Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Friday - March 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 1.20
PEN-2   Win (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.40 $3.40  
PEN-3   Win (1/4/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
PEN-4   Win (5/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $5.00  
PEN-5   Win (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $7.00  
PEN-6   Win (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $45.60  
PEN-7   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 7 1 0 $26.00  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :454 :583     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIZKY'S ON THE BAY 1 5 42 32   1½ 11 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 113 6.00 7% 12.60 2.60 W
TURNPIKE BOB 3 2 2½ 42   32 21 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 4.70 P
LILTONYTWOPHONES 5 1 1½ 1   2½ 3 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 3.70 S
EGOT A POKER FACE 7 4 5 54   54 43 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 12.00 40.80  
ORASHI 4 6 7 66   6 54 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 120 50.00 77.90  
AMIGOS GUITAR 6 3 3½ 2   4 65 (padilla-precia)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00 2.20  
SIR REX 2 7 6 7100   7100 7100 (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 14% 5.90 3.70  
SCR  FOR THE DREAMERS               (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  MAJOR THOMAS               (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00    
 
PEN-2   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:003     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORGANS COVE 6 3 4 22   1nk 1 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 123 3.00 23% 3.30 0.70 W
DISCREETLIN JONES 3 2 2nk 12   2nk 2 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 123 2.50 7% 12.90 2.70 P
MAKE A SPLASH 2 5 3 4   34 3 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 123 8.00 7.30  
FINISHING TOUCH 7 6 6 55   4 4 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 123 5.00 15.70  
FAIRVIEW 1 4 1nk 32   5 515½ (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 3.50 45% 1.20 6.50  
OUTSPEND 4 1 5 69   610½ 622 (agnew naois)HERNANDEZ A 123 6.00 22.30  
KIRRABON 5 7 7 714   715½ 728 (hodsdon dani)MENDOZA JHONATAN 123 12.00 45.60  
 
PEN-3   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:214 :443 :572     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PICTOR 4 1 11 1   15 1¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.80 17% 4.70 1.20 W
MEET ME AT MUNDIS 2 4 46 47   25 2¼ (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 14% 6.30 9.20 P
TRENDING UP 3 6 610 5   47 3 (synnefias panagi)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 10% 8.70 5.30 S
JUMPMASTER 1 5 58 69   5 45 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 3.00 30% 2.30 2.90  
ECLIPTICALS ELLIOT 7 3 21 2   37 5 (stites flin)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 4.10  
TRADERS LUCK 5 2 3 3   610¾ 613¼ (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 20.00 50.30  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 6 7 711 714   714¾ 713½ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00 34.60  
SCR  RADIEUX               (catalano l)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 12.00    
 
PEN-4   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:223 :464 :60     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHARP CATCH 2 3 12 1nk   1½ 1 (maymo j)AGUILAR M 121 6.00 1.50  
ONE LAST FLING 3 4 22 2nk   2½ 2 (mileni nick)CHIAPPE R 121 4.00 7% 12.90 2.30 P
LET'SGOSHAGDANCIN 1 2 3 4   4 3 (wolfe jr)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 8.00 5% 17.70 7.90 S
BUSTIN WIDE OPEN 5 5 6 610   610 46 (lucas bonnie)VILLEGAS JERRY 121 3.00 15% 5.60 3.70  
IOANNA 4 1 4 34   3 5 (sinnefia pa)HERNANDEZ A 121 5.00 45% 1.20 6.60  
SAMETIMENEXTYEAR 6 6 5 58   5 6 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 10.00 15.40  
SCR  FINE ALEIGH               (shuman mark)RODRIGUEZ R 119 2.50    
 
PEN-5   03/10/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ THE BEST 1 7 7 6   44 11 (synnefias p)HERNANDEZ A 122 12.00 2.50  
SWEET MESA 6 4 4 11   1 21 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 4.00 2.80  
ELEGANT TASTE 3 3 3 53   5 3 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 10% 8.70 5.70 S
LOIS'S CAUSE 4 6 5 4   34 44 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00 13.40  
INSPECTOR RELOAD 2 5 6 7   7 5 (linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 8.00 2.90  
AUTOMATED TELLER 7 1 1nk 21   2 67 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 10.00 18.40  
SHELLEY'S SONG 5 2 2nk 31   6 7 (simoff andrew)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 14% 6.30 5.90  
SCR  RAIN LILLY               (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 3.50    
SCR  SUNSHINE LINDA               (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
PEN-6   03/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3 F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22 :463 :594     1:07   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEWSDLEY 7 2 1 1   1 1¾ (sinnefia paulina)CONNER TYLER 123 10.00 21.80  
OUT OF AMMO 4 5 43 33   2 2¾ (agnew naoise)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 15.00 75.60  
I'M HEADING EAST 2 3 2 2   32 32 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 123 3.00 16% 5.40 1.60 S
UPTOWN SERAPHINA 5 4 66 56   43 4 (kulp l)VILLEGAS JERRY 123 4.50 8% 12.00 7.50  
BACK TO D' FUTURE 1 7 715 716½   712 5 (coletti edwar)NUNEZ Y 123 2.50 41% 1.40 3.50  
HOT FUDGE WARRIOR 3 1 33 4   510 6 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 123 3.50 16% 5.40 4.60  
COULD BE A COUGAR 6 6 5 6   611 715 (salvaggio m)HERNANDEZ A 123 5.00 2.80  
 
PEN-7   03/10/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:14 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUENCA 7 5 31 3 2½ 14 1 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 12.00  
DANCE A LITTLE JIG 4 7 7 710 7 58 2 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 12.00 25.40  
GINGERS WISH 3 4 4 43 3 24 3 (smith donovan)OCASIO JONATHAN 120 4.50 7.30 S
SPECTACULLARI 1 1 6 67 5 3 4 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 12.70  
THEGODDESSOFSNAKES 6 3 2½ 2 6 69 5 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 1.80 63% 0.60 0.40  
COSMOLOGICAL 5 2 1½ 1 1½ 4 613¼ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 12.00 15.60  
SPRINKLE THIS 2 6 5 55 4 710½ 714¾ (farro patricia)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 4.00 8% 12.00 6.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.