Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 31, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/4)-(7/8/4/3)-(7/8/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/4)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4)-(7/2)-(4/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/1/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(4/1/6)-(8/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/2/3)-(4/1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(8/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(8/5/7/3)-(2/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (8/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/3)-(8/5/7/3/1)-(8/5/7/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/5/7/3)-(2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/3)-(2/3/8)-(7/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/7/5)-(2/3/8/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/3/8)-(7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3/8)-(7/6)-(7/1/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/6)-(7/6/8) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/8)-(7/6/8) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/6)-(7/1/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-7   WIN (7/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5)-(7/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/31/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCE A LITTLE JIG Mar10 Feb24 Jan12 Dec30 Dec14 (ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
2  ELEGANT TASTE Mar10 Feb08 Jan11 Dec27 Nov21 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
3  MELODIA Jan26 Dec30 Dec02 Nov08 Oct18 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 120 5.00 ★    
4  WILL TAKE ROSES Feb23 Feb02 Dec28 Oct19 Oct05 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 12% 7.20    
5  FAVORITE DOLL Mar23 Mar03 Jan26 Dec14 Nov22 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 20.00    
SCR  DALLAS Mar18 Feb25 Jan14 Dec28 Dec02 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 6.00    
7  AMI'S LINK Mar13 Feb22 Jan27 Dec28 Dec10 (chircop s)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
8  SIMPLE SOUVENIR Mar22 Mar09 Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 (chircop stev)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 3.00 14% 6.20    
 
PEN-2   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 3 ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOK RUNNER Feb24 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Dec13 (salinas jose)FLORES E 123 6.00 ★    
  (by MINESHAFT out of SHE'S HOT STUFF by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  GIUSEPPE Feb24         (rubley kelly)CEDENO CAROL 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MINESHAFT out of ROWD E ALLIE by E DUBAI)
3  SILK PRINCE         (rose orland)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SILK ROAD by FALSTAFF (IRE))
4  SPINNING MUSICIAN Mar02 Dec10 Nov12     (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of PERFECT NOTE by NOTEBOOK)
5  FIERCE AND STRONG Mar02 Feb10 Jan02 Oct18 Sep22 (farrior a)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
6  SNIP THE ROSES Mar10 Feb20 Dec09 Nov18 Nov06 (synnefias pa)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 12.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of PLEASANT CHIMES by PLEASANT TAP)
7  ROCK ANNA ROLL Mar17 Feb10 Jan25     (stites w)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by FAST ANNA out of DECO ROCKS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
8  ON AN ISLAND Feb24 Feb01 Jan12 Dec21 Dec02 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 ★    
  (by PETIONVILLE out of TAHITIAN PEARL by EL PRADO (IRE))
 
PEN-3   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURNPIKE BOB Mar10 Jan11 Nov15 Oct27 Oct01 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
2  SHARP RED EAGLE Aug21 Aug04 Jul08 May30 Apr25 (bentley fennek)CEDENO CAROL 120 6.00 ★    
3  MITROPANOS Mar13 Feb08       (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 4.50 ★    
4  ASLUCKWOULDHAVIT Mar02 Feb08 Dec21 Nov30 Nov08 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  TURNS Mar16 Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 (boyer dav)VARGAS L 120 12.00    
6  LILTONYTWOPHONES Mar10 Feb17 Jan19 Dec21 Dec06 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 4.00 13% 6.80    
7  EGOT A POKER FACE Mar10 Feb17 Apr11 Feb08 Jan18 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00    
8  BRANTLEYS BIG GUN Mar15 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov25 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 15.00    
SCR  FREEDOM'S START Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 Dec30 Dec09 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUSTIN WIDE OPEN Mar10 Feb15 Jan29 Nov07 Oct12 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 ★    
2  SAMETIMENEXTYEAR Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 Dec27 Oct22 (mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 121 15.00    
3  IOANNA Mar10 Feb15 Dec28 Nov22 Oct14 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  FINE ALEIGH Feb15 Jan08 Dec16 Oct29 Oct12 (shuman ma)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
5  ARROGANTE Mar13 Jan16 Dec12 Dec02 Oct29 (diaz jorge)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
6  JUSTICE OR APPEAL Mar08 Jan27 Dec21     (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 8.00    
7  ONE LAST FLING Mar10 Feb15 Nov16 Oct07 Sep16 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
8  COWGIRL SHINE Feb20 Jan18 Dec03 Nov16 Oct26 (farrior anth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 121 3.00 38% 1.60    
9  LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN Mar10 Feb10 Jan20 Dec27 Nov16 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00    
SCR  ROSE OF SHANAKILL Feb15 Dec28 Dec07 Nov15 Oct05 (albright r)FLORES E 121 12.00    
 
PEN-5   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHATTER ME Mar09 Feb15 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00    
2  SERENE WARRIOR Mar09 Feb02 Jan11 Dec13 Oct24 (jacklin theodora )CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 45% 1.20    
3  TERPEYE Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 Dec28 Dec14 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 12.00 14% 6.00    
4  EARLY FROST Mar23 Feb24 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
5  KATY THE CAT Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 Dec14 Nov22 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 4.00 ★    
6  STORMY SPELL Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 Jul21 Jul07 (zalalas mich)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 5.00    
7  SOUTH HOUSE Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 Dec20 Dec02 (stites fl)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 ★    
8  POSITIVE FORCE Mar09 Feb09 Jan19 Dec28 Nov29 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 120 10.00 8% 12.10    
9  SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Mar22 Mar08 Feb15 Jan12 Nov29 (brooks gerald )CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
10  SUSIKIN Mar01 Feb09 Dec16 Nov04 Oct12 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
 
PEN-6   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HE AROSE         (shea lydee)DIAZ VLADIMIR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  J W RUNTOTHEBANK Mar09 Feb24 Feb02     (cifarelli fr)GONZALEZ EDWIN 123 8.00    
3  ROUND ROBIN Mar09 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 Oct28 (hendriks ri)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 10.00    
4  GREATEST WARRIOR Mar09 Feb16 Jan25     (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 20.00    
5  GRILLO Mar09 Jan11       (carpio erin)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
6  ALWAYS THERE Sep13 Sep06 Aug22 Jul23 Jul16 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 123 2.50 23% 3.30    
7  BUY HERE PAY HERE Mar11 Mar02 Feb08 Jan14   (farrior a)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.40 47% 1.10    
8  NEVER TOO MUCH Feb16 Sep24 Sep15     (albright r)FLORES E 123 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/31/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE RAN RED Aug12 Jul02 Jun05 May14 May01 (farrior anth)GONZALEZ EDWIN 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
2  PURELY SILVER Mar15 Feb17 Feb01 May20 Apr27 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00    
3  BLEZNIATKA Mar01 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 Jul14 (lovato patr)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 20.00    
4  FALL CAMPAIGN Mar22 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 120 30.00    
5  HIGHWAY QUEEN Mar22 Feb10 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 (miller marlin)ROJAS MARTINA 110 15.00 10% 9.20    
6  SAKARI Mar15 Mar03 Feb22 Feb09 Jan27 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
7  IMAGISM Mar15 Mar01 Feb15 Feb08 Jan25 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 2.50 22% 3.50    
8  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Mar22 Mar01 Feb17 Jan03 Dec07 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 120 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.