The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Belmont Park
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.70 $2.70 -3.30
    Exacta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 5-4 2 0 $9.90 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 5-4-3 3 0 $12.75 $0.00 -3.00
BEL-2   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.70 $3.70 -2.30
    Exacta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-1 2 1 $4.45 $4.45 -1.55
    Trifecta (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-1-5 3 0 $5.35 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/2/5)-(1/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 5-6 2 1 $2.90 $2.90 -6.10
BEL-3   Win (1/3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $26.40 $26.40 18.40
    Exacta (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-7 2 0 $76.50 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6)-(1/3/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-7-5 3 0 $122.75 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/3/6)-(1/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-6 2 1 $21.40 $21.40 9.40
BEL-4   Win (3/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 0 $8.20 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 9-2 2 0 $39.00 $0.00 -6.00
    Trifecta (3/4/7)-(3/4/7)-(3/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 9-2-4 3 0 $121.37 $0.00 -3.00
    Daily Double (1/3/4/6)-(3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-9 2 0 $39.25 $0.00 -12.00
BEL-5   Win (1/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $8.90 $8.90 0.90
    Exacta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-4 2 0 $14.20 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8)-(1/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-4-8 3 0 $26.37 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (3/4/7)-(1/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 9-2 2 0 $23.10 $0.00 -12.00
BEL-6   Win (5/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $7.60 $0.00 -6.00
    Exacta (5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 7-3 2 0 $64.00 $0.00 -9.00
    Trifecta (5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8)-(1/5/6/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 7-3-5 3 0 $156.00 $0.00 -9.00
    Daily Double (1/2/3/8)-(5/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-7 2 0 $30.50 $0.00 -12.00
BEL-7   Win (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $9.60 $0.00 -8.00
    Exacta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-1 2 0 $16.40 $0.00 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-1-6 3 0 $19.25 $0.00 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/6/8)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-3 2 0 $27.75 $0.00 -12.00
BEL-8   Win (3/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $16.00 $16.00 8.00
    Exacta (3/4/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-9 2 1 $41.25 $41.25 25.25
    Trifecta (3/4/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9)-(3/4/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 4-9-2 3 0 $117.50 $0.00 -24.00
    Daily Double (1/2/6/7)-(3/4/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 3-4 2 0 $29.75 $0.00 -16.00
BEL-9   Win (1/5/7/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $19.20 $19.20 11.20
    Exacta (1/5/7/12)-(1/5/7/12) 12 $1.00 $12.00 7-1 2 1 $24.20 $24.20 12.20
    Trifecta (1/5/7/12)-(1/5/7/12)-(1/5/7/12) 24 $0.50 $12.00 7-1-5 3 1 $54.87 $54.87 42.87
    Daily Double (3/4/6/9)-(1/5/7/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 4-7 2 1 $54.75 $54.75 38.75

Simulator Race results

 
BEL-1   05/04/2023 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:00
:22 :454       :592   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESA CELINA 5 1 21 2½   11(ward a)ORTIZ L 119 0.80 45% 1.20 0.35 W
LESLIE'S LOOT 4 2 11 1½   22(chapman ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00 14.30  
SLAINTE MHATH 3 4 410 412   413 314½ (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 5.90  
ROUND THE TOWN 1 3 33 36   311½ 416¼ (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 15% 5.50 3.50  
JUST THE OAKS 2 5 519 519   516 516¾ (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 7% 14.10 21.80  
 
BEL-2   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
:23 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICY STARE DOWN 4 1 11 11   13 1(rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 40% 1.50 0.85 W
BRISKY FROLIC 1 5 21 21   23 2(maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 22% 3.50 2.75 P
JUST A NYQUIST 3 3 5 4   47 34 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00 6.30  
FANTAIL (GB) 2 4 3 3   37 4(begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20 5.90  
PRINCESS PINKY 6 2 4 5   514 518¾ (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00 9.00  
REDZILLA 5 6 6 613½   620½ 621¼ (paraga)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 30.00 47.75  
 
BEL-3   05/04/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
:233 :473 1:122 1:384   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PIT BOSS 7 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 1(bernardini g)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 14% 6.20 12.20 W
SAILOR SPEED 8 3 21 2½ 3 33 2(persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00 29.50  
GENTLEMAN JOE 5 4 42 5 54 434 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 2.10  
1A  DURKIN'S CALL 6 2 52 41 2nk 21 44 (baker charlton)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 19% 4.30 4.10  
CARIBBEAN (AUS) 1 6 3 3½ 4 55 57 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 2.30  
HAMMERIN AAMER 2 7 7 7 7 66(englehart chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 26% 2.80 3.15  
GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS 3 8 8 8 811 710½ 7(baker charlton)BAILEY O 123 3.00 4.10  
DARK STORM 4 5 6 63 65 813 816¼ (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 12% 7.40 37.25  
 
