Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8)-(4/8/6/5)-(4/8/6/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-2   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/8/1)-(5/8/1/9)-(5/8/1/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MTH-4   WIN (7/10/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/10/1)-(7/10/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/10/1)-(7/10/1)-(7/10/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/7/3)-(5/6/7/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-6   WIN (8/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/9)-(8/1/9/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/9)-(8/1/9/6/10)-(8/1/9/6/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
MTH-8   WIN (6/1/3/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/3/8/9)-(6/1/3/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/3/8/9)-(6/1/3/8/9)-(6/1/3/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (10/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (10/7)-(10/7/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (10/7)-(10/7/4)-(10/7/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-10   WIN (3/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5)-(3/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORD MIO Apr02 Feb19 Dec31 Nov25 Oct30 (gonzalez )RODRIGUEZ A 124 8.00    
2  LAVERY May13 Apr19 Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 (farro)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 10.00    
SCR  MINE TO HOLD May05 Apr07 Mar03 Feb15 Jan25 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 124 20.00    
4  BRASSTOWN Mar10 Dec08 Oct30 Oct16 Jul31 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 49% 1.10    
5  JUPI'S LIGHTNING May13 Apr04 Mar20 Mar01 Jun14 (flores-co)VARGAS A 124 4.50 ★    
6  VINTAGE HOLLYWOOD Apr28 Apr14 Mar18 Feb26 Jan22 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00 ★    
7  CROWNEDCOUNTCRISTO May11 Oct14 Sep25 Sep11 Aug06 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 124 8.00    
8  FAST BREAK Jul26 Apr29 Mar26 Feb11 Jan02 (falcone rober)OLVER MADISON 117 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
MTH-2   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST GLIMMER Apr30         (mcgaughey claude)JUAREZ NIK 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of GLOAMING by MAJESTIC LIGHT)
2  AVANT Mar31 Feb19 Jan15 Nov04 Sep04 (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 1.80 39% 1.50    
  (by UNCLE MO out of ENTH by SEEKING THE GOLD)
3  MISS SENSIBLE Apr22         (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of HOLDERS SEASON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
4  PORTAGE Mar16         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 123 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of AKRONISM by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  CUMBERLAND FALLS Mar23 Jan29 Dec11 Nov11   (sweezey )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TAPWRIT out of MOONBOW by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  LITERATE Apr27 Feb23 Jan22 Dec04   (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of INFANTA BRANCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
 
MTH-3   05/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ANOTHER SAUCY SIX May01 Apr11 Mar27 Mar08 Feb15 (farro)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 8.00 13% 6.50    
2  BEATUBYACHUBINOSE Apr07 Feb26 Jan08 Dec02 Sep05 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 124 10.00    
3  BOURN WILD AGAIN May03 Apr15 Feb23 Jan09   (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 124 4.00    
4  ANNIKA GOLD Apr26 Apr12 Mar18 Oct26 Oct04 (bailey ric)MITCHELL RICHARD 124 15.00    
5  KNOT ANYMORE Mar29 Jan12 Dec15 Jul27 Jun10 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
6  VOICE OF SPRING Mar19 Feb26 Jan22 Dec02 Nov13 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 117 5.00    
SCR  LA COSTA Apr21 Mar31 Mar22 Feb22 Jan25 (russo fr)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
8  SHEA ON A MISSION Apr23 Mar24 Aug03 Jun30 May26 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
9  HELEONORTIZ May03 Jan08 Dec16 Dec09 Nov23 (machado anto)ARROYO S 124 10.00 ★    
 
MTH-4   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAHAMA PEARL Feb03 Dec16 Nov11 Oct22 Oct13 (gonzalez claud)COTTO L 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
2  LITTLE RED BUTTON Apr28 Apr06 Mar22 Mar03 Feb12 (gomez p)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
SCR  FORTY SMOOTH Apr27 Mar26 Nov15 Nov07 Oct08 (levine bruce)RENDON JAIRO 120 5.00    
4  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Apr27 Mar31 Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 (simmon)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 15.00    
SCR  FLIP MY ID Apr21 Mar11 Dec28 Dec04 Sep23 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 3.00    
6  PEARLS AND HEELS Apr17 Apr03 Mar15 Feb08 Jan16 (martin ramon )SOSA LAUREANO 113 10.00    
7  EPICUREAN May02 Apr20 Apr12 Feb15 Jan02 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  SALSA RITA Apr20 Mar24 Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 (bailey ricar)BATISTA A 120 20.00    
SCR  MUNDLE OF JOY Sep24 Aug26 Jul15     (crook-demasi kat)FERRER C 120 1.60    
10  ADHWAA May08 Mar28 Mar20 Feb17 Feb01 (ramirez s)RODRIGUEZ A 118 6.00 25% 3.10    
 
