Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 29, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-4   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $6.60 $0.60 10%
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-8 $35.00 $17.00 94%
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-8-3 $26.85 $17.85 198%
    SFT (8/2/3)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4)-(8/2/3/4) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-8-3-4 $7.17 $5.37 298%
MVR-5   WIN (3/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $8.60 $2.60 43%
    EXA (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-7 $78.20 $54.20 226%
    TRI (3/8/6)-(3/8/6/9/7)-(3/8/6/9/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-7-6 $94.30 $76.30 424%
    DD (8/2/3)-(3/8/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-3 $27.60 $9.60 53%
    PK3 (3/6/4/5)-(8/2/3)-(3/8/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-2-3 $18.85 $0.85 5%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3 F PT-12:35
See original race card.
:222 :463       1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLIDAY DECISION 4 4 1nk 1½   12 16 (delacruz meji)CEDILLO MAURO 115 3.00 2.30  
FOR THE BISCUIT 1 1 2nk 2½   22 26 (hernan)BATISTA ALBERTO 120 4.50 2.40  
SOMEBODYLOVESYOU 5 3 3½ 3½   3 310 (reed r)GONZALEZ ALEX 120 2.50 47% 1.10 2.10 S
LITURGIA 3 2 5 5   5 410¼ (hernandez rey)DIAZ I 120 5.00 3.20  
TABOO HOO 2 5 44 4   46 511¼ (anderson susa)BRACHO A 120 3.50 11.90  
SCR  SEACHROME               (west aa)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
 
MVR-2   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
See original race card.
:231 :593       1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATLANTIC FIRESTORM 6 2 2nk 1nk   1 1 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 2.50 1.50  
STORMIN'UNCLEJACK 2 5 5 31   3 2 (faulkne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 116 3.50 28% 2.50 2.80 P
CENTSOFWANDER 1 6 6 63   64 3 (huffman candace )RIVERA R 124 3.00 35% 1.90 4.50 S
GOLD HERITAGE 5 3 1nk 2nk   2 4 (fadlovich meg)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 5.40  
NICHOLAS JAMES 4 1 3.2 52   5 5 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 126 4.50 7.00  
TRINNI SUMMER 3 4 4 4   43 6 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 7% 13.00 8.10  
 
MVR-3   03/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
See original race card.
:263 :512 1:18 1:32   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGORITA 3 2 2 21 41 1nk 1 (diehl candace)DIAZ I 126 3.50 9% 10.70 1.00 W
ICY RAIN 1 5 3 31 1nk 2nk 2 (trierweiler camer)YARANGA Y 126 4.50 7.30  
ASHWICKEN 5 7 5 42 2nk 34 316¼ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 2.50 24% 3.20 3.40 S
TEST YOUR FAITH 7 6 7 7 7 6 417½ (campbe)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 20.00 15.90  
FULL TIME STRUTIN 6 3 6 5 53 5 517¾ (gonzalez dona)CEDILLO MAURO 118 15.00 58.30  
LEMONSANDDIAMONDS 2 1 1 11 3½ 4 619¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 3.00 32% 2.10 2.40  
TISTAAHAL 4 4 4 6 6 77 720¼ (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 20.00 8% 11.30 66.50  
SCR  PRICELESS PICTURE               (anderson susa)BRACHO A 118 5.00    
 
MVR-4   03/29/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:03
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:14 1:422   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT DAME 1 2 1 12 1nk 1nk 11 (hernandez jav)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 8% 10.80 2.30 W
SPECIAL BEACH 6 1 34 3 3 4¾ 21 (mahan joseph)TAPARA BRANDON 124 3.50 50% 1.00 3.90 P
CURT'S ANGEL 2 3 2 22 2nk 2nk 3 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 8% 12.10 3.40 S
RAGTIME DOLLY 3 4 46 5 46 3.2 42 (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 5.00 2.30  
GO STELLAIRE 4 5 5 4 511 5 512¼ (vickers richa)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 15.00 8.50  
PRESCIENCE 5 6 6100 6100 6100 6100 6100 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 10.00 10.00  
SCR  GIRLINTHEFIREPLACE               (flick j)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SCR  INCESSANT               (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00    
 
