Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Saturday - April 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-4   EXA (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-2 $19.00 $7.00 58%
    TRI (3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2)-(3/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-2-4 $43.20 $31.20 260%
TAM-8   WIN (3/2/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (3/2/9/5)-(3/2/9/5/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-9 $21.70 $5.70 36%
TAM-9   DD (3/2/9/5)-(10/1/9/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00  3-5 $31.90 $11.90 60%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   04/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:18
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:141 1:402   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA BRODY 4 2 42 3 11 1 13 (cascallares ne)MARIN SAMUEL 124 10.00 7.60  
RIPLEY EFFECT 5 6 53 5 21 2 23 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 126 2.00 29% 2.50 1.10 P
PROVOCATIVA 2 4 3 4 4 4 3 (crich)DIAZ RAFAEL 124 1.40 13% 6.80 1.30 S
DEESSE 3 1 2½ 2½ 31 34 4 (dominguez lui)ALICEA JEREMY 117 20.00 31.30  
R D BLESSING 6 5 63 6 6 57 511¾ (drake robert)MENESES MARCOS 124 15.00 11.00  
BLUSHING KEYLEN 1 3 1½ 1½ 52 6 617¾ (hayford jennifer)BUSH V 124 12.00 10.70  
SCR  I'LL GO ALL IN               (romero rafa)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 3.50 34% 2.00    
 
TAM-2   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:48
See original race card.
:221 :454 1:114     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARSHIP PRECIOUS 6 3 6 45   1½ 11 (ferraro anth)CASTANON L 123 10.00 5.80  
TRULY A DREAM 2 7 79 67   3 21 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 123 4.50 5% 19.00 3.40 P
GLEAMING BRUTALITY 7 1 3 1½   2½ 36 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 125 1.60 55% 0.80 1.50 S
BOURN WILD AGAIN 5 2 4 5   4 4 (bennett gerald)MARIN SAMUEL 123 12.00 25.80  
SO SOFTLY 3 4 22 3   56 516 (smith r)SOSA LAUREANO 118 2.00 15% 5.80 3.40  
RAW HONEY 1 5 12 2½   6 623 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 123 8.00 5% 17.90 5.90  
JUST LIKE INDY 4 6 57 7   714 736½ (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 123 12.00 34.80  
 
TAM-3   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:222 :453 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ABOUT LUCKY 3 4 2nk 1nk   11 1 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 120 2.50 2.40  
DISCREET DEVIL 4 3 3 3½   31 2 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 5.00 3.50  
CAPE COD SUMMER 2 6 6 43   4 3 (santillana )QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 13% 6.90 25.80 S
MORE DRAMA 1 5 1nk 2nk   21 4 (hardesty l)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00 5.90  
HELLO SUCKER 7 1 44 5   57 510½ (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 120 3.00 18% 4.50 2.50  
MOCCASIN BEND 6 2 57 67   611 617¾ (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.50 4.50  
BARONS BLITZ 5 7 7 78   713 722 (wasiluk peter )ALLEN D 120 15.00 13% 6.90 19.00  
SCR  MIKES MYTH               (seale christoph)MENA E 120 10.00 13% 6.90    
 
TAM-4   04/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:22 :443 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WELL CONNECTED 7 5 42 4¾   1nk 1 (march william)BUSH V 119 3.00 10% 9.30 2.50 W
FLIPPING FISH 2 6 6 5   53 2 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 6.00 8% 10.90 3.20 P
BAZOO 4 3 1nk 1nk   3½ 3 (carrascojr )QUINONEZ ALONSO 123 4.00 10% 9.10 8.00 S
IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK 5 4 53 6   4 4 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 112 10.00 13.10  
KITCHEN FIRE 3 2 2nk 2nk   2nk 5 (raven kerri)CASTANON L 121 2.00 41% 1.40 2.90  
TAPSOLUTION 1 7 8 8   7 6 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00 10.10  
SCHOCHOH 8 1 3½ 3.2   6 711¾ (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00 17.30  
HIT BY A WAVE 6 8 75 7   8 815½ (philipp karyn)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00 8.70  
 
TAM-5   04/15/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:31
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:124 1:381   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRISH KITTEN 2 2 4 3 2 13 1 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 122 1.40 42% 1.40 0.80 W
LOOKIN AT KISSES 5 4 5 66 3 23 2 (ubide max)ALLEN D 122 10.00 22.10  
HURRY UP DEAR 3 7 8 8 43 4 37 (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 115 6.00 15% 5.70 7.60 S
MORENA DANCER 1 6 77 7 6 6 412½ (marre)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 8.00 11.80  
LIVELY REMARK 6 8 65 56 5 5 514 (nunn douglas)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 4.50 9.10  
BYZANTINE EMPIRE 8 5 11 12 1 33 615¼ (burns patricia)SUAREZ JESUS 122 15.00 68.30  
SOPHIA LAUREN 4 1 3 4 89 718½ 736 (sweezey j)RODRIGUEZ A 122 15.00 14.00  
QUEEN DE LA CREME 7 3 21 22 78 824 855½ (rice kevin)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.50 19% 4.40 3.20  
 
