Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $17.20 $17.20 11.20
PEN-2   Win (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-3   Win (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $11.20  
PEN-4   Win (4/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
PEN-5   Win (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $8.00 $8.00  
PEN-6   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.80 $2.80  
PEN-7   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $6.20  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL 6 1 2nk 1   17 19 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 19% 4.20 7.60 W
FIELD LETTERS 1 6 6 44   27 29 (aristone phil)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 2.50 31% 2.20 2.50 P
HILL VALLEY 2 5 5 3   38 311¼ (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.50 9.10  
WHAT A BEAUT 3 4 32 5   4 411¾ (linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 10.00 12% 7.20 19.40  
BESS 5 3 1nk 2   510 518¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 0.50  
MOSCOWS GOT TALENT 4 2 4 6   614 619¼ (jacklin s)LLOYD W 124 50.00 53.10  
 
PEN-2   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:154 1:44   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIET'S MUSIC 7 4 2nk 21 2½ 13 1½ (smith everton)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 48% 1.10 2.10 W
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 7 67 6 3 23 2½ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 4.00 5.00  
MARIANNA QUEEN 2 3 33 3 4 38 38 (santaella-calde)RANGEL JOEZER 122 5.00 14% 6.20 3.20 S
LIL MISS HOTSHOT 1 1 1nk 11 1½ 48 410 (gonzalez-mili)RAMOS C 117 6.00 9.80  
WICKED T 6 5 79 710¼ 716½ 615½ 513¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 7% 13.00 9.30  
TEACHER DRAMA 5 2 4 5 5 515 614¼ (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122 8.00 14.50  
WHATRUWAITINGFOR 3 6 54 4 614½ 728½ 743¾ (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 3.20  
 
PEN-3   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE JACK 5 4 31 2   21 1½ (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50 4.60  
NORTHERN SPY 6 1 1nk 1   11 2½ (agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 8.10 P
ON THE RIM 3 5 6 5   5 3 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 65.40 S
JACKIE'S PRIDE 4 3 4 32   3 4 (linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.00 33% 2.10 3.50  
FED CHAIR 2 2 2nk 43   4 57 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 13% 6.70 5.30  
JUST GOT STARTED 1 6 5 6   6 6 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 30% 2.30 0.80  
 
PEN-4   03/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:241 :492 1:152 1:42   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATA GUY 4 1 13 1 13 1 1 (lake scott )RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 23% 3.40 1.30 W
SUMMER ASH 3 4 3 2 23 2 2 (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 23% 3.30 0.70 P
ICHIGO 1 3 44 4 412 315½ 320½ (meister willi)INIRIO J 122 20.00 16.00  
HAYROLL 2 2 23 35 311 417 428¼ (chircop steven)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00 5.50  
SCR  BODE LYNX               (milosevic mila)LEWIS M 115 6.00    
SCR  LUCA AT THE SPA               (rojas l)VEGA L 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  TRIPLE TITOS               (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
 
PEN-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:151 1:292   1:434   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VISHNU 7 5 5 43 2 11 14 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 12% 7.30 3.00 W
POCOPSON STATION 6 7 7 7 34 3 24 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00 12.50  
JOJOMAR 4 1 1nk 11 1 21 3 (kreiser timot)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.90 S
ILLUSTRIOUS 1 6 6 53 45 4 48 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 112 6.00 5.00  
BAVARIA 2 2 3.2 66 712 717½ 523 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00 23.30  
COMPOUND IT 5 3 4¾ 3 610½ 616½ 625¼ (moreno-barban)INIRIO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 36.00  
LONGTAIL 3 4 2nk 21 57 515½ 726¾ (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 31% 2.20 2.20  
SCR  HE CAME TRUE               (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:234 :474 1:134 1:281   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ PALACE 5 1 1 12 1 1 19 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 49% 1.00 0.40 W
HIGH STRIKE 2 2 32 22 2 2 29 (wames j)CHIAPPE R 119 2.50 26% 2.80 5.50 P
MACHO HONCHO 1 4 4 44 311 313½ 322¼ (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 4.00 S
DON'T BLAME FREDDY 6 5 5 5 513½ 417½ 425 (velazquez alfr)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 6.00 11.60  
TRUE QUEEN 3 3 2 3 412 518½ 528¼ (rose orlando)AGUILAR M 114 6.00 21.80  
SPELLED WELL 4 6 66 6 619 626½ 641 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 10.00 45.00  
 
PEN-7   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:142 1:282   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAMARONTI 5 4 43 5 3 2 1 (rodriguez m)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 2.10  
HASHTAG WINNING 2 5 55 42 11 1 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 25% 3.00 2.30 P
CHARGING LION 3 1 11 1½ 21 3 36 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 10.40 S
PURPLE SHIRT 4 3 31 32 46 46 4 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 6.00  
MIAMI MUMBLES 1 2 21 2½ 58 513 522¾ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 47% 1.10 1.70  
SCR  KITTEN'S MAN               (johnston rob)RUIZ ELISEO 112 6.00    
SCR  MINE TO HOLD               (synnefias panagi)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.