The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - March 30, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MVR-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON PARADIS 1 6 611¾ 55½   43 1½ (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 24% 3.20 9.00 W
6  SILVER STICK STAIR 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 1.80  
4  CALTHA 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 32½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 48% 1.10 0.90 S
5  MYRRH 5 2 3.2 31   32½ 43¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 ★ 5.10  
3  WILLYMAR 3 4 42¼ 41½   54½ 58¼ (rangel arnulfo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 23.80  
2  TARA DAWN 2 5 55¾ 67   66½ 69¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 18.80  
 
MVR-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
:233 :473 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOUBLE EDGED 6 2 31 21   2nk 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 6.40  
5  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 5 1 21 32   1nk 2½ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 4.90 0.90 P
4  MOBIL CHIC 4 4 53½ 53½   42¾ 33 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.80 S
2  DIAMONDS N DEW 2 3 11 11   3.2 44 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 25% 2.90 6.70  
3  KERRI'S MIRACLE 3 5 42 42   53¼ 58½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 4.40  
1  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 1 6 64 65   67¼ 612¾ (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 9.30  
 
MVR-3   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
:23 :46 1:13 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WELLER ROGUE 3 6 56¼ 513½ 412 3½ 13½ (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 7% 13.50 2.90 W
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 31 39½ 310½ 1nk 23½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 12.40  
6  EL SICARIO 5 3 1nk 26 25 2nk 38¾ (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 5.60  
7  TWICE AS SMART 6 4 41¼ 49½ 514 53½ 413¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 10.90 8.30  
5  DAAHER STREET 4 5 67¾ 615½ 616½ 67½ 515 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 2.90  
1  ICON 1 2 2nk 16 15 42½ 616¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 36% 1.80 1.50  
SCR  RED MULE               (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
:224 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FREE SAILIN 4 5 31 11   11½ 1¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 1.80 1.30  
3  FIRST CITIZEN 3 2 21 52   52¾ 2¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 10.90  
6  NAUGHTY PRINCE 6 1 41½ 31½   21½ 31 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 17% 4.80 5.00 S
2  GRAYWING 2 6 53½ 42   31½ 43¾ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 23% 3.40 2.50  
1  LIKEABLE 1 4 11 21   41¾ 55¾ (albaroudy manso)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.10  
5  FLAT FUN 5 3 67 66   67¾ 66 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 10.00 13.90  
 
MVR-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
:232 :482 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 9 4 43 31   1½ 11¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 3.00 42% 1.40 1.10 W
8  MY PINK BUNNY TALE 7 2 11½ 11   2½ 21¾ (cline c)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 12.00  
4  MIZZEN THE POINT 3 9 99¼ 62¼   33 33 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 26% 2.80 5.00 S
2  PRONTO CHARLI 1 7 54 52¼   53¼ 44½ (cline c)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 ★ 24.00  
7  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 6 3 65 76¼   77¼ 58½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 3.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
6  WICKED REESE 5 1 21½ 21   64¾ 69¼ (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 32.30  
5  OH EYE SEE 4 6 31½ 41¼   43 79¾ (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 15.00 ######  
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 8 86¼ 86¾   88¾ 813¼ (rivera nestor)PEREZ E 126 12.00 22.60  
9  AUGMENTING ASSETS 8 5 76 98¼   911¾ 916¾ (romero)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 15.00 74.50  
SCR  OUTPOST GIRL               (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-6   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
:231 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRIGZ TOO 3 5 52¼ 3.2   1½ 11¾ (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 2.80  
1  CLAW 2 3 32 41¼   31½ 21¾ (sullivan elliott)DIAZ I 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 5 2 11 1nk   2½ 32 (morrell )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 12.20 2.70 S
7  CUMBER 6 1 21 2nk   42 45¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 3.00 16% 5.20 2.40  
2B  SCORSESE 4 6 64¼ 62¾   54 57¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 2.80  
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 4 42 52¾   65 612 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 15.60  
SCR  COLAVITO               (treharne da)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  UNYIELDING               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
:224 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 1 1½ 2nk   22 11¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 1.20  
3  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 3 2 2½ 1nk   12 21¼ (shifflet)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
6  EL MARRO 6 4 31½ 31½   36 36¾ (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 10.40  
2  BACHELOR PAD 2 5 44 42½   48½ 47¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 34% 1.90 3.00  
1  JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 6 55½ 56½   511½ 58½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21% 3.70 10.60  
4  TOM'S LAST GENERAL 4 3 66 68   614½ 615½ (hernandez j)BRICENO M 119 10.00 22.50  
 
MVR-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
:231 :47 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAINT THE TOWN 2 6 67 45   1nk 16¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 116 3.00 43% 1.30 0.10 W
6  BUCKEYE CHARLIE 6 3 44½ 66½   42¼ 26¾ (anderson susan )BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10 7.60 P
5  CONSTITUTION COAL 5 2 11 14   2nk 37¼ (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 ★ 9.50 S
3  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 3 4 55 55½   32 49¼ (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90 11.30  
1  SWING STATE 1 5 33½ 35   62½ 510¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00 0.10  
4  BUCKEYE RED 4 1 21 24   52¼ 611½ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 20.60  
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.