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Handicappers' Race Results

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Penn National
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr		Pick												Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type		Numbers												Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

PEN-1			WIN		(4/3)												2	$2.00	$4.00	3		$6.40			$2.40				60%
PEN-2			DD		(4/3)-(5/2/3)												6	$2.00	$12.00	3-5		$15.00			$3.00				25%
PEN-3			WIN		(4/1/5)												3	$2.00	$6.00	1		$8.20			$2.20				37%
			DD		(5/2/3)-(4/1/5)												9	$2.00	$18.00	5-1		$18.60			$0.60				3%
			PK3		(4/3)-(5/2/3)-(4/1/5)												18	$0.50	$9.00	3-1/5-1		$15.40			$6.40				71%
PEN-4			WIN		(6/3/2/5)												4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$12.80			$4.80				60%
			DD		(4/1/5)-(6/3/2/5)												12	$2.00	$24.00	1-3		$35.20			$11.20				47%
			PK3		(5/2/3)-(4/1/5)-(6/3/2/5)												36	$0.50	$18.00	1/5-1-3		$36.40			$18.40				102%
			PK4		(4/3)-(5/2/3)-(4/1/5)-(6/3/2/5)												72	$0.50	$36.00	3-1/5-1-3		$89.80			$53.80				149%
PEN-5			DD		(6/3/2/5)-(1/5)												8	$2.00	$16.00	3-1		$27.40			$11.40				71%
			PK3		(4/1/5)-(6/3/2/5)-(1/5)												24	$0.50	$12.00	1-3-1/6		$41.10			$29.10				243%
PEN-6			WIN		(7/6/3/4)												4	$2.00	$8.00	4		$15.40			$7.40				93%
			EXA		(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4/1)												16	$2.00	$32.00	4-3		$79.60			$47.60				149%
			TRI		(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4/1)-(7/6/3/4/1)												48	$1.00	$48.00	4-3-1		$84.70			$36.70				76%
			DD		(1/5)-(7/6/3/4)												8	$2.00	$16.00	1-4		$41.20			$25.20				158%
			PK3		(6/3/2/5)-(1/5)-(7/6/3/4)												32	$0.50	$16.00	3-1/6-4		$206.60			$190.60				1191%
PEN-7			WIN		(4/7/3/6)												4	$2.00	$8.00	6		$11.40			$3.40				43%
			EXA		(4/7/3/6)-(4/7/3/6/5)												16	$2.00	$32.00	6-7		$80.00			$48.00				150%
			DD		(7/6/3/4)-(4/7/3/6)												16	$2.00	$32.00	4-6		$119.80			$87.80				274%
			PK3		(1/5)-(7/6/3/4)-(4/7/3/6)												32	$0.50	$16.00	1/6-4-6		$97.15			$81.15				507%
			PK4		(6/3/2/5)-(1/5)-(7/6/3/4)-(4/7/3/6)												128	$0.50	$64.00	3-1/6-4-6		$1438			$1374				2148%
			PK5		(4/1/5)-(6/3/2/5)-(1/5)-(7/6/3/4)-(4/7/3/6)												384	$1.00	$384	1-3-1/6-4-6		$12958			$12574				3275%

Simulator Race results


PEN-1			03/23/2023			3960ft	DIRT			RC6		GOOD			Optional Claiming ($16K)						Purse ($18K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:22²	:46	:59				1:12⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	JUST ADD MOONLIGHT							3	1		1²	1^2½		1^3½		1^4½	(crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 122						2.50		34%		2.00		2.20	W
4	HAPPY TAPPY TIM							4	5		3³	3^2½		2^3½		2^4½	(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122						3.50		36%		1.80		1.30	P
8	HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY							6	4		5⁴	5⁴		4⁵		3^4½	(meister wil)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122						4.50		★				2.10	S
1	RAIN LILLY							1	2		2²	2^2½		3^4½		4^9½	(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122						6.00						10.90
6	BOUND BY TRUTH							5	3		4³	4³		5⁷		5^16¼	(stites flin)INIRIO J 122						10.00						40.30
2	NORA'S STAR							2	6		6^7½	6¹³		6²⁰		6^41¼	(o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122						10.00		★				21.90
SCR	AMAZINGMAE																(graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 122						8.00		★
SCR	RUNNIN REDBIRD																(graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 122						6.00

PEN-2			03/23/2023			3960ft	DIRT			RC7		GOOD			Claiming ($12.5K)						Purse ($19.9K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 6:29
See original race card.
:22³	:46³	:59				1:11⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	JUMPMASTER							4	4		4²	1^nk		1^1½		1^1¼	(lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122						1.60		38%		1.70		0.60	W
3	STRIKING MOON							2	5		5⁷	4²		2^1½		2^1¼	(mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120						6.00		14%		6.20		3.40	P
2	SPIKES SHIRL							1	2		1^nk	2^nk		3^1½		3⁵	(ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124						2.50		17%		4.80		4.60	S
4	FEDERAL CASE							3	1		2^nk	3^1½		4^4½		4^5½	(arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120						3.00		★				5.30
6	FIELDER							5	3		3^½	5³		5⁸		5^20¾	(mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120						10.00						25.40
SCR	PORTAL ONE																(truehart je)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120						10.00		★

