Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - March 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-2   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-4   Win (6/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-5   Win (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00
PEN-6   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (4/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAIN LILLY Feb16 Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 Nov02 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 6.00    
NORA'S STAR Jun20 May17 May07 Apr26   (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
JUST ADD MOONLIGHT Jan26 Nov30 Oct18 Sep04 Jul10 (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 34% 2.00    
HAPPY TAPPY TIM Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Nov30 Nov02 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 36% 1.80    
SCR  AMAZINGMAE Feb24 Jan26 Dec27 Nov23 Oct11 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00    
BOUND BY TRUTH Jun16 May25 May12 Apr21 Mar29 (stites flint )INIRIO J 122 10.00    
SCR  RUNNIN REDBIRD Feb16 Jan26 Dec30 Dec02 Nov02 (graci kimbe)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Feb16 Jan30 Jan04 Dec20   (meister willi)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 4.50    
 
PEN-2   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PORTAL ONE Mar08 Feb13 Dec12 Mar09   (truehart jenn)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 10.00    
SPIKES SHIRL Feb24 Feb08 Jan11 Dec30 Nov29 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.50 17% 4.80    
STRIKING MOON Mar16 Feb17 Jan11 Oct24 Sep13 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 14% 6.20    
FEDERAL CASE Feb28 Feb20 Jan25 Jan16 Jan09 (arce josue)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 3.00    
JUMPMASTER Mar10 Feb16 Jan26 Dec27 Nov30 (lucas bonnie)AGUILAR M 122 1.60 38% 1.70    
FIELDER Feb24 Jan31 Jan11 Dec10 Nov25 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
 
PEN-3   03/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR THE WIN Feb23 Feb15 Dec19 Dec09 Feb23 (kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
SKIMBLE SHANKS Feb16 Feb08 Jan19 Dec09 Sep08 (beattie sande)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
ORASHI Mar10 Feb08 Nov02 Aug24 Jun30 (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 6.00    
KAZ MUNNINGS Feb15 Jan19 Dec21 Oct18 Jun01 (synnefias dimitr)CONNER TYLER 122 1.60 29% 2.40    
RISEN SAVIOR Feb15 Jan19 Jul01 Jun01 May11 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
COMBATING Feb15 Dec16 Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 122 10.00    
 
PEN-4   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR. PETE Mar03 Jan20 Jan12 Dec09 Nov02 (kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
MR. MOX Mar05 Nov27 Oct08 Sep05 Jul27 (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 120 3.50 9% 9.70    
MARTINKELLY Feb24 Jan17 Dec06 Nov08 Oct25 (albright amy)FLORES E 120 2.50 15% 5.70    
PAPA TONY Feb08 Jan18 Dec30 Nov30 Nov04 (graci a)BEATO INOEL 120 6.00    
READY AND RICH Feb17 Jan11 Dec09 Nov18 Oct11 (lucas bonni)RODRIGUEZ R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
DYNAMITE KARMA Mar16 Feb17 Oct24 Oct04 Sep02 (mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 4.00 46% 1.20    
BIG CITY BOB Mar15 Feb23 Sep10 Jul31 Jul13 (penaloza miguel)LOPEZ DERECK 110 5.00    
 
PEN-5   03/23/2023 5490ft DIRT RC9 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARISTA VIXEN Mar03 Feb22 Dec07 Oct14 Sep15 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 124 1.60 54% 0.80    
CAR LADY Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan11 Dec14 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00    
CUENCA Mar10 Feb24 Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 (o'callahan )RODRIGUEZ R 124 4.00    
EARLY FROST Feb24 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 8.00    
TERPEYE Mar03 Feb09 Dec28 Dec14 Nov22 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 120 10.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  ALONG THE WAY Mar15 Feb10 Dec30 Nov29 Nov05 (johnston rob)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 12.00    
FAVORITE DOLL Mar03 Jan26 Dec14 Nov22 Nov01 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 120 12.00    
PSYCHE Feb24 Feb10 Dec28 Dec10 Dec02 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 124 4.50    
 
PEN-6   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAHOMES MONEY Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan09 Dec21 (martinez alexan)OCASIO M 118 4.50    
SAPONARA Jan23 Nov28 Oct18 Sep27 Sep07 (allen randy)RAMOS C 115 4.00    
SASSY LAD Feb23 Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov15 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
VIOLENT PASS Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan20 Dec09 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 10% 9.40    
ACT OF VALOR Mar08 Feb22 Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 (murtough stephen )RODRIGUEZ E 120 6.00    
NAUTICAL NATURE Mar02 Dec21 Nov15 Oct21 Sep23 (ippolito ma)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  KHAKI JACK Mar15 Feb17 Dec09 Nov16 Nov01 (kulp brandon )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 1.60 25% 3.10    
 
PEN-7   03/23/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FUTILE Mar03 Feb08 Jan27 Jan11 Nov02 (sells rachel)BEATO INOEL 122 10.00    
TRUE GOLD Mar08 Feb22 Feb02 Jan18 Dec09 (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
AGAINST THE ODDS Mar03 Feb02 Jan20 Dec13 Nov15 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 14% 6.10    
E T'S CANDY MAN Mar08 Feb23 Feb06 Jan23 Jan03 (wyner harold)CONNER TYLER 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  BERHANU Mar03 Feb15 Jan20 Jan12 Dec27 (albright georg)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 3.50    
ROCKIN COWBOY Mar08 Feb01 Jan11 Dec09 Sep21 (nicholson w)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
WOLFINBARGER Jan19 Dec27 Dec09 Nov16 Oct14 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 8.00 19% 4.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.