Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-5 $28.20 $10.20 57%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-5-1 $12.55 $3.55 39%
MVR-2   EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-7 $33.60 $9.60 40%
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-7-6 $13.15 $1.15 10%
MVR-3   SFT (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-5-7-6 $6.54 $4.14 173%
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    DD (6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $62.80 $44.80 249%
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-6-3 $33.90 $15.90 88%
    PK5 (2/1/5)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 432 $0.50 $216  2-5-3-6-3 $316.80 $100.80 47%
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $16.00 $6.00 60%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See original race card.
:244 :49 1:144 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KHOPILOT 2 4 44 56¼ 410½ 45 1½ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 1.80 41% 1.40 0.90 W
5  SMALL BUT FEISTY 5 2 21 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 117 4.50 5% 19.00 6.90 P
1  FISHING FOR FUN 1 1 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 31¼ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 31% 2.20 1.30 S
6  AWESOME BREAK 6 3 55½ 46¼ 37 35 47½ (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 31.70  
7  RUBINSTEIN 7 6 65¾ 67¾ 512 512 511 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★ 16.80  
4  PRETTY LOUD 4 7 79¼ 711¼ 621 620 619½ (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 42.60  
3  BALI BEACH 3 5 34 36 724 740 752 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 22.00  
 
MVR-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:46
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SILVER STICK STAIR 4 1 1nk 1nk   3.2 1½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 19% 4.30 3.20 W
7  MYRRH 6 3 51¾ 3.2   1nk 2½ (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80 P
6  CALTHA 5 2 31 2nk   2nk 3½ (gorham robert)BRACHO A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 S
3  TARA DAWN 2 6 61¾ 52¼   4¾ 4¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 13.00  
2  RUN AWAY FEVER 1 4 41½ 65¼   55¾ 52¾ (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 8.10  
4  SABELLE 3 5 2nk 41¾   65¾ 69 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8% 11.30 7.50  
SCR  ANDIAMA               (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:253 :492 1:143 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MOBIL CHIC 3 4 21 21 2nk 12½ 15¼ (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 W
5  EMERSON JONES 5 1 11 11 1nk 22½ 25¼ (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 8% 10.90 2.90 P
7  DIAMONDS N DEW 7 5 42 52½ 31½ 33 37¼ (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 21% 3.80 4.30 S
6  CAN I GO TOO 6 2 77¼ 710 78¼ 48 412 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 24% 3.20 14.80  
2  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 7 64¼ 65 56¾ 69½ 514¾ (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7.70  
1  EASTER PRIDE 1 6 52¼ 41½ 46½ 58½ 616½ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 30.30  
4  MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 3 31 31½ 67¼ 714 722 (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 30.70  
 
MVR-4   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:244 :493 1:153 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  WHISKEY ROAN 6 2 43 34 31½ 2nk 1¾ (west m)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 W
1  BON DEUX 1 1 12 12½ 11 1nk 2¾ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 126 8.00 3.90  
7  ONE FOR THE MONEY 7 5 55½ 65¾ 64½ 43 33 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 3.00 15% 5.90 4.30 S
3  RESERVATION 3 3 32 44 42½ 3½ 43¼ (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 13.50  
8  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 8 6 78 55½ 52½ 53¼ 57¾ (dubie k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 12% 7.50 10.90  
5  SHEA D CAPTURE 5 4 66½ 86¼ 78½ 66¼ 611¼ (gotera c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★ 5.40  
2  JOHNNY'S MOMENT 2 7 22 22½ 21 77¼ 712½ (warpoo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 3.50  
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER 4 8 814 76¼ 88¾ 812¼ 822¾ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 22.50  
 