MTH-5   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE KHOZAN ONE Apr23 Mar22 Feb23 Jan20 Dec26 (gonzalez c)RIVERA R 110 6.00    
2  AWESOMEBROTHERBILL Mar15 Sep22 Aug22 Jul23   (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
3  REX KWON DO Jul25 Jun25 Jun09 May17 Apr25 (lake scot)VARGAS A 121 6.00 ★    
SCR  FLASH KISS Apr20 Dec16 Jul17 Jun24 Jun02 (terranova john)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50    
5  CANTANKEROUS CAT Apr21 Apr01 Aug22 Aug06 Jul08 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 119 5.00 40% 1.50    
6  LOOKIN' SUPER Apr08 Mar26 Feb10 Dec30 Nov27 (bennett s)FERRER C 117 5.00 31% 2.20    
7  PUDGE BOY PALACE Feb04 Jan06 Dec04 Nov18 Oct27 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 3.50 ★    
8  RUN HAPPY PAPPY Nov25 Nov02 Aug27 Jul30 Jul08 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 12.00    
 
MTH-6   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71.875K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKY SEAS Aug12         (owens jr)JUAREZ NIK 119 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
2  LET HER RUN Sep11 Aug28 Aug05     (owen)HUAYAS (JASON) 114 20.00    
  (by JUMP START out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
3  WHISKEY AND RAIN Jun24         (simon linda)IORIO MELISSA 109 30.00    
  (by DON SIX out of QUINCY LEE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
4  SUNNYRIDGE JAIME Apr23         (mcburney)HERNANDEZ J 124 8.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of JAIME by HOLY BULL)
5  DELIGHTFUL AVA Oct08 Sep23       (sweezey j)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
  (by BUCCHERO out of SCURRY by SKY MESA)
6  VIOLETS SMILE Oct22 Oct08 Sep17     (ryan derek)ROWLAND MADELINE 119 6.00 ★    
  (by FRANK CONVERSATION out of PAULSBOURBONBABY by MO MON)
7  FIRST REIGN         (sweezey ken)OLVER MADISON 112 10.00    
  (by FIRST DUDE out of BY THE LEE by MIZZEN MAST)
8  FIXED ODDS Oct22 Oct08 Sep11 Aug13 Jul22 (simoff andrew)RENDON JAIRO 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  DUCHESS OF DESTIN         (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 5.00 19% 4.20    
  (by DESTIN out of LOU DOCTOR LOU by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  LILY THE KID         (penaloz)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00 ★    
  (by ALI out of WAYTOOEASY by WILL'S WAY)
11  TWYLA May03 Feb22 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 (carango anthon)MARIN SAMUEL 124 20.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of VINDYS MIGHTY QUIK by VINDICATION)
12  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Oct06 Sep11 Aug28     (einhorn kim)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00    
  (by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY out of CHEROKEE CHAMPION by MAX'S PAL)
 
MTH-7   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABY STEPS Apr09 Mar09 Nov20 Oct30 Sep22 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 71% 0.40    
2  WHATCHAMACALL Mar01 Feb02 Dec08 Sep23 Aug21 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 115 8.00    
3  LOST MY SOCK Apr20 Jun19 May28 Apr15 Feb23 (ryan s)LUZZI J 120 3.00 ★    
4  BAND SWEETHEART Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Dec31 (pimental john )TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
SCR  GLITTER UP Feb08 Jan15 Dec18 Nov17 Oct15 (hills ti)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50    
SCR  TRIBAL QUEEN Jan20 Dec03 Oct27 Aug07 Jul02 (dutrow anthony)RENDON JAIRO 115 12.00    
SCR  SMOOTH PEBBLE Mar11 Jan14 Oct29 Sep24 Jun30 (alvarado diane)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MISS SAKAMOTO Mar15 Feb15 Nov20 Oct08 Apr22 (sweezey j)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
SCR  TAPESTRY COLORS Aug20         (crook-dem)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00    
SCR  UNIFIED RIDE May06 Apr12 Mar25 Aug02 Jun11 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 6.00    
 
