Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Thursday - March 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(1/2/5)-(5/8/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/7/5)-(1/2/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(5/8/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(5/8/6/3)-(7/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-3   WIN (5/8/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/6/3)-(5/8/6/3/7)-(5/8/6/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/6/3)-(7/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/6/3)-(7/5)-(3/2/9/1/7) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/5)-(7/5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5)-(7/5/3/1)-(7/5/3/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/5)-(3/2/9/1/7) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (7/5)-(3/2/9/1/7)-(7/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-5   WIN (3/2/9/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/2/9/1/7)-(3/2/9/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/2/9/1/7)-(3/2/9/1/7)-(3/2/9/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/2/9/1/7)-(7/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (3/2/9/1/7)-(7/2)-(1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/2/1/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/2/1/3/4)-(7/2/1/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2)-(1/7) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COSMOLOGICAL Mar10 Mar01 Feb08 Jan12 Dec27 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 15.00    
2  PHANCY PHILLY Feb08 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Oct26 (houghton thomas)BEATO INOEL 120 10.00 ★    
3  TOOTSYSROCKNROLLER Feb24 Feb16 Jan26 Jan12 Dec21 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
SCR  MIA TOSCA May31 May03 Apr05 Mar08 Feb07 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
5  ALWAYS MIA Feb24 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 (gonzalez cl)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 110 3.50 27% 2.70    
6  DWELLER Feb24 Jan26 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 (kulp l)CONNER TYLER 120 2.50 21% 3.80    
7  NO EASY ANSWER Feb24 Jan12 Dec20 Nov29 Nov08 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
 
PEN-2   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN BOB Feb15 Jan09 Dec21 Oct30 Sep23 (linder loui)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 1.60 54% 0.80    
2  PRATT Feb22 Jan26 Dec28 Dec13 Nov22 (stites will)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00 9% 10.50    
3  SOUL STORY Feb22 Feb09 Nov04 Oct11 Sep15 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 120 10.00    
4  SWEEPIN HARD Feb22 Jan26 Dec13 Nov04 Oct07 (jacklin theo)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 6.00    
5  LONG TOM Mar02 Feb17 Jan18 Dec28 Dec13 (salinas jose)FLORES E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  D BLACK MAMBA Feb15 Jan26 Jan16 Dec12 Nov16 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 118 12.00 6% 17.20    
7  ALL TIME CLASSIC Feb16 Feb02 Jan19 Dec04 Nov19 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-3   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROCKET BLAST Feb24 Feb01 Jan11 Dec16 Nov23 (o'callahan carl)AGUILAR M 122 5.00    
2  E T'S SUPER STAR Feb14 Jan25 Jan13 Jan02 Dec19 (boucha)GONZALEZ JR 122 12.00    
3  BEYOND THE BEND Mar03 Jan09 Oct18 Jul21 May26 (graci kimberly )RUIZ ELISEO 110 6.00 9% 10.50    
4  SPIN CYCLE Feb15 Jan25 Dec13 Nov30 Nov08 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
5  CARGO SHIP Feb01 Jan18 Dec30 Dec21 Sep07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
6  SAN ANTONE Mar03 Feb02 Jan12 Dec18 Dec08 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
7  MOTI Jan27 Dec20 Nov29 Nov12 Oct25 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 6.00 ★    
8  CALCULATED THINKIN Feb23 Feb15 Jan20 Dec21 Oct18 (kreiser t)HERNANDEZ A 124 3.50 19% 4.30    
 
PEN-4   03/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAB THE GOLD Feb17 Jan11 Dec13 Nov25 Oct18 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 118 6.00 ★    
2  COLONEL MOORHEAD Feb10 Jan19 Nov23 Nov02 Oct14 (rathman elisha)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
3  STRIKING MOON Feb17 Jan11 Oct24 Sep13 Aug23 (mileni nick)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 6.00 ★    
4  DYNAMITE KARMA Feb17 Oct24 Oct04 Sep02 Jul24 (mileni nick)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 12.00    
5  ANNAMATED MOON Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 Aug24 Jul29 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 14% 6.40    
SCR  DON'T LOSEMYMONEY May19 Apr27 Mar25 Mar08 Feb15 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.50 16% 5.20    
7  CHRIS AND DAVE Feb08 Jan27 Dec29 Dec08 Nov12 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
8  RILEYS DUDE Nov15 Oct29 Oct19 Sep17 Aug17 (lucas bon)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00    
 
PEN-5   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EDICT (ARG) Feb17 Jan20 Dec06 Nov18 Nov04 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 6.00 7% 12.40    
2  GRAND WISER Feb22 Jan27 Jan11 Dec09 Nov15 (maymo j)BEATO INOEL 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
3  ECONOMIC POWER Mar02 Feb08 Dec16 Nov25 Nov01 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00 34% 1.90    
4  SASSY KING Feb19 Jan02 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 (davis samue)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00    
5  OFF THE MEDS Feb22 Feb14 Jan27 Jan06 Dec12 (farro patrici)RIVERA D 122 8.00    
6  PRETTY GOOD YEAR Feb22 Nov23 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 (rubley ke)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
7  STAY HYDRATED Feb28 Feb13 Jan10 Dec06 Nov01 (romero alexis)RANGEL JOEZER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  HIZAAM Jan27 Dec21 Dec09 Nov16 Oct25 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 120 12.00    
9  VOUCH Mar02 Feb22 Feb08 Jan20 Nov29 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 6.00 9% 10.20    
 
PEN-6   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR STEELE Mar08 Feb02 Dec09 Nov08 Sep21 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 124 3.00 ★    
2  BENCH PRESS Feb16 Jan13 Jun24 May13 Mar23 (agnew naois)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  SOCIAL JOE Feb27 Feb15 Jan09 Nov30 Nov22 (bouchard lesl)RIVERA D 124 6.00 ★    
4  FIRE D'ROCKET Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov05 Sep18 (colgan kel)MENDOZA JHONATAN 124 5.00 ★    
SCR  MR. REDOLFO Mar03 Feb16 Feb01 Jan13 Dec09 (stites flin)INIRIO J 124 6.00    
6  JEALOUS RED Jan19 Dec13       (cifarelli frank)LLOYD W 124 20.00    
7  SEE OUT Jan28 Jan14 Dec31 Nov20 Nov05 (meister w)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
 
PEN-7   03/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POCO CHARLIE Feb24 Jan08 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (gonzalez cl)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 110 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  ALPHA SIXTY SIX Feb24 Jan13 Dec06 Nov09 Oct07 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 9% 10.30    
3  SCARY LARRY Mar08 Feb15 Jan20 Dec09 Nov16 (kreiser tim)INIRIO J 120 8.00 ★    
SCR  CORT'N ASONG Feb15 Dec13 Nov29 Nov04 Oct21 (johnston rob)AGUILAR M 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
5  FIFTY SHEAS OFGREY Feb24 Feb15 Jan13 Dec20 Dec13 (salinas jose)FLORES E 120 8.00    
SCR  POCOPSON STATION Feb15 Aug11 Jul28 May26 Mar11 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 12.00    
7  TURNS Feb22 Feb06 Jan18 Dec20 Nov09 (kulp bran)HERNANDEZ A 120 3.50 13% 6.80    
8  PEPE TONO Feb24 Dec21 Nov30 Oct18 Sep22 (moreno tito)TUNON JORDANO 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.