Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/8/9/3/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/3/4)-(1/8/9/3/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/3/4)-(1/8/9/3/4)-(1/8/9/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/9/3/4)-(4/8/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/3/4)-(4/8/6/3)-(7/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/6/3)-(4/8/6/3/1)-(4/8/6/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/8/6/3)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/8/6/3)-(7/5/1)-(2/1/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1/3/2)-(7/5/1/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(2/1/5/3)-(3/1/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3/7)-(2/1/5/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/5/3)-(3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5/3)-(3/1/5)-(1/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5/8)-(3/1/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(1/4/5)-(7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/8)-(1/4/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(7/2)-(4/10/1/2/3) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/5/8/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/5/8/6)-(7/2/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2)-(4/10/1/2/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/10/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/10/1/2/3)-(4/10/1/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/10/1/2/3)-(4/10/1/2/3)-(4/10/1/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE BIT OF THAT Feb10 Dec29 Nov19 Oct09 Sep17 (merryman mic)LEWIS M 115 3.50 30% 2.30    
2  GRAM'S GAL Jan11 Dec14 Nov23 Nov09 Nov02 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
3  R LOVE ON THE RUN Sep30 Aug21 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 (grullon rique)SIMPSON JASON 122 4.00 10% 9.10    
4  MI YAYIS Jan28 Jan05 Dec09 Nov19 Oct16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 8% 11.30    
5  MIDNIGHT FLING Jan26 Jun03 May12 Apr16 Apr02 (brown keith)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
6  RIDE ON BEAUTY Jan28 Nov26 Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
7  CHARLOTTE WEBLEY Jan03 Dec07 Nov23 Oct20 Oct12 (penaloza miguel)ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
8  K K CAN Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Sep28 Sep02 (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 14% 6.10    
9  BET THE QUEEN Jan28 Jan11 Nov30 Nov02 Sep21 (viands stacey )ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
CT-2   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  O'RIGSBY         (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 6.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of SHE'S GRUMPY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
2  COURT TUDOR Jan27         (kirlew lenwor)RIVERA JAVIER 122 20.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
3  EL PACHO         (reyes )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of I'VEGOTADATE by KOKAND)
4  EL LUCERITO Jan27         (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 122 1.20 35% 1.90    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
5  LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jan27         (mckee d)BAEZ M 115 15.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LONGWALK FREEDOM by JOHANNESBURG)
6  ROCKIN CHAIR Jan27 Jan06 Dec09     (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 8% 11.60    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of EASY CHAIR by TIZNOW)
7  TWO ROOM SCHOOL Jan27 Jan04 Dec17 Nov26 Nov05 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 115 12.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of DARKE ICE by FANTASTICAT)
8  BORN TO SIN Jan27         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by OXBOW out of ROCKY'S ANGEL by ROCK SLIDE)
 
CT-3   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($29.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR HOOVER Jan26 Oct22 Oct12 Sep10 Aug27 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 13% 6.60    
2  MACY'S BOY Feb02 Dec17 Sep25 May14 Apr28 (campbell jerry )PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 ★    
3  FATHER WALSH Jan25 Dec17 Nov23 Oct11 Sep14 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 6.00 ★    
4  NOVA BOY Jan21 Nov17 Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
5  HOBE SOUND (IRE) Jan20 Dec08 Oct19 Sep10 Aug20 (brown w)ARAUJO DENIS 120 3.50 18% 4.50    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU Feb03 Jan12 Dec14 Dec01 Oct18 (cundiff wayl)LEWIS M 113 12.00    
7  KOZY'S WILDCAT Jan26 Dec31 Dec17 Nov12 Oct20 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.00 43% 1.30    
8  ROCKET APPEAL Jan26 Jan12 Dec09 Nov10 Oct28 (campbell marshall)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
 
CT-4   02/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRISTIANO BOY Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (greaves vernon)ARAUJO DENIS 122 4.50 14% 6.30    
2  DEVIL'S CANYON Jan20 Dec31 Dec09     (aguirre an)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
3  COMEONTURNMELOOSE Jan05 Nov30 Nov05 Oct19 Sep28 (atkins mi)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00 11% 8.40    
4  COOL DUDE Jan25 Dec17 Nov18 Oct29 Jun30 (cecilia)NUNEZ ANAHI 120 30.00    
5  TRAP HOLLER Jan28         (barahona isaac)LARROSA G 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
6  ROCKET BALLAD Jan26 Jan05 Nov30 Nov16 Nov05 (conn p)BAEZ M 115 20.00    
7  S S SPARTAN ENERGY Jan26 Dec17 Dec06 Nov14 Oct31 (laguna homero)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 ★    
8  COLONIAL ROAD Jan28 Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 Nov18 (campbell la)MCKENZIE CONNIE 113 6.00    
9  HARDIN Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Nov05 Sep28 (harrison glen)RIVERA JAVIER 120 30.00    
 