PEN-3			03/23/2023			5490ft	DIRT			RC6		GOOD			Optional Claiming ($16K)						Purse ($18K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 6:58
See original race card.
:23⁴	:48	1:13⁴		1:42²		1:47		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	JUMP FOR THE WIN							1	1		3²	3¹	1^nk	1^nk		1^¾	(kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 122						2.50		28%		2.60		3.10	W
3	ORASHI							3	3		5⁴	5^3½	3¹	3²		2^¾	(fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122						6.00						5.50
4	KAZ MUNNINGS							4	2		1^½	1^½	2^nk	2^nk		3^1¼	(synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 122						1.60		29%		2.40		0.60	S
2	SKIMBLE SHANKS							2	5		4^2½	4^2½	4^4½	4⁵		4⁶	(beattie san)SALGADO ANTHONY 122						4.00		★				9.50
6	COMBATING							6	4		6^6½	6^7½	6¹⁰	6^15¼		5^18¾	(moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122						10.00		★				43.00
5	RISEN SAVIOR							5	6		2^½	2^½	5⁵	5¹⁵		6^24¼	(kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 122						6.00		11%		8.40		9.10

PEN-4			03/23/2023			3960ft	DIRT			RC7		SLOPPY			Claiming ($12.5K)						Purse ($19.9K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:22²	:45³	:58¹				1:11²		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MARTINKELLY							3	1		1²	1^2½		1³		1^1¼	(albright amy)FLORES E 120						2.50		15%		5.70		5.40	W
1	MR. PETE							1	4		4^2½	2^2½		2³		2^1¼	(kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 120						6.00						1.70
5	READY AND RICH							5	7		7^8½	6^5¾		4⁵		3^3¼	(lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120						10.00		5%		19.00		18.40	S
6	DYNAMITE KARMA							6	5		6⁶	5^5½		5⁶		4^5¼	(mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120						4.00		46%		1.20		1.70
4	PAPA TONY							4	3		3^2½	3^2½		3^4½		5^7¾	(graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 120						6.00		★				13.90
7	BIG CITY BOB							7	2		5^4½	7^10¾		7^13½		6^17¾	(penaloza migu)RIVERA D 110						5.00						6.70
2	MR. MOX							2	6		2²	4⁵		6¹³		7^21¼	(allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 120						3.50		9%		9.70		12.30

PEN-5			03/23/2023			5490ft	DIRT			RC9		SLOPPY			Starter Allowance ($5K)						Purse ($20K)			4UP		M/F		PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:23⁴	:48⁴	1:14²		1:41		1:45²		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
1	BARISTA VIXEN							1	5		2^1½	2¹	1^1½	1⁶		1⁸	(johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124						1.60		54%		0.80		0.40	W
3	CUENCA							3	2		1^1½	1¹	2^1½	2⁶		2⁸	(o'callaha)RODRIGUEZ R 124						4.00						5.80
2	CAR LADY							2	7		7¹⁰	7^9½	7^8½	4⁷		3⁸	(kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124						6.00		★				27.00	S
4	EARLY FROST							4	1		3²	4³	3^4½	3^6½		4¹⁰	(ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120						8.00						6.00
8	PSYCHE							7	3		4³	3^1½	4⁵	6^7½		5¹³	(cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124						4.50		★				8.20
5	TERPEYE							5	6		6⁷	6^6½	6^8½	5^7½		6¹⁴	(moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120						10.00		18%		4.50		24.30
7	FAVORITE DOLL							6	4		5⁵	5^3½	5^6½	7^11½		7^18¾	(ferreira fernando)CORA D 120						12.00						39.80
SCR	ALONG THE WAY																(johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120						12.00		★

PEN-6			03/23/2023			3960ft	DIRT			RC7		SLOPPY			Claiming ($10K)						Purse ($16.4K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:22¹	:46	:59³				1:12⁴		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	VIOLENT PASS							4	5		5⁴	4³		1^1½		1^1¼	(moreno-barban l)BEATO INOEL 122						8.00		10%		9.40		6.70	W
3	SASSY LAD							3	3		6⁵	5⁶		3²		2^1¼	(kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122						6.00		17%		5.00		2.80	P
1	MAHOMES MONEY							1	6		4²	3²		2^1½		3^3½	(martinez alex)OCASIO M 118						4.50		★				1.70	S
5	ACT OF VALOR							5	4		2^nk	2²		4^2½		4⁶	(murtough stephe)RODRIGUEZ E 120						6.00						14.80
6	NAUTICAL NATURE							6	2		3¹	6^6½		5^9½		5^17¾	(ippolito )HERNANDEZ A 120						10.00		18%		4.70		13.10
2	SAPONARA							2	1		1^nk	1²		6¹⁰⁰		6¹⁰⁰	(allen randy)RAMOS C 115						4.00						2.10
SCR	KHAKI JACK																(kulp brando)SALGADO ANTHONY 120						1.60		25%		3.10

PEN-7			03/23/2023			3960ft	DIRT			RC7		SLOPPY			Claiming ($4K)						Purse ($10.8K)			4UP		ALL		PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23¹	:46⁴	:59³				1:13¹		PP	ST		C1	C2	C3	STR		FIN							M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	ROCKIN COWBOY							5	2		2¹	2^½		2¹		1^1¼	(nicholson junior )CHIAPPE R 122						6.00		10%		9.20		4.70	W
7	WOLFINBARGER							6	1		1¹	1^½		1¹		2^1¼	(rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122						8.00		19%		4.30		9.60	P
2	TRUE GOLD							2	4		3²	4^4½		3⁶		3⁴	(ferreira fern)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122						3.00						2.60
1	FUTILE							1	5		5^7½	5^7½		5^10½		4^7½	(sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122						10.00						8.60
3	AGAINST THE ODDS							3	3		4^2½	3^3½		4^7½		5⁹	(zalalas m)HERNANDEZ A 122						8.00		14%		6.10		8.90
4	E T'S CANDY MAN							4	6		6^13½	6^32½		6¹⁰⁰		6¹⁰⁰	(wyner harold)CONNER TYLER 124						2.00		22%		3.50		1.10
SCR	BERHANU																(albright geo)VILLEGAS JERRY 122						3.50		★



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.