Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (7/1/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-3   Win (4/3/1/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-4   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
PEN-5   Win (5/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CELTIC REVIVAL Feb19 Feb03 Dec21 Nov27 Nov05 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 121 2.50 38% 1.60    
MO CO GOLD Feb22 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Nov14 (farrior anth)RIVERA R 114 1.80    
I CAME TO DANCE Feb10 Jan20 Dec14 Nov25 Nov08 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 119 8.00    
MADELINE'S GROGU Dec12 Sep10 Aug21 Jul08 Jun17 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 3.50    
IN GOOD TROUBLE Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 119 6.00    
LADY LIGHTFEET Feb10 Jan20 Dec14     (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 119 6.00 25% 3.00    
 
PEN-2   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE TOUGH ROSE Feb24 Jan25 Dec20 Nov08 Oct19 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
STARSHIP REINA Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 (lucas bonnie)INIRIO J 120 4.00    
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Feb15 Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 Oct19 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  GLOSSY MADRINA Feb15 Jan25 Dec20 Dec06 Nov22 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 30.00    
REAWAKENED Feb02 Jan18 Dec14 Sep17 Sep02 (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Feb09 Jan18 Dec28 Dec16 Nov25 (graci kimberly)ORTIZ JONATHAN 110 4.50 16% 5.40    
BESS Jan28 Jan02 Jul02 Jun01 Apr12 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
PEN-3   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIOLENT PASS Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 Dec09 Nov23 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 3.50 16% 5.20    
TRUE GOLD Feb22 Feb02 Jan18 Dec09 Nov22 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
E T'S CANDY MAN Feb23 Feb06 Jan23 Jan03 Nov30 (wyner harold)OCASIO M 120 5.00 17% 5.00    
SCARY LARRY Feb15 Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 22% 3.60    
ACT OF VALOR Feb22 Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 Oct26 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
ROCKIN COWBOY Feb01 Jan11 Dec09 Sep21 Aug31 (nicholson w)CASTILLO A 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
HESASMOKIN Jan12 Nov08 Oct12 Sep01 Aug18 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50    
 
PEN-4   03/08/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERKEO Feb10 Jan11 Dec16 Nov15 Oct15 (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
SWITCHRATTLENROLL Jan11 Nov22 Oct28 Sep08 Aug31 (zalalas michae)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 4.00    
TEACHER DRAMA Feb02 Jan11 Nov21 Nov07 Oct24 (sells rachel)INIRIO J 120 15.00    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Dec07 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 3.00    
SCR  BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Feb09 Jan18 Dec16 Nov25 Oct19 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
CAR LADY Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 
PEN-5   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3 F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOREVER FIFI Feb10 Dec02       (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 123 5.00 9% 9.80    
LITTLEMISSKNOCKOUT Jan27         (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 12.00    
WICKED RED         (jacavone j)LLOYD W 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
LITTLE MOOJI Jan10 Dec12 Nov23     (fields kevin)PAREDES JHOVANY 113 12.00    
DESI'S REWARD Jan20 Dec02 Nov15 Oct11 Aug22 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 42% 1.40    
TRAJEC HOLIDAY Feb10 Dec14 Nov15 Oct11 Sep20 (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 123 20.00    
NANASQUAN Feb10 Dec27 Dec07 Oct21 Sep11 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00 22% 3.40    
JUSTICE OR APPEAL Jan27 Dec21       (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50    
OBER DARE Feb10 Jan20 Dec07 Nov12 Oct01 (crane clovis)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00    
10  MISS MIA LIA Jan12 Oct16       (kulp l)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 6.00    
 
PEN-6   03/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNICATION FAIL Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 4.00    
ABHAR Feb23 Jan20 Dec14 Jun18 May27 (bobadilla f)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
DANCIN IN DUBAI Feb23 Feb10 Jan26 Jan07 Dec13 (brown kelton)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
KNOCKDOWN KID Feb23 Feb01 Jan20 Dec30 Dec14 (salinas jose)FLORES E 122 10.00    
BUSTER BRUNO Feb20 Feb01 Jan13 Aug10 Jul13 (bentley fenneka)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50 19% 4.40    
GYPSY KITTEN Feb11 Jan25 Jan05 Dec03   (brooks e)VEGA L 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCYNTZ Feb23 Feb02 Dec30 Nov29 Nov02 (martinez a)RODRIGUEZ E 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   03/08/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIFTH ELEMENT Feb01 Jan19 Nov25 Oct25 Oct12 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
T C GREELEY Dec13 Nov15 Jul27 Apr22   (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 3.50 10% 9.20    
REIGNING CHAMPION         (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 124 6.00    
ASK THE UMPIRE Feb02 Jan19 Dec28 Dec13 Nov25 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
SUNSHINE JACK Feb08 Dec06 Oct21     (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
SIR STEELE Feb02 Dec09 Nov08 Sep21 Aug18 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
DEE BUG Dec09 Nov08       (shea lydee)CORA D 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.