MVR-5   03/29/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
See original race card.
:222 :471       1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE RING 3 8 8 6   44 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 51% 1.00 3.30 W
ROMANTIC JEWEL 6 3 2 32   3 2 (bird danny)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 19.10 P
LA MUNECA 5 2 1 11   2nk 3 (zielinski ric)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.50 6% 15.10 2.50 S
BEND THE KNEE 4 4 32 21   1nk 42 (fa)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 1.80  
WESTLODGE INTRIGUE 7 5 4 5   55 56 (robill)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 15% 5.60 6.50  
TAPALONG 2 6 76 7   6 6 (londono j)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 14.80  
READY TO PLAY 1 7 66 88   811½ 714½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 24.00  
ADULTING 8 1 54 4   7 817 (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 12.00  
SCR  FRIEND               (hern)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 15.00    
 
MVR-6   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:004     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROSSED UP 8 1 54 42   22 11 (zielinski richard)PEREZ E 124 3.00 2.30  
EXACTITUDE 4 4 1 1   12 21 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.00 14% 6.10 2.60 P
MY PINK BABY BIRD 6 2 3 3   4 3 (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 14.10  
LARSA 5 3 2 2   33 4 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.50 48% 1.10 3.70  
CAN I GO TOO 3 8 812¼ 710½   67 5 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 12% 7.10 2.90  
EASTER PRIDE 7 7 66 66   5 6 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 6.00 20.20  
WAR MOON 1 6 44 55   710 720¾ (doering mark)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 15.00 24.80  
CEE CEE'S GOT THIS 2 5 7 815½   818 839 (hurley mary )KEISER CHELSEY 124 20.00 29.40  
 
MVR-7   03/29/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:002     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AINT NO BANDLEADER 3 4 1nk 1½   1nk 1¼ (estvanko richard)AVILES YAN 116 2.50 43% 1.30 1.10 W
MIXTER JENSEN 7 3 4 2½   2nk 2¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 3.50 10% 9.10 4.10 P
FLAG RAISER 4 2 3½ 4¾   32 3 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 3.10 S
ANIMO ROBERTO 6 7 8 7   6 4 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 111 5.00 13% 6.70 10.00  
PLAYING BALL 1 6 52 5   55 5 (murillo rodrig)DIAZ I 124 15.00 55.50  
PRIMITIVO 2 5 2nk 3½   43 6 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 116 8.00 5.10  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 8 8 7 6   7 717½ (campbell ant)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 31.40  
WHO CAN WIN 5 1 6 8   813½ 826¾ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 50.40  
SCR  MARCH MAGIC               (brow)SALAZAR VICTOR 124 10.00 9% 10.70    
 
MVR-8   03/29/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:253 :502 1:172 1:32   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDY CARR 2 4 21 31 11 1 1 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 1.00 29% 2.50 0.40 W
  (by INDY WIND out of MISS CARRERA by MEMO (CHI))
DANES HEART 1 7 11 11 3 2 2 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 15.00 14.20  
  (by KENTUCKY DANE out of HOPEFUL HEART by LOST SOLDIER)
NOSEY POWER 8 2 5 6 65 43 3 (spiess m)HOUGHTON D 126 12.00 15.60 S
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of WHY US by WHYWHYWHY)
TRANSPIRED 5 5 32 43 5 5 411¼ (tumblin andr)GONZALEZ KEVIN 118 10.00 22.80  
  (by TWINSPIRED out of BACK FOR DINNER by PUT IT BACK)
BIG TIME FLIRT 4 1 42 21 21 33 511¾ (erdel john)RIVERA R 126 15.00 11.20  
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of SMALL TOWN FLIRT by PURGE)
MY TICKET 3 8 6 55 4 6 614 (cline robert)ROSARIO L 126 8.00 16% 5.40 7.70 DQ↓7
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
MUSIC GEM 6 6 79 77 7 7 716½ (zielinski r)SEVERINO VICTOR 118 6.00 13.70  
  (by MAKE MUSIC FOR ME out of AL'S BRIDE by ALCINDOR)
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 3 8 812 810¾ 8 816¾ (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 113 3.50 25% 3.00 9.30  
  (by KETTLE CORN out of HERONETTA by MARCHFIELD)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.