Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 1 $20.00 $20.00 16.00
MVR-2   Win (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $14.80  
MVR-3   Win (1/3/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80  
MVR-4   Win (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $4.60  
MVR-5   Win (10/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $4.20 $4.20  
MVR-6   Win (1/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $7.60  
MVR-7   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.40  
MVR-8   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.20 $2.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
See original race card.
1:143         1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MON PARADIS 1 6 611¾ 5   43 1½ (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 24% 3.20 9.00 W
SILVER STICK STAIR 6 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2½ (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 1.80  
CALTHA 4 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 48% 1.10 0.90 S
MYRRH 5 2 3.2 31   3 4 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 5.10  
WILLYMAR 3 4 4 4   5 5 (rangel arnulfo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 23.80  
TARA DAWN 2 5 5 67   6 6 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00 18.80  
 
MVR-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:002     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOUBLE EDGED 6 2 31 21   2nk 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 6.40  
RUNLIKEJACKIEO 5 1 21 32   1nk 2½ (faulkner rodney )DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 4.90 0.90 P
MOBIL CHIC 4 4 5 5   4 33 (zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50 4.80 S
DIAMONDS N DEW 2 3 11 11   3.2 44 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 25% 2.90 6.70  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 3 5 42 42   5 5 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50 4.40  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 1 6 64 65   6 612¾ (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 9.30  
 
MVR-3   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:13 1:42   1:463   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELLER ROGUE 3 6 5 513½ 412 3½ 1 (sullivan)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 7% 13.50 2.90 W
VALHALLA AIR BASE 2 1 31 3 310½ 1nk 2 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00 12.40  
EL SICARIO 5 3 1nk 26 25 2nk 3 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00 5.60  
TWICE AS SMART 6 4 4 4 514 5 413¾ (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 10.90 8.30  
DAAHER STREET 4 5 6 615½ 616½ 6 515 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00 2.90  
ICON 1 2 2nk 16 15 4 616¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 36% 1.80 1.50  
SCR  RED MULE               (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
 
MVR-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:224 :453 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREE SAILIN 4 5 31 11   1 1¼ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 1.80 1.30  
FIRST CITIZEN 3 2 21 52   5 2¼ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00 10.90  
NAUGHTY PRINCE 6 1 4 3   2 31 (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 17% 4.80 5.00 S
GRAYWING 2 6 5 42   3 4 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 23% 3.40 2.50  
LIKEABLE 1 4 11 21   4 5 (albaroudy manso)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 27% 2.70 4.10  
FLAT FUN 5 3 67 66   6 66 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 10.00 13.90  
 
MVR-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:232 :482 1:012     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 9 4 43 31   1½ 1 (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 3.00 42% 1.40 1.10 W
MY PINK BUNNY TALE 7 2 1 11   2½ 2 (cline c)YARANGA Y 118 12.00 12.00  
MIZZEN THE POINT 3 9 9 6   33 33 (maker j)HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 26% 2.80 5.00 S
PRONTO CHARLI 1 7 54 5   5 4 (cline c)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 24.00  
DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT 6 3 65 7   7 5 (gorham m)DIAZ I 118 3.50 9% 10.40 1.60  
WICKED REESE 5 1 2 21   6 6 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 32.30  
OH EYE SEE 4 6 3 4   43 7 (maddox rach)BRICENO M 121 15.00 ######  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 8 8 8   8 813¼ (rivera nestor)PEREZ E 126 12.00 22.60  
AUGMENTING ASSETS 8 5 76 9   911¾ 916¾ (romero)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 15.00 74.50  
SCR  OUTPOST GIRL               (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:231 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIGZ TOO 3 5 5 3.2   1½ 1 (bernardini jay )CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00 2.80  
CLAW 2 3 32 4   3 2 (sullivan elliott)DIAZ I 124 2.50 36% 1.80 1.80  
TOE TAPPIN LUKE 5 2 11 1nk   2½ 32 (morrell )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 12.20 2.70 S
CUMBER 6 1 21 2nk   42 4 (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 3.00 16% 5.20 2.40  
2B  SCORSESE 4 6 6 6   54 5 (zielinski ric)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 2.80  
UHAVETOBEKITTENME 1 4 42 5   65 612 (casa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00 15.60  
SCR  COLAVITO               (treharne da)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN               (rivera nestor)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  UNYIELDING               (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50    
 
MVR-7   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:224 :462       1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHANGHAI PRINCE 5 1 1½ 2nk   22 1 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 3.00 1.20  
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 3 2 2½ 1nk   12 2 (shifflet)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 P
EL MARRO 6 4 3 3   36 3 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 10.40  
BACHELOR PAD 2 5 44 4   4 4 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 34% 1.90 3.00  
JUSTIN'S QUEST 1 6 5 5   511½ 5 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21% 3.70 10.60  
TOM'S LAST GENERAL 4 3 66 68   614½ 615½ (hernandez j)BRICENO M 119 10.00 22.50  
 
MVR-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  PAINT THE TOWN 2 6 67 45   1nk 1 (gorham m)DIAZ I 116 3.00 43% 1.30 0.10 W
BUCKEYE CHARLIE 6 3 4 6   4 2 (anderson susan )BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10 7.60 P
CONSTITUTION COAL 5 2 11 14   2nk 3 (faulkner rodney)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 9.50 S
ROLLIN SO PERFECT 3 4 55 5   32 4 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90 11.30  
SWING STATE 1 5 3 35   6 510¼ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 3.00 0.10  
BUCKEYE RED 4 1 21 24   5 611½ (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 20.60  
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD               (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.