The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Penn National
Thursday - March 16, 2023

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PEN-1   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
:221 :452 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO EASY ANSWER 6 1 1½ 1   12 1(mcclellan e)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 9% 10.20 3.30 W
DWELLER 5 2 32 2   22 2(kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.80 1.10 P
COSMOLOGICAL 1 4 2½ 32   32 3(albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00 9.40  
ALWAYS MIA 4 3 43 44   44(gonzalez clau)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 110 3.50 27% 2.70 3.80  
TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER 3 5 56 55   55 5(zalalas micha)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 13.90  
PHANCY PHILLY 2 6 67 6   68 6(houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 6.30  
SCR  MIA TOSCA               (crook-dema)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
 
PEN-2   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
:254 :494 1:14 1:27   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL TIME CLASSIC 6 3 1½ 11 1 11(kreiser tim)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 0.60  
COUSIN BOB 1 1 2½ 21 2 22(linder louis )WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 1.60 54% 0.80 1.90 P
SWEEPIN HARD 4 5 3 45 46 43(jacklin theodo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00 32.30  
PRATT 2 6 53 34 5 34(stites willia)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 9% 10.50 6.10  
SOUL STORY 3 4 43 55 3 57 510¾ (albright george)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00 16.00  
LONG TOM 5 2 64 6 6 6612¾ (salinas jose)FLORES E 118 15.00 5% 19.00 30.40  
SCR  D BLACK MAMBA               (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00 6% 17.20    
 
PEN-3   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
:221 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARGO SHIP 5 3 21 1   11(kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.10 W
ROCKET BLAST 1 2 33 43   22(o'callahan carl)AGUILAR M 122 5.00 8.00  
CALCULATED THINKIN 8 6 4 33   33 3(kreiser tim)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 19% 4.30 2.90 S
SAN ANTONE 6 4 7 5   59 410 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 16% 5.20 18.60  
SPIN CYCLE 4 5 55 6   4510 (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00 29.00  
MOTI 7 8 812½ 813½   713 610¾ (o'callahan ca)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 4.80  
E T'S SUPER STAR 2 7 6 710½   611 711 (bouchard)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00 60.40  
BEYOND THE BEND 3 1 11 2   814 824¼ (graci a)RUIZ ELISEO 110 6.00 9% 10.50 8.30  
 
PEN-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
:222 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAB THE GOLD 1 2 1 1½   1½ 1¼ (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 6.00 4.90  
RILEYS DUDE 7 1 3 2½   2½ 2¼ (lucas bonni)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 4.90  
DYNAMITE KARMA 4 7 6 5   32 3(mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00 5.20  
STRIKING MOON 3 5 4 4   43 46 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 6.10  
CHRIS AND DAVE 6 6 7 63   55(kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 43% 1.30 1.70  
ANNAMATED MOON 5 3 2 31   6615 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 14% 6.40 5.70  
COLONEL MOORHEAD 2 4 5 75   7717½ (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 16.50  
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY               (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
 
PEN-5   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
:241 :48 1:131 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECONOMIC POWER 3 5 3 2 1 11(ramirez ric)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 34% 1.90 1.70 W
GRAND WISER 2 3 43 33 32 22(maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40 0.90 P
EDICT 1 4 5 4 46 43(graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 12.40 16.70 S
SASSY KING 4 8 912¾ 9 6 649 (davis samuel )CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 83.20  
PRETTY GOOD YEAR 6 9 812¼ 88 5 57 5(rubley kell)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00 29.00  
VOUCH 9 1 1nk 1 2 36(lucas bonnie)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 10.20 7.30  
OFF THE MEDS 5 7 7 65 88 79 712 (farro patricia)RIVERA D 122 8.00 16.80  
HIZAAM 8 2 6 7 77 817 826¼ (mcclellan c)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00 48.20  
STAY HYDRATED 7 6 2nk 5 913 929 941½ (romero alexis)RANGEL JOEZER 120 8.00 5% 19.00 49.10  
 
PEN-6   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
:243 :491 1:152 1:29   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE OUT 6 4 21 2nk 1½ 11¼ (meister wil)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 44% 1.30 0.80 W
SIR STEELE 1 1 44 34 3 22¼ (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 3.30 P
BENCH PRESS 2 6 57 4 4 44 3(agnew naoise)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 25% 3.00 4.00 S
FIRE D'ROCKET 4 2 11 1nk 2½ 32 4(colgan kelly)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 5.00 7.40  
JEALOUS RED 5 3 3 69 514½ 517 520¾ (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 20.00 33.70  
SOCIAL JOE 3 5 67 58 615½ 622 630¼ (bouchard leslye)RIVERA D 124 6.00 11.70  
SCR  MR. REDOLFO               (stites flint )INIRIO J 124 6.00    
 
PEN-7   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
:242 :484 1:144 1:282   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEPE TONO 5 1 48 47 4 3½ 1¾ (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00 7.50  
SCARY LARRY 2 2 26 2 2nk 1½ 2¾ (kreiser timot)INIRIO J 120 8.00 3.10 P
TURNS 4 5 3 35 32 42 31 (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.80 1.30 S
FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY 3 3 16 1 1nk 2½ 44 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 8.00 5.40  
POCO CHARLIE 1 4 58 59 5 59 513 (gonzalez clau)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 110 4.50 28% 2.60 2.70  
SCR  ALPHA SIXTY SIX               (crook-demasi kat)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  CORT'N ASONG               (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION               (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.