Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $11.00 $5.00 83%
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $14.00 $8.00 133%
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  6-3-2 $11.45 $8.45 282%
SAR-2   DD (3/6/2)-(3/5/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $17.80 $5.80 48%
SAR-4   WIN (4/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $8.80 $0.80 10%
SAR-5   EXA (1/8/2/5/4)-(1/8/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-2 $32.00 $12.00 60%
    DD (4/6/7/8)-(1/8/2/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00  6-8 $21.20 $1.20 6%
    PK5 (3/6/2)-(3/5/6/1)-(9/5)-(4/6/7/8)-(1/8/2/5/4) 480 $0.50 $240  6-3-1/2/3/4/6/7/9/10-6-8 $371.50 $131.50 55%
SAR-6   WIN (11/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  11 $8.60 $0.60 8%
    EXA (11/6/2/5)-(11/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  11-2 $20.50 $8.50 71%
    DD (1/8/2/5/4)-(11/6/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-11 $42.00 $22.00 110%
    PK3 (4/6/7/8)-(1/8/2/5/4)-(11/6/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00  6-8-11 $202.00 $122.00 153%
SAR-7   EXA (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-6 $14.70 $2.70 23%
    TRI (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-6-5 $48.37 $36.37 303%
    SFT (2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7)-(2/6/5/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  2-6-5-7 $48.75 $46.35 1931%
    DD (11/6/2/5)-(2/6/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00  11-2 $27.25 $11.25 70%
    PK3 (1/8/2/5/4)-(11/6/2/5)-(2/6/5/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00  8-11-2 $156.50 $76.50 96%
    PK4 (4/6/7/8)-(1/8/2/5/4)-(11/6/2/5)-(2/6/5/7) 320 $0.50 $160  6-8-11-2 $307.25 $147.25 92%
SAR-8   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $7.10 $1.10 18%
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-5 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-3 $9.75 $6.75 225%
    DD (2/6/5/7)-(3/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-2 $13.90 $1.90 16%
    PK3 (11/6/2/5)-(2/6/5/7)-(3/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  11-2-2 $94.75 $46.75 97%
SAR-10   EXA (4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00  4-5 $22.60 $2.60 13%
    TRI (4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  4-5-1 $47.00 $17.00 57%
    SFT (4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5)-(4/8/10/1/5) 120 $0.10 $12.00  4-5-1-8 $53.40 $41.40 345%
    PK5 (11/6/2/5)-(2/6/5/7)-(3/2/5)-(9/5/7)-(4/8/10/1/5) 720 $0.50 $360  11-2-2-9-4 $598.50 $238.50 66%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($60K) 3 ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:223 :45 :57     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GIROOVIN 5 2 3½ 2nk   1nk 12 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 18% 4.40 4.50 W
3  SPEAKINOFTHEDEVIL 2 4 1nk 1nk   2nk 22 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 118 0.60 34% 2.00 1.00 P
2  FIGHT FIERCELY 1 5 42 57½   48 310½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 15% 5.50 2.00 S
5  SWAY'SINMYDNA 4 3 52¼ 35½   37 410¾ (chatterpaul n)CASTILLO AMIN 118 20.00 20.50  
4  GABE 3 1 2nk 47   512½ 519¾ (hiles je)SANTANA JR 120 5.00 6.00  
SCR  WITH KNOW NAME               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 15.00    
 
SAR-2   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:134 1:261   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JOLLY MISS JILL 3 1 11 11 1½ 1½ 13¼ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 118 2.50 53% 0.90 1.60 W
7  YOGI 7 3 21 21 2½ 2½ 23¼ (bond harold )TORRES A 118 3.00 1.85  
1  HANDLE THE TRUTH 1 6 53½ 42½ 34 35½ 313¾ (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 12.00 5% 19.00 42.25 S
2  SUSIE'S SAVER 2 7 76¼ 63½ 57 59 413¾ (paragallo jenn)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 3.50 5.80  
4  BRAVO REGINA 4 5 43½ 31½ 44 46 514¾ (romero r)SANTANA JR 118 6.00 10.90  
8  JOEY THE FISH 8 8 813¼ 89¾ 812½ 712 620¾ (persaud ran)MARTINEZ R 118 30.00 31.00  
6  JACKSON AVENUE 6 2 66 73¾ 69 611½ 726½ (breed ro)DAVIS A 123 15.00 10% 9.00 34.25  
5  ALICE KRAMDEN 5 4 32½ 52½ 710 814 830¼ (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.00 11% 7.80 5.70  
 
