The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Charles Town
Friday - February 17, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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CT-1   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
:214 :463       :532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BIT OF THAT 1 8 11     13½ 13½ (merryman micha)LEWIS M 115 3.50 30% 2.30 0.70 W
5  MIDNIGHT FLING 5 9 56½     44½ 23½ (brown a)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00 6.70  
4  MI YAYIS 4 4 33½     34 34 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 8% 11.30 16.00 S
9  BET THE QUEEN 9 1 88½     811½ 47 (viands r)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 10% 9.00 10.30  
8  K K CAN 8 2 68     57½ 57½ (rideout antho)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 14% 6.10 11.20  
3  R LOVE ON THE RUN 3 5 21     23½ 68¼ (grullon riquelv)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.00 10% 9.10 8.60  
2  GRAM'S GAL 2 7 78½     68 78¾ (pennella rhea )BATISTA A 122 15.00 27.90  
7  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY 7 6 912½     911½ 810 (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 122 4.50 10.00  
6  RIDE ON BEAUTY 6 3 45½     78½ 914¼ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00 21.30  
 
CT-2   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
:222 :463       :531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EL LUCERITO 4 3 11½     13½ 14¼ (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 1.20 35% 1.90 0.40 W
8  BORN TO SIN 8 2 21½     23½ 24¼ (grams timot)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 30% 2.40 3.30 P
1  O'RIGSBY 1 7 712½     611¼ 312½ (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 ★ 17.70 S
7  TWO ROOM SCHOOL 7 1 55½     59¼ 412½ (viands gregory)ADAMS L 115 12.00 19.10  
6  ROCKIN CHAIR 6 4 35     39 514¼ (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 8% 11.60 9.60  
3  EL PACHO 3 6 45     49 618¼ (reyes ru)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00 31.10  
2  COURT TUDOR 2 8 812¾     712¾ 718½ (kirlew lenworth)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00 42.90  
5  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM 5 5 68½     821¾ 825¾ (mckee d)BAEZ M 115 15.00 40.90  
 
CT-3   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
:232 :464 1:133     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  KOZY'S WILDCAT 6 5 11 1½   13½ 14½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 43% 1.30 0.50 W
5  HOBE SOUND 5 4 66 610½   67¾ 24½ (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 18% 4.50 3.80 P
3  FATHER WALSH 3 3 21 2½   23½ 34¾ (figgins ollie)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 ★ 6.90 S
1  MR HOOVER 1 2 54½ 56   47½ 44¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 13% 6.60 8.70  
4  NOVA BOY 4 7 79½ 710¾   77¾ 56 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 120 15.00 25.90  
8  ROCKET APPEAL 7 6 31½ 33   34 66½ (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00 17.70  
2  MACY'S BOY 2 1 43 46   57½ 79¾ (campbell a)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 ★ 32.10  
SCR  KEEN ON YOU               (cundiff waylon)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
 
CT-4   02/17/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
:241 :491 1:154     1:301   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  DEVIL'S CANYON 2 2 12 11½   15 17½ (aguirre anth)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.50 41% 1.40 1.00 W
3  COMEONTURNMELOOSE 3 5 65½ 53½   56½ 27½ (atkins mich)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 11% 8.40 6.70 P
8  COLONIAL ROAD 8 7 43½ 32½   45½ 37¾ (campbell larr)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00 17.60  
7  S S SPARTAN ENERGY 7 6 75¾ 43½   35½ 49 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 ★ 2.60  
1  CRISTIANO BOY 1 1 33½ 64½   68½ 510¾ (greaves vernon)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 14% 6.30 9.90  
5  TRAP HOLLER 5 3 22 21½   25 610¾ (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 122 6.00 13% 6.70 6.60  
6  ROCKET BALLAD 6 8 813¾ 78½   711 713¾ (conn p)BAEZ M 115 20.00 73.40  
4  COOL DUDE 4 4 54½ 810½   815 818¾ (ceciliano)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00 62.60  
9  HARDIN 9 9 923¾ 923½   921½ 919 (harrison glenn )RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00 61.90  
 
