The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Saratoga
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SAR-1   Win (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $11.00 $11.00 5.00
    Exacta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 6-3 2 1 $14.00 $14.00 8.00
    Trifecta (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 6-3-2 3 1 $11.45 $11.45 8.45
SAR-2   Win (1/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
    Exacta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 3-7 2 0 $7.20 -12.00
    Trifecta (1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(1/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 3-7-1 3 0 $29.37 -12.00
    Daily Double (2/3/6)-(1/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-3 2 1 $17.80 $17.80 5.80
SAR-3   Win (5/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 9 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -1.20
    Daily Double (1/3/5/6)-(5/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 3-9 2 1 $3.35 $3.35 -4.65
    Pick Three (2/3/6)-(1/3/5/6)-(5/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 6-3-9 3 1 $20.50 $20.50 -3.50
SAR-4   Win (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 0.80
    Exacta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 6-1 2 0 $10.70 -12.00
    Trifecta (4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8)-(4/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 6-1-4 3 0 $16.50 -12.00
    Daily Double (5/9)-(4/6/7/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 9-6 2 1 $7.90 $7.90 -0.10
    Pick Three (1/3/5/6)-(5/9)-(4/6/7/8) 32 $1.00 $32.00 3-9-6 3 1 $14.50 $14.50 -17.50
SAR-5   Win (1/2/4/5/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 1 $9.10 $9.10 -0.90
    Exacta (1/2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-2 2 1 $32.00 $32.00 12.00
    Trifecta (1/2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/5/8)-(1/2/4/5/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 8-2-6 3 0 $50.75 -30.00
    Daily Double (4/6/7/8)-(1/2/4/5/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 6-8 2 1 $21.20 $21.20 1.20
    Pick Three (5/9)-(4/6/7/8)-(1/2/4/5/8) 40 $1.00 $40.00 9-6-8 3 1 $33.50 $33.50 -6.50
SAR-6   Win (2/5/6/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 11 1 1 $8.60 $8.60 0.60
    Exacta (2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 11-2 2 1 $20.50 $20.50 8.50
    Trifecta (2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 11-2-1 3 0 $32.75 -12.00
    Daily Double (1/2/4/5/8)-(2/5/6/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 8-11 2 1 $42.00 $42.00 22.00
    Pick Three (4/6/7/8)-(1/2/4/5/8)-(2/5/6/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 6-8-11 3 1 $202.00 $202.00 122.00
SAR-7   Win (2/5/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
    Exacta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-6 2 1 $14.70 $14.70 2.70
    Trifecta (2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/5/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 2-6-5 3 1 $48.37 $48.37 36.37
    Daily Double (2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 11-2 2 1 $27.25 $27.25 11.25
    Pick Three (1/2/4/5/8)-(2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 8-11-2 3 1 $156.50 $156.50 76.50
SAR-8   Win (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 1.10
    Exacta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 2-5 2 1 $11.70 $11.70 5.70
    Trifecta (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 2-5-3 3 1 $9.75 $9.75 6.75
    Daily Double (2/5/6/7)-(2/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 2-2 2 1 $13.90 $13.90 1.90
    Pick Three (2/5/6/11)-(2/5/6/7)-(2/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 11-2-2 3 1 $94.75 $94.75 46.75
SAR-9   Win (5/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
    Exacta (5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 9-11 2 0 $6.40 -6.00
    Trifecta (5/7/9)-(5/7/9)-(5/7/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 9-11-5 3 0 $10.40 -3.00
    Daily Double (2/3/5)-(5/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 2-9 2 1 $7.30 $7.30 -1.70
    Pick Three (2/5/6/7)-(2/3/5)-(5/7/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 2-2-9 3 1 $30.25 $30.25 -5.75
SAR-10   Win (1/4/5/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 4 1 1 $7.10 $7.10 -2.90
    Exacta (1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 4-5 2 1 $22.60 $22.60 2.60
    Trifecta (1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10)-(1/4/5/8/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 4-5-1 3 1 $47.00 $47.00 17.00
    Daily Double (5/7/9)-(1/4/5/8/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 9-4 2 1 $7.30 $7.30 -7.70
    Pick Three (2/3/5)-(5/7/9)-(1/4/5/8/10) 45 $1.00 $45.00 2-9-4 3 1 $24.80 $24.80 -20.20

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
:223 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIROOVIN 5 2 3½ 2nk   1nk 12 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 18% 4.40 4.50 W
SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 2 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (asmussen steven)ORTIZ JR 118 0.60 34% 2.00 1.00 P
FIGHT FIERCELY 1 5 42 5   48 310½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 15% 5.50 2.00 S
SWAY'SINMYDNA 4 3 5 3   37 410¾ (chatterpaul nai)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 20.50  
GABE 3 1 2nk 47   512½ 519¾ (hiles jeff)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 6.00  
SCR  WITH KNOW NAME               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-2   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
:243 :484 1:134 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLLY MISS JILL 3 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 1(rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 53% 0.90 1.60 W
YOGI 7 3 21 21 2½ 2½ 2(bond ja)TORRES A 118 3.00 1.85  
HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 5 4 34 3313¾ (metivie)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 5% 19.00 42.25 S
SUSIE'S SAVER 2 7 7 6 57 59 413¾ (paragallo jennif)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 5.80  
BRAVO REGINA 4 5 4 3 44 46 514¾ (romero raf)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 10.90  
JOEY THE FISH 8 8 813¼ 8 812½ 712 620¾ (persaud randi)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00 31.00  
JACKSON AVENUE 6 2 66 7 69 611½ 726½ (breed rona)DAVIS A 123 15.00 10% 9.00 34.25  
ALICE KRAMDEN 5 4 3 5 710 814 830¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 11% 7.80 5.70  
 