SAR-3   07/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($156K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:243 :474 1:121 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SUNSET LOUISE 3 3 11½ 12 16½ 17 15¾ (levine bruce)ORTIZ L 126 2.00 62% 0.60 0.40 W
8  SKRATCH KAT 2 2 34 38 37 27 25¾ (bauer phil)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50 2.00  
5  LINNY KATE 1 1 21½ 22 26½ 313½ 320 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 126 30.00 5% 19.00 5.20 S
SCR  PHAROAH'S HEART               (nevin michelle)LEZCANO JOSE 126 3.00    
SCR  PLEASANT PASSAGE               (mcgaughey cla)VELAZQUEZ R 118 3.00    
SCR  SAIL BY               (antonacc)SANTANA JR 122 12.00    
SCR  MISS CAROL ANN (IRE)               (motion graha)ROSARIO JOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  VERONICA GREENE               (brown c)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  BEAUTE CACHEE (FR)               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 124 1.60    
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY               (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 8.00    
 
SAR-4   07/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($14K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ENSIGN PARKER 5 3 2nk 11½   12½ 14½ (lynch natalia)DAVIS DYLAN 122 5.00 13% 6.40 3.40 W
1  LET FREEDOM SPRING 1 1 31 33   22½ 24½ (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 1.15  
4  CHARGER 3 2 1nk 21½   35½ 311¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.50 46% 1.20 4.50 S
7  HEREBY 6 5 43½ 48   47½ 413 (brown r)DAVIS KATIE 124 6.00 11% 8.10 7.10  
5  PRINCE OF JOY 4 4 64¼ 58   59 516¼ (summers )DAVIS A 124 20.00 18.10  
3  MERCHANTS OF COOL 2 6 76¼ 69½   610½ 616¾ (summers ch)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 115 20.00 22.70  
8  NORGAY 7 7 53¾ 712½   713 725½ (barrera oscar )ALVARADO R 124 8.00 8% 12.30 7.80  
SCR  CENTRAL PRIDE               (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00    
 
SAR-5   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($88K) 2 ALL PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:223 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  ALWAYS A WARRIOR 8 1 11 11   16 11¾ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 15% 5.60 3.55 W
  (by POSEIDON'S WARRIOR out of SHE'S ALWAYS READY by MORE THAN READY)
2  MAMA'S MIDDIE 1 9 913½ 914   68¼ 21¾ (maker michael )ORTIZ L 119 5.00 5% 19.00 5.80 P
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAMA KNOWS BEST by SKY MESA)
6  COLLECTED SPECIAL 5 2 32 32½   26 32¼ (delgado jo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 6.00 2.60  
  (by COLLECTED out of EXCLUSIVE WOMAN by CAT THIEF)
3  DIXIE PHARAOH 2 6 54½ 65½   37½ 43 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 8.00 8.00  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of POSSESSIVE by BERNARDINI)
9  A KNIGHT'S COURAGE 9 5 43½ 44   47½ 54¼ (donk david)DAVIS KATIE 119 15.00 20.80  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of SOIGNE by INCLUDE)
4  ALBEDO 3 7 64½ 55   57¾ 64½ (serpe philip )FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
  (by LEOFRIC out of BELLE DE FRANCE by THOREAU)
5  JAKE'S ORCHARD 4 8 811 813½   89¾ 75½ (torelli stacy)FRET STEVEN 119 30.00 5% 19.00 23.70  
  (by COAL FRONT out of BLUEBRASS BELLE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
1A  KHADULLAH 6 3 21 21   78¾ 88¾ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 1.60 59% 0.70 4.20  
  (by MISSION IMPAZIBLE out of MIDWAY MUSIC by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  ICE THE KICKER 7 4 79 711   913¾ 99 (giddings melan)LEZCANO JOSE 119 10.00 9.80  
  (by SOLOMINI out of NICOLE'S MISS EL by ELTISH)
SCR  ANTONIO OF VENICE               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 119 1.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of STELLA PERFORMANCE by TRAPPE SHOT)
 
SAR-6   07/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($75K) Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:124 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  HE'S GOT SWAGGER 7 7 69½ 612 44 12 14¾ (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 4.00 40% 1.50 3.30 W
2  DR KRINGLE 1 5 53½ 52 21 22 24¾ (wilkes r)ORTIZ JR 124 3.50 10% 8.60 3.80 P
1  ROCKSTAR RED 6 4 41 3½ 32½ 33½ 37½ (rice linda)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 6.00 4.50  
6  RINGSIDE 4 1 1nk 1½ 11 43½ 412¼ (sisterson jack)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 28% 2.50 1.90  
5  GOLD TEMPLAR 3 6 711½ 714½ 712½ 715 518¼ (falk jacquel)HARKIE K 118 50.00 5% 19.00 32.00  
7  DREAMWITHINADREAM 5 3 3½ 2½ 69 613½ 620¾ (hiles a)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00 5.00  
3  LASTLY 2 2 2nk 41½ 57 510½ 721 (lerman s)DAVIS DYLAN 124 30.00 27.00  
SCR  CUMBERLAND               (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 4.50    
SCR  FAST BOAT TO SKYE               (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00    
SCR  GAME KEEPER               (lukas wayne)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00    
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 6.00    
SCR  LIQUID ADDICTION (IRE)               (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 10.00    
SCR  MO SATURDAYS               (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
 
