Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-3   WIN (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00  8 $13.20 $9.20 230%
    EXA (8/9)-(8/9/5/7/12) 8 $1.00 $8.00  8-5 $33.00 $25.00 313%
TAM-5   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $16.60 $10.60 177%
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-7 $29.90 $20.90 232%
TAM-9   WIN (1/3/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00  9 $13.00 $3.00 30%
    DD (9/3/2/6/4)-(1/3/2/4/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00  9-9 $45.00 $20.00 80%

Simulator Race results

 
TAM-1   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:18
See original race card.
:221 :45 :573     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIDIANO 2 5 5 4   43 1 (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00 6.60  
CITY OF CLOUDS 6 2 3.2 2½   21 2 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 6.00 3.70  
WALT WHITMAN (IRE) 1 6 6 6   6 3 (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 120 12.00 17.40  
CRUISING DEREK 5 1 2nk 3½   31 4 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 2.50 27% 2.70 1.60  
FALK 4 3 1nk 1½   11 53 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 24% 3.10 4.10  
CATALINA EXPRESS 3 4 4 5   55 6 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.00 24% 3.20 3.20  
 
TAM-2   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUTTON BREEZE 6 2 31 1nk   2nk 1 (rodriguez an)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.50 4.30  
INCREDIBLE BILL 4 3 1½ 2nk   1nk 2 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.80 37% 1.70 0.80 P
SEAX 5 4 7 5   4 39 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00 20.40  
SMART DRESSER 1 6 4 32   35 410¾ (hamm timothy)BATISTA A 120 6.00 7.00  
ON THE RUNWAY 3 5 6 6   5 513½ (delac)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 39% 1.60 3.30  
VIDA FINA 2 7 5 7   611¾ 620 (pimental john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00 32.40  
ST. CALVIN 7 1 2½ 43   714¾ 728¾ (cahill steven)WALKER M 125 10.00 24.60  
 
TAM-3   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:23 :473 1:124 1:40   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REASONABLY LOVELY 8 10 9 8 66 4 1 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 3.00 43% 1.30 5.60 W
DUDEFOOLINGDARLING 5 1 53 53 32 21 2 (deaton willi)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00 4.20 P
BOARDWALK FRIES 4 4 43 4 2 11 3 (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 20.00 28.70  
INSATIABLE EVA 1 6 7 64 54 5 4 (laurato michae)MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00 49.00  
10  MOVE TO ORDER 10 8 10 108 8 32 5 (barbazoniii le)ALLEN D 120 20.00 27.70  
ROYALE FLARE 7 7 8 9 9 6 6 (lopez)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50 4.10  
ZIPPY ZINNY 9 9 6 7 78 88 716¼ (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 36% 1.80 2.20  
HIGH DONNA 6 5 2½ 2nk 1 76 819¾ (escobar alis)ARROYO S 120 12.00 4.30  
AFTER NOON KISSES 2 3 1½ 31 1010½ 1014 929 (spanabel kelly)EVANS CECILY 120 20.00 22.50  
VALIANT MISTRESS 3 2 31 1nk 43 912 1029¼ (bennett geral)FUENTES MARIO 120 8.00 21.30  
SCR  BANK BUSTER               (ryan derek)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
SCR  EMPIRE GIRL               (sanchez jose)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
SCR  ITRIEDSELLINGHER               (o'connell kat)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
SCR  WICKLOW GAL               (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
 
TAM-4   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:231 :46 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RISK VS REWARD 4 1 2½ 2nk   1½ 1 (ward dennis)ARROYO S 118 4.50 4.20  
HIDE THE DEMON 3 2 1½ 1nk   2½ 2 (poole jeffrey )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 21% 3.70 2.50 P
HARD LIGHTING 7 5 41 31   3 3 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00 4.40 S
KUHL STAR 1 7 7 5   5 4 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 118 6.00 7.00  
EXPRESS PHAROAH 2 6 5 4   4 5 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.50 27% 2.70 2.10  
PIYPA DE LYNDA 5 3 31 6   7 6 (marino gary)DIAZ S 118 15.00 23.80  
INDIAN BUZZ 6 4 6 7   65 7 (nobles rey)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 13% 6.80 12.40  
 