SAR-3   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
:243 :474 1:121 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSET LOUISE 3 3 1 12 1 17 1(levine bruce)ORTIZ L 126 2.00 62% 0.60 0.40 W
SKRATCH KAT 2 2 34 38 37 27 2(bauer philip)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 2.00  
LINNY KATE 1 1 2 22 2 313½ 320 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART               (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00    
SCR  PLEASANT PASSAGE               (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
SCR  SAIL BY               (antonacci )SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS CAROL ANN (IRE)               (motion graham)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  VERONICA GREENE               (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY               (joseph saffi)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
:223 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENSIGN PARKER 5 3 2nk 1   11(lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 13% 6.40 3.40 W
LET FREEDOM SPRING 1 1 31 33   22(noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 1.15  
CHARGER 3 2 1nk 2   3311¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 46% 1.20 4.50 S
HEREBY 6 5 4 48   4413 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 11% 8.10 7.10  
PRINCE OF JOY 4 4 6 58   59 516¼ (summers ch)DAVIS A 124 20.00 18.10  
MERCHANTS OF COOL 2 6 7 6   610½ 616¾ (summers chad)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00 22.70  
NORGAY 7 7 5 712½   713 725½ (barrera s)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 8% 12.30 7.80  
SCR  CENTRAL PRIDE               (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:32
:223 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALWAYS A WARRIOR 8 1 11 11   16 1(david a)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 15% 5.60 3.55 W
MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 9 913½ 914   62(maker j)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
COLLECTED SPECIAL 5 2 32 3   26 3(delgado jorg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.60  
DIXIE PHARAOH 2 6 5 6   343 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8.00  
A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 9 5 4 44   45(donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 20.80  
ALBEDO 3 7 6 55   56(serpe m)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
JAKE'S ORCHARD 4 8 811 813½   87(torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
1A  KHADULLAH 6 3 21 21   78(rodriguez r)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 59% 0.70 4.20  
ICE THE KICKER 7 4 79 711   913¾ 99 (giddings melanie)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 9.80  
SCR  ANTONIO OF VENICE               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60    
 
SAR-6   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
:241 :474 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 7 7 6 612 44 12 1(mcpeek kenn)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 40% 1.50 3.30 W
DR KRINGLE 1 5 5 52 21 22 2(wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 10% 8.60 3.80 P
ROCKSTAR RED 6 4 41 3½ 3 33(rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 4.50  
RINGSIDE 4 1 1nk 1½ 11 4412¼ (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 28% 2.50 1.90  
GOLD TEMPLAR 3 6 711½ 714½ 712½ 715 518¼ (falk jacquelin)HARKIE K 118 50.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
DREAMWITHINADREAM 5 3 3½ 2½ 69 613½ 620¾ (hiles a)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 5.00  
LASTLY 2 2 2nk 4 57 510½ 721 (lerman s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00 27.00  
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (lukas wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE)               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/16/2023 6270ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:241 :484 1:13 1:38   1:571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUSTER 2 4 3 31 3 1nk 12 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50 38% 1.70 2.90 W
FILM STAR 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 29% 2.40 3.20 P
SAQEEL 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 33(diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 7 7 52 5 52 64(shirer mat)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
PROVE WORTHY 1 5 7 74 74 56 5(pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 4.00  
THE PRINCE'S SPUR 3 1 4 41 42 46(bauer a)VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 3.35  
COMPLETE AGENDA 4 6 63 6 6 711¼ 717¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 11.30  
 
SAR-8   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:223 :452 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKATOMI 2 2 4 5   2nk 1(ward wesley )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 22% 3.60 2.55 W
SHERIFF BIANCO 5 4 52 41   3.2 2(rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 11% 8.30 4.30 P
BABY YODA 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 3(mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.20 47% 1.10 1.10 S
SHOOTERS SHOOT 4 5 3½ 2nk   4¼ 4(sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 10.60  
BOURBON CALLING 6 6 63 6   55(arriaga antonio)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 11.50  
MR PHIL 1 1 2nk 3½   6615¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 10.80  
 
SAR-9   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Quick Call Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
:221 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCASHED 4 1 11 1½   11(rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 30% 2.30 1.20 W
11  JOEY FRESHWATER 5 4 42 31   22(rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 3.75  
TWO OF A KIND 2 6 5 52   35 3(lynch brian)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 16% 5.30 7.10 S
12  ACOUSTIC AVE 6 2 21 2½   45 4(clement christo)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8.20  
BRITERDAYZAHEAD 3 3 64 6   5511½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12% 7.10 3.10  
KIGALI 1 5 32 42   68 616 (bauer a)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 16.20  
SCR  CHARGING               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
SCR  DR OSERAN               (clement christop)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
SCR  GASLIGHT DANCER               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
 
SAR-10   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
:222 :46 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGGIE 3 6 34 32   1nk 1¼ (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.55 W
MARLEY'S GHOST 4 2 23 22   2nk 2¼ (trombetta michae)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
NORTHWAY 1 8 77 47   43(handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 7% 13.00 4.60 S
SHE'S A NINE 7 4 13 12   3410½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 1 88 815¼   710¼ 512 (donk david)TORRES A 114 12.00 19.80  
MAGNOLIA WIND 2 5 55 7   610 615 (diprima gregory)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 27.50  
10  STRANGE FRUIT 9 7 67 5   57 715 (reynolds patrick)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 14% 6.30 3.45  
BELLA SONADORA 8 9 912½ 922¼   921¼ 829¼ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 20.00 33.25  
IRISH EMPRESS 6 3 4 6   820¼ 946½ (rodriguez gust)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10.10  
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.