Handicappers' Racing Form

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Belmont Park
Thursday - May 11, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BEL-1   Win (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-2   Win (6) 1 $2.00 $2.00
BEL-3   Win (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-4   Win (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-5   Win (8/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-6   Win (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-7   Win (1/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
BEL-8   Win (1/9/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
BEL-9   Win (7/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
BEL-1   05/11/2023 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 2 F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAM'S TREASURE         (ward a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 38% 1.70    
AMIRATI May01         (chichakly amira)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 15% 5.80    
JUST THE OAKS May04         (chapman )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 15.00    
LONCHURA         (chichakly amira)CANCEL ERIC 119 20.00    
CHITARRA (IRE)         (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 2.00 25% 3.00    
MARCO T.         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50    
CYNANE         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR ARROW         (summers chad)DAVIS KATIE 119 5.00    
 
BEL-2   05/11/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED D G P Apr23 Jan19 Jan12 Apr23 Mar18 (ferraro )MARAGH RAMSAY 125 8.00    
SQUID GAMER Apr14 Mar26 Feb17     (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 125 3.50    
ORMSTOWN Apr27 Feb24       (donk david)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
BETTRLUCKYTHANGOOD         (clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 4.00    
MORETHANAFEELING Mar26 Feb26 Jan25 Dec08   (servis tyler)CARMOUCHE K 118 6.00    
BOURBON CHASE Apr01 Jan28 Jan06 Dec08 Nov13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.20 69% 0.40    
 
BEL-3   05/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($105K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:07
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAUNT Nov26 Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (ribaudo robert)CASTELLANO J 118 3.50 11% 7.90    
ST ANTHONY Dec03 Nov11 Oct22 Sep14 Sep03 (drysdale neil)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
DREAMS OF TOMORROW Apr01 Dec17 Nov10 Sep29   (mcgaughey claud)FRANCO MANUEL 120 1.20 40% 1.50    
BOURBONIC Apr01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Dec03 (pletcher a)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 5.00    
RICHIESGOTGAME Mar25 Feb04 Nov13 Oct15 Sep25 (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM Apr16 Apr01 Mar19 Feb19 Jan06 (rice linda)RIDER TBA 123 2.50    
SCR  EMPTY TOMB Mar30 Feb02 Nov23 Oct29 Oct07 (falcone n)RIDER TBA 118 2.00    
 
BEL-4   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETIE Apr06         (sciacca gary)OLVER MADISON 117 5.00    
CINDERELLA'S CAUSE Apr13 Mar31 Feb18 Jan06 Dec15 (falcone robert )FRANCO MANUEL 124 3.50 11% 8.30    
SILVER SKILLET Dec16 Oct30 Sep22 Jul27   (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.60 43% 1.30    
LIBERTY FLAME Apr23 Apr02 Dec15 Nov18 Oct22 (begg jam)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 10.00    
JULIANA'S ROSE Apr13 Feb09 Dec30 Dec04 Oct22 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 11% 8.50    
SCOTT ALAIA Apr20 Jun03 May01 Mar06 Feb12 (barrera os)DAVIS A 124 6.00    
RACING COLORS Apr23 Mar30 Feb20 Jan29 Jan22 (follett norman)BROWN DALTON 124 15.00    
 
BEL-5   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($45K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BOX OFFICE WARRIOR Apr18 Mar04 Feb03 Jan20 Dec09 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 8.00    
SMOKE AND HEAT Apr16 Apr01 Mar24 Feb18 Feb02 (englehart chris)FRANCO MANUEL 126 2.50 16% 5.10    
BERT BERT BERT Apr07 Jan26 Dec18 Nov11 Oct07 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 126 15.00    
UNCLE WATER FLOW Dec09 Dec02 Oct21 Sep15 Aug18 (dutrow w)ORTIZ L 124 6.00 10% 9.10    
KEEN HEIR Apr12 Feb26 Jun19 May19 Mar23 (walden william)ROSARIO JOEL 124 8.00    
DREAMING OF SMARTY Mar27 Mar06 Jan03 Nov21   (servis c)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
PRESSURE Apr21 Mar04 Jun21 May03 Apr08 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 6.00    
LOOSE GOOSE Feb11 Dec23 Jul30 Jul10 Apr09 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
BEL-6   05/11/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($48K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VEGAS WEEKEND Apr21 Mar24 Feb24 Jan15 Jan05 (kantarmaci)GOMEZ ANTONIO 120 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL KAREN Apr20 Apr13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 123 6.00 15% 5.60    
CHAYSENBRYN Apr13 Feb18 Jan15 Dec16 Nov11 (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  GREATEST LOVE Apr20 Mar17 Feb26 Jan20 Dec08 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
RUN DEVIL Mar26 Mar18 Feb19 Jan13 Dec18 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
OK HONEY Mar31 Feb19 Oct14 Aug18 Jul15 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
KEEN DANCER Apr27 Apr20 Apr13 Mar31 Mar24 (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 123 20.00    
GRINGOTTS Apr20 Mar31 Feb17 Dec30 Dec04 (younghans will)HARKIE K 120 30.00    
 
