The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Mahoning Valley Race Course
Saturday - April 15, 2023

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MVR-1   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
:244 :49 1:144 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOPILOT 2 4 44 5 410½ 45 1½ (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 1.80 41% 1.40 0.90 W
SMALL BUT FEISTY 5 2 21 2nk 1nk 1½ 2½ (cordero-lopez al)DIAZ I 117 4.50 5% 19.00 6.90 P
FISHING FOR FUN 1 1 11 1nk 2nk 2½ 3(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 31% 2.20 1.30 S
AWESOME BREAK 6 3 5 4 37 35 4(bird d)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 31.70  
RUBINSTEIN 7 6 6 6 512 512 511 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 124 6.00 16.80  
PRETTY LOUD 4 7 7 711¼ 621 620 619½ (gomez aleja)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 42.60  
BALI BEACH 3 5 34 36 724 740 752 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 22.00  
 
MVR-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:46
:231 :472 1:003     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER STICK STAIR 4 1 1nk 1nk   3.2 1½ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 19% 4.30 3.20 W
MYRRH 6 3 5 3.2   1nk 2½ (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80 P
CALTHA 5 2 31 2nk   2nk 3½ (gorham m)BRACHO A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 S
TARA DAWN 2 6 6 5   4¾ 4¾ (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 13.00  
RUN AWAY FEVER 1 4 4 6   55(spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 8.10  
SABELLE 3 5 2nk 4   669 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8% 11.30 7.50  
SCR  ANDIAMA               (huffman c)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
:253 :492 1:143 1:274   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL CHIC 3 4 21 21 2nk 11(zielinski richard)RIVERA R 124 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 W
EMERSON JONES 5 1 11 11 1nk 22(skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 8% 10.90 2.90 P
DIAMONDS N DEW 7 5 42 5 3 33 3(meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 21% 3.80 4.30 S
CAN I GO TOO 6 2 7 710 7 48 412 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 24% 3.20 14.80  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 7 6 65 5 6514¾ (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7.70  
EASTER PRIDE 1 6 5 4 4 5616½ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 30.30  
MY PINK BABY BIRD 4 3 31 3 6 714 722 (vickers richard)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 30.70  
 
MVR-4   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
:244 :493 1:153 1:423   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY ROAN 6 2 43 34 3 2nk 1¾ (west m)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 W
BON DEUX 1 1 12 1 11 1nk 2¾ (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 126 8.00 3.90  
ONE FOR THE MONEY 7 5 5 6 6 43 33 (gorham m)DIAZ I 126 3.00 15% 5.90 4.30 S
RESERVATION 3 3 32 44 4 3½ 4(urieta johanna)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 13.50  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS 8 6 78 5 5 55(dubie kat)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 12% 7.50 10.90  
SHEA D CAPTURE 5 4 6 8 7 6611¼ (gotera car)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 5.40  
JOHNNY'S MOMENT 2 7 22 2 21 7712½ (warpool )BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 3.50  
BAYTOWN BEAVER 4 8 814 7 8 812¼ 822¾ (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 22.50  
 
MVR-5   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
:221 :462       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECEITFUL ANTHONY 3 4 1 11   1nk 1¾ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 14.80 4.80 W
OVER THE HILLS 7 3 2 21   2nk 2¾ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 4.00 2.60  
MONTAUK COVE 4 5 33 4   33(wolochuk david)BRACHO A 124 2.50 61% 0.60 1.50 S
DONNELS CREEK 1 7 67 54   54(pizzurro jo)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 22.10  
CALL WEST 2 8 816 811½   75(vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 11.50  
ASTRO JAK 8 1 44 31   43 68 (vickers )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
KHALFANI 5 6 710 710   879 (pattah d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 17.40  
VALEROSO 6 2 55 66   6811¾ (spiess sh)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 38.50  
SCR  PAYNTED               (cannon stev)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
:224 :473       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL NOISE 3 9 8 7   42 1¾ (cline c)BECKMAN ALICE 121 8.00 9.10  
ROMANTIC JEWEL 2 3 2nk 22   2nk 2¾ (bird)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 7.70 P
ANCIENT BROWN 5 10 10 9   53(vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 18.70  
10  TALKBACK 10 4 4 32   3½ 4(castillo ja)BRICENO M 121 5.00 51% 1.00 1.50  
GOLDEN LASSIE 9 1 1nk 12   1nk 5(clouston edward)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 6% 17.10 5.40  
CHARGAREE 8 8 9 6   76(zircher )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 20% 4.00 4.80  
CASCABRIA 1 7 7 1010¾   87(skerrett jeffr)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 12.00 58.30  
MAVI 4 2 32 43   688 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 7.20  
WILLYMAR 7 5 5 5   9910 (rangel arnulfo)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 8.00 20.20  
BELLA BASORA 6 6 6 8   101012 (gotera ju)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 16.10  
 
MVR-7   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
:243 :474 1:123 1:253   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRU THE VINE 2 2 1½ 1½ 11 11 1(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 15.10  
RAISON KARTER 7 6 54 4 21 21 2(estvanko richar)BRACHO A 126 2.00 0.70 P
SO DIALED IN 4 5 2½ 2½ 31 33(skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 5.00 21% 3.70 8.50 S
SAINT GOAR 8 4 7 65 6 54(pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 4.80  
CREDIT RIVER 1 7 43 5 54 44 57 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 13.50  
CHIEF RANDEL 5 1 3 3 43 610 610¼ (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 12.30  
TANTRUM 3 3 66 811½ 812 819 712 (hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 15% 5.90 6.10  
DISCLOSURE 6 8 8 78 79 717 812¼ (skerrett)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 26.10  
 
MVR-8   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
:251 :484 1:14 1:271   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFETTO 5 2 4 5 4 211 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.20 7.00 W
ROYAL DRAGOON 9 5 88 7 6 421 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 4.50 6.30  
CLAW 1 4 11 12 1nk 134 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 3.30  
DEBDURITE 2 8 21 22 31 34(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 45% 1.20 2.80  
KING OF THE RING 7 7 77 6 5 55(pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.90 2.70  
GOOD IDEA 3 3 65 8 8 7610½ (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 7% 13.40 8.00  
ENJOY BASEBALL 8 9 9 9 7 811¼ 715¼ (vickers richard )HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 25.20  
1A  PAT DADDY 4 1 3 32 2nk 6815½ (rivera ne)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 2.80  
HARD N'SWEET 6 6 55 4 9 915¼ 921 (vickers )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.90 16.90  
 
MVR-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
:221 :453 :583     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF DARKNESS 5 4 4 4¾   2½ 1¼ (galloway)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 2.80  
HOLY SAINT 3 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 2¼ (urieta joha)BRICENO M 119 12.00 6% 16.30 4.80 P
1A  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY 7 1 5 5   55 3(reavis l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.90  
WAR NOVEL 4 5 3.2 2nk   32 4(bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 21.10  
CORNER OFFICE 6 6 79 713¼   68 5(hamm timothy)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.50 43% 1.30 7.80  
VITALE 2 8 810½ 815¾   815 613½ (reavis michael )CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 1.90  
TEMPLE TITAN 1 2 2nk 3½   4717½ (wolochuk )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9% 9.90 4.60  
BACHELOR PAD 8 7 6 6   714 818¼ (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 19% 4.40 7.70  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM               (ramos francisco)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.