MTH-8   05/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY Spruce Fir Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAMBLE BAY Apr21 Jan26 Dec02 Oct28 Sep18 (noda orl)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  GET GROOVY Sep05 Aug06 Jul31 Jul03 Jun03 (huston ro)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of GOOD AND GROOVY by GOOD AND TOUGH)
3  JERSEY JEWEL Aug28 Jul30 Jun18 May14   (sweezey kent)CAMACHO SAMY 117 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by WICKED RICH out of MOM'S HONOR by HOLD THAT TIGER)
4  ROSELBA Sep18 Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 Jun10 (huston k)RENDON JAIRO 118 6.00    
  (by PRIVATE INTERVIEW out of ELBA by MO MON)
5  ODDSONDUSTYMILLER Oct05 Aug28 Jul30 Jun18 May14 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 116 10.00    
  (by DESPITE THE ODDS out of FOXIE FREESIA by DEFRERE)
6  I CAN RUN Oct02 Aug28 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 119 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by TOURIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
SCR  CALIENTE RUM Aug29 Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (hogan )GONZALEZ JR 114 20.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of BAY RUM by CABLE BOY)
8  BEACH DAZE Apr26 Mar13 Feb13 Jan18 Sep24 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 118 5.00 6% 16.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of YSABELL T. by GATORS N BEARS)
9  MIA'S CRUSADE Sep18 Aug28 Jul30 Jul09 Jun18 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00 6% 16.40    
  (by GREENPOINTCRUSADER out of MINI MONEIGH by MO MON)
10  RANDOM LUCK Apr25 Apr11 Mar29 Mar15 Feb22 (cole-davis ti)TREJOS JOSEPH 115 15.00    
  (by MADEFROMLUCKY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
 
MTH-9   05/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WESTERN LANE Feb10 Jan29 Dec18 Nov20 Oct15 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 6.00    
SCR  SHERRY ORIENTAL Apr29 Sep18 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 (nunn do)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 30.00    
3  MIAMI GIRL (IRE) Mar25         (delgado jorge)RENDON JAIRO 115 5.00    
4  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Apr15 Mar22 Feb23 Jan25 Aug20 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 115 6.00 ★    
SCR  ANNA KARENINE (FR) Apr16 Mar04       (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 115 2.00    
6  BIG TENTATIONS Apr12 Mar11 Jan23 Oct23 Sep23 (avila carl)OLIVERO A 120 12.00    
7  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Mar12 Feb25 Jan29 Jan07 Dec11 (cash j)JUAREZ NIK 120 20.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  CHROMEPLATED HEART Apr22 Mar11 Feb09 Jan14 Nov13 (trombetta michae)FERRER C 120 3.00    
9  HAZARDOUS HUMOR Apr06 Feb17 Jan11 Nov18 Sep17 (russo fra)VARGAS A 120 6.00    
10  BEAUTY QUIST Apr21 Mar26 Feb25 Jan25 Dec30 (sacco d)JUAREZ NIK 120 5.00 55% 0.80    
 
MTH-10   05/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN RIGHT Apr16 Mar10       (o'connell kath)RENDON JAIRO 118 5.00    
2  WEDNESDAYNIGHT LAD Mar25 Jan21       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
3  ANTONOV Apr16 Mar10 Feb19 Feb03 Jan21 (ryan dere)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
4  LEVEL UP Apr27 Apr13 Nov26 Oct13 Sep10 (delgado jose)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
5  PINE ALLEY May05 Mar20 Feb09 Dec29 Nov22 (ryerson james )LUZZI J 118 5.00 6% 16.70    
6  PRINCE GHOST Apr30 Jan11 Nov30     (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 4.50 18% 4.60    
7  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) May05 Apr06 Mar31 Mar10 Feb25 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
8  LIDIA'S PRAYER Mar28 Feb28 Jan02 Nov16   (avila car)TORRES JOMAR 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.