Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $24.60  
PEN-2   Win (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $33.60 $33.60 25.60
PEN-3   Win (4/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 3 1 1 $6.20 $6.20  
PEN-4   Win (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 2.80
PEN-5   Win (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 0 $9.20  
PEN-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $24.80 $24.80 18.80
PEN-7   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:221 :454 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN GOOD TROUBLE 5 2 2nk 1nk   12 12 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 119 6.00 11.30  
MO CO GOLD 2 4 42 4   3 22 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 114 1.80 1.50 P
LADY LIGHTFEET 6 1 1nk 2nk   22 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 25% 3.00 5.50 S
MADELINE'S GROGU 4 3 3 31   44 4 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50 18.10  
CELTIC REVIVAL 1 6 5 5   55 5 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 38% 1.60 1.50  
I CAME TO DANCE 3 5 64 66   68 611¾ (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00 6.40  
 
PEN-2   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:223 :461 :591     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 3 6 65 55   3 1 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 14.00 15.80 W
ONE TOUGH ROSE 1 5 11 1   12 2 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 21% 3.90 3.90 P
MEMPHIS MAFIA 5 2 5 4   43 3 (graci a)LOPEZ DERECK 110 4.50 16% 5.40 5.20 S
BESS 6 3 3 2   22 4 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 31% 2.20 1.10  
STARSHIP REINA 2 4 42 66   56 511 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 4.00 2.50  
REAWAKENED 4 1 21 3   6 622 (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 29.30  
SCR  GLOSSY MADRINA               (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
 
PEN-3   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23 :462 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
E T'S CANDY MAN 3 2 1 1½   12 1 (wyner harold)CONNER TYLER 120 5.00 17% 5.00 2.10 W
TRUE GOLD 2 4 2 5   4 2 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 11% 8.30 4.20 P
ACT OF VALOR 5 6 5 32   3 3 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 8.80  
HESASMOKIN 7 5 7 7   5 4 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 3.80  
ROCKIN COWBOY 6 3 3 2½   22 5 (nicholson w)CHIAPPE R 120 6.00 8% 11.10 16.40  
SCARY LARRY 4 1 4 4   6 64 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.60 4.40  
VIOLENT PASS 1 7 6 64   7 7 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 16% 5.20 5.90  
 
PEN-4   03/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:24 :49 1:153 1:421   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAR LADY 5 4 5 5 32 1½ 1 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80 2.40 W
PERKEO 1 2 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 2 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00 1.70 P
SWITCHRATTLENROLL 2 1 21 2½ 2nk 31 3 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 4.00 5.00  
MIKEY'S JEWEL 4 5 4 3 5 55 4 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 3.00 3.00  
TEACHER DRAMA 3 3 35 4 4 45 59 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 15.00 6.10  
SCR  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD               (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
 
PEN-5   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTICE OR APPEAL 8 2 1 11   13 1½ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50 3.60  
DESI'S REWARD 5 4 3 3   34 2½ (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 42% 1.40 1.40 P
FOREVER FIFI 1 7 8 1011¼   6 3 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 9% 9.80 10.20 S
OBER DARE 9 3 2 21   23 4 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 16.30  
NANASQUAN 7 6 7 79   79 5 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 22% 3.40 8.60  
LITTLEMISSKNOCKOUT 2 9 9 811   8 68 (salvaggio mar)INIRIO J 123 12.00 28.30  
TRAJEC HOLIDAY 6 1 5 4   47 7 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00 70.40  
10  MISS MIA LIA 10 8 1010½ 911¼   910½ 810 (kulp l)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00 3.30  
LITTLE MOOJI 4 5 4 5   58 910¾ (fields kevin)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 12.00 45.50  
WICKED RED 3 10 64 6   1011 1020¼ (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 15.00 5% 19.00 39.20  
 
PEN-6   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:224 :471 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUSTER BRUNO 5 5 5 31   2nk 1½ (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 19% 4.40 11.40 W
COMMUNICATION FAIL 1 6 4 4   3.2 2½ (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00 4.30 P
KNOCKDOWN KID 4 1 2½ 11   1nk 3¾ (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 10.00 20.50 S
DANCIN IN DUBAI 3 3 6 53   4 44 (brown kelton)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.80 1.20  
SCYNTZ 7 4 3 6   5 5 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00 15.60  
ABHAR 2 2 1½ 21   6 612¾ (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00 13.70  
GYPSY KITTEN 6 7 710¾ 712¼   714¼ 716 (brooks e)VEGA L 122 2.00 39% 1.60 2.00  
 
PEN-7   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE JACK 5 4 2 21   1 1 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 18% 4.70 1.30 W
T C GREELEY 2 1 1 11   2 2 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 10% 9.20 2.60 P
ASK THE UMPIRE 4 3 32 34   4 3 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.60 S
SIR STEELE 6 5 67 6   37 411½ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 6.00 15.00  
REIGNING CHAMPION 3 7 55 56   510 514¼ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00 32.90  
DEE BUG 7 2 43 46   613 624 (shea lydee)LLOYD W 124 12.00 50.20  
FIFTH ELEMENT 1 6 714 717½   727 742 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 15.00 40.30  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.