TAM-6   04/15/2023 5400ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:02
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:122 1:39   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED 1 4 12 1 1 1½ 1 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 118 10.00 3.90  
ESTILO MAGICO 4 2 33 2 2 3½ 2 (arriagada juan)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 2.60  
THIS RUN'S FOR YOU 2 1 22 3 3 2½ 34 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 2.50 46% 1.20 1.40 S
ROSES BY LIAM 3 5 4 57 55 43 44 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.50 14% 6.30 3.20  
DAWGMENTALITY 5 3 5 45 4 5 5 (potts g)WALKER M 118 15.00 7% 12.90 10.40  
SCR  DECEITFUL               (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 10.00    
SCR  MIKEY BANANAS               (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ A 118 1.80 12% 7.20    
 
TAM-7   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 3:34
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:124 1:244   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMASO 2 2 21 21 1nk 1 1½ (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 118 15.00 14.70  
FACCIA BELLA 6 3 42 42 3.2 3 2½ (raven ke)GALLARDO A 120 2.00 6% 16.00 2.90 P
EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE 1 1 11 11 2nk 2 3 (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 10% 8.70 3.20 S
TALL GIRL 3 5 32 32 4 4 44 (clement christ)CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 34% 1.90 1.10  
HEAVENS EXPRESS 8 8 7 55 5 56 5 (guciardo kathy)FELICIANO R 118 10.00 9.30  
DANCE STEP 7 7 6 7 7 614 615½ (wilson tony)ALICEA JEREMY 111 20.00 47.20  
GO MIKA 4 6 8 810¾ 8 818¼ 723¾ (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 20.00 32.40  
YES DAY 5 4 5 6 6 718 826½ (wismer glenn )WALKER M 118 12.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
SCR  PRINCESS CHESSIE               (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-8   04/15/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:221 :461 1:114     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SWAYZE EXPRESS 3 7 6 32   1nk 1 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 3.50 37% 1.70 4.60 W
HAPPYIZE 8 3 22 11   2nk 2 (klesaris)GALLARDO A 125 2.50 8% 12.30 1.00 P
GOD GIVEN RIGHTS 4 8 8 54   33 3 (seale christopher)BUSH V 118 12.00 35.50  
NOT A DANCE 2 6 7 98   6 4 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.00 29% 2.40 4.40  
10  DEACON ELI 9 1 33 21   44 510¼ (tsirigotis ja)JIMENEZ MANNY 125 10.00 6.70  
MY BIG DRAMA 1 9 9 76   5 610¼ (dobber arn)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 8.00 17.00  
PERFECT MOON 5 5 5 66   712½ 726¼ (cascallare)ALONSO LUIS 118 12.00 6% 16.10 11.70  
PEINADITO 7 4 12 4   819½ 849¼ (tsirigotis jam)SUAREZ JESUS 125 12.00 23.80  
OZAH 6 2 43 8   925½ 966 (nunn douglas)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00 56.90  
SCR  RED'S MR Z               (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00    
 
TAM-9   04/15/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 3 F PT- 4:37
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:123 1:25   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 4 2 2 21 1nk 1nk 1nk (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 6.00 10% 8.60 4.00 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of BOW BELLS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SUN BEE 1 1 53 4 5 3 2nk (motion h)GALLARDO A 120 2.50 18% 4.50 1.10 P
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SPOOKY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
ROMAN FLAME 6 5 1 11 2nk 2nk 3¼ (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 120 4.00 8% 11.30 6.10 S
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of ROMANA RULER by ROMAN RULER)
10  ENGLISHED 9 9 64 65 6 4 4 (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 30% 2.30 4.50  
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
MYSTERIOUS STARE 2 3 3 3 32 5 54 (albertrani thom)CENTENO E 120 15.00 27.20  
  (by TAPIZAR out of NO MEANS NO by POLICE CAR)
ONE VIOLENT AFFAIR 8 6 4 5 4 6 65 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 8.00 13% 6.60 9.60  
  (by VIOLENCE out of ORIENT HARBOR by FIRST SAMURAI)
FLYLIKEABUTTERFLY (IRE) 7 8 8 7 7 7 712 (sweezey ke)BATISTA A 120 20.00 37.70  
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of PARVANEH (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
OSCAR GAZE 5 7 97 9 911¾ 813¼ 815½ (dini mike)RODRIGUEZ A 120 12.00 19.60  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILDCAT GAZE by WILDCAT HEIR)
MISSMOLLYORBIT 3 4 75 8 8 916¼ 922½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 12.00 40.40  
  (by ORB out of MISSMOLLYBYGOLLY by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BELLA FACCIA               (ciaio a)FERRER C 120 20.00    
  (by LONG ON VALUE out of FAERIE QUEENE by TIME FOR A CHANGE)
SCR  PARTY DREAM               (barbazoniii lest)BRACHO A 120 20.00    
  (by JESS'S DREAM out of PEGGY JOYCE by AFTER MARKET)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.