Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20
PEN-2   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $17.00  
PEN-3   Win (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $15.00  
PEN-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
PEN-5   Win (7/2/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $28.00 $28.00 18.00
PEN-6   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
PEN-7   Win (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $7.80  

Simulator Race results

 
PEN-1   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:111 1:24   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR. STEVE 4 1 12 11 16 17 1 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 10% 8.90 4.60 W
DEE JAY 6 8 6 4 26 27 2 (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 7% 13.70 1.40 P
BRILLIANT CHASE 2 5 33 31 37 39 313 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00 11.90  
LOOSE ENDS 3 4 5 54 59 512½ 413¾ (lynch cathal)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 2.50 55% 0.80 3.00  
JAYJAYDEE 7 2 22 21 4 412 520¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 5% 18.20 6.50  
COPPERHEAD CREEK 8 3 8 6 6 614½ 621¾ (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 55.50  
RADIEUX 5 7 77 7 710½ 715½ 722¾ (catalano l)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00 10.10  
JO JO HANS 1 6 45 8 812½ 821½ 835¼ (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00 18.30  
 
PEN-2   03/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:243 :49 1:14 1:412   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISTHATYOURHARLEY 4 5 33 32 2 2½ 12 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50 7.50  
BEACH BANKER 6 3 1 1 1 1½ 22 (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 23% 3.40 1.60 P
SHUTUP AND HANG ON 3 4 43 5 44 44 32 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 3.50 2.10 S
MORE RANSOM 2 2 2 2 3 33 44 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.80 2.50  
HOLD ME CLOSER 5 1 5 4 5 517 546½ (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00 29.20  
SEALITHIC 1 6 6 611½ 627½ 652 671½ (wames j)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12% 7.70 11.70  
 
PEN-3   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:222 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM'S START 5 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00 6.50  
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) 3 4 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 1.30 P
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE 2 5 53 4   3 3 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 13% 6.80 1.60 S
BUFF AND SHINE 4 3 42 33   4 416¾ (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 6.40  
BORN HAPPY 1 1 32 5   510½ 520 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 4.00 30% 2.30 7.00  
SCR  TRIPLE AMERICANO               (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
PEN-4   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:232 :47 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN'S DREAM 2 2 43 2nk   12 12 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.50 2.10 W
KNICKERSINATWIST 5 3 21 1nk   22 22 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.60 30% 2.30 0.70 P
SIMPLE SOUVENIR 4 1 3 5   3 3 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 13.50  
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT 1 5 5 31   47 4 (brooks e)VEGA L 120 8.00 16.80  
NAIL POLISH 3 4 11 4   5 520 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 16% 5.40 4.40  
SCR  SASSY MARTINI               (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
 
PEN-5   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:123 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE'S WALDO 2 2 2 2 2 1½ 1¼ (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 22% 3.60 13.00 W
TRENDING UP 9 5 8 7 53 3½ 2¼ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 9% 9.80 2.20 P
MIDNIGHT ACT 6 3 54 6 32 2½ 3½ (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 8% 11.70 9.90 S
HELMS DEEP (GB) 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 8.10  
SOUPER CATCH 7 8 7 8 6 5 5 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.30  
MOON WARRIOR 4 7 44 3 42 6 67 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 5.70  
P JS SILVER DUKE 8 9 9 9 98 7 7 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00 7.80  
YES IT'S ROO 3 6 32 4 8 910¼ 815½ (jacklin theodora )BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 17.80 38.00  
MY MAN POTS N PANS 5 4 6 5 7 8 916½ (rubley kelly)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 8.10  
 
PEN-6   03/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:153 1:433   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUGH IT OFF 3 3 3 3 3 13 1 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.80 14% 6.30 1.30 W
ARCTICA 1 6 67 610 6 4 2 (flores l)FLORES E 124 10.00 6% 14.90 15.50 P
FLOWER'S FORTUNE 2 4 42 53 55 23 3 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.40 53% 0.90 2.30 S
JUSTIN TIME 4 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 34 49 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00 7.10  
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS 6 5 52 4 4 5 513¼ (fields kevin)CORA D 124 6.00 3.70  
SLEEPY N JOYFUL 5 1 2½ 2½ 2½ 610 634 (harigeorgiou kon)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 10.60  
 
PEN-7   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREAT BARONESS 5 5 53 2   2 1¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 3.00 2.90  
REDWHITEANDTACOS 1 7 42 42   3 2¾ (dilodovico da)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.50 18% 4.70 0.90 P
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY 7 3 21 1   1 3 (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 120 8.00 14% 6.40 4.80 S
LIL H 6 1 3 6   4 4 (lovato patric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 31.30  
FALL CAMPAIGN 4 4 7 54   57 5 (diaz jor)GONZALEZ JR 110 20.00 11% 8.00 56.50  
HIGHWAY QUEEN 2 6 6 7   7 6 (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 8.00 16% 5.20 10.90  
SHOYYOOKH 3 2 11 3   67 710½ (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 5.00 6.80  
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD               (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.