BEL-4   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
:231 :464 1:13 1:262   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANDA'S FOLLY 6 3 32 4 3 12 1(rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.60 3.10  
CAPTIVATING CARA 1 4 6 55 4 43 2(diprima gregory)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00 21.40  
FREDDYMO FACTOR 3 2 1nk 1 11 22 3(jones e)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 5% 19.00 24.75 S
COLLABORATION 4 5 2nk 2 5 56 411¼ (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 19% 4.20 3.75  
SMOKIE EYES 2 1 4 33 21 33 512¼ (clement christop)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 55% 0.80 1.35  
LADY JASMINE 5 6 53 66 610 614 625¾ (donk david)VARGAS A 120 6.00 3.20  
 
BEL-5   05/04/2023 5940ft TURF GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
:234 :483 1:13 1:38   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
Q F SEVENTY FIVE 2 6 1½ 11 11 17 1(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00 3.45 W
AL'S ROCKET 4 1 8 8 76 27 2(pletcher a)ORTIZ L 124 2.50 2.55  
INFLATION ADJUSTED 8 3 7 7 6 33(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 28% 2.60 3.40 S
AFJAN 1 8 52 5 3 44(toscano john )WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 20.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
HOLD THE SALSA 6 5 6 6 8 719½ 519¼ (lugovich)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 45.25  
FIGHTER IN THE WIN 7 4 3 32 4 617½ 620¾ (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.50 5.50  
BREAKWATER 5 7 42 42 54 824 728 (mcgaughey claud)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00 9.60  
NOT PHAR NOW 3 2 2½ 21 21 517½ 828½ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.20 5.20  
 
BEL-6   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:232 :471 1:123 1:253   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WISHING ON A STAR 7 5 5 5 4 2½ 14 (de horaci)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00 2.80  
ICY REPLY 3 1 3 1nk 1½ 1½ 24 (ferrar)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 8.00 18.30  
SHE CAUGHT MY EYE 5 2 4 7 6 79 3(rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 12% 7.50 3.10 S
CARBON 8 4 2½ 3 5 58 4(kantarmaci mert)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 21% 3.70 8.80  
MAGGIE T 6 3 1½ 2nk 2½ 33 510 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 43% 1.30 2.40  
VODKATINI 1 7 6 6 78 8613½ (gorham e)CANCEL ERIC 126 6.00 6.40  
DASHING DELLA 2 6 7 42 3 4713½ (rodriguez gustavo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00 10.10  
R GIRL FAITH 4 8 8 8 8 69 814 (thompson)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 20.00 47.75  
 
BEL-7   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
:233 :472 1:123 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET LOUISE 3 3 11 1 11 11(levine bruce)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 3.80  
BUSTIN BAY 1 7 3 2 21 22(rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 36% 1.70 4.20 P
SWEET MYSTERY 6 2 52 42 31 34 35 (quick patrick)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 8% 12.00 1.85 S
MY FIRST LOVE 2 4 4 3 4 4410 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 10% 9.10 5.60  
AMITY ISLAND 5 6 6 64 5 5512½ (goberdha)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00 56.75  
MIA BEA STAR 8 1 7 7 710 713 613½ (persaud ra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 16.60  
B B'S BUSTED 7 8 8 8 66 611½ 714 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 18% 4.40 10.20  
DUFRESNE 4 5 21 5 812½ 819 822½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00 6.60  
 
BEL-8   05/04/2023 3960ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
:222 :461 :582     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGWSCISSORS 4 8 4 4   1nk 1(jacobson david)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00 16% 5.40 7.00 W
GROOMS ALL BIZNESS 9 1 31 3½   3½ 2(duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 9% 10.30 5.90 P
DOCTOR JEFF 1 2 2nk 1nk   2nk 3(russell brittan)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 2.90  
MOMOS 2 4 52 52   44(trombetta mi)SANCHEZ J 121 15.00 8% 10.90 13.60  
MARVALOUS MIKE 8 7 7 7   75(montoya marya)SILVERA RUBEN 121 15.00 31.25  
BIG PACKAGE 7 9 98 8   56(donk david)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 4.20  
TURN OF EVENTS 5 3 64 64   84 7(falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 9.30  
SEVEN SCENTS 3 5 8 9   98(morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00 9.50  
FLUID SITUATION 6 6 1nk 2nk   6913 (terranova j)VARGAS A 123 6.00 38% 1.60 4.30  
 
BEL-9   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
:224 :461 :583     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MZ BIG BUCKS 5 1 11 1   12 1(nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 17.60 8.60 W
1A  LOON CRY 6 6 3 2   22 2(clement christop)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 54% 0.80 0.50 P
ACE UP HER SLEEVE 4 3 75 710   411½ 3(klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 10.30 8.30 S
GRACEFUL ROSE 3 7 810½ 812   512½ 4(gorham e)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 15.80  
ADMIRE MY CROWN 1 5 4 3   35(handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00 11.40  
POWER AND GLORY 2 4 5 48   614 614½ (thompson glenn)SAMUEL L 124 30.00 56.00  
12  MIDNITE CONFESSION 8 8 6 69   718½ 721¾ (martin carl)VARGAS A 118 5.00 10% 8.60 7.50  
10  PHINNEYS HARBOR 7 2 21 5   819 826 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00 21.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.