CT-5   02/17/2023 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
:234 :473 1:122     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COASTAL MISSION 2 3 12 13½   14½ 16 (runco jeff )BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 36% 1.80 0.20 W
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE 4 6 76¼ 44½   24½ 26 (johnson jame)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 17% 5.00 10.80 P
1  C R'S MANDATE 1 2 54½ 55   39 310 (schiano-dicola r)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 23% 3.30 3.80 S
4  SARGENT KOBE 3 1 32 23½   49 420½ (lane j)CULLUM W 124 12.00 28.20  
6  HUMPTY GRUMPTY 5 4 64¾ 66   515½ 520¾ (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 15.00 23.70  
8  MONAASIB 7 7 44 77   718¾ 623½ (ramos mi)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 ★ 19.70  
7  PERJURY 6 5 22 33½   615¾ 726¾ (cross kenny)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00 50.80  
SCR  NOID               (meehan elizabe)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 ★    
 
CT-6   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
:232 :474       :542   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MOHAYMEN DAY 7 1 32     32½ 1¾ (robertson r)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 ★ 11.80  
1  TALENTED CORINNA 1 5 2½     2nk 2¾ (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 33% 2.00 4.80 P
4  DETERMINED COURAGE 4 2 77     64¾ 32 (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 24% 3.10 2.00 S
5  KELSEY'S ANGEL 5 6 66½     53¼ 44½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 17% 4.70 4.60  
2  SEAP 2 3 1½     1nk 54¾ (merryman micha)LEWIS M 117 4.00 1.60  
3  CLARIFICATION 3 4 44     42¾ 66 (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00 41.30  
7  KILLDRESS KAY 6 7 55½     711¼ 713 (pickett cry)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00 16.20  
SCR  RUNNING FREE               (keller christop)THORPE DARIUS 124 8.00    
SCR  SHY BELLA               (rideout antho)RAMGEET R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-7   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.9K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
:233 :471 1:141     1:21   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  JUBA'S NOTION 6 5 42 1nk   11 1hd (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.40 65% 0.50 0.60 W
2  R B'S THE BOSS 2 1 31½ 41¼   31 2hd (dilodovico r)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 7% 13.20 1.50 P
8  GABRIEL'S WING 7 6 53½ 31   21 31¼ (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 ★ 22.40 S
5  ISLAND D'LITE 4 3 21 51¼   52¾ 49½ (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 ★ 8.90  
1  URBAN BANDIT 1 2 77½ 711¼   67¾ 511¾ (figgins ollie)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 23.00  
3  BRISTOL CHANNEL 3 4 11 2nk   42½ 611¾ (covello a)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 49.80  
6  DAREDAVITE 5 7 66 68¼   78¼ 713 (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 ★ 45.00  
SCR  MONEYFORNOTHING               (farrior anth)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
 
CT-8   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
:25 :502 1:162 1:442   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  EDICT 4 3 2nk 1nk 11 1½ 1¼ (graci kimbe)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 45% 1.20 2.50 W
1  EXCALIBUR 1 1 31 31 21 2½ 2¼ (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 8% 11.60 1.70 P
8  LOST IN MANHATTAN 7 5 41¼ 42 32½ 32 31½ (farrior anthony)LOPEZ DERECK 112 10.00 21.00  
7  FINAL SAY 6 4 93½ 74½ 43 42½ 42¼ (robertson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 8.20  
9  TRIPLE JEOPARDY 8 7 83½ 96½ 78 56 53½ (pickett crys)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00 11.20  
2  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR 2 6 72½ 85½ 88½ 89 69¾ (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00 7% 14.00 16.00  
10  LIQUID LOUIE 9 9 62¼ 63½ 67½ 78½ 710½ (jackson sherr)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 12% 7.60 11.80  
5  TAPPIN FOR GLORY 5 8 52¼ 52½ 57½ 68 811¾ (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00 10.90  
3  MUSICAL AMERICA 3 2 1nk 2nk 99½ 927 952½ (hillegass alexand)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
SCR  TOP HAT TREASON               (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.