Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $20.00 $16.00 400%
MVR-8   SFT (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 18 $0.10 $1.80  1-6-5-3 $2.38 $0.58 32%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON PARADIS 1 6 611¾ 55½   43 1½ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 24% 3.20 9.00 W
6  SILVER STICK STAIR 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 1.80  
4  CALTHA 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 32½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 48% 1.10 0.90 S
5  MYRRH 5 2 3.2 31   32½ 43¾ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 ★ 5.10  
3  WILLYMAR 3 4 42¼ 41½   54½ 58¼ (rangel arnulf)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 23.80  
2  TARA DAWN 2 5 55¾ 67   66½ 69¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 18.80  
 
MVR-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DOUBLE EDGED 6 2 31 21   2nk 1½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 6.40  
5  RUNLIKEJACKIEO 5 1 21 32   1nk 2½ (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 4.90 0.90 P
4  MOBIL CHIC 4 4 53½ 53½   42¾ 33 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.80 S
2  DIAMONDS N DEW 2 3 11 11   3.2 44 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 25% 2.90 6.70  
3  KERRI'S MIRACLE 3 5 42 42   53¼ 58½ (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 4.40  
1  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 1 6 64 65   67¼ 612¾ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 9.30  
 
MVR-3   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:13 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WELLER ROGUE 3 6 56¼ 513½ 412 3½ 13½ (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 7% 13.50 2.90 W
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 31 39½ 310½ 1nk 23½ (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 12.40  
6  EL SICARIO 5 3 1nk 26 25 2nk 38¾ (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 5.60  
7  TWICE AS SMART 6 4 41¼ 49½ 514 53½ 413¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 10.90 8.30  
5  DAAHER STREET 4 5 67¾ 615½ 616½ 67½ 515 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 2.90  
1  ICON 1 2 2nk 16 15 42½ 616¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 36% 1.80 1.50  
SCR  RED MULE               (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:224 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FREE SAILIN 4 5 31 11   11½ 1¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 1.80 1.30  
3  FIRST CITIZEN 3 2 21 52   52¾ 2¼ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 10.90  
6  NAUGHTY PRINCE 6 1 41½ 31½   21½ 31 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 17% 4.80 5.00 S
2  GRAYWING 2 6 53½ 42   31½ 43¾ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 23% 3.40 2.50  
1  LIKEABLE 1 4 11 21   41¾ 55¾ (albaroudy man)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.10  
5  FLAT FUN 5 3 67 66   67¾ 66 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 10.00 13.90  
 
MVR-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 9 4 43 31   1½ 11¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 3.00 42% 1.40 1.10 W
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  MY PINK BUNNY TALE 7 2 11½ 11   2½ 21¾ (cline c)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 12.00  
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
4  MIZZEN THE POINT 3 9 99¼ 62¼   33 33 (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 26% 2.80 5.00 S
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of KEWT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  PRONTO CHARLI 1 7 54 52¼   53¼ 44½ (cline c)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 ★ 24.00  
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
7  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 6 3 65 76¼   77¼ 58½ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 3.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  WICKED REESE 5 1 21½ 21   64¾ 69¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 32.30  
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
5  OH EYE SEE 4 6 31½ 41¼   43 79¾ (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 15.00 ######  
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 8 86¼ 86¾   88¾ 813¼ (rivera nestor)PEREZ E 126 12.00 22.60  
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
9  AUGMENTING ASSETS 8 5 76 98¼   911¾ 916¾ (rome)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 15.00 74.50  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
SCR  OUTPOST GIRL               (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
 
MVR-6   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TRIGZ TOO 3 5 52¼ 3.2   1½ 11¾ (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 2.80  
1  CLAW 2 3 32 41¼   31½ 21¾ (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE 5 2 11 1nk   2½ 32 (morrel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 12.20 2.70 S
7  CUMBER 6 1 21 2nk   42 45¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.00 16% 5.20 2.40  
2B  SCORSESE 4 6 64¼ 62¾   54 57¾ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 2.80  
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 4 42 52¾   65 612 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 15.60  
SCR  COLAVITO               (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 ★    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  UNYIELDING               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:224 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 1 1½ 2nk   22 11¼ (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 1.20  
3  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 3 2 2½ 1nk   12 21¼ (shiffl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
6  EL MARRO 6 4 31½ 31½   36 36¾ (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 10.40  
2  BACHELOR PAD 2 5 44 42½   48½ 47¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 34% 1.90 3.00  
1  JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 6 55½ 56½   511½ 58½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21% 3.70 10.60  
4  TOM'S LAST GENERAL 4 3 66 68   614½ 615½ (hernandez)BRICENO M 119 10.00 22.50  
 
MVR-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAINT THE TOWN 2 6 67 45   1nk 16¾ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 3.00 43% 1.30 0.10 W
6  BUCKEYE CHARLIE 6 3 44½ 66½   42¼ 26¾ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10 7.60 P
5  CONSTITUTION COAL 5 2 11 14   2nk 37¼ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 ★ 9.50 S
3  ROLLIN SO PERFECT 3 4 55 55½   32 49¼ (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90 11.30  
1  SWING STATE 1 5 33½ 35   62½ 510¼ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00 0.10  
4  BUCKEYE RED 4 1 21 24   52¼ 611½ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 20.60  
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD               (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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