Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Belmont Park
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BEL-4   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $10.00 $4.00 67%
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $14.10 $5.10 57%
BEL-5   WIN (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    DD (3/2/5)-(8/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-2 $21.00 $12.00 133%
BEL-6   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.00 $3.00 38%
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $19.00 $7.00 58%
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-2-5 $32.00 $20.00 167%
    SFT (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-2-5-6 $12.27 $9.87 411%
    DD (8/2/4)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-3 $26.75 $14.75 123%
    PK4 (3/5/1)-(3/2/5)-(8/2/4)-(5/6/2/3) 108 $0.50 $54.00  3/6/7-2-2-3 $133.50 $79.50 147%
BEL-7   WIN (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $20.20 $12.20 153%
    EXA (1/6/7/4)-(1/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  4-7 $25.75 $13.75 115%
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(1/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00  3-4 $57.25 $41.25 258%
BEL-9   WIN (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.50 $1.50 38%
    TRI (7/6)-(7/6/5/10/9)-(7/6/5/10/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00  7-6-9 $21.62 $9.62 80%
Simulator Race results
 
BEL-1   05/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:224 :573         :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CYNANE 7 3 11½ 12½   11½ 12¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 4.70  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of BURNING ARCH by ARCH)
1  SAM'S TREASURE 1 2 21½ 22½   21½ 22¾ (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 38% 1.70 2.00 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of MALIBU TREASURE by MALIBU MOON)
6  MARCO T. 6 1 33½ 34½   33 33¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★ 4.60 S
  (by KANTHAROS out of YOU GO TO MY HEAD by SUPER SAVER)
4  LONCHURA 4 5 54½ 59   510 410¾ (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00 42.00  
  (by TONALIST out of MADOFFWITHTHECASH by DIXIE UNION)
5  CHITARRA (IRE) 5 6 44½ 45   49½ 517½ (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 25% 3.00 1.90  
  (by ADVERTISE out of ARDIENTE by AUSTRALIA (GB))
2  AMIRATI 2 4 79 715   620 628½ (chichakly amir)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 15% 5.80 8.90  
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CAUSE SHE'S FAST by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  JUST THE OAKS 3 7 68½ 614½   720½ 731 (chapma)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00 22.40  
  (by JUSTIFY out of SENSIBLE GAL by STREET SENSE)
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW               (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00    
  (by BAL A BALI out of COYOTE PRETTY by UNION RAGS)
 
BEL-2   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:132 1:384   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  ORMSTOWN 3 2 1½ 11 11½ 17 16¾ (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 13.60  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SANDRA by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  BOURBON CHASE 6 3 31 32 32½ 59 26¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 69% 0.40 0.65 P
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
5  MORETHANAFEELING 5 4 2½ 21 21½ 27 37½ (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00 ★ 9.00 S
  (by BLAME out of BLITHELY by EXCHANGE RATE)
4  BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD 4 5 52 53½ 43 48½ 48½ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00 ★ 3.25  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of COMET OF LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  SQUID GAMER 2 6 63 64 65 69½ 58½ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50 5.30  
  (by VIOLENCE out of SHOW ME THE CARATS by MORE THAN READY)
1  RED D G P 1 1 42 42½ 53 38½ 613 (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00 25.50  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of SANDRA D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
BEL-3   05/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:123 1:354   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DREAMS OF TOMORROW 3 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 11 12 (mcgaughey cla)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 40% 1.50 1.05 W
1  DAUNT 1 2 31½ 31½ 31 32 22 (ribaudo robe)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 11% 7.90 4.00 P
2  ST ANTHONY 2 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 21 33¼ (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50 5.40  
5  RICHIESGOTGAME 5 4 42 42 42 45 46 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 25% 3.10 2.85  
4  BOURBONIC 4 5 55½ 55½ 56½ 519 526 (pletcher todd )PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00 9.00  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 2.50    
SCR  EMPTY TOMB               (falcone n)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
BEL-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122 1:26   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CINDERELLA'S CAUSE 2 6 42½ 33 21½ 1½ 14¼ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 11% 8.30 4.00 W
4  LIBERTY FLAME 4 1 11 12 11½ 2½ 24¼ (begg j)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00 14.30  
1  SWEETIE 1 7 77½ 77½ 45½ 34½ 34¼ (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 117 5.00 ★ 4.90 S
3  SILVER SKILLET 3 5 21 22 32½ 46 411¼ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 43% 1.30 1.05  
7  RACING COLORS 7 4 53½ 54½ 611 612½ 516¾ (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 15.00 43.50  
5  JULIANA'S ROSE 5 2 63½ 65 56 59 617½ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 11% 8.50 5.70  
6  SCOTT ALAIA 6 3 31½ 43½ 713 717 728 (barrera )DAVIS A 124 6.00 8.20  
 