SAR-7   07/16/2023 6270ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($149.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:13 1:38   1:571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OUSTER 2 4 31½ 31 31½ 1nk 12 (hennig mark)DAVIS DYLAN 125 2.50 38% 1.70 2.90 W
6  FILM STAR 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 22 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 125 2.00 29% 2.40 3.20 P
5  SAQEEL 5 2 11 1½ 1½ 31½ 34½ (diodoro robertino)SAEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.20 S
7  PLEDGEOFALLEGIANCE 7 7 52 51½ 52 66¼ 46¾ (shirer m)SANTANA JR 123 8.00 5% 19.00 13.40  
1  PROVE WORTHY 1 5 73¼ 74 74 56 56¾ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 4.00  
3  THE PRINCE'S SPUR 3 1 41½ 41 42 45½ 67½ (bauer philip )VELAZQUEZ R 123 5.00 3.35  
4  COMPLETE AGENDA 4 6 63 62½ 63½ 711¼ 717¾ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 125 10.00 11.30  
 
SAR-8   07/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($162.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:101     1:231   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  NAKATOMI 2 2 41½ 51¼   2nk 13½ (ward wesle)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 2.50 22% 3.60 2.55 W
5  SHERIFF BIANCO 5 4 52 41   3.2 23½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 3.50 11% 8.30 4.30 P
3  BABY YODA 3 3 1nk 1nk   1nk 33¾ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 1.20 47% 1.10 1.10 S
4  SHOOTERS SHOOT 4 5 3½ 2nk   4¼ 44¾ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 8.00 10.60  
6  BOURBON CALLING 6 6 63 63¾   52¼ 55¾ (arriaga antoni)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 8.00 11.50  
1  MR PHIL 1 1 2nk 3½   64¾ 615¾ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 124 10.00 10.80  
 
SAR-9   07/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC12 SLOPPY Quick Call Purse ($175K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:221 :452 :571     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  UNCASHED 4 1 11 1½   13½ 15½ (rivelli larry)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 30% 2.30 1.20 W
  (by UNCAPTURED out of CHARLIE B by WAR CHANT)
11  JOEY FRESHWATER 5 4 42 31   23½ 25½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 3.75  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of LAKE TURKANA by MORE THAN READY)
5  TWO OF A KIND 2 6 52½ 52   35 38½ (lynch bri)LEPAROUX R 118 8.00 16% 5.30 7.10 S
  (by OVERANALYZE out of FREUD'S IRISH MISS by FREUD)
12  ACOUSTIC AVE 6 2 21 2½   45 49¼ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 8.20  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROCK AVE. ROAD by STREET BOSS)
7  BRITERDAYZAHEAD 3 3 64 62½   55½ 511½ (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 12% 7.10 3.10  
  (by GIRVIN out of PURE GREY by TOO MUCH BLING)
2  KIGALI 1 5 32 42   68 616 (bauer philip)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00 16.20  
  (by HARD SPUN out of SUGAR SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  CHARGING               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 10.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of ELECTRIC by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  DR OSERAN               (clement christ)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of ACT NOW by STREET SENSE)
SCR  EYE WITNESS               (ward a)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of GRACILIA by MR. GREELEY)
SCR  GASLIGHT DANCER               (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of RAINDROPS DROPTOPS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
SCR  NO NAY HUDSON (IRE)               (ward a)GRAHAM J 122 6.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of RAW SILK by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SON OF A BIRCH               (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 30.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of URQUIA by SCAT DADDY)
 
SAR-10   07/16/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:21
See original race card.
:222 :46 1:122     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MAGGIE 3 6 34 32   1nk 1¼ (kirby t)SAEZ LUIS 119 3.00 30% 2.30 2.55 W
5  MARLEY'S GHOST 4 2 23 22   2nk 2¼ (trombetta mich)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.00 P
1  NORTHWAY 1 8 77 47   45½ 38½ (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 7% 13.00 4.60 S
8  SHE'S A NINE 7 4 13 12   32½ 410½ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 119 5.00 23% 3.40 4.40  
6  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 5 1 88 815¼   710¼ 512 (donk david)TORRES A 114 12.00 19.80  
3  MAGNOLIA WIND 2 5 55 79¾   610 615 (diprima gregory)DAVIS KATIE 119 12.00 27.50  
10  STRANGE FRUIT 9 7 67 57¼   57 715 (reynolds patri)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 14% 6.30 3.45  
9  BELLA SONADORA 8 9 912½ 922¼   921¼ 829¼ (figueroa carlos)LUZZI J 119 20.00 33.25  
7  IRISH EMPRESS 6 3 44½ 69¾   820¼ 946½ (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 10.10  
SCR  SARAH'S DIALED IN               (dini mike)MARTIN MATTIE 112 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.