Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MVR-1   EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-5 $28.20 $10.20 57%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-5-1 $12.55 $3.55 39%
MVR-2   EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-7 $33.60 $9.60 40%
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00  5-7-6 $13.15 $1.15 10%
MVR-3   SFT (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-5-7-6 $6.54 $4.14 173%
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $7.60 $1.60 27%
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $11.60 $5.60 93%
    DD (6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $62.80 $44.80 249%
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00  3-6-3 $33.90 $15.90 88%
    PK5 (2/1/5)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 432 $0.50 $216  2-5-3-6-3 $316.80 $100.80 47%
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  4 $16.00 $6.00 60%

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOPILOT   (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 1.80 41% 1.40 0.90 W
SMALL BUT FEISTY   (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 117 4.50 5% 19.00 6.90 P
FISHING FOR FUN   (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 31% 2.20 1.30 S
AWESOME BREAK   (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00 31.70  
RUBINSTEIN   (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 6.00 16.80  
PRETTY LOUD   (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 42.60  
BALI BEACH   (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00 22.00  
 
MVR-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:46
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER STICK STAIR   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 19% 4.30 3.20 W
MYRRH   (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 19% 4.30 3.80 P
CALTHA   (gorham robert)BRACHO A 124 2.50 23% 3.30 1.00 S
TARA DAWN   (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00 13.00  
RUN AWAY FEVER   (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00 8.10  
SABELLE   (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8% 11.30 7.50  
SCR  ANDIAMA   (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
 
MVR-3   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL CHIC   (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 24% 3.10 0.80 W
EMERSON JONES   (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 8% 10.90 2.90 P
DIAMONDS N DEW   (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 21% 3.80 4.30 S
CAN I GO TOO   (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 24% 3.20 14.80  
LUCKY PENNY ROSE   (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00 7.70  
EASTER PRIDE   (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 30.30  
MY PINK BABY BIRD   (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 30.70  
 
MVR-4   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHISKEY ROAN   (west m)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 47% 1.10 2.80 W
BON DEUX   (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 126 8.00 3.90  
ONE FOR THE MONEY   (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 3.00 15% 5.90 4.30 S
RESERVATION   (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00 13.50  
MY TWO AUNT JOANS   (dubie k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 12% 7.50 10.90  
SHEA D CAPTURE   (gotera c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 5.40  
JOHNNY'S MOMENT   (warpoo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00 3.50  
BAYTOWN BEAVER   (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00 22.50  
 
MVR-5   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DECEITFUL ANTHONY   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 14.80 4.80 W
OVER THE HILLS   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 4.00 2.60  
MONTAUK COVE   (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 61% 0.60 1.50 S
DONNELS CREEK   (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 22.10  
CALL WEST   (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00 11.50  
ASTRO JAK   (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 4.70  
KHALFANI   (pattah d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 17.40  
VALEROSO   (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00 38.50  
SCR  PAYNTED   (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOYFUL NOISE   (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 121 8.00 9.10  
ROMANTIC JEWEL   (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 7.70 P
ANCIENT BROWN   (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 10.00 18.70  
10  TALKBACK   (castillo )BRICENO M 121 5.00 51% 1.00 1.50  
GOLDEN LASSIE   (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 6% 17.10 5.40  
CHARGAREE   (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 20% 4.00 4.80  
CASCABRIA   (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 12.00 58.30  
MAVI   (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 7.20  
WILLYMAR   (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 8.00 20.20  
BELLA BASORA   (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00 16.10  
 
MVR-7   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRU THE VINE   (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 15.10  
RAISON KARTER   (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 2.00 0.70 P
SO DIALED IN   (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 5.00 21% 3.70 8.50 S
SAINT GOAR   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50 4.80  
CREDIT RIVER   (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 13.50  
CHIEF RANDEL   (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00 12.30  
TANTRUM   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 15% 5.90 6.10  
DISCLOSURE   (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 26.10  
 
MVR-8   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFETTO   (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.20 7.00 W
ROYAL DRAGOON   (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 4.50 6.30  
CLAW   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 6.00 3.30  
DEBDURITE   (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 45% 1.20 2.80  
KING OF THE RING   (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.90 2.70  
GOOD IDEA   (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 7% 13.40 8.00  
ENJOY BASEBALL   (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00 25.20  
1A  PAT DADDY   (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00 2.80  
HARD N'SWEET   (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.90 16.90  
 
MVR-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF DARKNESS   (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 2.80  
HOLY SAINT   (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 12.00 6% 16.30 4.80 P
1A  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY   (reavis michael)DIAZ I 124 2.50 1.90  
WAR NOVEL   (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00 21.10  
CORNER OFFICE   (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.50 43% 1.30 7.80  
VITALE   (reavis michae)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50 1.90  
TEMPLE TITAN   (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9% 9.90 4.60  
BACHELOR PAD   (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 19% 4.40 7.70  
SCR  CINDY'S STORM   (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.