BEL-7   05/11/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AGGREGATION Jul18 May30 Apr16     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
OLYMPIC DREAMS Apr06 Mar26 Feb17 Jan19 Jun30 (quick patrick )CASTELLANO J 126 4.00    
MASKED MARAUDER Apr01 Feb17 Feb11 Jan19 Nov30 (ryerson ja)GOMEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
DADDY KNOWS Mar25 Feb26 Jan19 Nov16 Oct24 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 122 8.00 12% 7.60    
FULL MOON FEVER Apr14 Mar18 Feb20 Jan06 Dec09 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
WILD BANKER Apr14 Mar10 Feb10 Jan06 Dec08 (rodriguez r)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.50 21% 3.80    
HUSH OF A STORM Mar18 Feb19 Apr16 Mar06 Feb10 (morey e)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 16% 5.10    
 
BEL-8   05/11/2023 5610ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($65K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SEA COTTAGE (IRE) Mar17 Jan29 Dec08 Mar31 Jan30 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 126 2.00 45% 1.20    
PARQUETRY Sep23 Sep05 Aug10 Jul16 Jun18 (tagg barclay)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
ACHILLES HEEL Apr20 Mar17 Feb19 Jan28 Jan07 (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 124 20.00    
SKYLANDER Apr13 Jan28 Jan07 Dec03 Oct22 (trites a)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 30.00    
URAGANO Mar30 Sep24 Aug18 Jul15 May30 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 126 15.00    
TIMBUKTU Apr13 Feb26 Jan26 Dec18 Nov05 (dutrow richard )ORTIZ JR 126 4.00 7% 13.30    
SHINSUN Oct29 Aug17 Jul23 Jun17   (tagg barclay)CARMOUCHE K 124 8.00    
ROYAL SPIRIT Apr16 Mar17 Dec11 Oct29 Oct07 (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 5.00    
OUR COUNTRY Mar09 Feb09 Jan12 Nov19 Jul22 (hennig mark)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
10  GREAT WORKOUT Apr15 Feb19 Nov11 Oct02 Sep18 (maker mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
SCR  URBAN MYTH Mar15 Feb19 Feb16     (brion keri)DAVIS KATIE 124 10.00    
SCR  MAURITIUS Apr22 Mar10 Jan26 Dec17 Oct30 (morley thomas)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00    
SCR  ADDICTED TO YOU Apr22 Dec02 Nov05 Oct06 Aug26 (sciacca gary)FRANCO MANUEL 126 20.00    
SCR  FROMANOTHAMUTHA Mar24 Feb17 Jan07 Nov13 Oct08 (handal raymond)RIDER TBA 126 3.50    
SCR  COLLOQUY Apr13 Mar24 Feb19 Jan07 Dec03 (morley thomas)RIDER TBA 126 4.00    
SCR  MANDATORY Apr20 Mar24 Feb19 Jan29 Dec18 (kimmel c)RIDER TBA 124 2.00    
 
BEL-9   05/11/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECOND AND REED Apr15 Feb02 Jan05 Dec10 Oct28 (ryerson jam)VARGAS A 118 12.00    
LOOKIN GRAND Nov25 Nov06 Aug18 Jul09 May30 (chin peter)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 118 30.00    
STORMANDY Apr15 Mar12 Feb17 Feb09 Jan13 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
PEJA DU Apr21         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
EAST SIDE         (falcone n)JUAREZ NIK 118 10.00    
VARIABLE COST (GB)         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 3.00 38% 1.60    
PIONEERING SPIRIT Apr22 Apr02 Mar24 Jun24 May28 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
MOONFLYER Dec29 Dec01 Nov06 Aug06   (rodriguez rudy )SILVERA RUBEN 118 6.00    
STEADY SCHEMING Apr13         (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
10  STJAMES Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 Nov10 Oct20 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 125 10.00    
11  MAD MAGIC Apr15 Mar24 Feb02 Dec29 Nov06 (baker char)GOMEZ ANTONIO 125 12.00    
12  ELEVATED CAUSEWAY Apr15         (noda orlando)DAVIS KATIE 118 20.00    
SCR  CHESS SPECTACULAR Apr15 Mar10 Feb12 Nov19 Oct22 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00    
SCR  CARLIN CLAN Apr15 Mar03 Feb04 Oct23 Aug27 (falcone n)CARMOUCHE K 118 4.00    
SCR  THEREGOESMYMIRACLE Apr02 Sep29 Sep15 Aug13 Aug03 (paragal)DIAZ RAFAEL 125 12.00    
SCR  SWAY'SINMYDNA Apr29 Apr21 Mar11 Feb24 Jan20 (chatter)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.