The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Tampa Bay Downs
Sunday - April 30, 2023
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
TAM-1   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 4UP M/F PT-12:48
:224 :464 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  LYRICAL 5 2 22½ 2½   31 1nk (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 115 4.00 18% 4.70 2.20 W
4  CELESTIAL ORB 4 5 66½ 65   42 2nk (march william)MARTIN MATTIE 115 12.00 22.80  
2  MOON ME AGAIN 2 3 43 41   1nk 31 (galvan baltazar)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.00 3.80  
1  TAKESTWOTOWIGGLE 1 6 12½ 1½   2nk 41¾ (richards ren)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 6.00 12% 7.30 8.30  
3  JLO CAN DANCE 3 4 53½ 53   53 516 (poole a)CAMACHO SAMY 122 4.00 2.80  
6  BAYOU MELODY 6 1 33 3½   64½ 623¾ (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 122 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50  
 
TAM-2   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
:222 :462 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  PEARLINTHEROUGH 2 5 75½ 74½   74¾ 1½ (hernandez sandino )FERRER C 123 2.00 31% 2.30 3.00 W
3  HIGH ARABIAN 3 1 3.2 1½   12½ 2½ (escobar alison)ALICEA JEREMY 116 10.00 5% 19.00 10.20 P
4  LADYNESS 4 7 65¼ 63½   43½ 31 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 5.00 14% 5.90 11.60 S
7  WIN OR CELLAR 7 3 2nk 2½   22½ 41¼ (richards renaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 123 8.00 24% 3.10 6.00  
5  COUNTLESS DREAMS 5 4 42¾ 42   64½ 51¼ (o'connell kathl)SOSA LAUREANO 116 3.00 2.50  
1  DELTA RED 1 6 52¾ 53   53½ 64 (lorito mario)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 10.00 18.00  
6  NICOLINO 6 2 1nk 31   33 710 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 125 4.00 2.10  
 
TAM-3   04/30/2023 5400ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:48
:232 :48 1:131 1:391   1:413   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GARMENTO 5 2 32 32 2nk 2nk 11¾ (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 124 1.60 29% 2.40 1.30 W
2  LEOPARDI 2 3 1½ 11½ 1nk 1nk 21¾ (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 124 2.00 23% 3.30 1.60 P
3  TAPINTOYOURBEER 3 4 2½ 21½ 41¼ 46½ 37¼ (ubide max)ARROYO S 124 8.00 13.70  
4  CALZONE 4 6 63 42 31 36 47¼ (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 117 5.00 6.20  
6  SHIPWRECK 6 1 53 62¾ 52¼ 59½ 517 (knoll d)ALLEN D 124 20.00 23.80  
1  COLORS 1 5 42½ 52¼ 64¼ 612½ 628¾ (lusk r)FUENTES MARIO 124 4.00 19% 4.30 5.40  
 
TAM-4   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.5K) 3 ALL PT- 2:18
:242 :484 1:133 1:393   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  COPAZO 3 4 52½ 3½ 3½ 2½ 12½ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 118 4.00 44% 1.30 3.40 W
7  COCO SHELL 4 3 11 1nk 1nk 1½ 22½ (dini mike)CENTENO E 118 12.00 2.90  
1  CESAR 1 5 42 5¾ 51¼ 31 34¼ (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 8.00 5% 17.40 2.10 S
3  GODS GLORY 2 1 31 4¾ 41 41 46¼ (bennett s)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.50 21% 3.70 2.00  
8  GO GREEN 5 2 21 2nk 2nk 52½ 58¼ (o'connell kathl)SOSA LAUREANO 111 8.00 6% 16.80 10.00  
SCR  IMAGOODFELLA               (russo j)LOPEZ E 118 12.00    
SCR  MINELLA               (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 118 1.60    
SCR  THIRD MOON               (poole a)FERRER C 118 12.00    
 
TAM-5   04/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($17K) 3 ALL PT- 2:51
:224 :463 :592     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BIG BUCKSALOT 8 5 41½ 2½   1½ 14¼ (gatis chris)FERRER C 120 4.50 32% 2.10 4.10 W
7  PRINCE GHOST 7 8 72¼ 41½   42½ 24¼ (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 4.40  
5  SECOND WAVE 5 4 11 1½   2½ 34½ (kintz matthew)ALLEN D 120 8.00 ★ 7.20 S
4  NICO'S HAVING FUN 4 3 31 3½   3½ 45¼ (o'connell kathle)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 28% 2.50 1.30  
10  TIZ A TALE 10 6 82¾ 62¼   52¾ 58¾ (holtzinger c)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 10.00 29.60  
9  INSTIGATING 9 1 1013¼ 108¼   99 612¾ (spanabel kelly )ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00 48.20  
6  TRIPP WILDCAT 6 9 95¼ 97¼   1010½ 714 (rarick lynn)DELGADO DAVID 120 10.00 17% 5.00 12.90  
3  GRAND SLAM BOY 3 7 51¾ 84¼   88 816¼ (philipp karyn)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00 17.90  
2  FAVORITE LIGHT 2 2 61¾ 74¼   77¾ 917½ (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 ★ 12.60  
1  GOLD FOR MY LADY 1 10 21 51¾   67¾ 1020 (mckathan kev)ALONSO LUIS 115 12.00 36.30  
 