TAM-5   04/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:113 1:37   1:493   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUERTE 5 4 2½ 2½ 1½ 1½ 1nk (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 5.00 6% 16.50 7.30 W
POSSIBLEMENTE 7 6 3 3 31 2½ 2nk (rodriguez dari)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 44% 1.30 1.50 P
CRAFTY KING 6 7 52 6 42 3 3 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 12.00 20.90  
OKLETSGO 3 3 63 5 63 5 4 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 28.30  
SUMMER BEE 1 2 42 4 52 4 5 (dini mik)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 24% 3.10 1.80  
NAGA'S BOY 4 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 6 612¾ (smith g)CENTENO E 118 3.50 4.20  
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES 2 5 75 77 74 7 713¼ (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 8.00 11.10  
 
TAM-6   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:01
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:102     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STYLE 5 6 66 6   43 1¾ (arriagada jua)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00 7.30  
BEAUTY QUIST 1 5 5 4   31 2¾ (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 40% 1.50 1.50 P
LET'S BE HONEST 4 3 2½ 1nk   2nk 3 (arriagada juan)MENA E 118 1.60 2.10  
BAND SWEETHEART 6 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 4 (pimental john )MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00 13.10  
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL 2 4 4 5   6 58 (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 122 2.00 24% 3.10 2.60  
YANKEE AGATE 3 2 1½ 31   54 6 (miller davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 26.60  
SCR  STRIKING CHROME               (bennett gera)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:242 :50 1:14 1:383   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICA BOOM 9 8 6 3½ 2½ 1 1 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00 11.70  
SLIME QUEEN 8 2 2nk 1nk 1½ 2 2 (arriagada jua)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00 39% 1.50 3.60 P
LULLABY LAND 3 9 7 7 3 3 3 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 119 5.00 11% 7.90 5.60 S
IRAZU 2 7 9 8 9 66 4 (cascallares nes)CENTENO E 123 5.00 4.40  
TAMI ANN 5 4 5 6 8 56 5 (barrett grantl)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00 47.50  
TAKE TO THE SKIES 1 1 4 5 53 44 6 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 6.00 4.10  
ONE NIGHT STAND 6 6 31 4¾ 63 78 7 (mcgoe)DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00 9.40  
SERENADE A KITTEN 7 3 1nk 2nk 4 8 810¼ (sanchez amad)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00 16% 5.30 3.90  
TOWERING GAZE 4 5 8 94 74 99 910¼ (carmichael)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00 11% 8.20 14.20  
 
TAM-8   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:223 :451 :573     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE SWEATY FOX 7 1 12 12   13 1½ (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.50 25% 3.00 2.40 W
HAPPY RIDE 4 3 33 34   23 2½ (mccarthy brenda )FERRER C 123 4.50 8% 11.10 1.40 P
DYNA'S HONOR 6 2 6 5   36 3¾ (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00 9.30  
GIRL PRO 2 7 78 711½   611 4 (arnett j)GALLARDO A 123 8.00 11% 8.00 4.90  
PRETTY FLATTERING 3 5 4 4   59 5 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 123 10.00 7% 13.70 7.90  
ALQWANI 5 4 22 22   49 615 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 5.00 8.50  
ANNA'S IMAGE 1 6 57 610½   714 715 (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00 33.50  
SCR  CHEM MAJOR               (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  DR. BELLA               (granitz antho)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
 
TAM-9   04/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
See original race card.
:224 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GET EVEN 6 1 1½ 1½   1 1 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 10.00 5% 19.00 5.50 W
CANTANKEROUS CAT 4 5 5 42   3 2 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00 2.80  
UNCLE JOCK 5 6 31 31   2 34 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 20.00 12.60  
THE BIG CALICO 2 2 42 53   66 4 (cascallares n)ALICEA JEREMY 117 3.50 5% 19.00 2.90  
BRUCE BANNER 3 4 64 63   4 5 (campbell michael)FERRER C 124 15.00 12.00  
DRAMA'S PRAYER 1 3 2½ 2½   5 614½ (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 124 3.00 19% 4.30 1.50  
SCR  ADIOS GARY               (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  ERUDITE (FR)               (burns patrici)JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00    
SCR  IMPACTO               (smith r)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.