar16 Feb15 Jun29 Jun03 Mar26 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 124 1.80 19% 4.20    
7  GRAN MAMIBELLA Mar22 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Jan05 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-8   04/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANZA MAGIC Apr03 Mar15 Feb23 Jan23 Jan10 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.00 21% 3.80    
1A  BAY MAGIC Mar16 Feb16 Jan05 Dec27 Dec05 (calderon iva)MARCANO Y 119 4.00    
2  SORORITY SISTER Feb23 Jan23 Dec12 Nov28 Oct05 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 10.00    
3  APPEALING SENORITA Mar23 Mar06 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 (gonzalez do)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.00    
SCR  GLIMMERGLASS Feb07 Jan04 Dec19 Dec06 Nov07 (jo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  MISS ELLIE Mar16 Mar01 Feb09 Jan24 Jan10 (doering mark)PEREZ E 124 15.00 ★    
6  HELLO SWEETS Mar21 Feb23 Dec31 Dec15 Nov15 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 117 6.00    
7  TRULY INCLUSIVE Mar21 Feb23 Jun13 May12   (rone penny)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 7% 13.50    
8  NEECHI Mar23 Dec01 Oct31     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 4.50 31% 2.20    
9  BROWNIE Mar02 Sep15 Sep01 Aug01 Jul07 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.