CT-5   02/17/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C R'S MANDATE Jan27 Dec10 Nov12 Oct08 Aug26 (schiano-dicola)ARAUJO DENIS 124 4.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  NOID Jan27 Jan06 Nov19 Oct14 Sep10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 ★    
3  COASTAL MISSION Jan20 Dec08 May14 Feb21 Jan29 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 36% 1.80    
4  SARGENT KOBE Jan26 Jan06 Dec14 Nov26 Oct27 (lane j)CULLUM W 124 12.00    
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan27 Jan06 Dec16 Nov11 Oct14 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 17% 5.00    
6  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Jan06 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 Aug26 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 15.00    
7  PERJURY Jan17 Dec31 Dec06 Nov14 Oct28 (cross ken)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 30.00    
8  MONAASIB Jan27 May21 Apr01 Feb23 Jan29 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00 ★    
 
CT-6   02/17/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TALENTED CORINNA Jan13 Oct28 Oct05 Aug04 Jul14 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
  (by TALENT SEARCH out of MARY COLE by BROKEN VOW)
2  SEAP Jan13 Aug20 Jul31 May29   (merryman mic)LEWIS M 117 4.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of SISTA by TWO PUNCH)
3  CLARIFICATION         (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 12.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of SOUTH BEACH LUV by SLIGO BAY (IRE))
4  DETERMINED COURAGE         (schoenthal phil)ACOSTA D 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BEST OF TIMES by MINESHAFT)
5  KELSEY'S ANGEL         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 3.50 17% 4.70    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of MINE OWN by MINESHAFT)
SCR  RUNNING FREE         (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 124 8.00    
  (by UNCAPTURED out of TALENTNSPEED by GENUINE TALENT)
7  KILLDRESS KAY         (pickett c)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 124 10.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DANCING ALLSTAR by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
8  MOHAYMEN DAY Jan14 Dec09 Oct17 Sep22 Sep01 (robertson r)HO WESLEY 124 10.00 ★    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of WEEKS by GHAZI)
SCR  SHY BELLA Jan18         (rideout ant)RAMGEET R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REAL ESTATE out of WASHINGTONIAN by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
 
CT-7   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3 ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  URBAN BANDIT Feb08 Jan13 Dec08 Nov06 Oct23 (figgins oll)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00    
2  R B'S THE BOSS Jan28 Dec11 Nov19 Oct14 Sep05 (dilodovico damon)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 7% 13.20    
3  BRISTOL CHANNEL Feb01 Nov13 Oct13     (covello andrea )RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00    
SCR  MONEYFORNOTHING Jan11 Nov17 Oct06     (farrior an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
5  ISLAND D'LITE Jan14 Dec17 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50 ★    
6  DAREDAVITE Jan13 Dec10 Nov20     (albert l)ARAUJO DENIS 120 12.00 ★    
7  JUBA'S NOTION Jan07 Dec03 Nov19 Oct08 Sep17 (casey a)MONTANO JOSE 120 1.40 65% 0.50    
8  GABRIEL'S WING Jan14 Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 Oct06 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 8.00 ★    
 
CT-8   02/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.2K) 4UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EXCALIBUR Jan28 Jan06 Dec17 Dec02 Nov18 (dove jr)ARAUJO DENIS 122 5.00 8% 11.60    
2  SOUTHSIDE WARRIOR Jan28 Nov16 Sep29 Sep07 Aug18 (hurley jack)MORALES KELVIN 122 12.00 7% 14.00    
3  MUSICAL AMERICA Jan22 Jan12 Dec29 Dec16 Dec04 (hillegass alexa)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  EDICT (ARG) Jan20 Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 Oct21 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.80 45% 1.20    
5  TAPPIN FOR GLORY Jan28 Jan06 Dec14 Nov03 Oct22 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 8.00    
SCR  TOP HAT TREASON Jan27 Jan06 Dec02 Nov10 Oct20 (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00    
7  FINAL SAY Jan26 Jan04 Dec02 Nov10 Oct21 (robertson r)HO WESLEY 122 10.00    
8  LOST IN MANHATTAN Jan12 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Sep15 (farrior anthon)LOPEZ DERECK 112 10.00    
9  TRIPLE JEOPARDY Jan28 Jan06 Dec06 Oct15 Sep03 (pickett cr)ALMODOVAR GERALD 120 10.00    
10  LIQUID LOUIE Jan06 Dec02 Nov02 Sep08 Aug25 (jackson she)RAMGEET R 122 6.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.