Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5/7)-(2/1/5/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/6/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-2   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/4)-(3/6/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-3   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/5)-(6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (6/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/7/8)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/7/8)-(4/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8)-(4/3/9)-(10/8/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/9)-(4/3/1/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/9)-(4/3/1/9/5)-(4/3/1/9/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/3/9)-(10/8/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/9)-(10/8/9)-(8/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-6   WIN (10/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/4/2)-(10/8/9/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/8/9)-(8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/8/9)-(8/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-7   WIN (8/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/4/3)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3)-(1/6/4/3/5)-(7/8/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-8   WIN (1/6/4/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5)-(1/6/4/3/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/6/4/3/5)-(7/8/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MVR-9   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3/6)-(7/8/2/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FISHING FOR FUN Apr05 Mar15 Feb09 Jan25 Dec29 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 2.00 31% 2.20    
2  KHOPILOT Mar06 Feb16 Nov08 Oct27 Oct05 (urieta johanna)YARANGA Y 124 1.80 41% 1.40    
3  BALI BEACH Feb21 Jun01 May12 Apr03 Feb09 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 12.00    
4  PRETTY LOUD Apr03 Mar15 Mar06 Feb16 Feb06 (gomez ale)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
5  SMALL BUT FEISTY Feb25 Feb03 Dec02 Oct09 Aug29 (cordero-lopez )DIAZ I 117 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  AWESOME BREAK Apr03 Mar23 Mar15 Feb16 Jan23 (bird)SALAZAR VICTOR 126 8.00    
7  RUBINSTEIN Jan06 Dec02 Oct25 Oct11 Sep29 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 124 6.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ANDIAMA Mar23 Mar07 Feb14 Jan10 Dec07 (huffman)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 5.00    
2  RUN AWAY FEVER Mar28 Mar14 Feb14 Jan31 Jan18 (spiess m)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
3  TARA DAWN Mar30 Mar14 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 15.00    
4  SABELLE Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Dec22 Dec07 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  SILVER STICK STAIR Mar30 Mar15 Feb08 Jan25 Jan10 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 2.00 19% 4.30    
6  CALTHA Mar30 Mar14 Feb14 Jan28 Jan09 (gorham robert)BRACHO A 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  MYRRH Mar30 Mar14 Feb27 Jan31 Jan18 (poole c)AVILES YAN 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
MVR-3   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASTER PRIDE Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
2  LUCKY PENNY ROSE Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Feb06 Jan17 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 10.00    
3  MOBIL CHIC Mar30 Mar15 Mar02 Feb15 Jan17 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 2.00 24% 3.10    
4  MY PINK BABY BIRD Mar29 Mar15 Feb23 Feb07 Jan18 (vickers richa)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
5  EMERSON JONES Mar23 Mar02 Feb23 Dec30 Dec15 (skerrett jeffrey)AVILES YAN 117 2.50 8% 10.90    
6  CAN I GO TOO Mar29 Mar15 Mar02 Feb15 Jan23 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 4.50 24% 3.20    
7  DIAMONDS N DEW Mar30 Mar02 Apr12 Mar26 Mar10 (meyers shane)PEREZ E 124 3.00 21% 3.80    
 
MVR-4   04/15/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BON DEUX Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Feb01 Jan23 (rivera nestor)RIVERA R 126 8.00    
2  JOHNNY'S MOMENT Mar31 Mar17 Feb15 Feb02 Dec18 (warpoo)BATISTA ALBERTO 119 8.00    
3  RESERVATION Apr03 Mar23 Mar07 Jan12 Dec28 (urieta johan)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 6.00    
4  BAYTOWN BEAVER Feb16 Jan11 Nov21 Nov08 Oct27 (cain crystal)VIGIL NOEL 119 20.00    
5  SHEA D CAPTURE Apr03 Feb16 Jan23 Jan04 Dec21 (gotera c)CEDILLO MAURO 121 8.00 ★    
6  WHISKEY ROAN Feb25 Jan19 Jun02     (west m)AVILES YAN 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  ONE FOR THE MONEY Apr05 Mar21 Mar06 Feb16 Aug15 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 126 3.00 15% 5.90    
8  MY TWO AUNT JOANS Mar23 Mar07 Feb16 Jan30 Jan12 (dubie k)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 3.50 12% 7.50    
 