TAM-6   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($18.5K) 3 F PT- 3:23
:243 :483 1:134 1:411   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MIRANDA'S ROCKY 3 4 54 44 32½ 21 1¾ (orseno f)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 2.50 2.50  
2  MOST DIVINE 2 6 68 66 55½ 41½ 2¾ (bowersock mari)GARCIA GEOVANY 120 20.00 11.80  
1  MY JUNE BUG 1 5 32½ 32 42½ 31½ 34½ (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 120 5.00 48% 1.10 3.10 S
7  BELLA FACCIA 5 2 21 2nk 1½ 11 47½ (ciaio charles )MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 13% 6.70 1.30  
8  MOONSHINING 6 3 11 1nk 2½ 52 513¾ (mcgoey )DIAZ RAFAEL 120 12.00 5.40  
5  BRITTY 4 1 43½ 55 617½ 622 642½ (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 113 30.00 40.00  
SCR  RISKY TIZZY               (munoz carlos)ARROYO S 120 2.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  VERIFIABLE               (manning dennis )MARTIN MATTIE 113 8.00 ★    
 
TAM-7   04/30/2023 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3 ALL PT- 3:55
:223 :454 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SIR ROBERT HALL 7 1 2½ 1½   14 13½ (o'connell kathleen)FERRER C 120 8.00 18% 4.60 9.70 W
6  MOTIVO 6 8 86 74¼   57 23½ (garcia rodolfo)MARTIN MATTIE 113 10.00 11.20  
2  SOPHIA'S PRINCE 2 5 31½ 41½   36 33½ (hamm timothy)ALICEA JEREMY 113 1.60 25% 3.00 2.50 S
8  BOLD ADVANCE 8 2 52½ 31½   24 47¼ (o'connell kathle)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 29% 2.50 2.60  
1  THE GREAT CESAR 1 6 63 63¾   47 57½ (barboza victor)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.60  
5  CITY HUMOR 5 3 1½ 2½   69 613¼ (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 6.00 3.90  
3  VALDOSTA 3 7 42½ 53½   714 721½ (mckathan kevin)DIAZ S 120 12.00 27.00  
4  KING SHARK 4 4 73½ 85¾   816 826¼ (king clar)GONZALEZ LUIS 120 15.00 53.80  
 
TAM-8   04/30/2023 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
:24 :473 1:124 1:384   1:411   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FEUILLETON 2 4 2nk 1½ 11½ 15 18 (chain pearl)FERRER C 126 3.00 3.20  
3  FOREVER SAUCY 3 5 31 32 31½ 25 28 (ochoa gerard)DELGADO DAVID 118 15.00 10.60  
4  KALINBA 4 1 1nk 2½ 21½ 38 312¼ (cascallares ne)MENESES MARCOS 126 4.50 3.80  
10  MIGHTY FROSTED 8 3 76¾ 59 47½ 411 414½ (barboza vict)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 12.00 10.90  
6  THE POINT ROAD 5 8 66½ 79½ 69½ 613½ 515¾ (chavez a)VILLA-GOMEZ H 126 2.50 ★ 2.50  
8  MY BIG DRAMA 7 2 54 48 58½ 513 622½ (dobber arnou)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 10.00 9.40  
7  RED JET 6 7 810¾ 814½ 819½ 826½ 736 (barrett grantle)FUENTES MARIO 126 12.00 29.70  
1  STEEL HAWK 1 6 43 69 717½ 725½ 837 (cesare william)ALICEA JEREMY 111 15.00 4.30  
SCR  MAGIC WIZARD               (fennessy john)ALLEN M 126 4.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  MARSICO               (parra h)DIAZ RAFAEL 126 20.00    
SCR  PAT'SSEWINGMACHINE               (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 126 6.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CIVILITY               (o'connell kath)ARROYO S 126 3.50    
SCR  TOYI               (hernandez sandin)CAMACHO SAMY 126 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  TRUTH AND HONESTY               (hennessy jos)MITCHELL RICHARD 126 12.00 7% 12.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.