Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belmont Park
Thursday - May 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-1   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BEL-2   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-3   WIN (3/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4)-(3/1/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/6/4)-(3/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-4   WIN (3/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/4)-(3/7/4)-(3/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/4)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-5   WIN (8/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1)-(8/2/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/1)-(6/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-6   WIN (6/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/5)-(6/8/5/1)-(6/8/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/5)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BEL-7   WIN (1/7/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6)-(1/7/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/6)-(6/4/9/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BEL-8   WIN (6/4/9/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/9/3)-(6/4/9/3/5)-(6/4/9/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/9/3)-(1/12/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
BEL-9   WIN (1/12/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7)-(1/12/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BEL-1   05/04/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUND THE TOWN         (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of JEANNE'S SPEIGHT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  JUST THE OAKS         (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 7% 14.10    
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
3  SLAINTE MHATH         (ward a)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LADY WORTHINGTON by SCAT DADDY)
4  LESLIE'S LOOT         (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by FAST ANNA out of WICKED STORM by STORMY ATLANTIC)
5  PRINCESA CELINA         (ward a)ORTIZ L 119 0.80 45% 1.20    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of LASTOFTHSUMMERWINE by SKY MESA)
 
BEL-2   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($35K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRISKY FROLIC Apr21 Mar12 Feb24 Jan13 Dec10 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 125 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  CROWDING OUT Mar11 Feb09 Dec15 Sep25 Sep05 (breen kelly)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 3.00    
3  FANTAIL (GB) Mar12 Jan29 Nov18 Oct27 Sep29 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 9% 10.20    
SCR  SECRET TIME (GER) Dec31 Oct29 Aug31 Aug04 Jun04 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
5  JUST A NYQUIST Mar26 Mar12 Feb24 Feb02 Jan22 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 125 20.00    
6  ICY STARE DOWN Mar12 Feb20 Jan01 Dec09 Oct29 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 40% 1.50    
7  REDZILLA Apr01 Mar22 Mar04 Feb17 Feb04 (para)HUAYAS (JASON) 120 30.00    
SCR  LOLA FLO Jul02 Jun19 Jun04 May22 May01 (cash nor)GOMEZ ANTONIO 123 8.00    
9  PRINCESS PINKY Jan22 Jan12 Dec02 Oct22 Oct13 (atras rob)CANCEL ERIC 123 12.00    
 
BEL-3   05/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRUMPS LITTLE TOTS Mar19 Mar04 Feb11 Jan21 Jan07 (baker charlt)BAILEY O 123 3.00    
1A  DURKIN'S CALL Apr07 Mar25 Feb17 Jan21 Jan06 (baker charlto)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.00 19% 4.30    
2  CARIBBEAN (AUS) Apr06 Mar10 Feb25 Feb12 Jan01 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 120 2.50    
3  HAMMERIN AAMER Apr14 Mar25 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 (englehart c)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 3.00 26% 2.80    
4  DARK STORM Apr14 Mar19 Feb05 Jan21 Oct21 (skelton dawn)OLVER MADISON 113 15.00 12% 7.40    
5  GENTLEMAN JOE Apr01 Feb25 Feb10 Dec15 Nov02 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50    
6  PIT BOSS Apr14 Mar30 Mar10 Feb11 Jan07 (bernardini juan)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
7  SAILOR SPEED Apr06 Mar25 Mar15 Feb22 Jan18 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 10.00    
 
BEL-4   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SALS DREAM GIRL Mar26 Jan25 Dec26 Nov06 Aug31 (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 124 3.00    
2  CAPTIVATING CARA Apr13 Mar31 Mar12 Feb11 Jan06 (diprima grego)SILVERA RUBEN 124 30.00    
3  SMOKIE EYES Nov27 Oct28 Oct08 Sep15 Aug03 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 55% 0.80    
4  FREDDYMO FACTOR Apr28 Apr13 Apr02 Mar25 Mar17 (jones eduardo)OLVER MADISON 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARATOGA GAZE Apr22 Mar26 Oct23 Sep23 Jun26 (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00    
SCR  WATERVILLE Apr08 Nov06 Sep05 Aug12 Apr10 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 6.00    
7  COLLABORATION Apr08 Sep15 Aug03     (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 19% 4.20    
8  LADY JASMINE Apr08 Sep01 Aug03     (donk davi)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
9  AMANDA'S FOLLY Apr27 Apr08 Mar12 Feb18 Jan06 (rice linda)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 1.60    
 
BEL-5   05/04/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AFJAN Apr23 Apr01 Mar17 Feb18 Jan07 (toscano joh)WOLFSONT ANDREW 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Jun30 Jun03 May06 Feb25   (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00    
3  NOT PHAR NOW Mar08 Jan28 Jan13 Dec22 Nov18 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  AL'S ROCKET Nov20 Oct26 Sep24 Aug13 Jun11 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 2.50    
5  BREAKWATER Mar25 Sep25 Aug30 Jul19 Jul02 (mcgaughey cla)SILVERA RUBEN 126 8.00    
6  HOLD THE SALSA Apr01 Jul02 Jun02 Apr29 Jan08 (lugovi)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
7  FIGHTER IN THE WIN Nov27 Oct21 Sep23 Jul22 Jun18 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 126 4.50    
8  INFLATION ADJUSTED Mar25 Feb03 Jan01 Nov20 Oct29 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 126 3.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  OUSTER Apr14 Mar18 Feb19 Jan05 Nov20 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 126 0.60    
SCR  CENTAVO Apr23 Apr13 Mar25 Mar05 Feb12 (chatterpaul naipa)RIDER TBA 124 15.00    
SCR  AFFABLE MONARCH Nov27 Nov08 Sep29 Sep03 Aug07 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 124 4.00    
 