MVR-5   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:221 :462       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY 3 4 12½ 11   1nk 1¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 14.80 4.80 W
8  OVER THE HILLS 7 3 22½ 21   2nk 2¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 4.00 2.60  
4  MONTAUK COVE 4 5 33 41½   31½ 31½ (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 61% 0.60 1.50 S
1  DONNELS CREEK 1 7 67 54   53½ 47¼ (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 ★ 22.10  
2  CALL WEST 2 8 816 811½   76¾ 57¼ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 11.50  
9  ASTRO JAK 8 1 44 31   43 68 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
5  KHALFANI 5 6 710 710   88¾ 79 (pattah d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★ 17.40  
6  VALEROSO 6 2 55 66   66½ 811¾ (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 38.50  
SCR  PAYNTED               (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:224 :473       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOYFUL NOISE 3 9 86¾ 75¾   42 1¾ (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 121 8.00 9.10  
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL 2 3 2nk 22   2nk 2¾ (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 ★ 7.70 P
5  ANCIENT BROWN 5 10 109¾ 96¾   54½ 32½ (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 18.70  
10  TALKBACK 10 4 42½ 32   3½ 42½ (castillo )BRICENO M 121 5.00 51% 1.00 1.50  
9  GOLDEN LASSIE 9 1 1nk 12   1nk 52¾ (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 6% 17.10 5.40  
8  CHARGAREE 8 8 97¾ 65½   76¼ 65¾ (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 20% 4.00 4.80  
1  CASCABRIA 1 7 76¼ 1010¾   86¼ 77¾ (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 12.00 58.30  
4  MAVI 4 2 32 43   64¾ 88 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★ 7.20  
7  WILLYMAR 7 5 52¾ 54½   96¾ 910 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 8.00 20.20  
6  BELLA BASORA 6 6 65¾ 85¾   108¼ 1012 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 16.10  
 
MVR-7   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:123 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  THRU THE VINE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 11 13½ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 15.10  
7  RAISON KARTER 7 6 54 43½ 21 21 23½ (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 2.00 ★ 0.70 P
4  SO DIALED IN 4 5 2½ 2½ 31 32½ 33¾ (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 5.00 21% 3.70 8.50 S
8  SAINT GOAR 8 4 76½ 65 64½ 55½ 43¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 4.80  
1  CREDIT RIVER 1 7 43 54½ 54 44 57 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 13.50  
5  CHIEF RANDEL 5 1 31½ 31½ 43 610 610¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 12.30  
3  TANTRUM 3 3 66 811½ 812 819 712 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 15% 5.90 6.10  
6  DISCLOSURE 6 8 86½ 78 79 717 812¼ (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 26.10  
 
MVR-8   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:251 :484 1:14 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PERFETTO 5 2 42½ 53½ 42½ 22½ 11 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.20 7.00 W
8  ROYAL DRAGOON 9 5 88 77½ 65½ 42¾ 21 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 4.50 6.30  
2  CLAW 1 4 11 12 1nk 12½ 34 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 3.30  
1  DEBDURITE 2 8 21 22 31 32½ 45¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 45% 1.20 2.80  
6  KING OF THE RING 7 7 77 64½ 54½ 53¼ 55¾ (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.90 2.70  
3  GOOD IDEA 3 3 65 87¾ 88½ 79¼ 610½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 7% 13.40 8.00  
7  ENJOY BASEBALL 8 9 99½ 97¾ 76½ 811¼ 715¼ (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 25.20  
1A  PAT DADDY 4 1 31½ 32 2nk 66¼ 815½ (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 2.80  
5  HARD N'SWEET 6 6 55 42½ 98¾ 915¼ 921 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.90 16.90  
 
MVR-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:221 :453 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  DUKE OF DARKNESS 5 4 41¾ 4¾   2½ 1¼ (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★ 2.80  
3  HOLY SAINT 3 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¼ (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 12.00 6% 16.30 4.80 P
1A  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 7 1 51¾ 52¼   55 34½ (reavis michael)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.90  
4  WAR NOVEL 4 5 3.2 2nk   32 48¼ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 21.10  
7  CORNER OFFICE 6 6 79 713¼   68 58¼ (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.50 43% 1.30 7.80  
1  VITALE 2 8 810½ 815¾   815 613½ (reavis michae)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 1.90  
2  TEMPLE TITAN 1 2 2nk 3½   43½ 717½ (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9% 9.90 4.60  
8  BACHELOR PAD 8 7 68¾ 69¼   714 818¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 19% 4.40 7.70  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.