Handicappers' Racing Form

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Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TAM-1   Win (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-2   Win (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-3   Win (8/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00
TAM-4   Win (2/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-5   Win (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-6   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TAM-7   Win (8/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-8   Win (9/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TAM-9   Win (3/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TAM-1   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($19.5K) 3 ALL PT-12:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WALT WHITMAN (IRE)         (nunez mauricio)BRACHO A 120 12.00    
VIDIANO         (manning j)MARIN SAMUEL 120 6.00    
CATALINA EXPRESS Jan19 Dec29 Dec03 Nov12 Oct23 (fisher david)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
FALK Mar15 Feb01 Jan14 Dec24 Oct12 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 113 3.00 24% 3.10    
CRUISING DEREK Apr12 Mar17 Feb24 Jan18 Dec30 (mazza w)FERRER C 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
CITY OF CLOUDS         (hamm timothy)ARROYO S 120 6.00    
 
TAM-2   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT-12:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMART DRESSER Mar17 Feb24       (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 6.00    
VIDA FINA Mar17         (pimental i)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 15.00    
ON THE RUNWAY         (delacou)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.50 39% 1.60    
INCREDIBLE BILL Apr02 May25 Apr20 Mar05   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 125 1.80 37% 1.70    
SEAX Apr07 Mar22 Feb09 Jan08 Dec22 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
SUTTON BREEZE Apr06         (rodriguez ange)MENESES MARCOS 125 3.50    
ST. CALVIN Mar05         (cahill f)WALKER M 125 10.00    
 
TAM-3   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 F PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSATIABLE EVA Mar31 Feb17 Jan21 Aug21 Aug05 (laurato michael )MARIN SAMUEL 120 30.00    
AFTER NOON KISSES Mar31 Mar10 Mar01 Dec14   (spanabel r)EVANS CECILY 120 20.00    
VALIANT MISTRESS Apr05 Mar05 Feb03     (bennett gerald )FUENTES MARIO 120 8.00    
BOARDWALK FRIES Aug31 Aug04       (galvan baltazar)LOPEZ E 120 20.00    
DUDEFOOLINGDARLING Mar05 Feb03 Dec30     (deaton william)MENESES MARCOS 120 6.00    
HIGH DONNA Feb26 Feb12 Jan20 Jan01 Dec16 (escobar alison)ARROYO S 120 12.00    
ROYALE FLARE Nov05 Oct08       (lopez b)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 3.50    
REASONABLY LOVELY Mar29 Mar17 Jan27 Dec28 Dec04 (posadas pedro)BATISTA A 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
ZIPPY ZINNY Mar31         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
10  MOVE TO ORDER Mar31 Jan29 Dec16 Nov30 Oct09 (barbazoniii lest)ALLEN D 120 20.00    
SCR  ITRIEDSELLINGHER Apr05 Mar17       (o'connell kathl)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
SCR  EMPIRE GIRL Apr05 Mar05 Feb17 Jan21 Oct24 (sanchez l)BATISTA A 120 3.50    
SCR  WICKLOW GAL Feb17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec14 Dec03 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 12.00    
SCR  BANK BUSTER Apr12 Mar10 Feb17 Feb03 Jan29 (ryan s)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 20.00    
 
TAM-4   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KUHL STAR Apr08 Mar19 Mar05 Nov18 Oct21 (werneth robert )FUENTES MARIO 118 6.00    
EXPRESS PHAROAH Mar29 Feb24 Nov25 Nov04 Sep14 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 118 3.50 27% 2.70    
HIDE THE DEMON Mar24 Mar05 Feb17 Feb03 Jan11 (poole a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 21% 3.70    
RISK VS REWARD Apr02 Mar19 Mar10 Feb15 Jan20 (ward dennis)ARROYO S 118 4.50    
PIYPA DE LYNDA Apr02 Mar18 Feb26 Oct16 Sep23 (marino gary)DIAZ S 118 15.00    
INDIAN BUZZ Apr05 Feb19 Jan28 Jan14 Dec23 (nobles reyna)MITCHELL RICHARD 118 8.00 13% 6.80    
HARD LIGHTING Jan25 Jan14 Dec24 Dec07 Sep30 (posadas pedro)MARIN SAMUEL 118 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
TAM-5   04/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($27K) 3 ALL PT- 2:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUMMER BEE Mar24 Mar11 Jan08 Dec17 Dec03 (dini mike)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
BRUMBA WAFFLE TOES Dec10 Nov13 Oct25 Oct04 Sep20 (rice kevin)ALLEN D 118 8.00    
OKLETSGO Feb26 Jan20 Dec21 Dec03 Oct07 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
NAGA'S BOY Mar11 Jan28 Jan07 Dec17 Oct15 (smith g)CENTENO E 118 3.50    
SUERTE Mar22 Feb11 Jan21 Dec02 Oct08 (harty eoin)CASTANON L 118 5.00 6% 16.50    
CRAFTY KING Mar04 Feb11 Sep10 Aug12 Jul15 (bennett s)FERRER C 118 12.00    
POSSIBLEMENTE Mar12 Feb17 Jan28 Dec21 Dec03 (rodriguez darien)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.00 44% 1.30    
 
