Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont Park
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-3   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $26.40 $18.40 230%
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-6 $21.40 $9.40 78%
BEL-5   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.90 $0.90 11%
BEL-8   WIN (6/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $16.00 $8.00 100%
    EXA (6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-9 $41.25 $25.25 158%
BEL-9   WIN (1/12/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $19.20 $11.20 140%
    EXA (1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-1 $24.20 $12.20 102%
    TRI (1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-1-5 $54.87 $42.87 357%
    DD (6/4/9/3)-(1/12/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  4-7 $54.75 $38.75 242%
Simulator Race results
 
BEL-1   05/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:22 :454       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PRINCESA CELINA 5 1 21 2½   11½ 16½ (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 0.80 45% 1.20 0.35 W
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LASTOFTHSUMMERWINE by SKY MESA)
4  LESLIE'S LOOT 4 2 11 1½   21½ 26½ (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 14.30  
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
3  SLAINTE MHATH 3 4 410 412   413 314½ (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 5.90  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY WORTHINGTON by SCAT DADDY)
1  ROUND THE TOWN 1 3 33 36   311½ 416¼ (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 15% 5.50 3.50  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JEANNE'S SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  JUST THE OAKS 2 5 519 519   516 516¾ (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 7% 14.10 21.80  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
 
BEL-2   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ICY STARE DOWN 4 1 11 11   13 11½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 40% 1.50 0.85 W
1  BRISKY FROLIC 1 5 21 21   23 21½ (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 22% 3.50 2.75 P
5  JUST A NYQUIST 3 3 53½ 45½   47 34 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00 6.30  
3  FANTAIL (GB) 2 4 31½ 33½   37 49¾ (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20 5.90  
9  PRINCESS PINKY 6 2 41½ 56½   514 518¾ (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 9.00  
7  REDZILLA 5 6 66½ 613½   620½ 621¼ (para)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 30.00 47.75  
SCR  CROWDING OUT               (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO               (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
SCR  SECRET TIME (GER)               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
BEL-3   05/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PIT BOSS 7 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 11¾ (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 14% 6.20 12.20 W
7  SAILOR SPEED 8 3 21 2½ 32½ 33 21¾ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 29.50  
5  GENTLEMAN JOE 5 4 42 51½ 54 44½ 34 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.10  
1A  DURKIN'S CALL 6 2 52 41 2nk 21 44 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.10  
2  CARIBBEAN (AUS) 1 6 31½ 3½ 43½ 55 57 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 2.30  
3  HAMMERIN AAMER 2 7 73¾ 73¼ 76½ 68½ 67½ (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 26% 2.80 3.15  
1  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 3 8 87¾ 85¼ 811 710½ 79½ (baker charlt)BAILEY O 123 3.00 4.10  
4  DARK STORM 4 5 63½ 63 65 813 816¼ (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 12% 7.40 37.25  
 
BEL-4   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:13 1:262   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AMANDA'S FOLLY 6 3 32 43½ 31½ 12 13¾ (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.60 3.10  
2  CAPTIVATING CARA 1 4 63½ 55 42½ 43 23¾ (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 21.40  
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 2 1nk 12½ 11 22 37¼ (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75 S
7  COLLABORATION 4 5 2nk 22½ 54½ 56 411¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 19% 4.20 3.75  
3  SMOKIE EYES 2 1 42½ 33 21 33 512¼ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.35  
8  LADY JASMINE 5 6 53 66 610 614 625¾ (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00 3.20  
SCR  SALS DREAM GIRL               (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE               (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  WATERVILLE               (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
 
BEL-5   05/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:13 1:38   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  Q F SEVENTY FIVE 2 6 1½ 11 11 17 12¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00 3.45 W
4  AL'S ROCKET 4 1 88½ 86¾ 76 27 22¾ (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 2.50 2.55  
8  INFLATION ADJUSTED 8 3 76½ 74¾ 64½ 38½ 36¼ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 28% 2.60 3.40 S
1  AFJAN 1 8 52 52¼ 33½ 49½ 49¼ (toscano joh)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 20.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
6  HOLD THE SALSA 6 5 62½ 64¾ 87½ 719½ 519¼ (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 45.25  
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 4 31½ 32 43½ 617½ 620¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.50 5.50  
5  BREAKWATER 5 7 42 42 54 824 728 (mcgaughey cla)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 9.60  
3  NOT PHAR NOW 3 2 2½ 21 21 517½ 828½ (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.20 5.20  
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH               (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
SCR  CENTAVO               (chatterpaul naipa)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
SCR  OUSTER               (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 0.60    
 
