Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $30.40  
PEN-2   Win (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 4 1 0 $9.80  
PEN-3   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-4   Win (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 0 $48.40  
PEN-5   Win (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $23.00 $23.00 17.00
PEN-6   Win (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-7   Win (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $7.00 $7.00  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:141 1:271   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT TASTE 2 2 2 2 1½ 12 1 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 14.20  
WILL TAKE ROSES 4 1 1 1 2½ 22 2 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 12% 7.20 3.50 P
FAVORITE DOLL 5 4 55 5 44 3 3 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00 17.60  
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 7 3 33 33 33 4 4 (chircop steven)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 14% 6.20 3.20  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 1 7 712½ 710 710 69 5 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 9.70  
MELODIA 3 6 6 6 69 7 6 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 4.60  
AMI'S LINK 6 5 4 43 5 59 7 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 49% 1.00 1.80  
SCR  DALLAS               (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:224 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPINNING MUSICIAN 4 4 21 1nk   13 1 (beattie tod)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00 3.90  
SNIP THE ROSES 6 3 43 43   33 2 (synnefias pana)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 12.00 32.50  
ON AN ISLAND 8 2 31 3   4 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 8.00 S
BOOK RUNNER 1 6 6 7   6 412 (salinas jose)FLORES E 123 6.00 10.20  
ROCK ANNA ROLL 7 1 11 2nk   23 513 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 53% 0.90 1.10  
GIUSEPPE 2 8 8 57   5 613¾ (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00 17% 4.90 5.10  
FIERCE AND STRONG 5 5 5 69   712 725½ (farrior ant)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00 13.60  
SILK PRINCE 3 7 7 811   816½ 826½ (rose orlando)INIRIO J 123 12.00 11.10  
 
PEN-3   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT 4 1 1½ 12   1 15 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.20 W
MITROPANOS 3 5 2½ 22   2 25 (zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 9.20 P
EGOT A POKER FACE 7 2 31 34   3 310 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 9.30  
BRANTLEYS BIG GUN 8 8 7 710½   711½ 414¼ (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00 47.20  
LILTONYTWOPHONES 6 6 53 4   48 514½ (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 13% 6.80 4.90  
SHARP RED EAGLE 2 4 4 56   510½ 614¾ (bentley fenneka)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 10.30  
TURNS 5 3 810½ 815½   816½ 716 (boyer david)VARGAS L 120 12.00 43.50  
TURNPIKE BOB 1 7 6 6   611 818 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.80 2.80  
SCR  FREEDOM'S START               (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 6 2 1 15   14 11 (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00 23.20  
ARROGANTE 5 6 55 4   24 21 (diaz jorge)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 26% 2.80 5.60 P
ONE LAST FLING 7 9 4 25   3 3 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 5% 19.00 5.10 S
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 1 5 77 811½   6 48 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 17.20  
COWGIRL SHINE 8 8 9 610½   59 5 (farrior anthon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 3.00 38% 1.60 0.80  
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 9 1 6 711   710 6 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 16.90  
FINE ALEIGH 4 4 3 35   4 7 (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 6.10  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 2 7 89 913   814 815½ (mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00 63.00  
IOANNA 3 3 2 510   917 934 (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
SCR  ROSE OF SHANAKILL               (albright r)FLORES E 121 12.00    
 
PEN-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :461 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POSITIVE FORCE 8 4 3 1nk   1 1½ (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 8% 12.10 10.50 W
EARLY FROST 4 7 7 87   7 2½ (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00 6.10  
TERPEYE 3 10 1010 9   5 31 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 14% 6.00 34.20 S
SHATTER ME 1 2 2½ 6   2 4 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 0.90  
STORMY SPELL 6 9 6 31   32 5 (zalalas michae)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00 5.40  
KATY THE CAT 5 8 9 75   64 6 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 7.50  
SERENE WARRIOR 2 3 43 4   42 7 (jacklin s)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 45% 1.20 40.50  
SOUTH HOUSE 7 5 53 5   9 8 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 10.30  
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 9 6 88 108   10 910½ (brooks e)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 20.00  
10  SUSIKIN 10 1 1½ 2nk   8 1012 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 95.50  
 
PEN-6   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :47 1:00     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUY HERE PAY HERE 6 3 3 11   18 1 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.40 47% 1.10 0.70 W
ROUND ROBIN 2 7 7 7   28 2 (hendriks rich)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00 12.10  
GREATEST WARRIOR 3 5 69 68   612 318¼ (stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00 36.70  
ALWAYS THERE 5 4 55 46   39 421¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30 1.60  
NEVER TOO MUCH 7 1 1 21   4 523¼ (albright r)FLORES E 123 6.00 9.80  
J W RUNTOTHEBANK 1 2 2 36   510½ 625 (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 123 8.00 25.20  
GRILLO 4 6 4 5   714½ 744¼ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 123 12.00 44.10  
SCR  HE AROSE               (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-7   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:223 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMAGISM 7 4 21 2nk   1 1 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 22% 3.50 2.50 W
HIGHWAY QUEEN 5 8 76 6   5 2 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00 10% 9.20 7.80 P
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY 8 3 3 3   2 36 (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 120 4.00 4.10  
SAKARI 6 1 5 5   4 4 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 14% 6.10 7.00  
FALL CAMPAIGN 4 7 65 7   79 510¾ (diaz jor)GONZALEZ JR 120 30.00 49.90  
PURELY SILVER 2 2 11 1nk   3 612¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 5.80  
BLEZNIATKA 3 5 8 8   812 713½ (lovato patric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 20.00 63.90  
LOVE RAN RED 1 6 4 44   6 813¾ (farrior anthon)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.00 21% 3.70 2.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.