BEL-6   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VODKATINI Apr13 Mar31 Jan20 Dec03 Nov04 (gorham michael )CANCEL ERIC 126 6.00 ★    
2  DASHING DELLA Apr13 Mar12 Feb12 Jan14 Nov19 (rodriguez gusta)DAVIS DYLAN 120 8.00    
3  ICY REPLY Apr20 Mar25 Mar17 Mar05 Feb26 (ferr)HUAYAS (JASON) 119 8.00    
4  R GIRL FAITH Apr21 Feb20 Jan20 Dec18 Nov27 (thomps)MARAGH RAMSAY 126 20.00    
5  SHE CAUGHT MY EYE Apr13 Jan22 Jan06 Dec08 Oct20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 126 3.00 12% 7.50    
6  MAGGIE T Apr28 Mar12 Feb02 Jan06 Nov19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
7  WISHING ON A STAR Apr13 Mar31 Mar05 Jan18 Sep25 (de hora)MCCARTHY TREVOR 126 4.00    
8  CARBON Apr02 Feb09 Jan06 Dec15 Nov18 (kantarmaci me)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
 
BEL-7   05/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN BAY Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 Jan19 Dec29 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 124 3.50 36% 1.70    
2  MY FIRST LOVE Apr13 Mar05 Jan22 Jan13 Dec10 (ferraro w)CANCEL ERIC 124 5.00 10% 9.10    
3  SUNSET LOUISE Oct30 Sep24 Aug17 Jun24 Jan06 (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
4  DUFRESNE Dec04 Nov19 Oct23 Aug12 Jul20 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
5  AMITY ISLAND Apr21 Apr02 Mar25 Mar19 Feb10 (goberd)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
6  SWEET MYSTERY Apr21 Dec29 Dec01 Oct30 Oct09 (quick patri)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 3.00 8% 12.00    
7  B B'S BUSTED Feb07 Jan09 Nov13 Oct20 Oct01 (englehart jef)FRANCO MANUEL 122 8.00 18% 4.40    
8  MIA BEA STAR Apr21 Apr02 Mar12 Feb10 Jan19 (persaud )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00    
 
BEL-8   05/04/2023 3960ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEVEN SCENTS Nov12 Oct27 Oct01 Aug31 Aug07 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 121 8.00    
SCR  EMERALD FOREST Apr01 Feb04 Jan12 Nov26 Oct07 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 123 8.00    
2  DOCTOR JEFF Mar18 May21       (russell britt)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00    
3  MOMOS Mar17 Feb18 Jan16 Dec21 Nov06 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 121 15.00 8% 10.90    
4  RUNNINGWSCISSORS Apr27 Apr01 Feb10 Nov18 Oct27 (jacobson dav)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 6.00 16% 5.40    
5  TURN OF EVENTS Dec03 Oct27 Sep14 Aug06 Jun26 (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 ★    
6  FLUID SITUATION Feb18 Jan20 Dec17 Oct16 Aug28 (terranova)VARGAS A 123 6.00 38% 1.60    
7  BIG PACKAGE Sep02 Jul21 Jun23 Apr30   (donk david)ORTIZ L 121 3.00    
8  MARVALOUS MIKE Mar08 Feb16 Jan30 Jan07 Nov08 (montoya marya)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00    
9  GROOMS ALL BIZNESS Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 (duarte jr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.50 9% 10.30    
SCR  H P MOON Mar18 Mar04 Jan22 Jan29   (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 2.50    
SCR  TWENTY FOUR MAMBA Apr30 Mar24 Dec11 Oct09 Jul31 (atras rob)RIDER TBA 121 6.00    
 
BEL-9   05/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  LOON CRY Apr08 Dec03       (clement christ)ORTIZ L 118 1.20 54% 0.80    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FINAL ESCROW by BERNARDINI)
SCR  VOLEUSE Dec16 Nov17 Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.20    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of HUSH NOW by FLATTER)
2  ADMIRE MY CROWN Apr08 Nov17 Jul23     (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 124 15.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of TALKING TREASURE by CATIENUS)
3  POWER AND GLORY Oct13 Aug11 Jul29 Jul02   (thompson gle)SAMUEL L 124 30.00    
  (by JACK MILTON out of MAMA GET EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
4  GRACEFUL ROSE Dec30 Nov19 Oct21 Sep16 Aug26 (gorham michael )DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of BUCCELLA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Mar31 Mar02 Jan29 Dec28 Dec10 (klesaris steve)CANCEL ERIC 124 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of CLEARLY CHEATING by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  LAKESIDE GETAWAY Apr08 Mar16 Feb11 Jan08 Dec07 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUMMER ESCAPE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
7  MZ BIG BUCKS Apr08         (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 5% 17.60    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FRIVOLOUS BUCK by CATIENUS)
SCR  CERRETTA Apr08 Nov17 Oct09 Aug31 Jul16 (bond harold)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of LIFT by IRISH OPEN)
SCR  SNOWY EVENING Apr08 Feb24 Jan27 Jul28 Jul04 (donk davi)VARGAS A 118 6.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BACKSLASH by SHARP HUMOR)
10  PHINNEYS HARBOR Apr08 Mar12       (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 118 30.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of FRENCH LINK by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  SPINNING COLORS Nov27 Oct06 Sep02 Aug10   (hennig mark)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of KALEIDOSCOPE by HONEST PLEASURE)
12  MIDNITE CONFESSION Apr06         (martin f)RIDER TBA 118 5.00 10% 8.60    
  (by UNIFIED out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.