BEL-6   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  WISHING ON A STAR 7 5 51¾ 52¼ 41½ 2½ 14 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00 2.80  
3  ICY REPLY 3 1 31½ 1nk 1½ 1½ 24 (ferr)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 8.00 18.30  
5  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 2 41½ 75¼ 67½ 79 39½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 12% 7.50 3.10 S
8  CARBON 8 4 2½ 31½ 55½ 58 49¾ (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 21% 3.70 8.80  
6  MAGGIE T 6 3 1½ 2nk 2½ 33 510 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.40  
1  VODKATINI 1 7 62¾ 64¾ 78 89½ 613½ (gorham michael )CANCEL ERIC 126 6.00 ★ 6.40  
2  DASHING DELLA 2 6 73¼ 42 31½ 45½ 713½ (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10.10  
4  R GIRL FAITH 4 8 85¾ 87¼ 88½ 69 814 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 20.00 47.75  
 
BEL-7   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:123 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SUNSET LOUISE 3 3 11 11½ 11 13½ 14½ (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 3.80  
1  BUSTIN BAY 1 7 31½ 21½ 21 23½ 24½ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 36% 1.70 4.20 P
6  SWEET MYSTERY 6 2 52 42 31 34 35 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 8% 12.00 1.85 S
2  MY FIRST LOVE 2 4 41½ 31½ 41½ 47½ 410 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 10% 9.10 5.60  
5  AMITY ISLAND 5 6 64½ 64 54½ 59½ 512½ (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 56.75  
8  MIA BEA STAR 8 1 74¾ 74½ 710 713 613½ (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 16.60  
7  B B'S BUSTED 7 8 86¼ 85½ 66 611½ 714 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 18% 4.40 10.20  
4  DUFRESNE 4 5 21 52½ 812½ 819 822½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 6.60  
 
BEL-8   05/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  RUNNINGWSCISSORS 4 8 41½ 41½   1nk 13¾ (jacobson dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00 16% 5.40 7.00 W
9  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS 9 1 31 3½   3½ 23¾ (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 9% 10.30 5.90 P
2  DOCTOR JEFF 1 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 34¾ (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 2.90  
3  MOMOS 2 4 52 52   42½ 44¾ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 121 15.00 8% 10.90 13.60  
8  MARVALOUS MIKE 8 7 74½ 74¼   73¾ 55¾ (montoya marya)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 31.25  
7  BIG PACKAGE 7 9 98 84¾   53½ 65¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 4.20  
5  TURN OF EVENTS 5 3 64 64   84 76¼ (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 ★ 9.30  
1  SEVEN SCENTS 3 5 85½ 95¾   95½ 89¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 9.50  
6  FLUID SITUATION 6 6 1nk 2nk   63¾ 913 (terranova)VARGAS A 123 6.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
SCR  EMERALD FOREST               (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
SCR  H P MOON               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA               (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
 
BEL-9   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
See original race card.
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MZ BIG BUCKS 5 1 11 11½   12 11½ (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 17.60 8.60 W
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
1A  LOON CRY 6 6 31½ 21½   22 21½ (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 54% 0.80 0.50 P
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
5  ACE UP HER SLEEVE 4 3 75 710   411½ 37¼ (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 10.30 8.30 S
  (by DIALED IN out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
4  GRACEFUL ROSE 3 7 810½ 812   512½ 47¼ (gorham michael )DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 15.80  
  (by BAL A BALI out of BUCCELLA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
2  ADMIRE MY CROWN 1 5 42½ 32½   37½ 58½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 11.40  
  (by WAR DANCER out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
3  POWER AND GLORY 2 4 52½ 48   614 614½ (thompson gle)SAMUEL L 124 30.00 56.00  
  (by JACK MILTON out of MAMA GET EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
12  MIDNITE CONFESSION 8 8 63½ 69   718½ 721¾ (martin ca)VARGAS A 118 5.00 10% 8.60 7.50  
  (by UNIFIED out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
10  PHINNEYS HARBOR 7 2 21 58½   819 826 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 21.10  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FRENCH LINK by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  CERRETTA               (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY               (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUMMER ESCAPE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  SNOWY EVENING               (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  SPINNING COLORS               (hennig mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
SCR  VOLEUSE               (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.