Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - March 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/1)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/4/5)-(1/7/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/7/4)-(1/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/4)-(1/7/4)-(1/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/4)-(1/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/4)-(1/2/6)-(10/4/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-4   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(10/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/6)-(10/4/7)-(1/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (10/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/7)-(10/4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/4/7)-(10/4/7/2)-(10/4/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/4/7)-(1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/4/7)-(1/7/6)-(2/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (1/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/6)-(7/6) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/7/6)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6)-(2/3/1)-(1/6/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5)-(1/6/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MON PARADIS Mar23 Mar07 Feb27 Feb09 Jan30 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
2  TARA DAWN Mar14 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 (spiess m)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
3  WILLYMAR Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Jan11 Dec22 (rangel arnulf)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
4  CALTHA Mar14 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 Sep15 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  MYRRH Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan18 Jan02 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.50 ★    
6  SILVER STICK STAIR Mar15 Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 Dec07 (aceved)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
 
MVR-2   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Mar15 Feb15 Feb06 Jan17 Dec30 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
2  DIAMONDS N DEW Mar02 Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 Jan05 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 25% 2.90    
3  KERRI'S MIRACLE Mar20 Feb16 Feb01 Jan24 Jan10 (vazquez ivan)KEISER CHELSEY 126 4.50    
4  MOBIL CHIC Mar15 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 Dec30 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  RUNLIKEJACKIEO Mar15 Mar02 Jan31 Jan03 Dec20 (faulkner rodne)DIAZ I 124 2.50 17% 4.90    
6  DOUBLE EDGED Dec21 Nov23 Oct25 Aug22 Aug03 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
 
MVR-3   03/30/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICON Mar06 Feb07 Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 4.00 36% 1.80    
2  VALHALLA AIR BASE Mar06 Feb07 Jan23 Dec20 Dec03 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 10.00    
SCR  RED MULE Mar15 Feb16 Dec22 Dec01 Oct13 (kenneally eddie)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
4  WELLER ROGUE Mar06 Feb04 Jan21 Dec18 Nov13 (sulliv)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 7% 13.50    
5  DAAHER STREET Dec16 Nov08 Sep13 Jul19 Jun29 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 3.00    
6  EL SICARIO Mar21 Feb28 Feb06 Jan23 Jan12 (sondej amy)TAPARA BRANDON 124 5.00    
7  TWICE AS SMART Feb22 Feb07 Jan12 Jan02 Dec13 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 8% 10.90    
 
MVR-4   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIKEABLE Mar19 Feb08 Dec13 Nov29 Oct04 (albaroudy man)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  GRAYWING Mar13 Jan17 Jan02 Dec13 Nov14 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 23% 3.40    
3  FIRST CITIZEN Mar13 Feb20 Feb08 Jan10 Jul18 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 123 6.00    
4  FREE SAILIN Feb23 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug23 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 123 1.80    
5  FLAT FUN Jan09 Dec12 Nov28 Nov02 Oct10 (dillion jimmy)GONZALEZ ALEX 123 10.00    
6  NAUGHTY PRINCE Feb23 Dec22 Dec08 Nov28 Nov09 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 8.00 17% 4.80    
 
MVR-5   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OUTPOST GIRL         (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 ★    
  (by FORT LARNED out of GOOSE SKYWALKER by STRATEGIC MISSION)
2  PRONTO CHARLI Mar08 Feb20 Jan16     (cline c)PAUCAR E 118 8.00 ★    
  (by PROTONICO out of INDIANISTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Mar16 Feb15 Jan24     (rivera nestor)PEREZ E 126 12.00    
  (by WILDCAT RED out of DEE'S RIB by UNBRIDLED EXPRESS)
4  MIZZEN THE POINT         (maker michael )HOUGHTON D 126 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of KEWT TALE by TALE OF THE CAT)
5  OH EYE SEE Jan24 Jan10 Dec19 Nov16 Jul05 (maddox ra)BRICENO M 121 15.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of OUR JEWEL by SOUVENIR COPY)
6  WICKED REESE Mar16 Feb15 Jan26 Jan16   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PEYTONA by MR. GREELEY)
7  DOMINIQUE'S NIGHT Mar08 Oct05 Sep01 Aug01   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 118 3.50 9% 10.40    
  (by DOMINUS out of NOCTURNE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
8  MY PINK BUNNY TALE Mar08 Jan16       (cline c)YARANGA Y 118 12.00    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of MY PINK EASTERBABY by STRAIGHT MAN)
9  AUGMENTING ASSETS Jan24 Dec08 Nov23 Nov16 Nov08 (rome)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SWINKEY by DIALED IN)
10  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Mar08 Feb20 Jan16 Dec30 Dec15 (rone penny)RIVERA R 118 3.00 42% 1.40    
  (by TAPITURE out of SEEYOUINTHETOWN by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MVR-6   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAW Mar13 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 Jan02 (sullivan ellio)DIAZ I 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  UNYIELDING Feb27 Dec27 Jun25 May16 Apr16 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 2.50 ★    
2  TRIGZ TOO Mar09 Mar02 Jan30 Jan05 Dec20 (bernardini ja)CEDILLO MAURO 119 4.00    
2B  SCORSESE Mar08 Feb20 Jan30 Dec27 Dec15 (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00    
3  UHAVETOBEKITTENME Mar01 Feb20 Feb01 Jan02 Dec13 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
SCR  THE COOKIE MAN Mar13 Jan24 Jan16 Jan03 Dec08 (rivera nesto)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  COLAVITO Mar09 Nov28 Nov14 Oct19 Oct12 (treharne )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 8.00 ★    
6  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Mar11 Feb22 Feb01 Jan07 Dec13 (morrel)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 12.20    
7  CUMBER Mar13 Feb08 Jan03 Dec20 Nov08 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
MVR-7   03/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTIN'S QUEST Mar02 Feb07 Jan05 Dec20 Dec03 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
2  BACHELOR PAD Jun26 Jun05 May19 May07 Apr09 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 1.80 34% 1.90    
3  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Mar02 Feb07 Jan14 Dec14 Nov28 (shiffl)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 (hernandez)BRICENO M 119 10.00    
5  SHANGHAI PRINCE Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 Dec27 Dec03 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 124 3.00    
6  EL MARRO Mar13 Feb20 Jan26 Jan10 Dec01 (sc)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00    
 
MVR-8   03/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWING STATE Mar02 Feb16 Jan19 Dec19 Nov16 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 3.00    
1A  PAINT THE TOWN Feb16 Sep06       (gorham robert )DIAZ I 116 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  LUNCHATTHELIZARD Mar02 Feb16 Jan26 Sep06 Aug03 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 3.50    
3  ROLLIN SO PERFECT Feb15 Jan16 Dec12 Nov29 Nov10 (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
4  BUCKEYE RED Mar06 Jan26 Jan18 Dec12 Nov10 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 8.00    
5  CONSTITUTION COAL Mar09 Feb21 Feb09 Jan19 Jan04 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 118 4.00 ★    
6  BUCKEYE CHARLIE Mar01 Feb09       (anderson susa)BRACHO A 126 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.