Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - March 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3/5/4)-(1/6/3/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(7/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/6)-(7/2/6/1/3)-(7/2/6/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/2/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6)-(4/1/2)-(4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/6/3)-(4/1/2/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/7)-(3/4/7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/7)-(3/4/7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(3/4/7/5)-(5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/5)-(3/4/7/5/1)-(3/4/7/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/7/5)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/5)-(5/2)-(1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/1/6/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/1/6/3)-(5/2/1/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/4/6)-(1/2/4/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELD LETTERS Mar01 Feb07 Jan30 Jan09 Oct18 (aristone ph)IGNACIO EDUVIEL 119 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  HILL VALLEY Mar01 Jan26 Nov18 Nov01 Sep09 (rodriguez franklin)FLORES E 124 3.50    
3  WHAT A BEAUT Feb15 Jan11 Dec12 Nov29 Sep09 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 124 10.00 12% 7.20    
4  MOSCOWS GOT TALENT Jan25 Nov01 Sep02 May27 Apr28 (jacklin theodora )LLOYD W 124 50.00 ★    
5  BESS Mar08 Jan28 Jan02 Jul02 Jun01 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 124 1.60 ★    
6  STORMY SPELL Mar01 Jan26 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
PEN-2   03/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS HOTSHOT Feb27 Jan25 Nov23 Nov14 Oct17 (gonzalez-mi)RAMOS C 117 6.00 ★    
2  MARIANNA QUEEN Feb27 Feb06 Dec20 Dec05 Nov23 (santaella-cal)RANGEL JOEZER 122 5.00 14% 6.20    
3  WHATRUWAITINGFOR Feb22 Feb02 Oct28 Oct04 Sep23 (johnston rob)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 ★    
4  MIKEY'S JEWEL Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 4.00    
5  TEACHER DRAMA Mar08 Feb02 Jan11 Nov21 Nov07 (sells rachel)AGUILAR M 122 8.00    
6  WICKED T Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Nov01 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 7% 13.00    
7  JULIET'S MUSIC Feb27 Feb01 Nov23 Nov15 Oct05 (smith everto)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-3   03/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST GOT STARTED Feb23 Feb08 Dec21 Jul08 Jun04 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
2  FED CHAIR Feb15 Jan13 Dec07 Oct04 Aug18 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.00 13% 6.70    
3  ON THE RIM Feb23 Jan19 Dec30 Dec09 Oct26 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 ★    
4  JACKIE'S PRIDE Jan31 Dec08 Nov11 Oct21 Jul31 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
5  SUNSHINE JACK Mar08 Feb08 Dec06 Oct21   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 3.50    
6  NORTHERN SPY Jan11         (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-4   03/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ICHIGO Mar01 Feb01 Jan13 Dec20 Dec02 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
2  HAYROLL Mar01 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 (chircop steve)DAVID MICHAEL 122 10.00    
SCR  BODE LYNX Feb26 Dec29 Nov24 Oct29 Oct13 (milosevic mi)LEWIS M 115 6.00 ★    
4  SUMMER ASH Mar01 Feb02 Jan20 Dec14 Nov16 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  LUCA AT THE SPA Feb15 Dec31 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 (rojas l)VEGA L 122 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  TRIPLE TITOS Feb26 Feb01 Jan20 Jan04 Dec20 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
7  WHATA GUY Feb20 Jan13 Jan02 Dec13 Nov22 (lake scot)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-5   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ILLUSTRIOUS Feb21 Feb08 Jan31 Dec21 Nov02 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 112 6.00 ★    
2  BAVARIA Feb24 Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 Dec09 (rozell ron)LLOYD W 122 6.00    
3  LONGTAIL Mar03 Dec30 Dec14 Sep26 Sep14 (o'callahan carl)BEATO INOEL 122 4.50 31% 2.20    
4  JOJOMAR Feb15 Jan27 Dec30 Nov22 Oct19 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
5  COMPOUND IT Feb22 Jan12 Nov29 Nov08 Oct28 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  POCOPSON STATION Feb15 Aug11 Jul28 May26 Mar11 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
7  VISHNU Mar01 Feb15 Jan12 Dec30 Nov18 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HE CAME TRUE Mar01 Feb01 Jan11 Dec20 Oct28 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
 
PEN-6   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MACHO HONCHO Feb24 Feb01 Dec21 Dec02   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 3.00 ★    
2  HIGH STRIKE Feb10 Jan25 Dec02 Nov09   (wames j)CHIAPPE R 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  TRUE QUEEN Feb18 Aug31 Aug13 Jul01 Jun15 (rose orlando)AGUILAR M 114 6.00 ★    
4  SPELLED WELL Mar01 Dec13 Nov23 Oct07 Sep22 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 119 10.00    
5  KAZ PALACE Feb20 Dec16 Dec02     (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 119 2.00 49% 1.00    
6  DON'T BLAME FREDDY Jan11 Dec07 Nov14 Oct04 Sep24 (velazquez al)LAPRIDA JEREMY 119 6.00 ★    
 
PEN-7   03/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIAMI MUMBLES Feb02 Jun24 Jun15 May19 Mar30 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  HASHTAG WINNING Feb24 Jan11 Dec27 Dec06 Nov18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  KITTEN'S MAN Jan28 Jan12 Dec01 Oct14 Sep16 (johnston rob)RUIZ ELISEO 112 6.00 ★    
4  CHARGING LION Mar03 Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 ★    
5  PURPLE SHIRT Feb15 Jan07 Dec14 Nov15 Oct20 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
6  SAMARONTI Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov30 Nov08 (rodriguez)RODRIGUEZ R 122 5.00 ★    
SCR  MINE TO HOLD Mar03 Feb15 Jan25 Jan11 Dec14 (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.