Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   EXA (4/8)-(4/8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-8 $9.20 $3.20 53%
MTH-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.60 $4.60 77%
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $11.80 $5.80 97%
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-2-1 $11.80 $8.80 293%
MTH-4   WIN (7/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $14.60 $8.60 143%
MTH-6   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $9.40 $3.40 57%
MTH-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00  1 $3.80 $1.80 90%
MTH-8   WIN (6/1/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $13.60 $3.60 36%
MTH-9   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $9.80 $5.80 145%
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00  7-10 $13.20 $9.20 230%
MTH-10   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $8.60 $0.60 8%
Simulator Race results
 
MTH-1   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:114 1:384   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BRASSTOWN 3 4 2½ 32 2nk 2nk 1hd (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 49% 1.10 1.20 W
8  FAST BREAK 7 3 41 2½ 1nk 1nk 2hd (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 117 3.50 22% 3.60 2.90 P
1  LORD MIO 1 2 1½ 1½ 31 35 312¼ (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00 9.80  
7  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO 6 7 66 67½ 58½ 49 413 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 8.00 19.20  
2  LAVERY 2 6 77 78½ 610 611½ 520 (farro patricia)JUAREZ NIK 124 10.00 8.60  
6  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD 5 5 54½ 55½ 48 511 620½ (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 ★ 4.00  
5  JUPI'S LIGHTNING 4 1 31 42½ 711 719½ 752 (flores-co)VARGAS A 124 4.50 ★ 12.60  
SCR  MINE TO HOLD               (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 124 20.00    
 
MTH-2   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:403   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  CUMBERLAND FALLS 5 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 11½ 11¼ (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 18% 4.60 4.30 W
  (by TAPWRIT out of MOONBOW by DISTORTED HUMOR)
2  AVANT 2 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 21½ 21¼ (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 1.80 39% 1.50 0.40 P
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENTH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
1  LAST GLIMMER 1 2 41½ 41¾ 34 37½ 310¼ (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 22% 3.50 5.30 S
  (by UNCLE MO out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
4  PORTAGE 4 5 51¾ 52¼ 57½ 49½ 413 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 123 15.00 9.10  
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
3  MISS SENSIBLE 3 3 2½ 2nk 47 513½ 520 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 8.00 14.40  
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  LITERATE               (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of INFANTA BRANCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
 
MTH-3   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:133 1:404   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  KNOT ANYMORE 5 1 11½ 12½ 14 16 16¼ (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.00 20% 3.90 1.70 W
2  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE 2 4 52½ 32½ 24 26 26¼ (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00 12.20  
6  VOICE OF SPRING 6 7 42½ 53¾ 46 38½ 38 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 117 5.00 5.10  
9  HELEONORTIZ 8 3 21½ 22½ 35 410 410¾ (machado anto)ARROYO S 124 10.00 ★ 6.50  
4  ANNIKA GOLD 4 8 64½ 66¾ 57 512 513 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00 8.60  
3  BOURN WILD AGAIN 3 5 87½ 812¾ 711½ 612½ 614 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00 11.70  
8  SHEA ON A MISSION 7 6 75 76¾ 69½ 716½ 720¼ (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 18% 4.70 3.20  
1  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX 1 2 32 43½ 811½ 818½ 822 (farro pa)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 8.00 13% 6.50 15.90  
SCR  LA COSTA               (russo fr)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
MTH-4   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:223 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAHAMA PEARL 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 12¼ (gonzalez claud)COTTO L 118 8.00 8% 10.90 6.30 W
2  LITTLE RED BUTTON 2 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 22¼ (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 12.00 5.40  
10  ADHWAA 6 5 31½ 33   32½ 33¾ (ramirez s)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 25% 3.10 4.30 S
7  EPICUREAN 5 4 41¾ 43¼   45 410½ (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 45% 1.20 0.90  
6  PEARLS AND HEELS 4 1 62¼ 53¾   57 510¾ (martin ramon )SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00 7.60  
4  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY 3 6 52¼ 64¾   611 624½ (simmon)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00 10.10  
SCR  FLIP MY ID               (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
SCR  FORTY SMOOTH               (levine bruce)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
SCR  MUNDLE OF JOY               (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 120 1.60    
SCR  SALSA RITA               (bailey ricar)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
 
MTH-5   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
See original race card.
:22 :453 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PUDGE BOY PALACE 6 1 52¾ 52   1½ 1nk (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 ★ 2.60  
1  THE KHOZAN ONE 1 6 3.2 31   2½ 2nk (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 110 6.00 6.40  
8  RUN HAPPY PAPPY 7 3 1nk 1½   31 36½ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00 18.90  
5  CANTANKEROUS CAT 4 7 76 65   63¼ 411 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 40% 1.50 2.60  
6  LOOKIN' SUPER 5 2 63 2½   41 512¾ (bennett s)FERRER C 117 5.00 31% 2.20 2.20  
2  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL 2 4 2nk 41   53 613¾ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00 7.10  
3  REX KWON DO 3 5 42¾ 715   713¼ 729¾ (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 6.00 ★ 20.20  
SCR  FLASH KISS               (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50    
 