MVR-5   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONNELS CREEK Mar20 Mar02 Aug03 Jul26 Jun28 (pizzurro )HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 126 8.00 ★    
2  CALL WEST Mar27 Mar15 Mar02 Feb09 Nov30 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 10.00    
3  DECEITFUL ANTHONY Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 Dec28 Dec12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 6.00 6% 14.80    
4  MONTAUK COVE Mar22 Mar02 Feb07 Jan03 Dec15 (wolochuk davi)BRACHO A 124 2.50 61% 0.60    
5  KHALFANI Mar28 Mar02 Feb15 Jan31 Jan11 (pattah d)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★    
6  VALEROSO Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 Feb09 Dec15 (spiess )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 12.00    
SCR  PAYNTED Dec28 Nov02 Oct11 Sep14 Aug22 (cannon st)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
8  OVER THE HILLS Mar27 Mar08 Oct28 Sep23 Aug05 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 126 4.00    
9  ASTRO JAK Mar23 Feb28 Feb15 Jan26 Jan02 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   04/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASCABRIA Feb21 Jan10 Dec20 Dec13 Sep22 (skerrett jef)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 12.00    
2  ROMANTIC JEWEL Apr10 Mar29 Mar13 Feb21 Feb01 (bi)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 8.00 ★    
3  JOYFUL NOISE Dec08 Nov03 Oct25 Sep23 Sep09 (cline robert )BECKMAN ALICE 121 8.00    
4  MAVI Nov17 Nov01 Oct23 Sep25 Aug31 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 6.00 ★    
5  ANCIENT BROWN Mar18 Dec30 Nov24 Oct21 Sep09 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 126 10.00    
6  BELLA BASORA Nov02 Oct16 Sep20 Aug24 Jul26 (gotera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 10.00    
7  WILLYMAR Mar30 Feb27 Feb14 Jan19 Jan11 (rangel arnul)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 8.00    
8  CHARGAREE Mar13 Feb21 Feb06 Jan19 Dec28 (zirche)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.50 20% 4.00    
9  GOLDEN LASSIE Feb27 Feb09 Jan11 Dec28 Dec13 (clouston edwa)CEDILLO MAURO 121 3.50 6% 17.10    
10  TALKBACK Sep19 Aug25 Aug03 Jul11 Jun27 (castillo )BRICENO M 121 5.00 51% 1.00    
 
MVR-7   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREDIT RIVER Mar22 Feb08 Jan05 Dec13 Nov04 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
2  THRU THE VINE Mar27 Mar13 Jan30 Jan09 Dec28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
3  TANTRUM Oct29 Sep19 Aug29 Jun25 Jun03 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 6.00 15% 5.90    
4  SO DIALED IN Mar22 Mar13 Dec06 Nov12 Oct10 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ E 124 5.00 21% 3.70    
5  CHIEF RANDEL Apr04 Mar20 Mar13 Feb23 Jan10 (romero a)HOUGHTON D 126 8.00    
6  DISCLOSURE Mar22 Mar13 Oct14 Sep19 Aug31 (skerre)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
7  RAISON KARTER Apr03 Mar14 Jan30 Jan18 Dec28 (estvanko rich)BRACHO A 126 2.00 ★    
8  SAINT GOAR Mar13 Jan28 Jan03 Dec20 Dec05 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 40% 1.50    
 
MVR-8   04/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBDURITE Apr03 Mar07 Feb21 Jan16 Jan03 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 45% 1.20    
1A  PAT DADDY Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 Jan26 Jan10 (rivera )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 126 5.00    
2  CLAW Mar30 Mar13 Feb20 Feb07 Jan18 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
3  GOOD IDEA Mar16 Feb13 Jan24 Dec27 Dec14 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 10.00 7% 13.40    
4  PERFETTO Mar14 Feb22 Feb02 Jan17 Dec12 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 9% 10.20    
5  HARD N'SWEET Apr03 Mar09 Feb22 Feb02 Dec29 (vicker)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 5% 18.90    
6  KING OF THE RING Apr03 Feb21 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.00 13% 6.90    
7  ENJOY BASEBALL Apr03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb08 Jan16 (vickers richar)HOUGHTON D 124 10.00    
8  ROYAL DRAGOON Apr03 Mar09 Feb21 Jan30 Jan10 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
 
MVR-9   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VITALE Mar02 Dec30 Dec10 Nov20 Nov06 (reavis michae)CEDILLO MAURO 119 2.50    
1A  SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Mar28 Feb20 Dec10 Nov18 Oct30 (reavis michael)DIAZ I 124 2.50    
2  TEMPLE TITAN Feb22 Jan23 Dec19 Nov17 Oct03 (wolochu)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00 9% 9.90    
3  HOLY SAINT Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Feb09 Nov16 (urieta jo)BRICENO M 119 12.00 6% 16.30    
4  WAR NOVEL Mar28 Mar08 Feb08 Jul07 Jun10 (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 124 15.00    
SCR  CINDY'S STORM Mar30 Mar16 Feb08 Jan17 Dec31 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
6  DUKE OF DARKNESS Feb20 Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 Oct03 (gallow)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 4.50 ★    
7  CORNER OFFICE Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jun25 Jun03 (hamm timoth)SANCHEZ JEFFREY 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
8  BACHELOR PAD Mar30 Jun26 Jun05 May19 May07 (sullivan elliott)PEREZ E 124 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.