The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Penn National
Thursday - March 23, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
PEN-1   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
:222 :46 :59     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUST ADD MOONLIGHT 3 1 12 12½   13½ 14½ (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 34% 2.00 2.20 W
4  HAPPY TAPPY TIM 4 5 33 32½   23½ 24½ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 36% 1.80 1.30 P
8  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY 6 4 54 54   45 34½ (meister willi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50 ★ 2.10 S
1  RAIN LILLY 1 2 22 22½   34½ 49½ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00 10.90  
6  BOUND BY TRUTH 5 3 43 43   57 516¼ (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 10.00 40.30  
2  NORA'S STAR 2 6 67½ 613   620 641¼ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00 ★ 21.90  
SCR  AMAZINGMAE               (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 ★    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD               (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
 
PEN-2   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
:223 :463 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JUMPMASTER 4 4 42 1nk   11½ 11¼ (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 38% 1.70 0.60 W
3  STRIKING MOON 2 5 57 42   21½ 21¼ (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20 3.40 P
2  SPIKES SHIRL 1 2 1nk 2nk   31½ 35 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 17% 4.80 4.60 S
4  FEDERAL CASE 3 1 2nk 31½   44½ 45½ (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00 ★ 5.30  
6  FIELDER 5 3 3½ 53   58 520¾ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00 25.40  
SCR  PORTAL ONE               (truehart jenn)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   03/23/2023 5490ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
:234 :48 1:134 1:422   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUMP FOR THE WIN 1 1 32 31 1nk 1nk 1¾ (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60 3.10 W
3  ORASHI 3 3 54 53½ 31 32 2¾ (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00 5.50  
4  KAZ MUNNINGS 4 2 1½ 1½ 2nk 2nk 31¼ (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.40 0.60 S
2  SKIMBLE SHANKS 2 5 42½ 42½ 44½ 45 46 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00 ★ 9.50  
6  COMBATING 6 4 66½ 67½ 610 615¼ 518¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00 ★ 43.00  
5  RISEN SAVIOR 5 6 2½ 2½ 55 515 624¼ (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.40 9.10  
 
PEN-4   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
:222 :453 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MARTINKELLY 3 1 12 12½   13 11¼ (albright amy)FLORES E 120 2.50 15% 5.70 5.40 W
1  MR. PETE 1 4 42½ 22½   23 21¼ (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 1.70  
5  READY AND RICH 5 7 78½ 65¾   45 33¼ (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40 S
6  DYNAMITE KARMA 6 5 66 55½   56 45¼ (mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 46% 1.20 1.70  
4  PAPA TONY 4 3 32½ 32½   34½ 57¾ (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00 ★ 13.90  
7  BIG CITY BOB 7 2 54½ 710¾   713½ 617¾ (penaloza miguel)RIVERA D 110 5.00 6.70  
2  MR. MOX 2 6 22 45   613 721¼ (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 9% 9.70 12.30  
 
PEN-5   03/23/2023 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
:234 :484 1:142 1:41   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARISTA VIXEN 1 5 21½ 21 11½ 16 18 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 54% 0.80 0.40 W
3  CUENCA 3 2 11½ 11 21½ 26 28 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00 5.80  
2  CAR LADY 2 7 710 79½ 78½ 47 38 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 ★ 27.00 S
4  EARLY FROST 4 1 32 43 34½ 36½ 410 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00 6.00  
8  PSYCHE 7 3 43 31½ 45 67½ 513 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50 ★ 8.20  
5  TERPEYE 5 6 67 66½ 68½ 57½ 614 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 18% 4.50 24.30  
7  FAVORITE DOLL 6 4 55 53½ 56½ 711½ 718¾ (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00 39.80  
SCR  ALONG THE WAY               (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
:221 :46 :593     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  VIOLENT PASS 4 5 54 43   11½ 11¼ (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 10% 9.40 6.70 W
3  SASSY LAD 3 3 65 56   32 21¼ (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 17% 5.00 2.80 P
1  MAHOMES MONEY 1 6 42 32   21½ 33½ (martinez alexan)OCASIO M 118 4.50 ★ 1.70 S
5  ACT OF VALOR 5 4 2nk 22   42½ 46 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00 14.80  
6  NAUTICAL NATURE 6 2 31 66½   59½ 517¾ (ippolito ma)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 18% 4.70 13.10  
2  SAPONARA 2 1 1nk 12   6100 6100 (allen randy)RAMOS C 115 4.00 2.10  
SCR  KHAKI JACK               (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.60 25% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
:231 :464 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ROCKIN COWBOY 5 2 21 2½   21 11¼ (nicholson w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 10% 9.20 4.70 W
7  WOLFINBARGER 6 1 11 1½   11 21¼ (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 19% 4.30 9.60 P
2  TRUE GOLD 2 4 32 44½   36 34 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00 2.60  
1  FUTILE 1 5 57½ 57½   510½ 47½ (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00 8.60  
3  AGAINST THE ODDS 3 3 42½ 33½   47½ 59 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 14% 6.10 8.90  
4  E T'S CANDY MAN 4 6 613½ 632½   6100 6100 (wyner harold)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 22% 3.50 1.10  
SCR  BERHANU               (albright georg)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.