Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Wednesday - March 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (3/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-2   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-4   Win (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (7/2/9/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
PEN-6   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (1/2/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JO JO HANS Sep19 Sep07 Aug30 Aug09 Jul26 (brooks gera)RODRIGUEZ R 120 8.00    
BRILLIANT CHASE Feb04 Nov30 Apr21 Apr05 Mar15 (mcmahon demelza)CHIAPPE R 120 10.00    
LOOSE ENDS Mar01 Feb06 Nov09 Oct26 Oct01 (lynch cathal)SANCHEZ J 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
DR. STEVE Feb17 Jan26 Jan10 Oct25 Sep29 (beattie m)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00 10% 8.90    
RADIEUX Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Sep15 Aug25 (catalano l)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 8.00    
DEE JAY Feb10 Jan13       (lawrence l)CONNER TYLER 122 3.00 7% 13.70    
JAYJAYDEE Mar01 Feb08 Jan27 Dec16 Nov25 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 4.50 5% 18.20    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Mar10 May27 May06 Apr07 Mar15 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
 
PEN-2   03/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEALITHIC Dec30 Nov07 Oct13 Sep07 Aug15 (wames j)CHIAPPE R 120 8.00 12% 7.70    
MORE RANSOM Feb17 Feb09 Dec30 Nov30 Oct17 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
SHUTUP AND HANG ON Mar06 Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Nov23 (houghton thom)INIRIO J 120 3.50    
ISTHATYOURHARLEY Feb09 Sep28 Sep06 Aug17 Jul27 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
HOLD ME CLOSER Feb09 Sep15 Aug24 Jul28 Jul11 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 120 8.00    
BEACH BANKER Feb17 Apr07 Feb19     (synnefias d)HERNANDEZ A 120 2.50 23% 3.40    
 
PEN-3   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORN HAPPY Feb23 Dec02 Nov13 Oct28 Sep11 (albright amy)FLORES E 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
GRATITUDE ATTITUDE Feb16 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov18 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 13% 6.80    
MAGNETIC CHARM (GB) Feb16 Feb01 Nov16 Oct07 Sep15 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
SCR  TRIPLE AMERICANO Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 Aug26 Jul27 (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
BUFF AND SHINE Jan13 Dec30 Nov18 Nov02 Oct14 (salvaggio michae)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00    
FREEDOM'S START Feb23 Feb15 Dec30 Dec09 Nov02 (albright r)AGUILAR M 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCHOOL OF THOUGHT Mar08 Feb15 Jan12 Nov29 Nov05 (brooks e)VEGA L 120 8.00    
QUEEN'S DREAM Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 Oct14 (beattie cod)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
SCR  SASSY MARTINI Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Sep01 Aug18 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00    
NAIL POLISH Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Oct14 Sep01 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 16% 5.40    
SIMPLE SOUVENIR Mar09 Mar01 Feb08 Jan25 Jan11 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
KNICKERSINATWIST Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 Nov18 (stites flint )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 1.60 30% 2.30    
 
PEN-5   03/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($28.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HELMS DEEP (GB) Jan27 Dec14 Nov27 Nov08 Oct27 (sarson b)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 5.00    
HERE'S WALDO Jan26 Dec16 Nov25 Oct05 Sep07 (sinnefia paulina)TORRES JOMAR 120 4.50 22% 3.60    
YES IT'S ROO Feb13 Jan27 Dec12 Nov28 Nov08 (jacklin theodora )BEATO INOEL 120 12.00 5% 17.80    
MOON WARRIOR Mar13 Feb17 Jan18 Dec18 Dec06 (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00    
MY MAN POTS N PANS Feb17 Jan27 Dec18 Nov11 Oct12 (rubley kelly)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00    
MIDNIGHT ACT Mar13 Feb17 Jan20 Jun12 Jun02 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 8% 11.70    
SOUPER CATCH Mar12 Feb10 Jan18 Dec01 Nov12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
P JS SILVER DUKE Feb17 Dec28 Nov25 Nov02 Aug25 (wolfe jr)RODRIGUEZ E 120 8.00    
TRENDING UP Mar10 Feb16 Jan27 Dec27 Nov01 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00 9% 9.80    
 
PEN-6   03/22/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARCTICA Mar02 Nov15 Oct28 Oct05 Sep16 (flores l)FLORES E 124 10.00 6% 14.90    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 Nov18 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 1.40 53% 0.90    
LAUGH IT OFF Feb22 Feb02 Jan12 Dec13 Nov08 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.80 14% 6.30    
JUSTIN TIME Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 Dec07 Aug24 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 5.00    
SLEEPY N JOYFUL Feb09 Jan26 Dec16 Oct05 Sep16 (harigeorgiou kon)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00    
RAISETONEW HEIGHTS Feb22 Dec27 Dec13 Oct28 Sep15 (fields kevin)CORA D 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   03/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDWHITEANDTACOS Feb26 Jan16 Dec09 Nov19 Oct29 (dilodovico da)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
HIGHWAY QUEEN Feb10 Feb02 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 (miller marl)VARGAS L 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
SHOYYOOKH Mar01 Jan27 Jan12 Dec16 Nov23 (carpio erin)INIRIO J 122 5.00    
FALL CAMPAIGN Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Dec02 Nov18 (diaz jorge)RUIZ ELISEO 110 20.00 11% 8.00    
GREAT BARONESS Mar01 Feb02 Dec30 Dec07 Nov23 (mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.00    
SCR  ICE COLD GOLD Feb09 Jan20 Nov17 Nov10 Oct30 (jacobson da)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50    
LIL H Dec16 Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 Sep02 (lovato patric)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Mar01 Feb17 Jan03 Dec07 Nov23 (penaloza migue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 8.00 14% 6.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.