MTH-6   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
See original race card.
:221 :464 1:001     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  FIXED ODDS 8 3 12 11½   12½ 1nk (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 38% 1.60 3.70 W
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  LET HER RUN 2 9 77 76½   66 2nk (owen)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 20.00 26.30  
  (by JUMP START out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
1  ROCKY SEAS 1 8 22 21½   32½ 33¾ (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 21% 3.70 3.90 S
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
12  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION 12 2 65½ 54½   55 44½ (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 12.80  
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHEROKEE CHAMPION by MAX'S PAL)
6  VIOLETS SMILE 6 4 32½ 32½   22½ 54¾ (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00 ★ 11.50  
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of PAULSBOURBONBABY by MO MON)
5  DELIGHTFUL AVA 5 5 43½ 43½   43½ 65¾ (sweezey j)VARGAS A 119 8.00 9.80  
  (by BUCCHERO out of SCURRY by SKY MESA)
9  DUCHESS OF DESTIN 9 6 1215½ 1213¼   1113¾ 79 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 19% 4.20 2.10  
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  LILY THE KID 10 11 1113½ 1110¾   812 810 (penaloz)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★ 48.30  
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
7  FIRST REIGN 7 10 1013 1010¾   912¼ 910½ (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00 8.80  
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
4  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME 4 7 910 89½   1013¼ 1011½ (mcburney)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00 25.40  
  (by WAR DANCER out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
11  TWYLA 11 1 55 66½   711 1112¼ (carango anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 124 20.00 70.60  
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
3  WHISKEY AND RAIN 3 12 810 910½   1214¼ 1213½ (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 109 30.00 38.80  
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
 
MTH-7   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:221 :454 :584     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY STEPS 1 1 2nk 1nk   11½ 13¾ (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 71% 0.40 0.90 W
4  BAND SWEETHEART 4 2 31½ 31   21½ 23¾ (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00 7.00  
3  LOST MY SOCK 3 3 45 43½   33½ 34¼ (ryan s)LUZZI J 120 3.00 ★ 2.00 S
2  WHATCHAMACALL 2 4 1nk 2nk   46½ 415¼ (delgado jose)BATISTA A 115 8.00 3.30  
SCR  TRIBAL QUEEN               (dutrow anthony)RENDON JAIRO 115 12.00    
SCR  TAPESTRY COLORS               (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE               (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS SAKAMOTO               (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
SCR  UNIFIED RIDE               (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
SCR  GLITTER UP               (hills ti)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
 
MTH-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Spruce Fir Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
See original race card.
:221 :452 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MIA'S CRUSADE 8 2 1nk 12½   14 11¼ (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 6% 16.40 5.80 W
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
8  BEACH DAZE 7 8 63¾ 63¾   34 21¼ (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 118 5.00 6% 16.00 1.30 P
  (by BLOFELD out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
5  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER 5 4 2nk 22½   24 36½ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 116 10.00 18.40  
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
3  JERSEY JEWEL 3 5 96¾ 75¾   46½ 47½ (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50 13% 7.00 5.30  
  (by WICKED RICH out of MOM'S HONOR by HOLD THAT TIGER)
6  I CAN RUN 6 6 75¼ 86¾   68 58¾ (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.00 39% 1.60 7.00  
  (by TOURIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
10  RANDOM LUCK 9 1 42½ 33½   79 611½ (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 115 15.00 24.90  
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
4  ROSELBA 4 3 3½ 53¾   57 713¼ (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00 11.50  
  (by PRIVATE INTERVIEW out of ELBA by MO MON)
2  GET GROOVY 2 7 52¾ 43½   89¼ 814½ (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 12.00 40.50  
  (by GET STORMY out of GOOD AND GROOVY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
1  BRAMBLE BAY 1 9 85¼ 97¾   911¼ 916½ (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 15% 5.50 5.40  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  CALIENTE RUM               (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 114 20.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of BAY RUM by CABLE BOY)
 
MTH-9   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:22 :453 :581     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 4 1 42¾ 41¾   2nk 1hd (cash j)TORRES JOMAR 120 20.00 18% 4.60 3.90 W
10  BEAUTY QUIST 6 2 2nk 11½   1nk 2hd (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 5.00 55% 0.80 1.60 P
9  HAZARDOUS HUMOR 5 6 66¾ 65¼   54¼ 31½ (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 6.00 5.20  
4  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 2 3 3.2 31½   34 49¼ (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 ★ 5.60  
3  MIAMI GIRL (IRE) 1 5 1nk 21½   44¼ 59½ (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 115 5.00 3.10  
6  BIG TENTATIONS 3 4 52¾ 54¼   65¾ 614¼ (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 12.00 13.00  
SCR  ANNA KARENINE (FR)               (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 115 2.00    
SCR  CHROMEPLATED HEART               (trombetta michae)FERRER C 120 3.00    
SCR  SHERRY ORIENTAL               (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
SCR  WESTERN LANE               (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
 
MTH-10   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:13 1:27   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ANTONOV 3 5 74¼ 73¾ 63½ 42 1hd (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 40% 1.50 3.30 W
4  LEVEL UP 4 3 1nk 11 1½ 1½ 2hd (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 8.00 4.90  
1  GUN RIGHT 1 6 62¼ 52¼ 42½ 31 3¾ (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00 7.00  
7  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) 7 1 41½ 62¾ 75 52½ 41 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 3.50 11% 8.10 8.50  
2  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD 2 8 813¼ 812¾ 89 87½ 55¾ (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00 4.70  
6  PRINCE GHOST 6 2 31 32 2½ 2½ 67½ (o'connell ka)ARROYO S 118 4.50 18% 4.60 2.60  
8  LIDIA'S PRAYER 8 7 52 42 53 64½ 78¾ (avila car)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00 17.70  
5  PINE ALLEY 5 4 2nk 21 32 75½ 811¼ (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 5.00 6% 16.70 11.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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