TAM-6   04/21/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY QUIST Mar26 Feb25 Jan25 Dec30 Nov25 (sacco d)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
JESS'S GYPSY GIRL Mar24 Mar12       (hamm timothy)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.00 24% 3.10    
YANKEE AGATE Mar26 Mar01 Jan27 Dec11 Nov19 (miller david )QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STRIKING CHROME Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 Aug06 Jul17 (bennett gerald)MENESES MARCOS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S BE HONEST Mar22 Mar08 Jan15 Dec11 Dec02 (arriagada juan)MENA E 118 1.60    
STYLE Feb12 Jan28 Dec30 Dec07 Oct26 (arriagada juan)JIMENEZ MANNY 118 10.00    
BAND SWEETHEART Mar26 Feb25 Feb03 Dec31 Oct08 (pimental i)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
 
TAM-7   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE TO THE SKIES Mar31 Mar18 Mar03 Jan28 Jan01 (o'connell )GALLARDO A 123 6.00    
IRAZU Apr01 Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 Dec30 (cascallares nesto)CENTENO E 123 5.00    
LULLABY LAND Mar12 Feb25 Jan21 Jan07 Dec14 (wilson tony)CASTANON L 119 5.00 11% 7.90    
TOWERING GAZE Apr08 Mar10 Mar01 Dec02 Nov04 (carmichael m)MITCHELL RICHARD 119 12.00 11% 8.20    
TAMI ANN Mar03 Feb03 Nov09 Oct26 Oct06 (barrett grantley)MARIN SAMUEL 119 30.00    
ONE NIGHT STAND Apr14 Apr01 Mar12 Jan25 Jan07 (mcgoey )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 10.00    
SERENADE A KITTEN Apr09 Mar09 Feb15 Dec26 Dec04 (sanchez amador)MENESES MARCOS 119 3.00 16% 5.30    
SLIME QUEEN Mar25 Feb19 Feb05 Jan21 Nov26 (arriagada juan)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 4.00 39% 1.50    
CHICA BOOM Apr01 Mar09 Feb16 Jan25 Dec04 (rhone bernell)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 6.00    
 
TAM-8   04/21/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15.35K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:06
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANNA'S IMAGE Mar19 Feb12 Jan29 Jan20 Dec28 (smith rob)VILLA-GOMEZ H 118 30.00    
GIRL PRO Feb25 Feb10 Jan18 Jan01 Dec10 (arnett jon)GALLARDO A 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
SCR  CHEM MAJOR Mar24 Feb05       (o'conne)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 2.00 20% 3.90    
PRETTY FLATTERING Mar15 Feb25 Feb01 Dec02 Nov25 (bowersock maria)ALLEN D 123 10.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  DR. BELLA Mar25 Mar10 Sep16     (granitz anthony)SOSA LAUREANO 111 15.00    
HAPPY RIDE Mar24 Mar11 Feb22 Jan25 May08 (mccarthy d)FERRER C 123 4.50 8% 11.10    
ALQWANI Nov11 Oct22 Oct08 Sep04 Aug04 (padilla tim)SANTOS ADEMAR 123 5.00    
DYNA'S HONOR Mar01 Feb01 Jan15 Jan04 Dec21 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 123 12.00    
THE SWEATY FOX Mar11 Feb24 Feb05 Jan04 Dec28 (wilson tony)JIMENEZ MANNY 123 3.50 25% 3.00    
 
TAM-9   04/21/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:39
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ADIOS GARY Mar18 Feb18 Jan21 Dec23 Oct29 (orseno f)MARIN SAMUEL 124 2.50 37% 1.70    
SCR  IMPACTO Apr02         (smith rob)VILLA-GOMEZ H 124 6.00 17% 5.00    
DRAMA'S PRAYER Jan29 Nov23 Oct06     (bennett s)CENTENO E 124 3.00 19% 4.30    
THE BIG CALICO Mar15 Mar01 Feb11 Oct08 Sep11 (cascallares nes)ALICEA JEREMY 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
BRUCE BANNER Feb18 Jan21 Dec16 Nov13 Oct28 (campbell michael)FERRER C 124 15.00    
CANTANKEROUS CAT Apr01 Aug22 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 124 6.00    
SCR  ERUDITE (FR)         (burns patricia )JIMENEZ MANNY 124 30.00    
UNCLE JOCK Sep20 Aug22 Jul17 Jun28 Jun14 (potts g)ALLEN D 118 20.00    
GET EVEN Feb22 Jan29 Jan21 Jan08 Dec24 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.