BEL-5   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:131 1:254   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMOKE AND HEAT 1 1 52½ 53 3½ 11 1¼ (englehart chr)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 16% 5.10 3.15 W
5  KEEN HEIR 4 3 3½ 31½ 52 41½ 2¼ (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00 3.15  
8  LOOSE GOOSE 7 5 41 42 1nk 21 32½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 47% 1.10 1.55 S
7  PRESSURE 6 2 1nk 2½ 2nk 31½ 47½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00 10.80  
4  UNCLE WATER FLOW 3 6 64½ 65½ 62½ 55 512 (dutrow anthony)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 10% 9.10 8.80  
3  BERT BERT BERT 2 7 77 77 74 66 613¼ (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00 ★ 15.30  
6  DREAMING OF SMARTY 5 4 2nk 1½ 41½ 77½ 722½ (servis john )CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 12.90  
SCR  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR               (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
 
BEL-6   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:114     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CHAYSENBRYN 3 6 42 43½   23½ 11¼ (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 15% 5.70 4.50 W
2  BEAUTIFUL KAREN 2 2 11½ 11½   13½ 21¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 15% 5.60 6.20 P
5  RUN DEVIL 4 3 21½ 21½   33½ 35 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 30% 2.40 1.20 S
6  OK HONEY 5 5 65 66½   58 49¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 20% 4.00 3.20  
1  VEGAS WEEKEND 1 4 31½ 32½   47 510 (kantarma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00 5.90  
8  GRINGOTTS 7 1 53 54   610 610¾ (younghans wi)HARKIE K 120 30.00 56.75  
7  KEEN DANCER 6 7 79 713½   718 719¼ (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00 35.25  
SCR  GREATEST LOVE               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
 
BEL-7   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:113 1:234   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DADDY KNOWS 4 2 11½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1½ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 12% 7.60 9.10 W
7  HUSH OF A STORM 7 4 32 32 32 2nk 2½ (morey william)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 16% 5.10 2.25 P
2  OLYMPIC DREAMS 2 3 43 42½ 43½ 41¾ 31¼ (quick patric)CASTELLANO J 126 4.00 6.20  
1  AGGREGATION 1 1 21½ 2½ 2½ 31½ 47¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.00 1.40  
5  FULL MOON FEVER 5 7 76 75 58 58¼ 513 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 16.70  
6  WILD BANKER 6 6 65 54½ 68 68¼ 613 (rodriguez rudy)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 21% 3.80 5.20  
3  MASKED MARAUDER 3 5 54 64½ 711½ 716¼ 726 (ryerson )GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00 39.25  
 
BEL-8   05/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
See original race card.
:252 :494 1:14 1:371   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ROYAL SPIRIT 8 7 21 21 2½ 1nk 1nk (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00 ★ 4.20  
6  TIMBUKTU 6 4 32 31½ 31½ 32½ 2nk (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 7% 13.30 2.70 P
1  MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) 1 1 11 11 1½ 2nk 3¼ (casse mark)ORTIZ L 126 2.00 45% 1.20 2.00 S
7  SHINSUN 7 6 42½ 42½ 41½ 42¾ 4½ (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00 6.70  
4  SKYLANDER 4 2 53½ 53 63 57¾ 54¾ (trites)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00 69.25  
2  PARQUETRY 2 8 86 86 86½ 78¼ 65 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 14.00  
9  OUR COUNTRY 9 9 63½ 64 52½ 67¾ 75½ (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 23% 3.40 9.40  
3  ACHILLES HEEL 3 3 74½ 75 75½ 89¼ 86¼ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00 36.50  
5  URAGANO 5 5 96½ 96 98½ 913¾ 99 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00 23.90  
10  GREAT WORKOUT 10 10 107½ 109½ 1013 1019¼ 1016¾ (maker mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00 ★ 36.25  
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU               (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
SCR  COLLOQUY               (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 126 4.00    
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA               (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 126 3.50    
SCR  MANDATORY               (kimmel c)RIDER TBA 124 2.00    
SCR  MAURITIUS               (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  URBAN MYTH               (brion keri)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
 
BEL-9   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:121 1:242   1:362   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PIONEERING SPIRIT 7 8 98¼ 74¾ 54 13 14½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 40% 1.50 1.75 W
6  VARIABLE COST (GB) 6 12 1210¾ 95¾ 76¼ 23 24½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 38% 1.60 2.95 P
9  STEADY SCHEMING 9 5 31½ 21½ 22½ 33 37½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00 ★ 7.60 S
12  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY 12 7 64½ 53 33 54 410¼ (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00 68.00  
4  PEJA DU 4 3 11 11½ 12½ 43½ 510½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 19.40  
3  STORMANDY 3 2 54½ 63¼ 66 66½ 611 (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 59.75  
5  EAST SIDE 5 11 88 85¾ 98¾ 77 711 (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00 ★ 13.60  
1  SECOND AND REED 1 9 1110¼ 1210¼ 1010¾ 88 812 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 20.20  
2  LOOKIN GRAND 2 1 42½ 43 88¼ 109¾ 913¾ (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00 70.75  
10  STJAMES 10 10 109¼ 106¾ 1113¼ 1113¾ 1021¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 125 10.00 ★ 10.90  
8  MOONFLYER 8 4 21 32 44 98¼ 1122¾ (rodriguez rud)SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00 6.70  
11  MAD MAGIC 11 6 76½ 118¼ 1214¾ 1216¾ 1226¾ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00 23.00  
SCR  CARLIN CLAN               (falcone robert )CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
SCR  CHESS SPECTACULAR               (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA               (chatt)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE               (parag)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.